|
|
| by Christopher
Spencer |
Former Senior
Advisor International Organizations, Canadian Department of
Foreign Affairs and International Trade |
| Updated: 13 SEP
08 | |
Francis Kofi Abiew & Tom Keating "Outside Agents and the Politics of Peacebuilding and
Reconciliation" International Journal Vol.LV/No.1(Winter 99-00):-discusses new policy towards,
often mixed experience with peacebuilding. Recent global trends:(1)major increase in intra-state
violence;(2) multilateral emphasis on individual human rights/security, and hence humanitarian
interventions. "In this context...peacebuildingemerged as central part of what rest of world to
offer to divided societies" i.e. not just hostilities end but all necessary for sustainable peace. Yet
past problems/ limitations demand careful look at practicality/ suitability/ ethics of outside
intervention in support of peace building in divided societies. Analyse variousmotivations behind
such intervention; then objectives: not just peace but also market democracy/ "politics of
reconciliation." Unhappy(Canadian)experience in Haiti dissected to draw lessons.
Morton Abramowitz & Thomas Pickering "Making Intervention Work: Improving the UN's Ability
to Act"(100-108) Foreign Affairs Vol.87/No.5(Sep/Oct 08):-official summary:"In the face of grave
humanitarian crises in countries such as Myanmar and Sudan, the international community has
failed to back up its rhetoric with deeds. To adequately address such situations, the United
Nations must streamline its decision-making, strengthen its peacekeeping capabilities, and
create a crisis-response force". Emphasized extracts:"International clamor must produce
results, not simply more clamor". "The UN needs a limited force to respond to humanitarian
disasters and prevent conflicts from spiraling out of control". Abramowitz is a Senior Fellow at
the Century Foundation and former US Ambassador to Thailand and Turkey. Pickering is Vice
Chair of Hills & Company and has served as US Ambassador to six countries and the UN.
James AdamsThe Next World War: Computers Are the Weapons and the Front Line Is
Everywhere(New York: Simon & Schuster 98):-not primarily about technology, but rather warning
about (un)anticipated effects of accelerating revolution in many-faceted field of information
warfare(IW). Uses many original sources to explain fundamental changes in nature of combat.
Weapons can be disabling, non-lethal, long-distance, unmanned, multi-use, minuscule... Wars
may be battlefield-less, electronic, adversary-ambiguous, instantaneous... Intelligence and
surveillance will be pervasive/often decisive. At same time, vast technical lead -and complexity
- of rich countries' forces/societies also creates immense (cyber)vulnerability. In global
North-South terms, implies economically-advanced states will prefer to fight by exploiting their
technology, while any less-advanced opponents will tend to concentrate their attackson that
technology's weak points.[World community/UN will find "violent conflict" (formal inter-state
war now very rare)not only creates multiple new diplomatic/legal issues(time/space limits,
sanctions, intervention, lethality, causes, costs, crimes)but, most difficult of all, is increasingly
ambiguous, in terms of "participants" (both initiators and intended enemies/victims), location
(e.g. if electronic, disease-inducing, and/or delayed-action), aims(already true of terrorism), even
very existence(e.g. cyber-, resource- or bio-conflict; deliberate/ accidental?).One major
consequence then is that entire concept of conflict-resolution transformed.]
AFRICA: CURRENT PROBLEMS, SOURCES, AND SUGGESTED CURES: MEDIA SELECTION
John Grimond "Africa's Great Black Hope: Survey of South Africa" (1-16); "Africa's Elusive
Dawn" (Edit 17-8); "Aid to Africa" (59); "South African Governance: The End of Minority Rule"
(Bus.66)The Economist 24 Feb 01:-these four pieces complement each other. Even if two
concentrate on South Africa, its leading economic/political roles make it continent's bell-wether
- in success or failure. Editorial bitter: "Africa's parlous condition dreadful condemnation of
mankind's collective efforts to end poverty and promote freedom...[While]Millennium African
Renaissance Programme[made South Africa's president Mbeki call firstfor]'critical examination
of Africa's post-independence experience, and acceptance that things have to be done
differently'" ,editor chastises rich world for its tariffs, quotas, farm subsidies, unfavourable terms
of trade, weapons sales, debt inducement, tied/declining ODA - and for supporting corrupt
Africanregimes/prohibitive drug prices. Africa deserves both more support/better leaders. ODA
article stressesincreased British interest in helping poorest countries, i.e. mostly African which
received about 1b poundsin bilateral/multilateral aid in 99-00. UK will concentrate on getting new
technology/skills to students and would-be teachers, on debt relief, on police training and on
peacekeeping. Business item notes although,when South Africa's present rulers still rebels
threatened to nationalize big business; in power they have brought better corporate governance
through greater efficiency and transparency. "Break-up of old conglomerates coincided with
attempts to create new class of black businessmen" .Survey's analyses, whileconcentrating on
South African economic, social and political situation, have much relevance for whole of
Sub-Saharan Africa - and whole Third World. Two over-riding realities are:(1)elimination of very
rich, long-entrenched and well-armed racist regime, in refined/orderly way, and without expected
bloodbath(in continent only too experienced with ethnic dominations/bloodbaths);but(2)
apartheid's replacement by equal or worse horror: AIDS(now threatening all Third World).In
addition, relatively high (for Africa)average per capita income disguises "extremes of wealth and
poverty rivalled only in Brazil: South Africa really both first world and third world
country...Fortunately, long wait for freedom...provided time...to see how other countries coped
with self-government. And it brought goodwill, not least because South Africa blessed with
leadership of statesman of heroic proportions...Spirit of generosity seemed to characterise not
just Mandela but new South Africa as a whole" .Survey discusses:(1)Land(Re)Distribution: with
apartheid,white 15% of population effectively owned 87% of land, including all best;(2)Education:
takes 21% of budget/5.7% of GNP, but still mixes some of best and worst schools in
world;(3)Violent Crime: "threatensnot just South Africans' security but very basis of their
society" mainly for socio-historic reasons;(4)HIV/AIDS: "makes most other problems seem
trivial" with UNAIDS estimating 4.2m people HIV-positive; life expectancy expected to fall from
60 to 40 years by 08; social custom/ government policy at fault;(5)Racial Equality: affirmative
action and "black economic empowerment" encouraged by law, butracial gaps are probably
diminishing mainly through constitutional ban on discrimination;(6)Employment and Investment:
both face major shortfalls, although policy aims at" growth, employment and redistribution" ;"
only40% of economically active population employed in formal" sectors;(7)Justice: made much
apparent progress: Constitution aims high, but partly unenforceable; independent Supreme
Court; Human Rights Commission against discrimination; novel Truth and Reconciliation
Commission provided neither, butoffered "day in court" ;(8)Non-Blacks: about 250,000
whites(officially or unofficially)emigrated since majority rule, but those staying generally do not
suffer: Afrikaners have adapted well; Indians have lost economically, and Coloureds complain
they are "not black enough" ; Appraisal: is generally good, considering where things started and
African comparisons; biggest problems social: continuing dominance of racial concerns and
income gaps; catastrophe of AIDS and its socio-economic impact.
Salman Ahmed"No Size Fits All: Lessons in Making Peace and Rebuilding States"Foreign
AffairsVol.84/No.1(Jan/Feb 05):-Review Essay by Senior Political Officer, Office of UN USG for
Peacekeeping Operations who served in Cambodia, South Africa, Bosnia/Herzegovina,
Afghanistan and Iraq. Providesanalysis of the argumentation of three books: Roland Paris At
War's End: Building Peace After Civil Conflict(Cambridge: Cambridge Univ.Press 04); Kimberly
Zisk Marten Enforcing the Peace: Learning From the Imperial Past(New York: Columbia Univ.
Press 04); John Mueller The Remnants of War(Ithaca: Cornell Univ.Press 04). All three
draw"attention to important lessons that deserve serious consideration from policymakers and
practitioners...Still, these authors make too much of similarities among cases they study and not
enough of differences. And by using them to extrapolate bold models for state reconstruction,
authors belie inherent complexities of task...Specifics of...conflicts - their scale as well as their
historical geopolitical/socioeconomic roots - should inform how peace brokered/maintained. Yet
none...pays enough attention to such fundamental considerations."Essay is worth reading - as
a survey of all the issues faced by the UN when easing post-crisis problems.
John B. Alexander, Future War: Non-Lethal Weapons in Twenty-First Century Warfare(New York:
St. Martin's Press 99):-excellent study of immense potential of non-lethal weapons, and impact
of global trends on aims of security. Assumed US/NATO must(via UN)be world police force.
Emerging threats for armed forces/police are: powerful criminal/terrorist organizations, together
with transnational/religiousbodies/groups seeing themselves as politically, economically or
socially deprived. Wide range of non-lethal weaponry includes acoustic, biological, chemical,
electromagnetic weapons, physical restraints, low-impact projectiles, information warfare.
Useful scenarios: peace support(UN)operations; technologicalsanctions; strategic paralysis;
hostages or barricades. Issues addressed: practical limitations, strategicimplications, moral
opposition, legal considerations, and constraints on "winning" .
Mark Almond, Europe's Backyard War: The War in the Balkans(London: Heinemann
94):-combination of background information on post-Yugoslav conflicts and military/political
conduct to publication date. Highly critical of diplomatic actions of virtually all involved,
including most Yugoslav groups, UN and European bodies. Gives prescient warning of ominous
precedent set by failure in Balkans.
Benedict Anderson, Imagined Communities: Reflections on the Origin and Spread of
Nationalism(Revised Edition) (London: Verso, 1994):-among the rich variety of good sources on
nationalism-ethnicity, this readable and often amusing text is particularly strong on the creation
of a "sense" of nationality in European colonies who form the largest UN voting blocs. It is in
many ways a study of social evolution and even of self-deception but the results are very real
- and so is the inherent instability of many artificial "nations" .
Scott Anderson "The Curse Of Blood and Vengeance" New York Times 26 Dec 99:-recounts
personal study of tradition of village violence in northern Albania. Most valuable, however, is
20-year Balkan veteran's main aim: to test his view of origin of recent terrible ethnic
blood-letting. Like most careful observers,denies "Balkans singularly riven by centuries-old
ethnic and religious hatreds." Longer-term history, traditional inter-habitation ethnic groups,
high levels of intermarriage in cosmopolitan cities, disprove this. Believes tendency to violence
reflects continuation of urban-rural "gulf of experience...awful chasm...Typical Balkan
village...has always been hard and pitiless place, where change and outside influence deeply
mistrusted[and society follows]medieval code of honor and loyalty" . Vividly describes Balkan
village codes/violent means of enforcement, filled with "murderous cycle(s) of vengeance" .
Ethnic cleansing ordered(Milosevic/Tudjman)and carried out notably by men from villages and
small towns.
Kofi A. Annan, "Two Concerns of Sovereignty: International Intervention in Humanitarian Crises"
The Economist18 Sep 99(49-50):-UNSG gives his views on basic issues. Inaction in Rwanda and
interventions in Kosovo(no authority) and East Timor(too little too late)all justify criticism. We
need consensus "not only... that massive and systematic violations of human rights must be
checked...but also on ways of deciding what action is necessary, and when, and by whom."
Critical points: "intervention" should not be understood as referring only to use of force; we
need redefinition of sovereignty and broader definition of national interests that "would induce
states to find greater unity in pursuit of common goals and values...today,collective interest is
national interest" ;if force is necessary, Council must uphold Charter; act "in defence of our
common humanity" ;ceasefires do not end commitments.
Kofi A. Annan "Courage To Fulfil Our Responsibilities" The Economist 04 Dec 04(23-5):-UNSG
offers global action-urging essay built on his immediate reaction to report of the High-Level
Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change. Following his urgent introduction is a brief summary
of Annan's alreadyconcentrated and rearranged version of the panel report's many
concerns/proposals. Its value is less to summarize the panel's views than to identify subjects
they and/or he discuss. "We face a world of extraordinary challenges - and of extraordinary
interconnectedness. We are all vulnerable to new security threats, and to old threats that are
evolving in complex and unpredictable ways. Either we allow this array of threats, and our
responses to them, to divide us, or we come together to take effective action to meet all of them
on basis of a shared commitment to collective security. I asked the 16 members of [panel]-
eminent people representing many nations and points of view - to analyse the threats to
peaceand security our world faces; to evaluate how well our existing policies and institutions
are meeting them; and to recommend changes to those policies and institutions, so as to ensure
an effective collective response to those threats. Their report...makes 101 far-sighted but
realistic recommendations. If acted on, they would address the security concerns of all states,
ensure that UN works better, strengtheninternational rule of law and make all people safer" .
First: threats. Event/process leading to deaths on large scale/lessening life chances or
undermines states, should be viewed as threat to innatl peace/security.Clusters:
economic/social, including poverty/disease; inter-state conflict/rivalry; internal violence: civil
war/state collapse/genocide; nuclear/radiological/chemical/ biological weapons; terrorism; innatl
crime.Threats interconnected to unprecedented degree; no state alone can defeat. Highly
enriched uranium at size of 6 milk cartons could level medium-sized city as nuclear device. Such
attack in US/Europe isstaggering cost for world economy. Security of developed states only as
strong as ability of poor statesto respond to/contain new deadly infectious disease. Incubation
period for most is longer than most air flights, so any one of 700m who travel airlines in year
could unwittingly carry lethal virus to unsuspecting state. Today, virus similar to 1918 influenza
could kill tens of millions in fraction of a year. In today's worldany threat to one is truly threat to
all; applies to all categories of threats. Since real limits on self-protection,all states need
collective-security system, committing all to act cooperatively against dangers. Given gravity/
interconnectedness of threats, world needs more active prevention. Prevention can be highly
effective(Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty);WHO helped halt SARS. Best prevention agents:
capable states, acting/cooperating with others. Best preventive strategy: is development
support. Millennium Development Goals to halve poverty/hunger by 2015 states' best security
investment. It will save lives/reduce violentconflict and radicalism/bolster state ability against
threats before real harm. HIV/AIDS shows danger ofinadequate prevention. Slow/ineffective
global response allowed 20m killed/20 years; spread continues andworst to come. Ultimate cost
will include shattered societies. Still not taking all needed steps to bring under control. Also
need public-health facilities built in poor world. Not only poorer states benefit disease treatment/
local prevention; whole world has better defence against bio-terrorism/large-scale natural
epidemics. UNSC should work with WHO to strengthen biological security via prompt, effective
responses.Equal: greater environmental collective action, including beyond Kyoto protocol to
better resources management in states at risk. Prevention also vital to protect against terrorism.
New is range/scale/intensity of threat(al-Qaeda can kill around world/has struck in 10+ UN
members). Could acquire instruments of massive destruction: unprecedented danger. UN must
better use assets in fight against terrorists: articulate a strategy respectful of laws/human rights.
Definition of terrorism offered: any action intended to kill/seriously harm civilians/
non-combatants, with purpose of intimidatingpopulation/compelling action by government/innatl
organization. States should use to build consensus andstrengthen UN response to deadly
scourge. Also urgent recommendations on non-proliferation/disarmament/curbing supply of
materials to reduce risk of nuclear/chemical/biological attacks by states/terrorist groups. States
encouraged to end development of domestic uranium enrichmentand urged to voluntary time-
limited moratorium on reprocessing plant construction. IAEA ability to monitorcompliance with
Non-Proliferation Treaty strengthened by standards in protocol for safeguards inspections.
Since Cold War, UN far more engaged in preventing/ending civil wars; ended more through
negotiation since 90 than in previous 200 years; developed expertise/learned hard lessons. As
demand for UN blue helmets grows, need to boost peacekeeper supply/avoid 90s worst failures.
Rich states should hastenefforts transforming existing forces for UN peace operations. UN must
invest in mediation/support peace agreement implementation. Demobilize combatants/
reintegrate into civil life; otherwise civil wars not successfully ended/other goals (democracy/
justice/ development)remain unmet. Often innatl community lost focus if crisis high point past/
peacekeepers left. Propose UNSC create Peacekeeping Commission; to givestrategic focus for
work in states under stress/emerging from conflict. If prevention/peaceful resolution fails, UN
must be able to rely on force. Whatever reason: all states/UNSC should bear in mind basic
guidelines/ questions: (1)Seriousness of threat: does it justify force?(2)Proper purpose: does
proposed force halt/avert threat?(3)Last resort: all non-military options explored/exhausted? (4)
Proportional means: force proposed minimum necessary?(5)Balance of consequences: clear
action not worse than inaction? No need to amend Art.51 of UN Charter: any state's right of
self-defence against armed attack/pre-emptive action against imminent threat. However if states
fear threats, neither imminent nor proximate, but which could culminate in horrific violence if left
to fester, UNSC already powered to act/must be prepared to take action earlier than past, when
asked/reliable evidence. Protection of civilians inside states long fraught with controversy. Yet
recognized more widely that question better framed, not as intervene-right but protection-
responsibility - borne first/foremost by states. Panel agreed principle of non-intervention in
internal affairs cannot protect committing genocide/large-scale ethnic cleansing/ other
comparable atrocities. I hope UN members agree/UNSC will act. UN(now nearly 60)born in very
different time/world, so has under-appreciated record of adapting to new dangers, e.g.
peacekeeping in world's civil wars/response to attack of Sep 01. Clearly needs far-reaching
reform to prevent/respond to all current threats. Some propose via-UN collective response too
difficult/ not necessary. But all anti-threat actions impact beyond immediate context/all states
benefit from shared global framework. Not mean UN needs to do everything. It must learn of
share burdens/welcome help from others/work with them. Already does so; report recommends
strengthened UN partnerships with regional organs/individual states. Great attention: UNSC
reform. Objectives: make UNSC more effective/authoritative. Permanent membership devised
(1945) to ensure active engagement of big powers to maintain peace/security. New permanent
members matter of controversy/debate. Two suggestions, both expanding membership to 24;
aim at: add those who contribute most to UN financially/militarily/diplomatically; ensure UNSC
represents UN as whole;not expand veto, which would render decisions more difficult.
Proposals offer chance breakthrough in year ahead. If acted on, UNSC more representative/
better equipped for decisive action. Need strengthened UN secretariat that can support
Peacebuilding Commission; implement UNSC/ committee decisions better on peacekeeping/
mediating civil wars. Report envisages more concerted-action secretariat, with UNSGmore
responsible for management/accountability. Equally important: ECOSOC overhaul to strengthen
role in social development/improving knowledge on economic-social dimensions of security
threats. Also, recommends Human Rights Commission better defender of rights of all. After 60
years, once again findworld mired in disillusionment and all too imperfect. Easy to stand at
sidelines and criticise/talk endlessly about UN reform, but world no longer has that luxury. Time
to adapt collective security system so it works efficiently/effectively/ equitably. Next year UN
states reviewing progress on Millennium Declaration; world leaders' summit in Sep. Appropriate
moment to act on some of most important recommendations in report.I will indicate which call
for decisions at that level. Fervently hope world leaders will rise to challenge. Have all lived
through period of deep division and sombre reflection. Must make 05 year of bold decision; all
share responsibility for each other's security. Let's summon courage to fulfil responsibility."
Complete text of "A More Secure World: Our Shared Responsibility" Report of the High-level
Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change, plus initial comments by requester/addressee, UNSG
Kofi Annan, can be read and even copied(99pp Acrobat Reader)from Secretary General's part
of UN file (www.un.org). Executive Summary(8pp Acrobat)also available at same address.
Capturing the 21st Century Security: Prospects for Collective Responses(Oct 04)collects reports
from six Stanley Foundation conferences in 04 that dealt with UNSG panel. Report at
http://reports.stanleyfoundation.org. Council on Foreign Relations "Q&A: Reforming the United
Nations" 01 Dec 04:-originally available either by NYT>CFR>International>[title] or via CFR
directly. This is expert interview with Lee Feinstein who" has spearheaded Council work on the
United Nations" and studied the important UN report and its UNGA prospects.
"Anonymous"Imperial Hubris: Why the West Is Losing the War on Terror(DullesVA: Brassey's
04):-author is a senior US intelligence official with nearly 20 years experience in national security
issues related to Afghanistan and South Asia. This strong critique of arrogant US/allies' policies
towards Osama bin Laden/al Qaeda, and military action against Afghanistan/Iraq, proved quickly
influential in many respects, and advocates less US loyalty to Israel/corrupt Muslim regimes or
presence in Mideast. Motivation of Muslim terrorists is identified not as hatred/fear of Western
national systems but of their broadly negative actions against Islamic peoples. All complex
chapter titles: (1)Some Thoughts on the Power of Focused, Principled Hatred. (2) An Unprepared
and Ignorant Lunge to Defeat - The US in Afghanistan. (3) Not Down, Not Out: Al Qaeda's
Resiliency, Expansion, and Momentum. (4) The World's View of bin Laden: A Muslim Leader and
Hero Coming into Focus? (5) Bin Laden Views the World: Some Old, Some New, and a Twist. (6)
Blinding Hubris Abounding: Inflicting Defeat on Ourselves - Non-War, Leaks, and Missionary
Democracy. (7) When the Enemy Sets the Stage: How US's Stubborn Obtuseness Aids Its Foes.
(8) The Way Ahead: A Few Suggestions for Debate. Epilogue: No Basis for Optimism.
Reza Aslan No god but God: The Origins, Evolution, and Future of Islam(New York: Random
House 05):-The widely-read author defines his aim in the Prologue: "This book is not just critical
reexamination of the origins and evolution of Islam, nor is it merely an account of the current
struggle among Muslims to define the future of this magnificent yet misunderstood faith. This
book is, above all else, an argument for reform"(xx). William Grimes, in his New York Times 04
May 05 review, quotes the book:"What is taking place now in the Muslim world is an internal
conflict between Muslims, not an external battle between Islam and the West"(248). Grimes
himself argues: "[Islam's] history, grippingly narrated and thoughtfully examined, takes up nearly
all of 'No god but God'. Aslan... has written a literate, accessible introduction to Islam.,. carefully
placing its message/rituals in historical context. Complete with glossary/annotated bibliography,
it could easily serve as a college textbook". The 310-page book includes 21st century arguments:
"[T]he attacks of 11 Sep 01 were not a defensive strike against a specific act of aggression
against Islam. They were never sanctioned by a qualified mujtahid. They made no differentiation
between combatant/noncombatant.,. indiscriminately killed women, children, and approximately
200 Muslims. In other words, they fell far short of the regulations imposed by Muhammad for a
legitimate jihadi response, which is why, despite common perception in the West, they were so
roundly condemned by the vast majority of the world's Muslims"(87). "Tragic events of 11 Sep...
initiated a vibrant discourse among Muslims about meaning/message of Islam in 21st century...
It may be too early to know who will write the next chapter of Islam's story, but it is not too early
to recognize who will ultimately win the war between reform/counterreform... But the cleansing
inevitable, and tide of reform cannot be stopped. Islamic Reformation is already here"(266).
Associated Press, "Number of Refugees Grows Worldwide" New York Times 13 Jun 00:-World
Refugee Survey 2000, issued by prestigious US Committee for Refugees, claims that at end of
20th Century there were35m people worldwide "uprooted and in need of protection." Conflict
contributed 7m to this in 99 alone, and despite UN success in ending some long-term disputes
following end of Cold War, this estimated total had risen from 29m in 90. Moreover, of these,
13.7m are found in Africa(4.4m in Sudan alone).Another trend has been continually growing
number of refugees that for various reasons remain in their own countries:Internally Displaced
Persons. Identified IDPs now number at least 4m, and clearly demand higher priority from
UN-UNHCR since they are not afforded same legal protections and care as" international"
refugeesunder Geneva Conventions. On other hand, there is hope that some sources of refugees
and IDPs may bein sight of permanent solution. Elizabeth Rosenthal, "Famine in North Korea
Creates Steady Human Flow into China" NYT 10 Jun:-report on motives and stratagems of North
Korean refugees within/outside their country. Any moves towards Korean reconciliation could
have major and rapid effect on this crisis. For evenlonger-term look at issue of unwilling
migration, AP reports "Conference Addresses Migration" NYT 10 Jun:-experts Paris meeting
organized by Universal Academy of Cultures concluded "globalization demands greater moral
responsibility and intervening in sovereign nations is plausible response to misery that drives
populations beyond their borders." Those seeking political asylum increased from 250,000 in 87
to 900,000 in 92, but then declined to 388,000 in 98,perhaps reflecting growing influence of such
perceptionin UN. Meanwhile, if Europe's population falls 100m by 50, migration waves may
become beneficial.
Associated Press "U.S. Troops in Asia Undergo Transformation"New York Times 16 Nov
05:-"North Korea's military power hasn't suddenly changed. It claims to have nukes and its
million-man army is ready to roll. China, meanwhile, is engaging as the new Asian military leader,
and terrorism is flaring upall over the region. But at US' s major Asian outposts, some serious
downsizing under way... US position isn't weakening, say officials and analysts; cutbacks will
be counterbalanced by improved equipment, organization and cooperation... In its biggest
reorganization in two decades, US will shed 12,500 of its32,500-strong force in Korea over next
3 years, reduce its number of bases by about 75% and hand overmajor elements of troops'
mission to their Korean counterparts, who will 'play larger and larger role', US Defense Secretary
said on recent Asia tour. Similar restructuring afoot in Japan, where nearly 50,000US troops are
stationed. US and Japan just agreed to most sweeping changes in deployments there..., plan
that... includes withdrawal of about 7,000 of 18,000 Marines on crowded island of Okinawa...
Ananalyst...says aim is to streamline, but not undermine, the alliance... Changes in Korea in line
with shifts now taking place within entire Army, moving toward combat teams 'smaller but fully
capable and fully lethal packages that can be deployed faster', said [chief of force development
and plans for 8th US Army in Korea]... By end of 2005, 8th Army will have shed 8,000 troops.
Another 3,500 will leave by 2008, along with 1,000 Air Force... Facing increased demands on its
own troops in Iraq/elsewhere, Washington pushing Seoul and Tokyo to assume bigger role in
regional security and in their own defense - and both appear willing... Under new accord... Japan
will defend itself, deal with such threats as ballistic missilesand commando attacks and invasion
of its own islands. US will deploy latest missile defense radar".
Associated Press"EU Agency: Gypsies Suffer Discrimination"New York Times 07 Apr
06:-"Gypsies[henceforth Roma] remain among Europe's most discriminated-against people,
European Union's racism watchdog agency said [07 Apr]... Roma routinely denied jobs/
housing/education/health care, saidVienna-based EU Monitoring Center on Racism and
Xenophobia. Center's director... said Roma living in many of EU's 25 member states suffer
'systematic discrimination', and called for more intensive effort/greater political will to eliminate
the bias and help lift Roma communities out of poverty. Estimated 6.2m Roma live in Europe -
4.6m in central/eastern Europe - according to estimates by UN-affiliatedInternational
Organization for Migration. Last year... EU monitoring center said unemployment ran as high as
90% among Roma in some new EU members such as Czech Republic, Hungary and Slovakia,
and that worst discrimination happened when Roma tried to rent/buy property. ['T]erritorial
segregationis particularly acute', report said. Roma also tended to receive substandard medical
care... A globalconference of Prague-based International Romani Union - coalition of
organizations working to easethe plight of Roma - designated 08 Apr as International Day of
Roma in 1990"
Associated Press"AIDS Conference Ends With Appeals"New York Times 26 Apr 06:-
"International AIDS conference [in Cape Town, of 1,000 scientists/researchers,] ended [26 Apr]
with impassioned appeals to political/pharmaceutical industry leaders to fund development of
a virus-killing [vaginal] gel to protect women from the disease and so save millions of lives. Peter
Piot, head of UNAIDS,.. said safe/effective microbicides could be ready in 5-7 years, with only
minimal additional funding, and thus turn the dream of saving millions of lives into reality... In
the hard hit African countries, women account for nearly 60% of infections. Most are infected
through heterosexual intercourse... UNAIDS/WHO have long promotedmicrobicides as a
potentially valuable weapon in fight against the epidemic, not least because it allows women to
protect themselves without having to rely on partners who refuse to wear a condom or befaithful.
Yet despite this, research has proceeded slowly. [Piot] said investment in microbicide
development should be doubled - and even then would still only reach about US$150m per
year...Microbicides can take the form of a gel, cream, sponge or ring that releases an ingredient
that can kill or deactivate HIV during intercourse. There are currently five different products
being tested[, mainly in Africa on thousand of women]. Dozens of agents that could interrupt HIV
transmission have so far beenidentified. There are also hopes that the microbicides could be
used to prevent other sexually transmitteddiseases and unwanted pregnancies. One of the
products, cellulose sulphate, has the potential to bea contraceptive and shield against HIV...
Another microbicide, Carragard, coats vaginal cells and preventsthe virus from entering...Much
of funding for research comes from Gates Foundation and US government... Trying to dismiss
fears that microbicides would mainly be used in developing countries and therefore offer only
low profit margins, [WHO] cited their potential for use in contraception in wealthy countries".
Associated Press "North Korea Knows How to Get Attention" New York Times 08 Jul 06:- "North
Korea is well practiced in getting some of what it wants through provocation. Bullying through
a bullhorn has worked time and again for a small nation with an outsized military force and an
even bigger capacity forbluster and threat. It's called coercive diplomacy. North Korean-style,
it has involved antagonizing everyone on and over the horizon, foes and allies alike, and then
pulling back. Sometimes just in the nick of time... That's the case now... 'When diplomacy is
stalled, North escalates tension to break thedeadlock', Wonhyuk Lim, Brookings Institution
fellow,.. says in analysis... Risk is that North's attention-grabbing actions may bring bombs in
reprisal instead of diplomacy, as almost happened in Clinton [era].In 2003, North pulled out of
a nuclear arms treaty, vowing to bring 'defeat and ruin'on US, warning of WWIII and declaring,
'Let us see who will win and who will be defeated in the fire-to-fire standoff'. This was followed
by the first substantive talks between the two nations since President Bush came to office.As
a propaganda gambit, the missile tests [04 Jul 06] were hardly a smashing success... North's
starlong-range missile is said to have failed like a bum firecracker on its mission of defiance and
military advancement. Half-dozen tests of shorter range missiles were conducted to uncertain
effect, but no failures as far as known. Results, in short, spoke to North's apparent ability to
wreak havoc in its region and its inability any time soon to reach US mainland with missile. For
US, 'main risk seems to be that North is beginning early testing of a missile that could throw
equivalent of a rock at Alaska', said AnthonyCordesman of Center for Strategic and International
Studies. Yet North has massive combat forces on border with South; long-range artillery capable
of reaching Japan and destroying up to 40% of Southeconomy; and huge stocks of chemical
weapons as well as its rising nuclear weapons capability. [North]fields world's fifth largest army,
behind China, US, Russia and India. It is considered no match in any protracted fight with South
Korea's lethal modern forces, US' s unmatched power or a devastating combination of both. Still
any conflict could bring horrific consequences to both sides and risk pittingChina against US
[like 1950-53 Korean War?].Cordesman protests tendency to regard Kim Jong Il as areckless
poseur without a purpose. 'North... has reminded everyone of just how serious a threat Northcan
be, how limited most military options are, and how serious the risks of any major war would
be',Cordesman said. North's declaration in 1993 that it would pull out of NPT brought peninsula
close to war and isolated the country through international censure, in the process leading to
breakthroughnegotiations with Washington that produced agreement to freeze North's nuclear
activities in exchange for US energy assistance. North's first test of a multistage rocket in 1998,
also a flop, spurred bilateraltalks. Current framework of six-nation negotiations set up after
North resumed its plutonium program in 2002 and expelled international inspectors [IAEA]. That
pattern of edging toward confrontation, then edging back, has persisted, always accompanied
by tough words. More are being heard now" .
Associated Press "Annan Paints Grim Picture to Assembly"New York Times 19 Sep
06:-"Addressing world leaders for last time as UNSG, Kofi Annan painted a grim picture of an
unjust world economy, global disorder, widespread contempt for human rights, and appealed
for nations/peoples to truly unite. As theannual UN General Assembly [UNGA] ministerial
meeting got under way, 192 UN member states facedambitious agenda including trying to
promote Mideast peace, curb Iran's nuclear ambitions, get UN peacekeepers into
conflict-wracked Darfur, promote democracy... Annan, whose second five-year term ends 31 Dec
06, said the past decade has seen progress in development, security, rule of law - the threegreat
challenges he said humanity faced in first address to UNGA in 97. But UNSG said too many still
exposed to brutal conflict, and fear of terrorism has increased clash of civilizations/religions.
Terrorismbeing used as pretext to limit or abolish human rights, and globalization risks driving
richer and poorer apart, he said. 'Events of last 10 years have not resolved, but sharpened, three
great challenges - unjust world economy, world disorder, and widespread contempt for human
rights and rule of law', Annan said.'As result, we face world whose divisions threaten very notion
of an international community, upon which this institution stands. I remain convinced that only
answer to this divided world must be a truly United Nations' , he said. In annual report, UNSG
touched on some of most difficult issues confronting leaders... [Arab-Israeli conflict; Iraq;
Afghanistan; Sudan/Darfur]. 'Together we have pushed some big rocks to top of the mountain,
even if others have slipped from our grasp and rolled back. But this mountain... is best place on
earth to be',UNSG said.'I yield my place to others with an obstinate feeling of hope for our
common future', Annan said. [UNGA] loud applause/rose in sustained standing ovation".
Associated Press "China to Continue Modernizing Military" New York Times 29 Dec 06:- "China
said it will strengthen its military to thwart any attempt by Taiwan to push for independence, but
vowed that it wascommitted to the peaceful development of the world's largest army. A report
issued by the State Council,China's Cabinet, also said the country's defense policy will focus
on protecting its borders and sea space, cracking down on terrorism and modernizing its
weapons. 'China will not engage in any arms race or pose a military threat to any other country',
the 91-page white paper said. 'China is determined to remain a staunch force for global peace,
security and stability'. The communist nation's 2.3m-strong military is the world's largest but has
been criticized for its lack of transparency about its buildup. Its reported 2006 budget is $35b,
but analysts believe the true figure, which doesn't include weapons purchases and other key
items, is several times higher... One of Beijing's key short-term goals has been to take a firm
stand against any independence efforts by Taiwan... It has hundreds of missiles pointed in its
direction across the Taiwan Straits. China has also spent heavily to beef up its arsenal
withsubmarines, jet fighters and other high-tech weapons. 'The struggle to oppose and contain
theseparatist forces for Taiwan independence and their activities remains a hard one', the report
said. Itindirectly criticized US for promising Beijing that it will adhere to the 'one-China'policy,
'but it continues to sell advanced weapons to Taiwan, and has strengthened military ties with
Taiwan'. Washingtonswitched diplomatic recognition from Taipei to Beijing in 1979 but remains
Taiwan's major foreign backer, and is committed by law to providing it weapons to defend itself
against possible Chinese attack. [Report] highlighted what it said was 'growing complexities in
Asia-Pacific security environment'.[It] said China 'remains firmly committed to the policy of no
first-use of nuclear weapons at any time and under any circumstances' . All this taking place with
backdrop of North Korea's first nuclear test,uncertainty surrounding Iran's nuclear ambitions
and continued turbulence in Mideast, it said".
Séverine Autesserre"The Trouble With Congo: How Local Disputes Fuel Regional Conflict"(94-110)Foreign Affairs Vol.87/No.3(May/Jun 08):-official summary:"Although the war in Congo
officially ended in 2003, 2m people have died since. One of the reasons is that the international
community's peacekeeping efforts there have not focused on the local grievances in eastern
Congo, especially those over land, that are fueling much of the broader tensions. Until they do,
the nation's security and that of wider Great Lakes region will remain uncertain". Emphasized
extracts:"Congo is now the stage for the largest humanitarian disaster in the world - far larger
than the crisis in Sudan. [I]nternational actors must tackle situation in Congo from the ground
up". Autesserre is Assistant Professor of Political Science at Barnard College, Columbia Univ.
Deborah Avant "THINK AGAIN: Mercenaries" Foreign Policy No.143(Jul/Aug 04):-a correction of
ten public (mis)concepts about the current activities and value of(mainly US-employed)PRIVATE
SECURITY FIRMS vs (traditional)MERCENARIES.(See also Sarah V. Percy op.cit.) Avant first
offers widely-believed view about such firms ( "Quoted/Under-lined Phrases" ); then states a
FIRM ONE/TWO-WORD REACTION; then saysat length her views of the actual truth. "Private
Security Companies Are Mercenaries" -NO. "'Mercenary'describes wide variety of military
activities, many of which bear little resemblance to those of today's...corporate endeavours that
perform logistics support, training, security, intelligence work, risk analysis, and much more"
. "The Bush Administration Has Dramatically Expanded Use of Military Contractors" -WRONG.
"US ramped up military outsourcing during 1990s, after end of Cold War brought reductions in
force size and numerous ethnic and regional conflicts emerged requiring intervention" .
"Contractors Don't Engage in Combat or Other Essential Military Tasks" -FALSE. " Although...
Rumsfeld said Pentagon would outsource all but core military tasks, these tasks are changing,
and military contractors perform many of them. Contractors have technical expertise to support
increasingly complex weapons systems[andintelligence services for war on terrorism]" .
"Military Contractors Are Cheaper than Regular Soldiers" -PROVE IT. "Two conditions must be
present for private sector to deliver services more efficiently than government: competitive
market and contractor flexibility in fulfilling their obligations.[G]overnmentsfrequently curtail
competition to preserve reliability and continuity[and]impose conditions that reduce contractors'
flexibility" . "Contractors Are Accountable to No One" -AN EXAGGERATION. "Manygovernments
regulate security contractors to greater or lesser degrees... Contractors are accountable to range
of employers and respond most effectively to market incentives...Use of contractors to
avoidgovernmental accountability is more worrisome. "Contractors Value Profits More than
Peace" -NOT ALWAYS." Although many critics argue that military contractors have economic
interest in prolonging conflict rather than reducing it, employees of private military companies
rarely have been accused of aggravating conflict intentionally to keep profits flowing" .
"Contractors Operate Outside the Law" -FREQUENTLY "Legal status of contractors varies
considerably. Sometimes they are subject to laws of territory in which they operate and other
times to those of their home territory, but too often distinction isunclear...Status of contractors
is even more contentious under international law. Most...activity falls outside purview of 1989
UN Convention on Mercenaries" . "Only Governments Hire Private Security Companies"
-WRONG. "Security contractors work for governments, transnational corporations, and
nongovernmental organizations(NGOs). Oil, diamond, and other extractive industries hire
contractors toguard their facilities, and UN and NGOs employ convoy guards. In Iraq, nearly
every foreign entity...requiresprivate security" . "The United Nations Should Outsource
Peacekeeping to Private Contractors" -NO. "Those who advocate that UN hire private
contractors are not looking to replace UN peacekeeping forces. Rather, they hope to make them
more flexible and easier to use...Outsourced peacekeeping is...unlikely.UNSC and UNGA have
been reluctant to consider it because of weak governments' concern that private security forces
could be used against them" . "Private Military Contractors Undermine State Power" -NOT
ALWAYS. "Contractors undermine states' collective monopoly on violence. Fact that US, Britain,
Australia and UN hire private security makes it hard for nations that oppose military contracting
to restrict security firms based in their country" . For another excellent (different) description of
current use of mercenaries, see The Economist 04 Nov 06"Mercenaries: Blood and
Treasure"(70-1):-Highlight is:"In recent decades,mercenaries... pushed to the wilder edges of
global conflict: the 'dogs of war'who fight nasty little campaigns in Africa. But for a new kind of
soldier of fortune, the fighting in Iraq has proved to be a pot of gold". Item's own summary:"After
the windfall of Iraq, where is the next fortune to be found?".
Benjamin R. Barber, Jihad vs. McWorld: How the Planet is Both Falling Apart and Coming
Together and What This Means for Democracy(New York: Times Books 95):-unusual and
debatable perception of some broad global trends that has generated new interest - though not
necessarily credibility for its conclusion - since its publication. Argues world experiencing basic
conflict between homogenizing power of post-industrial capitalism/ "fundamentalist"
ethnic-religious reaction. Believes both forces undermine state(presumably in terms of
traditional sovereignty)and hence democracy.[Why and how is democracy so dependent upon
sanctity of Westphalian nation-state?]Sources of new interest derive, of course, from growth of
anti-globalization movement, however disunited it may be in both fears and formulas, and "Clash
of Civilizations" thesis put forward by Samuel P. Huntington(op.cit.)and apparently illustrated
-all too violently- by Osama bin Laden.
Scott Barrett Why Cooperate? The Incentive to Supply Global Public Goods (New York: Oxford
Univ Press 07):-surprisingly well written -considering the complexity of issues- in: (1) describing
the existing global challenges (e.g. climate change, nuclear proliferation, worldwide pandemics)
and those that threaten the entire planet (e.g. terrorism, physical/chemical/biological instabilities,
asteroids); and (2) reporting on how such problems have been successfully or badly handled
in the past, the rationales involved, and the various cooperations that would/might work best in
future. Barrett's "threat" approach differs from my item "EARTH MUST COOPERATE...", mainly
in stressing "Global Public Goods" actions of the recent past (e.g.often successful United
Nations; wonderful "Montreal Protocol" ozone treaty), whereas my gloomy and concentrated
"page" is designed almost solely to identify: (1) the exploding scale/variety of global threats; (2)
the human tendencies that have created/will create them; and (3) why we must change a number
of very old human views/feelings. Both press broader global diplomacy as essential tool. Most
chapters focus on distinct types of issue/solution. [Even a study of brief bit(s) of 275p would be
valuable.] Titles: Incentives to Supply Global Public Goods [GPG]; (1) Single Best Efforts: GPG
that Can Be Supplied Unilaterally or Minilaterally; (2) Weakest Links: GPG that Depend on States
that Contribute the Least; (3) Aggregate Efforts: GPG that Depend on Combined Efforts of All
States; (4) Financing and Burden Sharing: Paying for GPG; (5) Mutual Restraint: Agreeing What
States Ought Not to Do; (6) Coordination and Global Standards: Agreeing What States Ought to
Do; (7) Development: Do GPG Help Poor States?; Conclusion: Institutions for Supply of GPG.
Warren Bass"The Triage of Dayton"Foreign Affairs Vol.77/No.5(Sep/Oct 98):-highly critical
account of US/UN actions and inactions relating to 95 Dayton Accords on Bosnia.(Full account
of negotiations: Holbrooke op.cit.)Seems to take it as given that" Serbs"and they alone
committed both aggression and ethnic cleansing, and hence required punishment, not
mediation. Argued that early "lift and strike" policy by US against Serbs(regardless of UN ground
forces' vulnerability as decided by UNSC)could have let US(sic) "stay true to its avowed ideals
of multiethnic tolerance, liberal democracy and reversing aggression."
Jean-Francois Bayart, Stephen Ellis and Beatrice Hibou The Criminalization of the State in
Africa(Oxford: James Currey 99):-inevitably researched unscientifically, seeks to explain multiple
political-economic crises of Africa(i.e.south of Sahara)as whole. "African specialists" after
lamenting demography/stagnation-acerbated poverty/hyper-urbanization, highlight certain
developments: facade of democratictransition/structural adjustment/other reforms; armed
conflicts' continuation or spread; above all, elites' massive involvement in corrupt/criminal
activities(drugs/other smuggling; political-financial/other fraud; coercion/violence).While driven
by change, these African reactions show historical influence of approvingaccumulation of power
and wealth through devious personal initiative. Thus nationalism, government and law are
simply used; their criminalization culturally-rooted.
Barbara Beck "The Economics of Ageing: The Luxury of Longer Life" The Economist 27 Jan
96(Survey 1-16):-longer average lifespans worldwide are raising global, and not simply national,
problems in fields like economics and finance, travel and migration, medicine and health care,
social and cultural change, and even moral standards.
Brian Beedham "The New Geopolitics: The Road to 2050" The Economist 31 Jul 99(1-16):-mainly
Kosovo-inspired proposal: democracies(i.e. NATO)actively try to make(run?)better, more
peaceful world through joint foreign policy "core of[which]would attempt to spread...democracy.
Includes trying to help peoplesquashed under another people's heel...to govern itself." To this
end "should be able to construct jointmilitary force that can be swiftly sent to distant parts."
Other "great powers" may soon beChina/Japan/Russia/India. If China seems threat, any/all
democratic three might want to join "Alliance for Democracy." Survey rules out "clash of
civilizations" and credible alternatives to state sovereignty oreventual democracy.[My reaction:
Who looks after increasing variety/number/ seriousness of other -oftenvery closely related-
problems in same world? UN mentioned only in sarcastic sentence about few wanting
international body to have standing army of its own; yet that's exactly what's being proposed!
More important, might not 5b others in world have some democratic(sic)views/objections
regarding self-selected/-deployed global police force? Also, if major aim of force liberation of
minorities, likelythousands of such groups will demand both independence/help? Won't
sovereignty continue devolving simply for global survival?]
J.Bowyer Bell The Dynamics of the Armed Struggle(London: Frank Cass 98):-on
mind-set/internal mechanisms of underground groups similar to Bell's speciality, IRA; broader
relevance is limited. "Struggle" apparently denotes any violent acts by any rebels against
authority, from terrorism to full-scale warfare. Mentioned are those who bomb civilians in
crowds/aircraft/buses/large buildings, through guerrilla groups that massacre/coerce entire
populations, to regular(winning)armies(e.g. those of Washington/Bolivar/ Lenin/Giap/Khmer
Rouge/Eritrea)if initially irregular. Terrorism is not key tactic of choice but only unavoidable. With
these limitations, eloquently described: Struggle's Nature, Arena, Analysis/Reality, Faith's
Galaxy(support), Recruitment, Individuals, Organization, Command/ Control, Maintenance,
Communications, Deployment, Intelligence, Campaigns, "Enemy" , End-games, Dream's
Dynamic.
Christopher de Bellaigue "THINK AGAIN: IRAN" Foreign Policy No.148 (May/Jun 05) (18-24):-like
other FPissues, correction of nine public concepts; here: about Iranian nuclear weapons
production/use or its positive response to stiff US pressure. Author first outlines widely-held
views( "Under-lined Statements" ); states FIRM REACTIONS; and then provides his view of
actual truth. He first provides summary: "Tehran's desire for nuclear bomb has put it in
Washington's cross hairs. But neither President George W.Bush'srepeated condemnations of
Iran's clerical rulers, nor the threat of military force will advance cause ofdemocracy there. When
Iran reforms, it will happen because its youth - not the United States - demands it." "If Iran Gets
a Nuclear Bomb, Iran Will Use It"-VERY UNLIKELY. "Iran almost certainly does not intendto
brandish a nuclear bomb in an attempt to intimidate...Israel/US... Further, clerics have blessed
a partial detente with their Arab neighbours and...EU.[Yet] there is plausible circumstantial
evidence ...to suggestthat Iran's nuclear program is not civilian. [N]uclear ambiguity is
calculated, a reaction to the vulnerability it feels. Iran probably intends to gather all the elements
necessary for bomb making, so that it can gonuclear the moment that it feels an attack is
imminent." "Iran Has No Use for Nuclear Power"-False."Energy needs are rising faster than
[Iran's oil/gas] ability to meet them... Its capacity must nearly triple over 15 years to meet
projected demand[,and the electricity cannot all come] from the oil sector. [Output] has
stagnated at around 3.7mbd since late 1990s. Almost 40% of Iran's crude oil is consumed locally
[and the natural] gas reserves are only just being tapped. It makes sense for Iran to free up its
hydrocarbons for export [and] Iran contends that US may pressure foreign sellers into stopping
the flow. [Hence] Iran'sdesire for a complete fuel cycle is most suspicious aspect of nuclear
program"."The Iranian People Support Their Leaders' Nuclear Program"-NOT REALLY. "Iranians
who vocally support...nuclearambitions...minority[;] never witnessed spontaneous discussion
of nuclear program among average Iranians...Unlikely many Iranians willing to put up with
economic/diplomatic isolation...if Iran insisted on enriching uranium"."Only the Threat of Force
Can Dissuade Iran from Advancing with Its Nuclear Plans"-DOUBTFUL."Threat...could
also...encourage Iran to leave NPT and develop a nuclear weapon ASAP...[N]ever abandons goal
of achieving a nuclear fuel cycle... Iran is more flexible than it appears...[It might] revise its
nuclear plans if US abandoned its [hard policies] ...Ultimately it might refuse to publicly
relinquish nuclear goals, preferring instead to extend current negotiations indefinitely"."U.S.
Military Action Would Embolden Dissidents to Topple the Islamic Republic"-WRONG.
"Workers...keeping their heads down andmouths shut... Iranians don't want Iraq's wretched
conditions... Iranians opposed to Islamic Republic lack a unifying ideology... Possible some
Iranians would cheer a US invasion, but not for long". "Criticizing the Islamic Republic Helps
Dissidents Inside Iran"-NO. "Bush's repeated statements of support for Iranian people do not
help normal Iranians... Publicly defending beleaguered reformists simply allowed clerics to
accuse reformers of being US lackeys...US criticism has perverse effect because US has no
diplomatic or economic relations with Iran, and hence no leverage. EU and others [have] some
modest leverage with Iran's clerical rulers". "If Iraq Becomes a Democracy, so Will
Iran"-WISHFUL THINKING. "Border is about all they share...Few Iranians...question Iran's
integrity within its current borders. Same is not true in Iraq...Iran set up a semi-democratic,
anti-Western, Shia theocracy... Clerics today enjoy considerable prestige"."Iran Cannot Be
Reformed from Within"-WRONG AGAIN. "Iran can and will be reformed from
within.Demographics make that course inevitable. Some 70% of Iran's 70m citizens under age
of 30, and young Iranians are more reform-minded than older groups... Young people resent
existing political restrictions more than their elders, and are less religiously observant... Spread
of material values and sexual freedom is palpable, as is desire for smaller families...Young
people display little animus for once-hated US...[Yet]reform-minded millions lack common
ideology/leadership... New generation will... spur further reform. Process would benefit from
critical dialogue with US, rather than current, glowering standoff".
Phyllis Bennis and Michel Moushabeck edit., Altered States: A Reader in the New World
Order(New York: Olive Branch Press 93):-uneven but generally left-inclined, strongly anti-US
collection of 48 essays, divided into nine groupings: After the Gulf War[global, mostly security,
issues];North-South Economic Divide;Transformation of Nationalism: From Anti-Colonialism to
Ethnic Cleansing; Soviet Union and Russia;Middle East; Africa; Asia; Latin America; Europe.
More useful as source of views at that interesting time,than facts.
Samuel R. Berger "Foreign Policy for a Democratic President" Foreign Affairs
Vol.83/No.3(May/Jun 04):-aimed at those concerned about weaknesses in US foreign policy of
Bush regime, andneeds/opportunities in modified policies of any Nov 04-elected Democratic(or
amended)regime. Most issues discussed of global relevance, and many stress US relations with
foreign entities, particularlyNATO/UN/international law. This mentions those of global
importance discussed in some detail. US administration's "high-handed style and its gratuitous
unilateralism" about its military, economic and cultural aims, embittered even those abroad
most likely to embrace US values. New US regime "no moreurgent task than to restore...global
moral and political authority, so when we decide to act we canpersuade others to join us.
Achieving reversal will require forging new strategic bargain with closest allies...Democratic
approach to resolving disputes with Europe over treaties should be pragmatic, focused on
improving flawed agreements rather than ripping them up" .US policy towards Israel-Palestine
conflictmust return with energy/urgency. Regarding Afghanistan/Pakistan and Iraq," Bush
administration'sunilateralist approach has let allies off hook: given them excuse to shirk these
and other global responsibilities. Democratic administration would not be so dismissive of allies
on issues that matter to them" since exercises truly international rather than exclusively US.
Similar approaches are relevant to spread of weapons of mass destruction(WMD)." Democratic
administration should use every tool at disposal to prevent WMD threats from arising before
force becomes only option" . Listed issues include Nunn-Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction
Program with Russia, and "global effort to secure nuclear materials at all such sites" .Others
sites described are North Korea and Iran. Non-Proliferation Treaty(NPT)might add "new bargain"
helping non-nuclear countries develop nuclear energy. Many more issues are brief.
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