|
|
| by Christopher
Spencer |
Former Senior
Advisor International Organizations, Canadian Department of
Foreign Affairs and International Trade |
| Updated: 20 FEB
10 | |
F.H.Abed"Micro-Credit, Poverty and Development: the Case of Bangladesh"Behind the Headlines Vol.57/ No.2-3 (Winter/Spring
00):-micro-credit -small loans made to poor households/individuals to finance small-scale entrepreneurial activities- has
expanded rapidly(world target is now $20b), and encouraged hope for major cost-effective global poverty-reduction. "NGOs
in Asia, Africa, and Latin America are largest providers of micro-credit to those sections of society - rural landless,
disadvantaged women, marginal farmers, and wage labourers - who depend largely on selling their labour for a living" (12).
These target groups reflect the fact that it is often the only way very poor can break cycle of povertyresulting from a lack of
collateral and exorbitant local interest charges. It produced high success ratesnot only in poverty-reduction(and repayment:
98%) but in social reform, economic development, education/training, and growth of assets for both borrowers/lenders, which
is reinvested. Abed, director ofBangladesh Rural Advancement Committee, among world's largest NGO's, offers much
globally-relevant information:big issues/ questions; scale/approach/result; specialties(income-useful education, social
development).
Francis Kofi Abiew & Tom Keating "Outside Agents and the Politics of Peacebuilding and Reconciliation" International Journal
Vol.LV/No.1(Winter 99-00):-discusses new policy towards, often mixed experience with peacebuilding. Recent global
trends:(1)major increase in intra-state violence;(2)multilateral emphasis on individual human rights/security, and hence
humanitarian interventions. "In this context...peacebuildingemerged as central part of what rest of world to offer to divided
societies" i.e. not just hostilities end but all necessary for sustainable peace. Yet past problems/ limitations demand careful
look at practicality/ suitability/ethics of outside intervention in support of peace building in divided societies. Analyse
variousmotivations behind such intervention; then objectives: not just peace but also market democracy/ "politics of
reconciliation." Unhappy(Canadian)experience in Haiti dissected to draw lessons.
Morton Abramowitz & Thomas Pickering "Making Intervention Work: Improving the UN's Ability to Act"(100-108) Foreign Affairs
Vol.87/No.5(Sep/Oct 08):-official summary:"In the face of grave humanitarian crises in countries such as Myanmar and Sudan,
the international community has failed to back up its rhetoric with deeds. To adequately address such situations, the United
Nations must streamline its decision-making, strengthen its peacekeeping capabilities, and create a crisis-response force".
Emphasized extracts:"International clamor must produce results, not simply more clamor". "The UN needs a limited force to
respond to humanitarian disasters and prevent conflicts from spiraling out of control". Abramowitz is a Senior Fellow at the
Century Foundation and former US Ambassador to Thailand and Turkey. Pickering is Vice Chair of Hills & Company and has
served as US Ambassador to six countries and the UN.
Morton Abramowitz & Henri J.Barkey"Turkey's Transformers: The [Justice and Development Party] AKP Sees Big"(118-128)
Foreign Affairs Vol.88/No.6 (Nov/Dec 09):-official summary:"US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has said that Turkey is one
of seven rising powers with which US will actively collaborate to resolve global problems. But Turkey has not yet become even
the regional player that the ruling AKP declares it to be. Can the AKP do better, or will it be held back by its Islamist past and
the conservative inclinations of its core constituents?" Emphasized extracts:"The AKP will live or die by its policies toward
the Kurds". "Turkey's new activist diplomacy in the Middle East and beyond may be weakening its ties with US and EU".
Abramowitz, a Senior Fellow at Century Foundation, was US Ambassador to Turkey in 1989-91. Barkey is a non-resident Senior
Associate at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and Professor of International Relations at Lehigh University.
Paul R.Abramson & Ronald Inglehart Value Change in Global Perspective (Ann Arbor: Univ. of Michigan Press 95):-makes
statistical survey of most major countries, rich and poor, to demonstrate that there is a generational trend for public opinion
to change from primary concern with Materialism(economic development, security, etc.) to Postmaterialism (democracy,
human rights). For another viable option available, so many can reflect the change in their global values, see: Kimon
Valaskakis et al., The Conserver Society: A Workable Alternative for the Future (Toronto: Fitzhenry & Whiteside 79).
Diane Ackerman et al., The New Age of Discovery: A Celebration of Mankind's Exploration of the Unknown (Toronto: Time
Canada 97):-although"popular"in format, purpose/content are serious: 17 thoughtful essays contributed by leading scientists
and academics. Aim is to survey where scientific discovery now stands, and where it is taking us. Many topics are or will be
global and/or UN issues: health/ageing; defence against asteroids; DNA/climatic discoveries and implications; "Third World"
-relevant technology; genderdifferences; care of global commons and indigenous peoples; extraterrestrial life; new energy
forms; ethical computing; "homogenization" of world; special global challenges. Relatively easy place to start looking at trends
and prospects- particularly if your background not in science. Survey is just example ofvaluable collections of what are in fact
21st-Century global issues, put together by good general periodicals(dailies, weeklies, monthlies),often to mark occasions
like anniversaries or new years/decades. Those fitting our purposes here would be forward-looking, deal with subjects global
in scope or importance, be written by top impartial authorities, and preferably offer reading lists.
AFRICA: CURRENT PROBLEMS, SOURCES, AND SUGGESTED CURES: MEDIA SELECTION
John Grimond "Africa's Great Black Hope: Survey of South Africa" (1-16); "Africa's Elusive Dawn" (Edit 17-8); "Aid to Africa"
(59); "South African Governance: The End of Minority Rule" (Bus.66)The Economist 24 Feb 01:-these four pieces complement
each other. Even if two concentrate on South Africa, its leading economic/political roles make it continent's bell-wether - in
success or failure. Editorial bitter: "Africa's parlous condition dreadful condemnation of mankind's collective efforts to end
poverty and promote freedom...[While]Millennium African Renaissance Programme[made South Africa's president Mbeki call
firstfor]'critical examination of Africa's post-independence experience, and acceptance that things have to be done differently'"
,editor chastises rich world for its tariffs, quotas, farm subsidies, unfavourable terms of trade, weapons sales, debt
inducement, tied/declining ODA - and for supporting corrupt Africanregimes/prohibitive drug prices. Africa deserves both more
support/better leaders. ODA article stressesincreased British interest in helping poorest countries, i.e. mostly African which
received about 1b poundsin bilateral/multilateral aid in 99-00. UK will concentrate on getting new technology/skills to students
and would-be teachers, on debt relief, on police training and on peacekeeping. Business item notes although,when South
Africa's present rulers still rebels threatened to nationalize big business; in power they have brought better corporate
governance through greater efficiency and transparency. "Break-up of old conglomerates coincided with attempts to create
new class of black businessmen" .Survey's analyses, whileconcentrating on South African economic, social and political
situation, have much relevance for whole of Sub-Saharan Africa - and whole Third World. Two over-riding realities
are:(1)elimination of very rich, long-entrenched and well-armed racist regime, in refined/orderly way, and without expected
bloodbath(in continent only too experienced with ethnic dominations/bloodbaths);but(2) apartheid's replacement by equal or
worse horror: AIDS(now threatening all Third World).In addition, relatively high (for Africa)average per capita income disguises
"extremes of wealth and poverty rivalled only in Brazil: South Africa really both first world and third world
country...Fortunately, long wait for freedom...provided time...to see how other countries coped with self-government. And it
brought goodwill, not least because South Africa blessed with leadership of statesman of heroic proportions...Spirit of
generosity seemed to characterise not just Mandela but new South Africa as a whole" .Survey
discusses:(1)Land(Re)Distribution: with apartheid,white 15% of population effectively owned 87% of land, including all
best;(2)Education: takes 21% of budget/5.7% of GNP, but still mixes some of best and worst schools in world;(3)Violent Crime:
"threatensnot just South Africans' security but very basis of their society" mainly for socio-historic reasons;(4)HIV/AIDS:
"makes most other problems seem trivial" with UNAIDS estimating 4.2m people HIV-positive; life expectancy expected to fall
from 60 to 40 years by 08; social custom/ government policy at fault;(5)Racial Equality: affirmative action and "black economic
empowerment" encouraged by law, butracial gaps are probably diminishing mainly through constitutional ban on
discrimination;(6)Employment and Investment: both face major shortfalls, although policy aims at" growth, employment and
redistribution" ;" only40% of economically active population employed in formal" sectors;(7)Justice: made much apparent
progress: Constitution aims high, but partly unenforceable; independent Supreme Court; Human Rights Commission against
discrimination; novel Truth and Reconciliation Commission provided neither, butoffered "day in court" ;(8)Non-Blacks: about
250,000 whites(officially or unofficially)emigrated since majority rule, but those staying generally do not suffer: Afrikaners have
adapted well; Indians have lost economically, and Coloureds complain they are "not black enough" ; Appraisal: is generally
good, considering where things started and African comparisons; biggest problems social: continuing dominance of racial
concerns and income gaps; catastrophe of AIDS and its socio-economic impact.
Salman Ahmed"No Size Fits All: Lessons in Making Peace and Rebuilding States"Foreign AffairsVol.84/No.1(Jan/Feb
05):-Review Essay by Senior Political Officer, Office of UN USG for Peacekeeping Operations who served in Cambodia, South
Africa, Bosnia/Herzegovina, Afghanistan and Iraq. Providesanalysis of the argumentation of three books: Roland Paris At War's
End: Building Peace After Civil Conflict(Cambridge: Cambridge Univ.Press 04); Kimberly Zisk Marten Enforcing the Peace:
Learning From the Imperial Past(New York: Columbia Univ. Press 04); John Mueller The Remnants of War(Ithaca: Cornell
Univ.Press 04). All three draw"attention to important lessons that deserve serious consideration from policymakers and
practitioners...Still, these authors make too much of similarities among cases they study and not enough of differences. And
by using them to extrapolate bold models for state reconstruction, authors belie inherent complexities of task...Specifics
of...conflicts - their scale as well as their historical geopolitical/socioeconomic roots - should inform how peace
brokered/maintained. Yet none...pays enough attention to such fundamental considerations."Essay is worth reading - as a
survey of all the issues faced by the UN when easing post-crisis problems.
AIDS: THIRD WORLD: INFECTION RATES AND SOCIAL-ECONOMIC ISSUES
The HIV/AIDS pandemic is viewed increasingly as the most serious challenge facing global society. Almost all material on this
subject is found in the media and is included in RECENT DEVELOPMENTS. To reach all media selections relating to AIDS, click
on AIDS Third World.
Fouad Ajami"The Ways of Syria: Statis in Damascus"(153-158)Foreign AffairsVol.88/No.3 (May/Jun 09):-Review Essay of Itamar
Ravinovich: The View From Damascus: State, Political Community, and Foreign Relations in Twentieth-Century Syria(Vallentine
Mitchell 08, 365pp. $49.95). Official summary:"As Washington [and Israel?] consider[s] a rapprochement with Bashar al-Assad's Syria, Itamar Ravinovich's commanding new book makes clear that change will not come quickly or easily - and, if
the past is any indication, it may not come at all". Selected emphatic extract:"A big... book of history and diplomacy by the
Israeli scholar takes readers deep into the world of the Syrian state - and into that mix of pride and injury that has shaped its
modern history. [He] tracks the twists and turns of Syria's political journey in recent decades, its transformation from the
plaything of outside powers into a player of consequence in the Levant. No other writer has dug as deep into such material
as [author] has in this book, a distillation of a lifetime of concern with the ways of Syria". Ajami: Professor of Middle East
Studies at Johns Hopkins Univ School of Advanced International Studies and Adjunct Research Fellow at Hoover Institution.
John B. Alexander, Future War: Non-Lethal Weapons in Twenty-First Century Warfare(New York: St. Martin's Press
99):-excellent study of immense potential of non-lethal weapons, and impact of global trends on aims of security. Assumed
US/NATO must(via UN)be world police force. Emerging threats for armed forces/police are: powerful criminal/terrorist
organizations, together with transnational/religiousbodies/groups seeing themselves as politically, economically or socially
deprived. Wide range of non-lethal weaponry includes acoustic, biological, chemical, electromagnetic weapons, physical
restraints, low-impact projectiles, information warfare. Useful scenarios: peace support(UN)operations; technological
sanctions; strategic paralysis; hostages or barricades. Issues addressed: practical limitations, strategicimplications, moral
opposition, legal considerations, and constraints on "winning" .
Graham Allison"Nuclear Disorder: Surveying Atomic Threats"(74-85) Foreign Affairs Vol.89/No.1 (Jan/Feb 10):-this is the first
of a complementary pair of topical essays on nuclear weapons problems and options. Official summary of Allison's:"The
current global nuclear order is extremely fragile, threatened by North Korea's expanding nuclear weapons program, Iran's
nuclear ambitions, and Pakistan's increasing instability. US President Barack Obama has put these threats at the top of his
national security agenda, but the effort to prevent catastrophe will encounter serious obstacles and stubborn adversaries".
Emphasized extracts:"Over the past eight years, the Pakistani government has tripled its arsenal of nuclear weapons".
"Obama's mission is to bend the trend lines currently pointing toward catastrophe". Final paragraph: "The international
community has crucial choices to make, and the stakes could not be higher. Having failed to heed repeated warning signs of
rot in the US-led global financial system, the world dare not wait for a catastrophic collapse of the nonproliferation regime.
From the consequences of such an event, there is no feasible bailout". Allison is Douglas Dillon Prof. of Government and
Director of Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard Univ.'s Kennedy School of Government. For annotated
guide to this topic, see "What to Read on Nuclear Proliferation" at www.foreignaffairs.com/readinglists/nuclear-proliferation.
Second essay: Charles D.Ferguson "The Long Road to Zero: Overcoming the Obstacles to a Nuclear-Free World"(86-94):-Official summary:"The Obama administration has embraced the goal of a world without nuclear weapons, but many political
and economic obstacles stand in its way. If there is any hope of reducing the world's nuclear arsenals, US government will
have to assuage the fears of nonnuclear states, diminish the presumed prestige that the ultimate weapon confers on its
owners, and address the risk of proliferation posed by civilian nuclear energy programs". From first paragraph:"Over the past
three years, a remarkable bipartisan consensus has emerged in WashDC regarding nuclear security. The new US nuclear
agenda includes renewing formal arms control agreements with Russia, revitalizing a strategic dialogue with China, pushing
for ratification of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty, repairing the damaged nuclear nonproliferation regime, and
redoubling efforts to reduce and secure fissile material that may be used in weapons... In past year, President Obama has made
this goal a priority for his administration..." Ferguson is President of Federation of American Scientists. From 2004-09 he was
Senior Fellow for Science and Technology at Council on Foreign Relations, where he served as Project Director for the CFR-sponsored Independent Task Force on US Nuclear Weapons Policy. For annotated guide to this topic, same source as Allison.
Mark Almond, Europe's Backyard War: The War in the Balkans(London: Heinemann 94):-combination of background
information on post-Yugoslav conflicts and military/political conduct to publication date. Highly critical of diplomatic actions
of virtually all involved, including most Yugoslav groups, UN and European bodies. Gives prescient warning of ominous
precedent set by failure in Balkans.
Philip G. Altbach and Roberta Malee Bassett "The Brain Trade: Prime Numbers" Foreign PolicyNo.144(Sep/Oct 04):-among
very influential "globalizing" events today are the growing millions of Third World post-secondary students attending
universities in rich Western countries. Many gain access to key ideas of modern society and/or operate in English, so later
lives will be influenced by "worldly" visions. Despite new global concerns with terrorism" there is no holding back the flow
of students seekingeducation beyond their borders"; Australia recently estimated the "total number of international students
will increase to 8m by 2025". Regarding content, "literature and arts take back seat[;] three fields dominate: business/
management, engineering, mathematics/computer sciences." About 80% of world's foreign students are from Asian countries;
the following states include universities with 100,000+ enrolled throughdistance education: China, India, Indonesia, Iran,
Pakistan, South Korea, Thailand, Turkey. Leadingreceiver countries(with the rough total of foreign students 2000/01):
Australia(70,000), Britain(223,000),France(135,000), Germany(185,000), US(547,000). Since most foreign students pay for their
own study/livingexpenses, first two depend on their income to help support public universities. "Many migrants maintainstrong
ties from abroad, some eventually return home, and growing numbers of highly educated contribute to their home societies
by providing expertise and investment. But loss of significant numbers of best and brightest remains problem for many poorer
societies" . It may then be related to expenses that "increasingnumber[of potential foreign student payers is]looking for new
options in developing world" ;emergence ofmega-universities in India and China may soon alter balance of'brain trade'forever.
Lawrence K.Altman "Report Shows AIDS Epidemic Slowdown in 2005"New York Times 30 May 06:- "Newsurveys suggest that
global AIDS epidemic has begun to slow, with decline in new HIV infections in about 10 countries, leader of UNAID program
said. Outside of those countries,.. number of new AIDS infections continues to rise or hover at its current pace. Meanwhile,
public health efforts are reaching only a small proportion of people at risk, Dr.Peter Piot, executive director of UNAIDS, said
at news conference in UN NYC ...India has 5.7m infected people and South Africa 5.5m, but India's population far greater.
Showing no sign of decline, South Africa has a prevalence rate of about 19% of 47m people.In India, rate is less than 1% of
its population of 1.1b. Progress against AIDS in some regions represents dividends from a surge in financing since 2001, when
UN pledged its commitment to stem epidemic by 2010. Declaration called for countries to report regularly on their responses
to AIDS. This week, UNGAwill receive the progress that 126 countries have said they have made. Report(op.cit.), most
comprehensive survey ever compiled from country data, pointed to the 2001 UN meeting as a turning point for AIDS financing.
In 2005,.. world spent $8.3b on AIDS, compared with $1.6b in 2001. 'We areseeing the impact', Piot said. He cited increased
condom use, a rise in postponement of sexual intercourse and a decrease in number of sex partners as factors in slowing of
epidemic. Summarizing report's findings, Piot said '2005 was least bad year in the history of the AIDS epidemic'... Despite
thepositive trends, Piot reported grim findings from China, Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Russia andVietnam(op.cit.), with
signs of outbreaks in Bangladesh and Pakistan. Ending the pandemic will depend largely on changing social norms like
empowering women, reducing stigma of the disease andencouraging a greater reduction in the number of sex partners, report
said. Most countries have strong foundations for building an effective response against AIDS, report said, but systems to carry
out plansremain inconsistent. Thoroughness of the individual national reports varied, and many countries did not provide data
for all categories... Still, replies identified significant weaknesses, he said. Fewer than 50%of young people achieved
comprehensive knowledge levels about HIV, far fewer than the 90% goal. Only9% of gay men and fewer than 20% of
intravenous drug users received any kind of HIV prevention help in 2005. Services to prevent HIV infections in infants have
not scaled up as rapidly as programs to provide antiretroviral therapy. Just 9% of pregnant women were covered... Report
shows that epicenterof the epidemic remains in sub-Saharan Africa. There epidemic has reached peak, but incidence remains
unacceptably high, Piot said. Across most of Africa, HIV prevalence among pregnant women attendingclinics has remained
roughly level for several years. UN disputed contentions by some observers thatthe leveling off showed a turning point in the
AIDS epidemic in Africa... Piot said, 'actual number of people infected continues to rise because of population growth'" ;
Lawrence K.Altman "U.N. Urges Tripling of Funds by '08 to Halt AIDS" NYT 01 Jun 06:- "Stopping epidemic of AIDS will require
$22b/year by 2008 and possibly more in following years, officials of UNAIDS program said. The $22b is nearly triplethe $8.3b
spent 05 by all sources, including governments and private sector. Urging that countries spend more, UNSG Kofi Annan said
a costlier and more sustained effort needed because AIDS 'hasspread further, faster and with more catastrophic long-term
effects than any other disease'... Of projectedfigure, half is needed for prevention and a quarter for treatment and care of
infected people. Remainderis for care of orphans, children at risk of becoming infected and program costs. UNSG and Piot
of UNAIDS spoke as UNGA began meeting aimed at renewing political commitment and setting new goals for expenditures
and for measuring progress... Annan urged delegates to challenge countries trying to avoid goals that mention gay people,
prostitutes, intravenous-drug users and others at high risk of becoming infected. 'Governments concerned need to be realistic
and responsible', UNSG said. He also said that 'if we are here to try to end the epidemic, we will not succeed by putting our
head in the sandand pretending that these people do not exist or they do not need help'... Report cards showed that most
countries missed more goals than they met. More than 20m have become infected since 2001 meeting.Now countries must
fundamentally change the way they think and deal with epidemic, moving from crisis management to 'sustained attention and
the kind of "anything it takes" resolve that member states apply to preventing global financial meltdowns or wars' , Piot said...
Global Business Coalition on HIV/AIDS released a study showing that private companies have become more likely to provide
treatment for employees as cost of antiretroviral drugs has fallen over last six years, to $140-$300/year,from $10,000. In African
countries with a high prevalence, more than 70% of companies surveyed arefully subsidizing access to HIV treatment, coalition
said. Study...found increasing trend to expand such treatment to employees' dependents. Companies also offering access
to voluntary testing/counseling" ; Lawrence K.Altman & Elisabeth Rosenthal "U.N. Strengthens Call for a Global Battle Against
AIDS" NYT 02 Jun 06:- "[UNGA] adopted strongly worded declaration [02 Jun] aimed at pressing nations of the worldto
strengthen their battle against AIDS, global pandemic [UNSG] called 'greatest challenge of our generation'. Language of
document surprised even anti-AIDS groups, which said that while it did not satisfy all their objectives, they had feared it would
be watered down... Nonbinding declaration reaffirms commitments made in 01, when UN defined AIDS as far more than a
medical issue, framing it in terms of political/human rights/ economic survival... New document is political blueprint, not plan
of action.Calls for strong commitment to bolster the rights of women/girls so they can protect themselves from infection with
HIV... Declaration calls on countries to: use scientifically documented prevention strategies, including condoms;make clean
needles accessible to drug users; take steps to provide universal access to prevention programs/ care/antiretroviral drugs.
Includes politically charged terms like 'condoms' /'vulnerable groups' , though those groups not specified... Countries
expected to measuretheir progress over next 5 years against targets to be determined by UN... Said world will need to spend
up to $23b/year by 2010... Earlier in day, UNSG Annan delivered a gloomy assessment, saying world waslosing the battle. 'The
epidemic continues to outpace us' , he told packed UNGA. 'There are more new infections than ever before; more deaths than
ever before; more women/girls infected than ever before'... [US' s] Mrs.Bush speech steered away from many of the criticisms
that have been labled against administration, notably that it promotes sexual abstinence over scientifically proven
strategies,particularly condom use. Indeed, she said, 'ABC'model - initials stand for abstain, be faithful and usecondoms - had
brought sharp declines in infections in Africa. Britain's international development[minister] said in interview: abstinence alone
did not work ...Dr. Peter Piot [UNAIDS] said: while nodocument could make anyone '100% happy', final version was 'a major
advance'and far stronger thanweaker drafts circulating earlier in week" .
Roger C.Altman "The Great Crash, 2008: A Geopolitical Setback for the West"(2-14) Foreign Affairs Vol.88/No.1(Jan/Feb 09):-official summary:"The economic collapse of 2008, the worst in over 75 years, is a major geopolitical setback for the West. It
has stripped Wshdc and European governments of the resources and credibility they need to maintain their roles in global
affairs. These weaknesses will eventually be repaired, but in the meantime they will accelerate trends that are shifting the
world's center of gravity away from the US". Emphasized extracts:"The crisis' underlying cause was the combination of very
low interest rates and unprecedented levels of liquidity". "US deficit for the fiscal year that began in Oct 08 will approach $1
trillion - or 7.5% of US GDP". Altman is Chair/CEO of Evercore Partners. Was US Deputy Treasury Secretary 93-4.
Sudhir Anand & Amartya K.Sen Sustainable Human Development: Concepts and Priorities(New York: UNDP/ODS 96):-tries
to provide rationale for bringing together narrowly environmental viewof "sustainable" world and case for eliminating
"inequities" in living conditions. Argument for "human development" (pushed by UNDP/World Bank/this bibliography)made
well, but its role in population controland easing pressure on the planet's carrying capacity mentioned only weakly and
indirectly. Generaleconomic development( "overall opulence" )criticized as "partisan" for failing "to take note of need for
impartiality in allocating entitlements" i.e.collective statistics hide unacceptable inequities. Imbalanced - or at least imperfect
- defence of key imperatives.
Chris Anderson, "The Young(stressing Youth and Age)" The Economist 23 Dec 00(Survey 1-16):-explorescauses/
elements/global impact of major social trend, strong in North America, spreading through advanced/emerging societies and
already changing poorer countries(Japan, Germany, China)." About...growing influence of young adults in world, and
especially working world...thanks to convergence of forces that play to youth's strength -from technology to...pace of change
to...tearing down of traditional...order.[T]hey are...first young who are both in position to change world, and are actually doing
so.[Y]oung people increasingly make own environment, thanks to shift in power that gives them opportunity, responsibility
and tools once reserved for their elders" .Rapid, relentless pace ofchange(technological/social)favours young, since they
learn/relearn faster/easier/can afford to risk more to try new things(including jobs).In organizations, hierarchies of mature
giving way to meritocracies in order to compete/ survive, initiate/adjust to change, and as knowledge/skill/even experience
needs constant updating/replacement. Youth: welcome change; think flexibly/technologically; exploit(mobile)skills; riskfutures;
prefer opportunity to wealth/ security; demand/deserve respect. "Youth and Government" in issue(61-2)reports youth's
growing role/impact in decision-making.[ "W]ell-prepared input can be more influential than[votes - point often made about
NGOs' power being in knowledge]Young people...are not only leaders of tomorrow; increasingly they are leaders of today"
.
Kofi A. Annan, "The Quiet Revolution" Global Governance Vol.4/No.2(Apr-Jun 98):-fine updating of Secretary-General
worldview and priorities. Globalization is "most rapid reconfiguration of...economic geography ever" so UN must
exploit"mutual benefits of change while managing adverse effects...UN's past pattern of incremental adaptations will not
suffice." Must do what "it does better than others" ;collaborate more with international bodies/civil society: NGOs
/business/academe. UN aim"strategic resource deployment, unity ofpurpose, coherence of effort/agility/flexibility" .
Kofi A. Annan, "Two Concerns of Sovereignty: International Intervention in Humanitarian Crises" The Economist18 Sep
99(49-50):-UNSG gives his views on basic issues. Inaction in Rwanda and interventions in Kosovo(no authority) and East
Timor(too little too late)all justify criticism. We need consensus "not only... that massive and systematic violations of human
rights must be checked...but also on ways of deciding what action is necessary, and when, and by whom." Critical points:
"intervention" should not be understood as referring only to use of force; we need redefinition of sovereignty and broader
definition of national interests that "would induce states to find greater unity in pursuit of common goals and
values...today,collective interest is national interest" ;if force is necessary, Council must uphold Charter; act "in defence of
our common humanity" ;ceasefires do not end commitments.
Kofi A. Annan, "Preventing War and Disaster: A Growing Global Challenge" , Annual Report on the Work of the Organization
1999, by the Secretary-General of the United Nations(New York: DPI/2058; Sales No: E.99.1.29-Sep 1999):-after a convincing
plea for more cost-saving global efforts to foresee, prevent, or reduce human and natural crises, Annan summarizes all major
UN activities over year to Sep 99, and selected plans and problems(in 130pp). Chapters address: peace and security;
development; humanitarian issues; globalization; legal order; human rights; administration. Overall impression: hard-won
progress implementing UN obligations/reforms/savings are frustrated by Members' selfishness/lack of political will/financial
irresponsibility. HUMAN RIGHTS concerns form a major portion of the Report, providing virtually the entire thrust of the
chapter on International legal order(90-6)since it highlights the International Criminal Court and the Tribunals for former
Yugoslavia and Rwanda. Annan ends:" the pursuit of development, the engagement with globalization, and the management
of change must all yield to human rights imperativesrather than the reverse. Respect for human rights..is central to our
mandate" (96).
Kofi A. Annan, "We the Peoples: The Role of the United Nations in the 21st Century" Millennium Report of S-G presented 03
Apr 00 to UNGA in preparation for the Millennial Summit 6-8 Sep 00:- Executive Summary, Key Proposals, Full Report, Fact
Sheet, Press Releases, SG UNGA Statement, SG Press Conference Transcript: all under
http://www.un.org/millennium/sg/report/. Annan said report "attempts to present a comprehensive account of the challenges
facing humanity as we enter the twenty-first century, combined with a plan of action for dealing with them" . Section titles
with(very tight)summaries: I. New Century, New Challenges: New millennium-Summit offers unique occasion to reflect on
world's common destiny, since interconnected as never before. UN can help meet challenges ahead and be reshaped now to
make a real difference. II. Globalization and Governance: Globalization unequally distributed and lacks shared social
objectives. More people(plus crime, drugs, terrorism, pollution, disease, weapons, migrants, refugees)interact across frontiers
faster, and feel more threatened/ horrified by distant events/conditions. New technologies enable common
understanding/action, so must learn to govern better, together. States need mutual help via common institutions, from
non-state actors, and informal policy networks. The unequal/unstable/unsustainable world development model needs agreed
remedial measures. III. Freedom From Want: .5b live on less than $1 a day, so must reduce extreme poverty by half before 2015.
Priorities: sustained growth; all children complete primary school by 2015 and all youth finddecent work; by 2010 HIV infection
rate in young cut by 25% -one result of more LDC-relevant research; improve lives of 100m slum dwellers by 2020;
experts/charities to tackle low agricultural productivity in Africa, as governments give higher priority to poverty; maximize LDC
access to infonets to speed development; rich states open markets to LDCs, offer more debt relief, and focus increased ODA.
IV.Freedom From Fear: internal wars killed 5m in decade; WMD remain threat; security protects people, not territory. Tackle
conflict by: prevention, more balanced development, human/minority rights, exposingweapons/money/resource smuggling;
protect the vulnerable by enforcing international/human rights law; using UNSC for armed intervention when rights and lives
are massively violated; consider peace operations review panel proposals; target "smart" sanctions more; improve control
of small arms transfers, and reduce dangers of existing nuclear arms and proliferation. V. Sustaining Our Future: Most
planet-sustaining actions are too few, little, and late. Before 2002, must: cope with climate change: reduce emissions 60% by
efficient/renewable energy, implementing Kyoto Protocol; meet water crisis: accept 2015 target of 50% reduction in those
without safe/affordable water, raise agricultural productivity per unit of water, improve management; defend soil:
biotechnology may be best hope for sufficient food production, so debate must be resolved globally; preserve forests,
fisheries, biodiversity with joint government/private sector conservation; build new stewardship ethic: public education,
integration ofenvironment into economic policy, regulations/ incentives, accurate scientific data. VI. Renewing the UN: Must
find consensus solutions among governments, private sector, NGOs, and IOs, with UN as catalyst. Build on core UN
strengths(norm-setting, global actions, humanitarian trust)to press rule of law, adapt UNSC, and work with NGOs, private
sector and foundations, including through informal policy networks; work with industry to exploit information technology;
improve UN management throughstructural/agenda reform, priority-setting, more flexibility, results-based budgeting. VII. For
Consideration by the Summit: Act on basis of shared Charter values: Freedom, Equity and Solidarity, Tolerance, Non-Violence,
Respect for Nature, Shared Responsibility. Adopt resolutions drawn from Report as evidence.Reviews: Barbara Crossette,
"Annan Urges High-Tech Aid for Poor Countries" in New York Times 4 Apr;The Economist 8 Apr: "Kofi Annan's Words to the
World: Bouncing to a Fairer World" (51).
Kofi A. Annan, "Common Destiny, New Resolve" , Annual Report on the Work of the Organization 2000, by the
Secretary-General of the United Nations(New York: DPI/2153;Sales No.E.00.1.22-Sep 99):-UNSG begins by noting report to
Millennium Summit, "We the Peoples: The Role of the United Nations in the 21st Century" (op.cit.), includes his assessment
of humanity's progress and challenges at turn of millennium,and suggests ways in which international community can work
together to" better lives of people still left behind" .Introduction, summarizing 130-page report on major UN activities over year
to Sep 00, highlights: (1)Demands on UN humanitarian agencies far exceeded worst-case predictions; (2)Living standards in
sub-Saharan Africa still declining; (3)AIDS pandemic spreads with frightening rapidity; needs stronger commitment to action;
(4)Three new peace missions were created, straining UNHQ resources. (5)Reviewsanalysed UN failures in Srebrenica and
Rwanda; offered recommendations. (6) controversial economicbenefits of globalization must be more inclusive/equitably
shared. (7)Must be cooperative management ofglobal economic affairs through more effective governance. (8)Informal global
policy networks involving governments, international institutions, civil society and private sector have great potential.
Chapters: Peace/Security; Humanitarian Commitments; Development; International Legal Order/Human Rights;
UNManagement.
Kofi A. Annan, Report of the [UN] Secretary-General to the Preparatory Committee for the High-level International
Intergovernmental Event on Financing for Development:-this collaborative effort(officially UNGA Document A/AC.257/12)runs
to 64 pages, makes 87 recommendations, and was commissioned bythe Millennium Summit to help focus discussion at a Mar
2002 global meeting on development financing(still an" event" since it awaits an official title). Involved directly in the report's
preparation were: many parts of the UN proper(particularly DESA, UNCTAD and UNDP); UN Agencies; the Bank, Fund and
WTO; theregional development banks; OECD; the Financial Stability Forum; many governments/otherstakeholders(arranged
by the UN regional commissions); the business community; and civil society organizations. Hence it reflects extremely varied,
expert and authoritative views - significant, since some proposals are quite radical, even if presented solely on the
responsibility of the UN Secretariat. The report consists of an Introduction and six chapters, the latter perhaps being the
agenda items of the "event" : I. Mobilizing domestic financial resources for development; II. Mobilizing international resources
for development: foreign direct investment and other private flows; III. Trade; IV. Increasing international financial cooperation
for development through, inter alia, official development assistance; V. Debt; VI. Addressing systemic issues: enhancing
coherence and consistency of the international monetary, financial and trading systems in support of development. For
highlights, see UN Press Release DEV/2275at: http://www.un.org/News/Press /docs/2001/ dev2275.htm. The complete
text(which explains all acronyms!)can also be downloaded from the Web: http://www.un.org/esa/ffd/aac257-12E.htm
orhttp://www.un.org/esa/ffd/aac257-12E.pdf. For three articles about the Report(highlighting the dirty bits)see: Christopher
S. Wren, "U.N. Report Proposes Steps to Fight Global Poverty" in New York Times 30 Jan 01;Reuters, "Annan Offers Poor
Nations 87 Ways to Lure Funds" NYT 30 Jan; Wren, "The U.N. Offers 87 Remedies to Help Poor Nations Develop" NYT 04 Feb.
The UNSG's opening speech at the subsequentPrepcom meeting is reported in: Reuters "Annan: Poor Nations Must Set
Development Priorities" NYT 12 Feb. It describes his theme as: LDCs "should play a greater role in setting policy and priorities
in thefinancing of global development" and cease to be "decided in clubs where only rich countries have real influence" . This
issue is of course a perennial one at the UN, where the contribution-weighted voting in Bretton Woods bodies is seen as
"grossly unfair" and "neo-colonialist" by aid recipients, whose very survival may be at stake, but "absolutely essential" by
the investment-oriented donors, who feel" shareholders" have natural rights to determine where and how their own money
is spent. Annan aims to increase the relative role of" one-country-one-vote" UN fora(UNGA; ECOSOC)in making broad global
development policies and priorities. He also is very concerned to make foreign investment in LDCs larger and less volatile as
ODA continues its decline. Advising him is a high-level panel(Zedillo, Rubin, Delors...).
Kofi A. Annan "Courage To Fulfil Our Responsibilities" The Economist 04 Dec 04(23-5):-UNSG offers global action-urging essay
built on his immediate reaction to report of the High-Level Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change. Following his urgent
introduction is a brief summary of Annan's alreadyconcentrated and rearranged version of the panel report's many
concerns/proposals. Its value is less to summarize the panel's views than to identify subjects they and/or he discuss. "We
face a world of extraordinary challenges - and of extraordinary interconnectedness. We are all vulnerable to new security
threats, and to old threats that are evolving in complex and unpredictable ways. Either we allow this array of threats, and our
responses to them, to divide us, or we come together to take effective action to meet all of them on basis of a shared
commitment to collective security. I asked the 16 members of [panel]- eminent people representing many nations and points
of view - to analyse the threats to peaceand security our world faces; to evaluate how well our existing policies and institutions
are meeting them; and to recommend changes to those policies and institutions, so as to ensure an effective collective
response to those threats. Their report...makes 101 far-sighted but realistic recommendations. If acted on, they would address
the security concerns of all states, ensure that UN works better, strengtheninternational rule of law and make all people safer"
. First: threats. Event/process leading to deaths on large scale/lessening life chances or undermines states, should be viewed
as threat to innatl peace/security.Clusters: economic/social, including poverty/disease; inter-state conflict/rivalry; internal
violence: civil war/state collapse/genocide; nuclear/radiological/chemical/ biological weapons; terrorism; innatl crime.Threats
interconnected to unprecedented degree; no state alone can defeat. Highly enriched uranium at size of 6 milk cartons could
level medium-sized city as nuclear device. Such attack in US/Europe isstaggering cost for world economy. Security of
developed states only as strong as ability of poor statesto respond to/contain new deadly infectious disease. Incubation period
for most is longer than most air flights, so any one of 700m who travel airlines in year could unwittingly carry lethal virus to
unsuspecting state. Today, virus similar to 1918 influenza could kill tens of millions in fraction of a year. In today's worldany
threat to one is truly threat to all; applies to all categories of threats. Since real limits on self-protection,all states need
collective-security system, committing all to act cooperatively against dangers. Givengravity/interconnectedness of threats,
world needs more active prevention. Prevention can be highly effective(Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty);WHO helped halt
SARS. Best prevention agents: capable states, acting/cooperating with others. Best preventive strategy: is development
support. Millennium Development Goals to halve poverty/hunger by 2015 states' best security investment. It will save
lives/reduce violentconflict and radicalism/bolster state ability against threats before real harm. HIV/AIDS shows danger
ofinadequate prevention. Slow/ineffective global response allowed 20m killed/20 years; spread continues andworst to come.
Ultimate cost will include shattered societies. Still not taking all needed steps to bring under control. Also need public-health
facilities built in poor world. Not only poorer states benefit diseasetreatment/local prevention; whole world has better defence
against bio-terrorism/large-scale naturalepidemics. UNSC should work with WHO to strengthen biological security via prompt,
effective responses.Equal: greater environmental collective action, including beyond Kyoto protocol to better resources
management in states at risk. Prevention also vital to protect against terrorism. New isrange/scale/intensity of threat(al-Qaeda
can kill around world/has struck in 10+ UN members).Could acquire instruments of massive destruction: unprecedented
danger. UN must better use assets in fight against terrorists: articulate a strategy respectful of laws/human rights. Definition
of terrorism offered: any action intended to kill/seriously harm civilians/non-combatants, with purpose of
intimidatingpopulation/compelling action by government/innatl organization. States should use to build consensus
andstrengthen UN response to deadly scourge. Also urgent recommendations on non-proliferation/disarmament/curbing
supply of materials to reduce risk of nuclear/chemical/biological attacks by states/terrorist groups. States encouraged to end
development of domestic uranium enrichment and urged to voluntary time-limited moratorium on reprocessing plant
construction. IAEA ability to monitor compliance with Non-Proliferation Treaty strengthened by standards in protocol for
safeguards inspections. Since Cold War, UN far more engaged in preventing/ending civil wars; ended more through negotiation
since 90 than in previous 200 years; developed expertise/learned hard lessons. As demand for UN blue helmets grows, need
toboost peacekeeper supply/avoid 90s worst failures. Rich states should hasten efforts transforming existingforces for UN
peace operations. UN must invest in mediation/support peace agreement implementation.Demobilize combatants/reintegrate
into civil life; otherwise civil wars not successfully ended/other goals(democracy/justice/ development)remain unmet. Often
innatl community lost focus if crisis high point past/peacekeepers left. Propose UNSC create Peacekeeping Commission; to
give strategic focus for workin states under stress/emerging from conflict. If prevention/peaceful resolution fails, UN must be
able to rely on force. Whatever reason: all states/UNSC should bear in mind basic guidelines/questions:(1)Seriousness of
threat: does it justify force?(2)Proper purpose: does proposed force halt/avert threat?(3)Last resort: all non-military options
explored/exhausted? (4) Proportional means: force proposedminimum necessary?(5)Balance of consequences: clear action
not worse than inaction? No need to amend Art.51 of UN Charter: any state's right of self-defence against armed
attack/pre-emptive actionagainst imminent threat. However if states fear threats, neither imminent nor proximate, but which
could culminate in horrific violence if left to fester, UNSC already powered to act/must be prepared to take actionearlier than
past, when asked/reliable evidence. Protection of civilians inside states long fraught with controversy. Yet recognized more
widely that question better framed, not as intervene-right but protection-responsibility - borne first/foremost by states. Panel
agreed principle of non-intervention in internal affairs cannot protect committing genocide/large-scale ethnic cleansing/other
comparable atrocities. I hope UN members agree/UNSC will act. UN(now nearly 60)born in very different time/world, so has
under-appreciated record of adapting to new dangers, e.g. peacekeeping in world's civil wars/response to attack of Sep 01.
Clearly needs far-reaching reform to prevent/respond to all current threats. Some propose via-UN collective response too
difficult/not necessary. But all anti-threat actions impact beyond immediate context/all states benefit from shared global
framework. Not mean UN needs to do everything. It must learn of share burdens/welcome help from others/work with them.
Already does so; report recommendsstrengthened UN partnerships with regional organs/individual states. Great attention:
UNSC reform.Objectives: make UNSC more effective/authoritative. Permanent membership devised(1945)to ensure active
engagement of big powers to maintain peace/security. New permanent members matter of controversy/debate. Two
suggestions, both expanding membership to 24; aim at: add those who contribute most to UN
financially/militarily/diplomatically; ensure UNSC represents UN as whole; not expand veto, which would render decisions
more difficult. Proposals offer chance breakthrough in year ahead. If acted on, UNSC more representative/better equipped for
decisive action. Need strengthened UN secretariat that can support Peacebuilding Commission; implement UNSC/ committee
decisions better on peacekeeping/mediating civil wars. Report envisages more concerted-action secretariat, with UNSGmore
responsible for management/accountability. Equally important: ECOSOC overhaul to strengthen role in social
development/improving knowledge on economic-social dimensions of security threats. Also, recommends Human Rights
Commission better defender of rights of all. After 60 years, once again findworld mired in disillusionment and all too imperfect.
Easy to stand at sidelines and criticise/talk endlessly about UN reform, but world no longer has that luxury. Time to adapt
collective security system so it works efficiently/effectively/ equitably. Next year UN states reviewing progress on Millennium
Declaration; world leaders' summit in Sep. Appropriate moment to act on some of most important recommendations in report.I
will indicate which call for decisions at that level. Fervently hope world leaders will rise to challenge. Have all lived through
period of deep division and sombre reflection. Must make 05 year of bold decision; all share responsibility for each other's
security. Let's summon courage to fulfil responsibility." Complete text of "A More Secure World: Our Shared Responsibility"
Report of the High-level Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change, plus initial comments by requester/addressee, UNSG Kofi
Annan, can be read and even copied(99pp Acrobat Reader)from Secretary General's part of UN file (www.un.org). Executive
Summary(8pp Acrobat)also available at same address. Capturing the 21st Century Security: Prospects for Collective
Responses(Oct 04)collects reports from six Stanley Foundation conferences in 04 that dealt with UNSG panel. Report at
http://reports.stanleyfoundation.org. Council on Foreign Relations "Q&A: Reforming the United Nations" 01 Dec 04:-originally
available either by NYT>CFR>International>[title] or via CFR directly. This is expert interview with Lee Feinstein who" has
spearheaded Council work on the United Nations" and studied the important UN report and its UNGA prospects.
"Anonymous"Imperial Hubris: Why the West Is Losing the War on Terror(DullesVA: Brassey's 04):-author is a senior US
intelligence official with nearly 20 years experience in national security issues related to Afghanistan and South Asia. This
strong critique of arrogant US/allies' policies towards Osama bin Laden/al Qaeda, and military action against Afghanistan/Iraq,
proved quickly influential in many respects, and advocates less US loyalty to Israel/corrupt Muslim regimes or presence in
Mideast. Motivation of Muslim terrorists is identified not as hatred/fear of Western national systems but of their broadly
negative actions against Islamic peoples. All complex chapter titles: (1)Some Thoughts on the Power of Focused, Principled
Hatred. (2) An Unprepared and Ignorant Lunge to Defeat - The US in Afghanistan. (3) Not Down, Not Out: Al Qaeda's Resiliency,
Expansion, and Momentum. (4) The World's View of bin Laden: A Muslim Leader and Hero Coming into Focus? (5) Bin Laden
Views the World: Some Old, Some New, and a Twist. (6) Blinding Hubris Abounding: Inflicting Defeat on Ourselves - Non-War,
Leaks, and Missionary Democracy. (7) When the Enemy Sets the Stage: How US's Stubborn Obtuseness Aids Its Foes. (8) The
Way Ahead: A Few Suggestions for Debate. Epilogue: No Basis for Optimism.
Clair Apodaca, Michael Stohl, George Lopez, "Moving Norms to Political Reality: Institutionalizing Human Rights Standards
through the United Nations System" (185-220)in The Future of the United Nations System: Potential for the Twenty-First
Century(New York: UN Univ. 98):-extremely useful study of UN human rights structures, treaties and activities, employing a
new sense that state legitimacy derives from internal order and regard for standards. Four main UN purposes include
promotion of human rights, set down in Universal Declaration(48)and amplified in two International Covenants(76).All three
now binding on all states. Many more specific UN System treaties, with recent emphasis on Humanitarian Law.Growing human
rights roles of NGOs, High Commissioner and complex UN structures are explained.Reform proposals involve structure, NGO
protection and regional action.
Reza Aslan No god but God: The Origins, Evolution, and Future of Islam(New York: Random House 05):-The widely-read author
defines his aim in the Prologue: "This book is not just critical reexamination of the origins and evolution of Islam, nor is it
merely an account of the current struggle among Muslims to define the future of this magnificent yet misunderstood faith. This
book is, above all else, an argument for reform"(xx). William Grimes, in his New York Times 04 May 05 review, quotes the
book:"What is taking place now in the Muslim world is an internal conflict between Muslims, not an external battle between
Islam and the West"(248). Grimes himself argues: "[Islam's] history, grippingly narrated and thoughtfully examined, takes up
nearly all of 'No god but God'. Aslan... has written a literate, accessible introduction to Islam.,. carefully placing its
message/rituals in historical context. Complete with glossary/annotated bibliography, it could easily serve as a college
textbook". The 310-page book includes 21st century arguments: "[T]he attacks of 11 Sep 01 were not a defensive strike against
a specific act of aggression against Islam. They were never sanctioned by a qualified mujtahid. They made no differentiation
between combatant/noncombatant.,. indiscriminately killed women, children, and approximately 200 Muslims. In other words,
they fell far short of the regulations imposed by Muhammad for a legitimate jihadi response, which is why, despite common
perception in the West, they were so roundly condemned by the vast majority of the world's Muslims"(87). "Tragic events of
11 Sep... initiated a vibrant discourse among Muslims about meaning/message of Islam in 21st century... It may be too early
to know who will write the next chapter of Islam's story, but it is not too early to recognize who will ultimately win the war
between reform/counterreform... But the cleansing inevitable, and tide of reform cannot be stopped. Islamic Reformation is
already here"(266).
Associated Press,"China Refines Birth-Control Policy"New York Times 07 May 00:-this report on a new government policy says
China" hopes to limit its growing population to 1.4b people in 2010 by refining" its current policy. This is an unlikely feat, given
that the present official figure of 1.25b may understate the real total by tens of millions, and experts believe the population will
actually peak about 1.6b around 2050. Beijing claims:" A more perfect control system will be built and a better
environment...created...[S]afe, effective and proper contraceptive methods should be made available to women...Nevertheless,
the population will increase by 10m a year in the next few decades" . Officials already worry this will outstripfinite supplies
of water, farmland and other resources, requiring major grain imports, but an unintended population-control factor has
developed: boys being preferred, China may already have 100m more males than females.
Associated Press, "Number of Refugees Grows Worldwide" New York Times 13 Jun 00:-World Refugee Survey 2000, issued
by prestigious US Committee for Refugees, claims that at end of 20th Century there were35m people worldwide "uprooted and
in need of protection." Conflict contributed 7m to this in 99 alone, and despite UN success in ending some long-term disputes
following end of Cold War, this estimated total had risen from 29m in 90. Moreover, of these, 13.7m are found in Africa(4.4m
in Sudan alone).Another trend has been continually growing number of refugees that for various reasons remain in their own
countries:Internally Displaced Persons. Identified IDPs now number at least 4m, and clearly demand higher priority from
UN-UNHCR since they are not afforded same legal protections and care as" international" refugeesunder Geneva Conventions.
On other hand, there is hope that some sources of refugees and IDPs may bein sight of permanent solution. Elizabeth
Rosenthal, "Famine in North Korea Creates Steady Human Flow into China" NYT 10 Jun:-report on motives and stratagems
of North Korean refugees within/outside their country. Any moves towards Korean reconciliation could have major and rapid
effect on this crisis. For evenlonger-term look at issue of unwilling migration, AP reports "Conference Addresses Migration"
NYT 10 Jun:-experts Paris meeting organized by Universal Academy of Cultures concluded "globalization demands greater
moral responsibility and intervening in sovereign nations is plausible response to misery that drives populations beyond their
borders." Those seeking political asylum increased from 250,000 in 87 to 900,000 in 92, but then declined to 388,000 in
98,perhaps reflecting growing influence of such perceptionin UN. Meanwhile, if Europe's population falls 100m by 50, migration
waves may become beneficial.
Associated Press "Nations Vow to Fight Urban Blight" New York Times 09 Jun 01:-results of five-year-review of progress in
meeting UN Habitat Agenda, agreed upon at 96 global summit on urban issues in Istanbul. New York review conference
produced UN Declaration on Cities and Other Human Settlements in the New Millennium which reaffirmed commitment to
Agenda principles regarding "adequate housing for all and sustainable development of world's cities" -no easy task since
many countries" openly admit they have made little progress since Istanbul meeting. More than 1b...still lack adequate
housing[out of 3b(50%)global urban population, and since f]ast-growing slums are common on outskirts of Asian, Africa and
Latin American cities" .Textual crises overcome involved Palestinian proposal to criticize Israel, and US refusal to reaffirm
adequate housing as "human right" .
Associated Press"EU Agency: Gypsies Suffer Discrimination"New York Times 07 Apr 06:-"Gypsies[henceforth Roma] remain
among Europe's most discriminated-against people, European Union's racism watchdog agency said [07 Apr]... Roma routinely
denied jobs/ housing/education/health care, saidVienna-based EU Monitoring Center on Racism and Xenophobia. Center's
director... said Roma living in many of EU's 25 member states suffer 'systematic discrimination', and called for more intensive
effort/greater political will to eliminate the bias and help lift Roma communities out of poverty. Estimated 6.2m Roma live in
Europe - 4.6m in central/eastern Europe - according to estimates by UN-affiliatedInternational Organization for Migration. Last
year... EU monitoring center said unemployment ran as high as 90% among Roma in some new EU members such as Czech
Republic, Hungary and Slovakia, and that worst discrimination happened when Roma tried to rent/buy property. ['T]erritorial
segregationis particularly acute', report said. Roma also tended to receive substandard medical care... A globalconference
of Prague-based International Romani Union - coalition of organizations working to easethe plight of Roma - designated 08
Apr as International Day of Roma in 1990"
Associated Press "U.S. Says Missile - Defense System Limited" New York Times 22 Jun 06:- "US said [22 Jun] missile-defense
system under development has 'limited operational capability'to protect against weapons such as the long-range missile North
Korea is said to be near firing. National Security AdviserStephen Hadley underscored US calls for North Korea to abandon any
plans for testing the missile believed capable of reaching US soil. 'We're watching it very carefully and preparations are very
far along', Hadley said... In Washington, a top Pentagon official said that a missile launch would be 'aprovocation and a
dangerous action'that would lead US to impose 'some cost'on North Korea. [Tough UNSC resolution was later passed after
a short flight by Taepodong-2 missile.] Hadley, who briefed reporters while traveling with President Bush in Europe[to G8
summit],.. spurned a suggestion by former Defense Secretary William Perry that US launch a pre-emptive strike against the
North Korean missile...US has spent hundreds of millions of dollars on missile defense systems during the past few
decades.'We have a missile defense system... what we call a long-range missile defense system that is basicallya research,
development, training, test kind of system', Hadley said. 'It does... have some limited operational capability. [P]urpose, of
course, of a missile defense system is to defend... the territory of US from attack'" . AP "U.S. Military Intercepts Missile in Test"
"A Navy ship on [22 Jun] intercepted amedium-range missile warhead above the earth's atmosphere off Hawaii in the latest
test of the US missile defense program, the military said. Missile Defense Agency said test had been scheduled for months
and was not prompted by indications that North Korea was planning to test launch a long-range missile. USS Shiloh detected
a medium-range missile after it was launched from the Pacific Missile Range Facility on Kauai, then fired a Standard Missile-3
interceptor. Interceptor shot down the target warhead after it separated from its rocket booster, more than 100 miles above
the Pacific Ocean and 250 miles northwest of Kauai, the agency said in a statement. The test marked the seventh time in eight
attempts the military has successfully shot down a missile target with an interceptor fired from a ship.It also was the second
successful attempt by a ship to shoot down a separating target. Medium- andlong-range ballistic missiles typically have at
least two stages, increasing the challenge for interceptors,which must distinguish between the body of the missile and the
warhead... Japan agreed to jointly develop missile defense technology with US late last year, broadening an earlier bilateral
research pact" .
Associated Press "North Korea Knows How to Get Attention" New York Times 08 Jul 06:- "North Korea is well practiced in
getting some of what it wants through provocation. Bullying through a bullhorn has worked time and again for a small nation
with an outsized military force and an even bigger capacity forbluster and threat. It's called coercive diplomacy. North
Korean-style, it has involved antagonizing everyone on and over the horizon, foes and allies alike, and then pulling back.
Sometimes just in the nick of time... That's the case now... 'When diplomacy is stalled, North escalates tension to break
thedeadlock', Wonhyuk Lim, Brookings Institution fellow,.. says in analysis... Risk is that North's attention-grabbing actions
may bring bombs in reprisal instead of diplomacy, as almost happened in Clinton [era].In 2003, North pulled out of a nuclear
arms treaty, vowing to bring 'defeat and ruin'on US, warning of WWIII and declaring, 'Let us see who will win and who will be
defeated in the fire-to-fire standoff'. This was followed by the first substantive talks between the two nations since President
Bush came to office.As a propaganda gambit, the missile tests [04 Jul 06] were hardly a smashing success... North's
starlong-range missile is said to have failed like a bum firecracker on its mission of defiance and military advancement.
Half-dozen tests of shorter range missiles were conducted to uncertain effect, but no failures as far as known. Results, in short,
spoke to North's apparent ability to wreak havoc in its region and its inability any time soon to reach US mainland with missile.
For US, 'main risk seems to be that North is beginning early testing of a missile that could throw equivalent of a rock at Alaska',
said AnthonyCordesman of Center for Strategic and International Studies. Yet North has massive combat forces on border
with South; long-range artillery capable of reaching Japan and destroying up to 40% of Southeconomy; and huge stocks of
chemical weapons as well as its rising nuclear weapons capability. [North]fields world's fifth largest army, behind China, US,
Russia and India. It is considered no match in any protracted fight with South Korea's lethal modern forces, US' s unmatched
power or a devastating combination of both. Still any conflict could bring horrific consequences to both sides and risk
pittingChina against US [like 1950-53 Korean War?].Cordesman protests tendency to regard Kim Jong Il as areckless poseur
without a purpose. 'North... has reminded everyone of just how serious a threat Northcan be, how limited most military options
are, and how serious the risks of any major war would be',Cordesman said. North's declaration in 1993 that it would pull out
of NPT brought peninsula close to war and isolated the country through international censure, in the process leading to
breakthroughnegotiations with Washington that produced agreement to freeze North's nuclear activities in exchange for US
energy assistance. North's first test of a multistage rocket in 1998, also a flop, spurred bilateraltalks. Current framework of
six-nation negotiations set up after North resumed its plutonium program in 2002 and expelled international inspectors [IAEA].
That pattern of edging toward confrontation, then edging back, has persisted, always accompanied by tough words. More are
being heard now" .
Associated Press "Rumsfeld Cautions on Missile Shield" New York Times 27 Aug 06:- "[US] Defense Secretary Donald
H.Rumsfeld sounded a note of caution about expectations that interceptors poised in underground silos [in Fort Greely,
Alaska] would work in the event of a missile attack by North Korea...Ten silos house single 54-foot-long missile interceptors.
If ordered by [US] president,.. one or more ofthe rockets would blast into the sky and race at more than 18,000 mph to launch
a small 'kill vehicle'atan enemy warhead as it soared through space. An 11th interceptor is to be installed. [Asked whether
ready for use against a North Korean missile,] Rumsfeld said he would not be fully persuaded until themultibillion dollar
defense system has undergone more complete and realistic testing. [He said] some elements of the missile defense system
are yet to come on line, including some of the radars and other sensors used to track the target missile,.. but stressed that
advisors... have told him they believe it will work as designed in the event of an actual missile attack. [On 31 Aug] an
interceptor based at a second site [in California] is scheduled to be tested against a target missile launched into the Pacific
from Alaska's Kodiak Island. That will be the first full-up test of the latest version of the interceptor and its 'kill vehicle', a
device attached to the nose of the interceptor. [T]he 'kill vehicle'is designed to use its own propulsion system and optical
sensors to lock onto its target and, by ramming into it at high speed,obliterate the warhead and any payload it might carry.
[This] test also will be first use of an early-warning radar... to provide the data required to put the interceptor on a proper path
toward its target... A furthertest, now scheduled for Dec, will try for an intercept. At a news conference, Rumsfeld said that
North Korea's leaders showed, by their test-launch of multiple missiles on 04 Jul 06, a determination to'continue to improve
their capability and to threaten and attempt to blackmail other people'. He said theyalso are a threat to spread missile
technology to terrorists. 'I think the real threat that North Korea poses in the immediate future is more one of proliferation than
a danger to South Korea', he said... Rumsfeld said US intelligence about the intentions of North Korean leaders is not very
good, but he said it is clearthat the overall condition of the North Korean military has deteriorated" ; David S.Cloud "Rumsfeld
Sees Some Progress in Missile Plan" New York Times 27 Aug 06:- "Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld said [in Fort Greely, Alaska]
that while the fledging US ballistic missile defense system was becoming more capable,he wanted to see a successful
full-scale test before declaring it able to shoot down a ballistic missile...Bush administration has taken the unusual step of
deploying the system which is designed to shoot down a limited number of missiles before testing is completed and before
all radars and sensors necessary to track incoming missiles are in place. Rumsfeld [said] system was aimed at protecting
against attacks from North Korea and Iran, which he called 'rogue states that are intent on developing long-range ballistic
missiles' ... The goal this week is to see if sensors in the so-called kill vehicle can recognize an incoming warhead, not to
actually hit it... But... it employed a target that in its size andspeed was representative of missiles that might be fired at US.
In last two flight tests, the system haltedthe firing sequence before the interceptor missile left its silo... Even so, after the
second failed test in Feb 05, the system was taken down until Dec 06. [A]s many as 40 are supposed to be installed by next
year. The other interceptor site is... in California, where two interceptors are in silos... Bushadministration is also looking at
locations for an interceptor site in Europe that would protect US and parts of Europe from missiles launched from Mideast.
[C]ould be in place in four years if Congressprovides the money... Sergei Ivanov, defense minister of Russia, [also in Alaska]
did not directly criticize US system, but called for 'transparency'by Bush administration, a term meant to convey Russia's
concern about any modifications to the system that could take its capabilities beyond stopping a small number of missiles"
;
Associated Press "Annan Paints Grim Picture to Assembly"New York Times 19 Sep 06:-"Addressing world leaders for last time
as UNSG, Kofi Annan painted a grim picture of an unjust world economy, global disorder, widespread contempt for human
rights, and appealed for nations/peoples to truly unite. As theannual UN General Assembly [UNGA] ministerial meeting got
under way, 192 UN member states facedambitious agenda including trying to promote Mideast peace, curb Iran's nuclear
ambitions, get UN peacekeepers into conflict-wracked Darfur, promote democracy... Annan, whose second five-year term ends
31 Dec 06, said the past decade has seen progress in development, security, rule of law - the threegreat challenges he said
humanity faced in first address to UNGA in 97. But UNSG said too many still exposed to brutal conflict, and fear of terrorism
has increased clash of civilizations/religions. Terrorismbeing used as pretext to limit or abolish human rights, and globalization
risks driving richer and poorer apart, he said. 'Events of last 10 years have not resolved, but sharpened, three great challenges
- unjust world economy, world disorder, and widespread contempt for human rights and rule of law', Annan said.'As result,
we face world whose divisions threaten very notion of an international community, upon which this institution stands. I remain
convinced that only answer to this divided world must be a truly United Nations' , he said. In annual report, UNSG touched
on some of most difficult issues confronting leaders... [Arab-Israeli conflict; Iraq; Afghanistan; Sudan/Darfur]. 'Together we
have pushed some big rocks to top of the mountain, even if others have slipped from our grasp and rolled back. But this
mountain... is best place on earth to be',UNSG said.'I yield my place to others with an obstinate feeling of hope for our common
future', Annan said. [UNGA] loud applause/rose in sustained standing ovation".
Associated Press "China to Continue Modernizing Military" New York Times 29 Dec 06:- "China said it will strengthen its
military to thwart any attempt by Taiwan to push for independence, but vowed that it wascommitted to the peaceful
development of the world's largest army. A report issued by the State Council,China's Cabinet, also said the country's defense
policy will focus on protecting its borders and sea space, cracking down on terrorism and modernizing its weapons. 'China
will not engage in any arms race or pose a military threat to any other country', the 91-page white paper said. 'China is
determined to remain a staunch force for global peace, security and stability'. The communist nation's 2.3m-strong military
is the world's largest but has been criticized for its lack of transparency about its buildup. Its reported 2006 budget is $35b,
but analysts believe the true figure, which doesn't include weapons purchases and other key items, is several times higher...
One of Beijing's key short-term goals has been to take a firm stand against any independence efforts by Taiwan... It has
hundreds of missiles pointed in its direction across the Taiwan Straits. China has also spent heavily to beef up its arsenal
withsubmarines, jet fighters and other high-tech weapons. 'The struggle to oppose and contain theseparatist forces for Taiwan
independence and their activities remains a hard one', the report said. Itindirectly criticized US for promising Beijing that it
will adhere to the 'one-China'policy, 'but it continues to sell advanced weapons to Taiwan, and has strengthened military ties
with Taiwan'. Washingtonswitched diplomatic recognition from Taipei to Beijing in 1979 but remains Taiwan's major foreign
backer, and is committed by law to providing it weapons to defend itself against possible Chinese attack. [Report] highlighted
what it said was 'growing complexities in Asia-Pacific security environment'.[It] said China 'remains firmly committed to the
policy of no first-use of nuclear weapons at any time and under any circumstances' . All this taking place with backdrop of
North Korea's first nuclear test,uncertainty surrounding Iran's nuclear ambitions and continued turbulence in Mideast, it said".
Séverine Autesserre"The Trouble With Congo: How Local Disputes Fuel Regional Conflict"(94-110)Foreign Affairs
Vol.87/No.3(May/Jun 08):-official summary:"Although the war in Congo officially ended in 2003, 2m people have died since.
One of the reasons is that the international community's peacekeeping efforts there have not focused on the local grievances
in eastern Congo, especially those over land, that are fueling much of the broader tensions. Until they do, the nation's security
and that of wider Great Lakes region will remain uncertain". Emphasized extracts:"Congo is now the stage for the largest
humanitarian disaster in the world - far larger than the crisis in Sudan. [I]nternational actors must tackle situation in Congo
from the ground up". Autesserre is Assistant Professor of Political Science at Barnard College, Columbia Univ.
Glenys A. Babcock, "Getting to Democracy" in Behind the Headlines 53 (Autumn 1995). - a brief but usefulsurvey of the recent
and disappointed hope that democracy was an unstoppable global trend. It explores the experience, needs, and processes
actually involved, and finds them formidable for many new states. The UN/WHO is seeking remedies.
Robert Baer"THE FP MEMO:- Wanted: Spies Unlike Us"Foreign Policy No.147(Mar/Apr 05):-former CIA case officer 1976-97,
and author -See No Evil: The True Story of a Ground Soldier in the CIA's War on Terrorism(New York: Crown Publishers 02),
drafts a MEMORANDUM from himself to Porter Goss, U.S. Director of Central Intelligence, entitled"Getting the CIA Back in the
Game". He writes"CIA is clearly broken, and you have a chance to fix it... Reform is needed across the board, but the
Directorate of Operations(DO) should be your first target. Its mission - recruiting and running foreign spies - should be the
agency's core function.Give DO the tools it needs, and intelligence analysis will take care of itself...Here are my
suggestions(forming remainder of the MEMO under following headings): Reform the Promotion System; Know Your
Sources;Recruit on College Campuses; Lower the Retirement Age; Stop Relying on Foreign Governments;Change the Security
Clearance System; Recruit on the Dark Side. [I would myself disagree with the proposed total lack of cooperation with the
world's 200 or so "Foreign Governments". Even the US could not gain unilaterally all the global information it is going to need.
The global danger of all types/sources of terrorism in the world can only be constrained if all governments ideally/ostensibly
work together.Genuine intelligence activity abroad could/would lie on top of that.]
Benjamin R. Barber, Jihad vs. McWorld: How the Planet is Both Falling Apart and Coming Together and What This Means for
Democracy(New York: Times Books 95):-unusual and debatable perception of some broad global trends that has generated
new interest - though not necessarily credibility for its conclusion - since its publication. Argues world experiencing basic
conflict between homogenizing power of post-industrial capitalism/ "fundamentalist" ethnic-religious reaction. Believes both
forces undermine state(presumably in terms of traditional sovereignty)and hence democracy.[Why and how is democracy so
dependent upon sanctity of Westphalian nation-state?]Sources of new interest derive, of course, from growth of
anti-globalization movement, however disunited it may be in both fears and formulas, and "Clash of Civilizations" thesis put
forward by Samuel P. Huntington(op.cit.)and apparently illustrated -all too violently-by Osama bin Laden.
Scott Barrett Why Cooperate? The Incentive to Supply Global Public Goods (New York: Oxford Univ Press 07):-surprisingly
well written -considering the complexity of issues- in: (1) describing the existing global challenges (e.g. climate change,
nuclear proliferation, worldwide pandemics) and those that threaten the entire planet (e.g. terrorism,
physical/chemical/biological instabilities, asteroids); and (2) reporting on how such problems have been successfully or badly
handled in the past, the rationales involved, and the various cooperations that would/might work best in future. Barrett's
"threat" approach differs from my item "EARTH MUST COOPERATE...", mainly in stressing "Global Public Goods" actions of
the recent past (e.g.often successful United Nations; wonderful "Montreal Protocol" ozone treaty), whereas my gloomy and
concentrated "page" is designed almost solely to identify: (1) the exploding scale/variety of global threats; (2) the human
tendencies that have created/will create them; and (3) why we must change a number of very old human views/feelings. Both
press broader global diplomacy as essential tool. Most chapters focus on distinct types of issue/solution. [Even a study of
brief bit(s) of 275p would be valuable.] Titles: Incentives to Supply Global Public Goods [GPG]; (1) Single Best Efforts: GPG
that Can Be Supplied Unilaterally or Minilaterally; (2) Weakest Links: GPG that Depend on States that Contribute the Least;
(3) Aggregate Efforts: GPG that Depend on Combined Efforts of All States; (4) Financing and Burden Sharing: Paying for GPG;
(5) Mutual Restraint: Agreeing What States Ought Not to Do; (6) Coordination and Global Standards: Agreeing What States
Ought to Do; (7) Development: Do GPG Help Poor States?; Conclusion: Institutions for Supply of GPG.
Felicity Barringer "Nations Ranked as Protectors of the Environment"New York Times 24 Jan 05:-2005 has produced"index
of environmental sustainability, which ranks nations on their success at such tasks asmaintaining/improving air and water
quality, maximizing biodiversity and cooperating with other countries on environmental problems...Report is based on 75
measures, including rate at which children die from respiratory diseases, fertility rates[of what?], water quality, overfishing,
emission of heat-trapping gases, and export of sodium dioxide, crucial component of acid rain. Report also cited
statisticallysignificant correlation between high-ranking countries and[those]with open political systems/effective
governments."Top ten out of 146 countries studied were(in their order):Finland, Norway, Uruguay, Sweden, Iceland, Canada,
Switzerland, Guyana, Argentina, Austria. US ranked 45th, behind such countries as Japan, Botswana, Bhutan, most of Western
Europe. Lowest-ranking country was North Korea; others near bottom were Haiti, Taiwan, Iraq, Kuwait. Index is second
produced in collaboration with World Economic Forum(Davos, Switzerland).
Warren Bass "The Triage of Dayton" Foreign Affairs Vol.77/No.5(Sep/Oct 98):-highly critical account of US/UN actions and
inactions relating to 95 Dayton Accords on Bosnia.(Full account of negotiations: Holbrooke op.cit.)Seems to take it as given
that" Serbs"and they alone committed both aggression and ethnic cleansing, and hence required punishment, not mediation.
Argued that early "lift and strike" policy by US against Serbs(regardless of UN ground forces' vulnerability as decided by
UNSC)could have let US(sic) "stay true to its avowed ideals of multiethnic tolerance, liberal democracy and reversing
aggression."
Jean-Francois Bayart, Stephen Ellis and Beatrice Hibou The Criminalization of the State in Africa(Oxford:James Currey
99):-inevitably researched unscientifically, seeks to explain multiple political-economic crises of Africa(i.e.south of Sahara)as
whole. "African specialists" after lamentingdemography/stagnation-acerbated poverty/hyper-urbanization, highlight certain
developments: facade of democratic transition/structural adjustment/other reforms; armed conflicts' continuation or spread;
above all, elites' massive involvement in corrupt/criminal activities(drugs/other smuggling; political-financial/other fraud;
coercion/violence).While driven by change, these African reactions show historicalinfluence of approving accumulation of
power and wealth through devious personal initiative. Thusnationalism, government and law are simply used; their
criminalization culturally-rooted.
Anne F. Bayefsky, " Enforcing International Human Rights Law" (117-26) in Canadian Foreign PolicyVol.6/No.1 (Fall 1998). -
this is the rapporteur's report of a 1997 experts' conference whose aims were toimprove the enforcement of the six major UN
human rights (HR) treaties, and " to develop a vision for theadvancement of the treaty regime" (117). Apart from listing 106
very specific recommendations, eightunderlying principles were identified: (1) HR are universal; (2) HR universality is diluted
by widespreadreservations; (3) HR protection is directly related to democracy, good governance and rule of law; (4)Strength
of HR treaty system is equal application of standards to all UN members; (5) International HR law/institutions complement
natural HR systems; (6) Good implementation requires victim's access to state reporting; (7) Full compliance information is
essential to credible/effective treaty regime; (8) NGOs play vital role in enforcement.
Barbara Beck "The Economics of Ageing: The Luxury of Longer Life" The Economist 27 Jan 96(Survey 1-16):-longer average
lifespans worldwide are raising global, and not simply national, problems in fields like economics and finance, travel and
migration, medicine and health care, social and cultural change, and even moral standards.
Barbara Beck, "A Survey of Women and Work: For Better, For Worse" in The Economist 18 Jul 98(1-16):-an excellent economic
and social examination of the formal employment of women, including a human-rights-related analysis of why so few are found
in the top levels of business. Most information is on OECDcountries - which have the best statistics and seem to lead a global
trend. Subjects include: history, e.g. the combined impact of safe contraception and the transformation of labor needs; OECD
employment trendsand their reasons; gender variation by job type, pay and unemployment; maternity and paternity
leave,daycare, shared child care and housework, career-breaks, taxation and birthrate issues. All are UN issuesnow; its
actively trying to improve its own employee gender balance.
Elizabeth Becker "Number of Hungry Rising, U.N. Says" New York Times 08 Dec 04:-UN agency Food and Agriculture
Organization(FAO)makes ominous report: for first time in almost decade, estimated number in the world going hungry has
increased. Despite overall increase in global wealth, FAO states, after slow/steady decrease, chronically hungry rose to nearly
852m(18m increase since 00); 5m children aredying of hunger annually. FAO senior claimed world now producing more than
enough food, so problemis access to jobs/resources/land/money to buy food. UN's International Labor
Organization(ILO)reported that record 1.4b(half world's workers)earn less than $2 daily. Oxfam reported that global aid budgets
now total half of level in 60. Yet UN's Millennium Development Goals, pledged by all the world's governments, set targets to
halve extreme poverty/hunger by 15." At least 80% of world's chronically hungry live in rural areas and over half...subsistence
farmers. Competition from world's wealthiest farmers, heavilysubsidized by rich governments,...blamed in part for the inequity.
Trade ministers have promised to continueworking to reduce agricultural subsidies/supports at global trade talks next
year[WTO]. In measuring hunger [FAO]considers calorie intake/amount of food available/ inequities in access to food supplies.
Thirtycountries [Asia/ Africa/Latin America]cut percentage of hungry people at least 25% over last decade byreducing
conflict/focusing ...programs on rural areas/small farmers.[This is fundamentally critical, since]children under three most
vulnerable to disease/death. Without proper nutrition, it is difficult for these children to ever recover/lead productive lives."
Brian Beedham "The New Geopolitics: The Road to 2050" The Economist 31 Jul 99(1-16):-mainly Kosovo-inspired proposal:
democracies(i.e. NATO)actively try to make(run?)better, more peaceful world through joint foreign policy "core of[which]would
attempt to spread...democracy. Includes trying to help peoplesquashed under another people's heel...to govern itself." To this
end "should be able to construct jointmilitary force that can be swiftly sent to distant parts." Other "great powers" may soon
beChina/Japan/Russia/India. If China seems threat, any/all democratic three might want to join "Alliance for Democracy."
Survey rules out "clash of civilizations" and credible alternatives to state sovereignty oreventual democracy.[My reaction: Who
looks after increasing variety/number/ seriousness of other -oftenvery closely related- problems in same world? UN mentioned
only in sarcastic sentence about few wanting international body to have standing army of its own; yet that's exactly what's
being proposed! More important, might not 5b others in world have some democratic(sic)views/objections regarding
self-selected/-deployed global police force? Also, if major aim of force liberation of minorities, likelythousands of such groups
will demand both independence/help? Won't sovereignty continue devolving simply for global survival?]
Christopher de Bellaigue "THINK AGAIN: IRAN" Foreign Policy No.148 (May/Jun 05) (18-24):-like other FPissues, correction
of nine public concepts; here: about Iranian nuclear weapons production/use or its positive response to stiff US pressure.
Author first outlines widely-held views( "Under-lined Statements" ); states FIRM REACTIONS; and then provides his view of
actual truth. He first provides summary: "Tehran's desire for nuclear bomb has put it in Washington's cross hairs. But neither
President George W.Bush'srepeated condemnations of Iran's clerical rulers, nor the threat of military force will advance cause
ofdemocracy there. When Iran reforms, it will happen because its youth - not the United States - demands it." "If Iran Gets a
Nuclear Bomb, Iran Will Use It"-VERY UNLIKELY. "Iran almost certainly does not intendto brandish a nuclear bomb in an
attempt to intimidate...Israel/US... Further, clerics have blessed a partial detente with their Arab neighbours and...EU.[Yet] there
is plausible circumstantial evidence ...to suggestthat Iran's nuclear program is not civilian. [N]uclear ambiguity is calculated,
a reaction to the vulnerability it feels. Iran probably intends to gather all the elements necessary for bomb making, so that it
can gonuclear the moment that it feels an attack is imminent." "Iran Has No Use for Nuclear Power"-False."Energy needs are
rising faster than [Iran's oil/gas] ability to meet them... Its capacity must nearly triple over 15 years to meet projected
demand[,and the electricity cannot all come] from the oil sector. [Output] has stagnated at around 3.7mbd since late 1990s.
Almost 40% of Iran's crude oil is consumed locally [and the natural] gas reserves are only just being tapped. It makes sense
for Iran to free up its hydrocarbons for export [and] Iran contends that US may pressure foreign sellers into stopping the flow.
[Hence] Iran'sdesire for a complete fuel cycle is most suspicious aspect of nuclear program"."The Iranian People Support Their
Leaders' Nuclear Program"-NOT REALLY. "Iranians who vocally support...nuclearambitions...minority[;] never witnessed
spontaneous discussion of nuclear program among average Iranians...Unlikely many Iranians willing to put up with
economic/diplomatic isolation...if Iran insisted on enriching uranium"."Only the Threat of Force Can Dissuade Iran from
Advancing with Its Nuclear Plans"-DOUBTFUL."Threat...could also...encourage Iran to leave NPT and develop a nuclear
weapon ASAP...[N]ever abandons goal of achieving a nuclear fuel cycle... Iran is more flexible than it appears...[It might] revise
its nuclear plans if US abandoned its [hard policies] ...Ultimately it might refuse to publicly relinquish nuclear goals, preferring
instead to extend current negotiations indefinitely"."U.S. Military Action Would Embolden Dissidents to Topple the Islamic
Republic"-WRONG. "Workers...keeping their heads down andmouths shut... Iranians don't want Iraq's wretched conditions...
Iranians opposed to Islamic Republic lack a unifying ideology... Possible some Iranians would cheer a US invasion, but not
for long". "Criticizing the Islamic Republic Helps Dissidents Inside Iran"-NO. "Bush's repeated statements of support for
Iranian people do not help normal Iranians... Publicly defending beleaguered reformists simply allowed clerics to accuse
reformers of being US lackeys...US criticism has perverse effect because US has no diplomatic or economic relations with Iran,
and hence no leverage. EU and others [have] some modest leverage with Iran's clerical rulers". "If Iraq Becomes a Democracy,
so Will Iran"-WISHFUL THINKING. "Border is about all they share...Few Iranians...question Iran's integrity within its current
borders. Same is not true in Iraq...Iran set up a semi-democratic, anti-Western, Shia theocracy... Clerics today enjoy
considerable prestige"."Iran Cannot Be Reformed from Within"-WRONG AGAIN. "Iran can and will be reformed from
within.Demographics make that course inevitable. Some 70% of Iran's 70m citizens under age of 30, and young Iranians are
more reform-minded than older groups... Young people resent existing political restrictions more than their elders, and are
less religiously observant... Spread of material values and sexual freedom is palpable, as is desire for smaller families...Young
people display little animus for once-hated US...[Yet]reform-minded millions lack common ideology/leadership... New
generation will... spur further reform. Process would benefit from critical dialogue with US, rather than current, glowering
standoff".
Pam Belluck "Will Longer Lives Be Different Lives? And Better Ones?" New York Times 01 Jan 00:-the biological, economic
and ethical impacts of the probable major extension of human lifespans are often discussed; this addresses its social and
personal impact. Since "genetic and medical steps needed to extend life [may halt] much of deterioration that comes with
aging", life may include feeling like 60 at 110, attending college at 35 (five MAs [may be] needed), women bearing children in
50s, having six entirely separate careers and four marriages, physical sports at 112, vastly more life experiences (10-year
holidays). With current progress on aging/terminal disease, many now born may live in 3 centuries. Parent/child may age far
apart/"simultaneously". Marriage could last 80 years, or socially transform, with people raising several families.
Energy-creativity-initiative "stimulated", but uneven access-adjustment must be minimized.
Fanny Benedetti & John L.Washburn "Drafting the International Criminal Court Treaty: Two Years to Rome and an Afterword
on the Rome Diplomatic Conference" Global Governance Vol.5/No.1(Jan/Mar 99):-pending book on subject, should constitute
definitive diplomatic history of negotiation of what may well be seminal global treaty. Agreement to establish ICC legally
significant as move towards acceptance of global rule of law. Moreover Court's role to punish perpetrators of
globally-agreed-on heinous crimes if states do not take action may have substantial political influence on national/international
behaviour. Even negotiations set precedents: e.g.direct/massive NGO participation; new voting alliances; tough tactics(
"package" rather than consensus decision-making);willingness to isolate US(see Wedgwood op.cit.).Invaluable account of
verycomplex UN processes.
A. LeRoy Bennett, International Organizations: Principles and Issues (Englewood Cliffs: Prentice Hall, 1991).-mostly on the
UN. The focus is on its philosophy and principles, not structure; the breakdown is bybroad issue, not organization: League
of Nations; Genesis of the UN; Basic UN Principles and Organization; Basic UN Issues; Peaceful Dispute Settlement; Collective
Security and the Alternatives; Justice Under Law; Regionalism; Arms Control; Transnationals and IOs; Economic Welfare;
Global Resources and the Environment ; Social Progress; Human Rights/Self-Government; Administration/Leadership; the
Future.
Samuel R.Berger"Foreign Policy for a Democratic President" Foreign Affairs Vol.83/No.3 (May/Jun 04):-aimed at those
concerned about weaknesses in US foreign policy of Bush regime, andneeds/opportunities in modified policies of any Nov
04-elected Democratic(or amended) regime. Most issues discussed of global relevance, and many stress US relations with
foreign entities, particularlyNATO/UN/international law. This mentions those of global importance discussed in some detail.
US administration's "high-handed style and its gratuitous unilateralism" about its military, economic and cultural aims,
embittered even those abroad most likely to embrace US values. New US regime "no moreurgent task than to restore...global
moral and political authority, so when we decide to act we canpersuade others to join us. Achieving reversal will require
forging new strategic bargain with closest allies...Democratic approach to resolving disputes with Europe over treaties should
be pragmatic, focused on improving flawed agreements rather than ripping them up" .US policy towards Israel-Palestine
conflict must return with energy/urgency. Regarding Afghanistan/Pakistan and Iraq," Bush administration'sunilateralist
approach has let allies off hook: given them excuse to shirk these and other global responsibilities. Democratic administration
would not be so dismissive of allies on issues that matter to them" since exercises truly international rather than exclusively
US. Similar approaches are relevant to spread of weapons of mass destruction(WMD)." Democratic administration should use
every tool at disposal to prevent WMD threats from arising before force becomes only option" . Listed issues include
Nunn-Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction Program with Russia, and "global effort to secure nuclear materials at all such
sites" .Others sites described are North Korea and Iran. Non-Proliferation Treaty(NPT)might add "new bargain" helping
non-nuclear countries develop nuclear energy. Many more issues are brief.
Sheri Berman & Kathleen R.McNamara"Bank on Democracy: Why Central Banks Need Public Oversight"Foreign Affairs
Vol.78/No.2 (Mar/Apr 99). - while the current tendency among economist and financial experts is to urge the maximum degree
of independence for central banks, including the European Central Bank, the authors argue that while such autonomy may
have advantages in certain fields, it is not universally more efficient in financial terms. More important, they feel, it gives the
banks almost completefreedom from democratic oversight and control in areas and policies that are of great public
importance, even if the specifics are highly esoteric.
Christoph Bertram, "Multilateral Diplomacy and Conflict Resolution" Survival Vol.37/No.4(Winter 95-96):-examines potential
role of UN etc. through study of recent military conflicts. Seeks to determine most successful conditions to prevent or halt
conflict, and how military force can best be used to this end.
Richard K. Betts, "The New Politics of Intelligence: Will Reforms Work This Time?" Foreign AffairsVol.83/No.3(May/ Jun
04):-while relates to optimal improvements to US top-level intelligence use, much of discussion/advice relevant to relationship
between policy-makers and intelligence-commanders in any country. "Danger stems from gap between urge to do something
and uncertainty about just whatsomething could be...At end of day, strongest defense against intelligence mistakes will come
less from any structural or procedural tweak than from good sense, good character, and good mental habits of senior officials"
.Not mentioned in FA, but relevant to both intelligence and diplomatic/defense/securitystaff effectiveness is ability to speak
relevant foreign languages. The Economist 15 May 04 "ARABIC: Speak Up" (56):-how British and other governments need to
ensure sufficient national facilities to train civil servants/university students that need special language ability. Economist 17
Jul 04 "Sincere Deceivers" (Edit.11-2)and "Intelligence Failures: The Weapons That Weren't" (23-5):-both US and British
governments analysed positions of intelligence forces in giving President Bush and PM Blair respectivelyreports that made
their bosses announce need to attack Iraq because it constituted regime both able to use/pass to terrorists weapons of mass
destruction(WMD)and, in case of Bush, willing to support attacks by al-Qaeda. Both governments' reports criticize their
intelligence forces as hinting more positive threats than should have been derived from their information, influenced by
views/desires of heads of government. But US system considerably worse in this respect. Gives full information about two
analyses and comments on politically inclined intelligence, and mentions future effects. Efraim Halevy "In Defence of the
Intelligence Services" Economist 31 Jul 04(By Invite 21-3):-author was head 98-02 of Mossad, Israel's intelligence service.
Essence of well-written thesis: "Committees of inquiry into US and British intelligence failures may have left West less secure."
Basic critique is that of professional intelligence officer, and views are of expertise/relevance. However, one does get
background implied of support for attack on Iraq, even if intelligence is ambiguous - an Israeli need? Economist 07 Aug 04
"New Non-Fiction: The al-Qaeda Code" (69):-favourable review of famous government document published as book 567pp
long: The 9/11 Commission Report: Final Report of the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States
(Norton).Something to be emulated by all future government reports. Economist 14 Aug 04 "The CIA: The Right Man?"
(26):-short item regarding politically hot issue in US. Criticism of intelligence produced recently by CIA resulted in: (1) criticism
of CIA director who also had acted as coordinating national head of all US intelligence groups; (2)resignation of CIA director
in reaction to criticism. President Bush has nominatedCongressman Porter Goss as friend and experienced eight-term
Republican, once CIA agent and recently chairman of House Intelligence Committee. Already controversy over Goss'
appropriateness, although Bush agreed coordination of all US intelligence services will in future be carried out by another,
new, separate position. Economist 28 Aug "The CIA: For the Scrap-Heap?" (28):-another short item reports on proposal of Pat
Roberts, Republican chairman of Senate Intelligence Committee. He recommended new National Intelligence Service "run by
hugely powerful director, backed by four assistant directors, each responsible for different phase of intelligence process. CIA
would be dismantled, and its departments assigned to relevant assistant director. Control over other intelligence agencies
would be wrested from Defence Department and FBI." Many experts claim proposals are wrong; some prefer more: diverse
recruits, work with foreign agencies, and human intelligence-gathering.
Jagdish Bhagwati "Free Trade Today"(Princeton: Princeton Univ Press 02):-while only 140pp long (including Preface and
Index), and presented in the form of three Lectures (with multiple footnotes - mainly identifying sources), this famous book
is often described as the greatest defense for global free trade ever written. Dustcover claims:"Forcefully, elegantly, and clearly
written for the public by one of the foremost economic thinkers of our day [Professor at Columbia Univ. and a special adviser
to UN and particularly GATT/WTO], this volume is not merely accessible but essential reading for anyone interested in
economic policy orin the world economy". Titles: LECTURE 1: "Confronting Conventional Threats to Free Trade: The Postwar
Revolution in the Theory of Commercial Policy"; LECTURE 2: "'Fair Trade', Income Distribution, and Social Agendas: Using
Trade Theory to Meet New Challenges"; LECTURE 3: "Getting to Free Trade: Alternative Approaches and Their Theoretical
Rationale". While 1 is difficult for those without economic training, 2 and 3 can be easily handled by any who regularly read
international affairs. Editor's own summary: "Bhagwati applies critical insights from revolutionary developments in commercial
policy theory... to show how the pursuit of social and environmental agendas can be creatively reconciled withthe pursuit of
free trade. Indeed, he argues that free trade, by raising living standards, can serve these agendas far better than can a descent
into trade sanctions and restrictions. [H]e argues in support of multilateralism and advances a withering critique of recent
bilateral and regional free trade agreements". Bhagwati's also famous"In Defense of Globalization"(Oxford Univ 04), offers a
300+pp broader approach.
Jagdish Bhagwati"Banned Aid: Why International Assistance Does Not Alleviate Poverty"(120-125) Foreign Affairs Vol.89/No.1
(Jan/Feb 10):-Review Essay of Dambisa Moyo: Dead Aid: Why Aid Is Not Working and How There Is a Better Way for Africa
(Farrar, Straus & Giraux 09, 208pp. $24.00). Official summary:"The idea that foreign aid can be used to promote development
seems reasonable. But as the Zambian economist Moyo argues, it is flawed - not just because corrupt dictators divert aid for
nefarious or selfish purposes but also because even in reasonably democratic countries, aid creates perverse incentives and
unintended consequences". [In other words, while the deeply experienced and global-level economist Bhagwati ultimately
rejects Moyo's proposal to terminate all aid within five years, he shares many of her criticisms of its errant policies by
identifying several unfortunate motives that drove the donations. He also feels that she does not assign sufficient blame to
the terrible faults of many of the African leaders involved.] Bhagwati is Senior Fellow in International Economics at the Council
on Foreign Relations and University Professor of Economics and Law at Columbia University. He served on the UN secretary-general's Advisory Panel on International Support for the New Partnership for Africa's Development 2005-06. For an annotated
guide to this topic, see "What to Read on Foreign Aid" at www.foreignaffairs.com/readinglists/foreign-aid.
Nancy Birdsall "Life Is Unfair: Inequality in the World" Foreign Policy No.111(Summer 98):-ratio of average income of world's
richest country to poorest grown from about 9 to 1 around century ago to at least 60 to 1 today; 80% of world's population in
states generating only 20% of world income. National-income divide between well-educated elite and vulnerable/unskilled
usually both evident/widening. Many causes: history; demography; access; policies(trade/ labour/ services/ investment).Now
technology/computers play key role: information and skills are key assets. Hence essential to provide maximum of
education/opportunity; states must use labour, and trade/equal access better. "The real danger...growing inequality may
become lightning rod for populist rhetoric and self-defeating isolation" .
Nancy Birdsall and Arvind Subramanian, "Saving Iraq From Its Oil" Foreign Affairs Vol.83/No.4(Jul/Aug 04):-reports on
essential poor-country assets that delay democracy. "Oil riches are far from blessing they are often assumed to be. In fact,
countries often end up poor precisely because they are oil rich. Oil and mineral wealth can be bad for growth and bad for
democracy, since they tend to impede developmentof institutions and values critical to open, market-based economies and
political freedom: civil liberties, rule of law, protection of property rights, and political participation" .In both this and Fareed
Zakaria The Future of Freedom(73-6)(op.cit.)oil/minerals criticized for "richness" .[In my view, serious fault relates not
inherently to basic/processed elements(still essential to global economy; no harm to many states; maybe sole globalization
starter locally available), but to any extremely narrow concentration of any local affluence, whatever produced it(slaves?
elephant tusks? diamonds?)].Essay is (otherwise)useful in reporting how often developing countries badly run when they have
local oil production, and hence all Iraqi oil profits should ideally be passed directly to all Iraqi citizens individually.
Linda S. Bishai "Sovereignty and Minority Rights: Interrelations and Implications" Global GovernanceVol.4/No.2(Apr/ Jun
98):-addresses growing global source of conflict and structural dilemma for UN. Basis: sovereignty generally treated as
all-or-nothing legal concept. Shows that identifications with statehood/territory/total domestic authority -let alone with
nationalism- have limited history, generating growing frustration/separatist demands from minority groups and compete with
globalization. But as EUshows "nations" can have "sovereignty" in all key cultural fields while being part of larger state for
other purposes. Can this not be tried globally? If arguments of interest, "article argues that new conceptions of sovereignty
should be directed toward nonterritorial aspects. Four parts to...argument. First explains zero-sum nature of territorial state
and problems it poses for liberal multiculturalism. Second reviews varioushistorical types of political community and dual
emergence of modern theories of sovereignty/liberalism. Third reveals historical interrelatedness of conceptions of
sovereignty and minority, and problem causedfor international system. Last part discusses nature of indicated
reconceptualizations ofsovereignty/minorities, and prospective impact they may have on international institutions" .
Susan Blackmore, The Meme Machine(New York: Oxford Univ. Press, 1999):-since Darwin's Origin of Species posited human
evolution by natural means without metaphysical intervention, a heated debate has ensued over whether/how Homo sapiens
is unique, e.g. by possessing a soul or free will. UN is affected, e.g. regarding technology, health care and law. This well-written
book builds on many theories relating to theconcept of "memes" . Unique to Homo sapiens, like genes they are replicators
but, unlike genes which replicate(copy)physical templates of parents in offspring, memes transmit words, ideas, beliefs and
tastes, mainly by imitation, i.e. spread through peoples' activities. Author contends memes produced our large brains,
language ability and altruism. Among less positive influences she includes sexual mores, myths(UFO, NDE, superstition,
alternative medicine, religion(sic)). Soul/free-will are out.
Tony Blair "A Year of Huge Challenges" The Economist 01 Jan 05(By Invitation 44-6):-British PM presents two major global
initiatives, to urge G8 to organize and substantially pay(Britain: 05 president).Essay makes strong cases in favor since, "with
threat from international terrorism and spread of weapons of mass destruction.,. they are most serious problems facing world
today [and] problems beyond power of any single country...Solution requires co-ordinated international action, and above all
leadershipwhich G8 is uniquely placed to give. The two initiatives relate to solving African issues and attacking climate
change. Here the only material summarized is on Sorting Out Africa. "[P]lagued with problems - debt, disease, conflict,
corruption, weak governance - so embedded/widespread that no continent, no matter how prosperous, could tackle on its
own.[Details of problems provided.]Should this matter to rest of world?For democratic governments, it should, because it
matters to our citizens.[I]t can't be morally right, in world growing more prosperous/healthier,..that one in six African children
still die before fifth birthday. Worldwide campaign to make poverty history rightly challenges us to act...We must now all accept
utter futility of trying to shut our borders to problems abroad.[Famine/conflict]create conditions for terrorism/fanaticismto take
root and spread[to globe.]Prosperous Africa, where people have chance to fulfil their talents, is in all our interests[while] sheer
scale of Africa's problems can induce understandable sense ofhopelessness. Governance been improving faster...than in
many other areas[,and]Africa Union playingincreasing role in settling conflicts.[B]est way to reduce poverty is through
economic growth.[This]can be increased by aid[that involves greater donation/effectiveness.] But to help Africa continue
progresswe need...coordinated global effort[,including]concerted action to improve opportunities/growth, reduce debt, tackle
HIV/malaria/TB, fight corruption, promote peace/security. We also need to tackle trade barriers...I hope G8 will agree not only
to plan of action but also to its implementation, a process of monitoring and review. We all need to be accountable for carrying
out commitments we have made." Changing Climate is on "twin" item, to keep their lengths reasonable. Starts are similar, but
theirmain texts/distributions differ.
John R. Bolton, "The Global Prosecutors: Hunting War Criminals in the Name of Utopia" in Foreign AffairsVol.78/ No.1(Jan/Feb
99):-critical review takes issue with book views of Aryeh Neier, War Crimes: Brutality, Genocide, Terror and the Struggle for
Justice(New York: Times Books, 1998); Martha Minow, Between Vengeance and Forgiveness: Facing History After Genocide
and Mass Violence(Boston: Beacon Press, 1998). Bolton opposes international law, claiming no existence, lacking a
constitutional framework(Fassbender(op.cit.)claims UN Charter fills that role)and lacks "political accountability, ensured
through popular controls on the creation, interpretation, and enforcement of laws" (158)(by these criteriamost laws do not
exist). But international negotiation, ICJ, Security Council and treaty-enforcement clauses all fulfill these functions. Bolton's
most extreme arguments are that "binding international law will be well on the way toward the ultimate elimination of Treaty
of Westphalia-style nation states" (162)rule of Constitution over all US treaties. Both positions are debated: see Ku and Weiss,
Manasian, Ratner(op.cit.)on growing but not fatal sovereignty constraints, and Noyes/ABA(op.cit.): US treaty obligations. For
point-by-point rebuttal: Richard Falk "A Barbaric View" (159-60)in Letters, May/Jun 99 issue.
Max Boot"Pirates, Then and Now: How Piracy Was Defeated in the Past and Can Be Again"(94-107)Foreign Affairs Vol.88/No.4
(Jul/Aug 09):-official summary:"Piracy was rampant for centuries past - just as it is again today off the coast of East Africa.
To combat present-day marauders, governments should look to the tactics used to defeat piracy in the past: a more active
defense at sea and the pursuit of a political solution onshore". Emphasized extracts: "Nations such as England and France
had looked on piracy as either a minor nuisance or, when directed against their enemies, a potentially useful tactic".
"Oftentimes, rooting out pirates meant risking not only an international incident but also full-scale war". "The problem is
twofold: a lack of legal authority and a lack of will to enforce what authority does exist". "[Q]uestion of how to try and process
pirates closely related to problem of how to deal with terrorists". Boot:Jeane J.Kirkpatrick Senior Fellow for National Security
Studies at Council on Foreign Relations; author of The Savage Wars of Peace: Small Wars and the Rise of [US] Power and War
Made New Technology, Warfare, and the Course of History, 1500 to Today. Currently writing a history of guerrilla warfare.
Newton R. Bowles, United Nations: Less is More? A Report on the Fifty-Third General Assembly: September-December
1998(Report to Group of 78/United Nations Association in Canada)(New York:www.unac.org 99):-author is inter alia UNICEF
Senior Advisor on Children/War/closely involved in UNGA/other UN meetings. Excellent report covers not only highlights of
98 UNGA but variety of related UN issues over year e.g. Security Council developments. Topics covered selectively but
analytically:Overview; General Debate(tone/highlights);Globalization (dialogue/business-liaison);ODA/FDI Resources;Human
Rights/development/UN casualties; Humanitarian Intervention; Security Council(evolution);Conflict Prevention(education);
Peacekeeping; Disarmament(new trends);Africa(war/ poverty);Crime(ICC/Tribunals/terrorism/drugs);NGOs/Civil Society; UN
Management/Funding.
Newton R. Bowles, United Nations: Hedge or Taels? A Report on the Fifty-Fourth General Assembly: September-December
1999(Report to Group of 78/United Nations Association in Canada)(New York:www.unac.org 00):-valuable impressions of
tone/highlights of UNGA Regular Session/related developments, particularly in Security Council. Subject titles(and main
points): World in 99(better prospects than 98; praise for UNSG/UNGA President; radical UNSG speech: humanitarian law before
sovereignty(text: Annex 1);no UNSC reform but more open; progress on UN human rights and development role); General
Debate(main value: networking/stage-setting; main theme: massive human rights violence, armed conflict within states; major
points of notable speeches);Human Security Issues(follow-up to "Agenda for Peace" particularly prevention; key: broad
"international approach to poverty, human rights and social/economic development" (UNGA President Statement: Annex
2);UNSC renewed activism but no progress on membership or veto; special problems of Africa); HIV/AIDS(stress on Africa
where death toll 10 times that of wars; Statement by UNAIDS Executive-Director: Annex 3); Conflict Prevention(improved
early-warning/prevention strategies; seek social/economic root causes); Peacekeeping(major forcesin Kosovo, Sierra Leone,
East Timor, DR Congo total well over 30,000 in 00(Operations in Annex 4);International Justice(international criminal law fairly
controversial compared with civil law; Yugoslavia and Rwanda Tribunals started from scratch but improving; International
Criminal Court: 30 Jun deadline will be met; current: new convention on terrorism financing, working on conventions re
nuclear terrorism and comprehensive anti-terrorism; planning international conference and transnational crime
convention;Disarmament(gloomy: START II stuck in Duma; CTBT refused by Congress; ABM may be weakened or ignored;
Conference on Disarmament is paralysed; Special Assembly Session on Disarmament unlikely;NPT review conference also
unlikely; Resolution on Peaceful Uses of Outer Space passed, but US resumed anti-missile tests; practical progress on
implementing/completing agreements on Chemical and Biological weapons, Landmines, Heavy Weapons register, Small Arms
Trade; Development(of LDC needs-investment, markets, debt relief, only ODA is responsibility of UN proper(and aid is
declining),but UN-Bank/Fund relations closer; North-South dialogue also less confrontational; "Agenda for Development"
stresses good governance/ accountability/participation/social security; UNSG WTO speech(Annex 5)highlights LDCs' need
to share globalization; 01 all-issue conference on financing development will bring in all stakeholders); UN Aid(of $50b annual
ODA, $5b through UN and $5b World Bank; UN stresses social concerns/human development; UNDP major effort to coordinate
multilateral aid better); Business and Labour(UNSG challenged big business at Davos to "Global Compact" tocooperate with
UN on human rights/labour standards/environment; positive response from ICC; ICFTUalso undertook to
support);Humanitarian Activities(natural disasters cost $500b in 90s; armed conflicts cost $200b in external aid, so probably
over $1 trillion overall; UN priority to avoid or mitigate natural disasters or conflicts);Human Rights(most humanitarian law
written since WWII; much being added; all aspects of human (mis)behaviour come together at UN under human rights; UNSC
adopted strong/comprehensive policy on protecting civilians(Annex 6); in Kosovo/East Timor, UN creating entirecriminal
justice and human rights systems; UNHCHR investigating standards in 21 fields worldwide);Women's Advancement(Special
UNGA Session on Women(Jun 00)will examine implementation of BeijingConference decisions; UNGA studied new report on
role of women in development);Children(Tenth Anniversary of Convention on Rights of Child; UNSC resolution "strongly
condemns targeting of children in situations of armed conflict" );Finance and Management(main focus again US budget arrears
followed by highly-conditional part-payment; 00-01 biennium budget $2,535m, up a symbolic $3m; staff managementstill
slow/cumbersome; excellent final report of 5-year "Internal Oversight" (quoted));Civil Societies(getsmore into basic issues
of development-globalization; UNSG for tripartite "Global Compact" :UN-business-civil society);(Annex 7:Current Membership
of UN Organs).
Charles G. Boyd "Making Bosnia Work" Foreign Affairs Vol.77/No.1(Jan/Feb 98):-international community's greatest problem,
years after Dayton Accord: how to achieve aim of creating unified Bosnia. After intense local investigation, concludes this
impossible for foreseeable future, and only solution is de facto partition, with security and economic aid provided to all groups,
continuing foreign presence, and long healing period.Letters Vol.77/No.3(May/Jun 98):offer some counter-arguments.[My own
inclination is to agree, and give up trying to create traditional sovereign state where one has never existed before and at time
when feelings are so intense. Emphasis should be on down-grading significance of any borders in area and increasing
economic modernization/integration of Balkans so ethnicity becomes "private" matter(again)while all benefit from working
together.]
John Brademas and Fritz Heimann "Tackling International Corruption: No Longer Taboo" Foreign AffairsVol.77/No.5 (Sep/Oct
98)(17-22):-two members of influential anti-corruption organization, Transparency International, report on activities underway
globally to control governmental/private corruption. Progress results from the convergence of several trends: increased
openness of government processes, greater media freedom, and more independent judiciaries, plus an awareness that
corruption impedes both democracy and economic development. Recent multilateral events: 1997 Convention on Combating
Bribery of Foreign Public Officials; 1996 ICC Rules of Conduct for business; new World Bank active concern with issue(op.cit).
Keith Bradsher "Taiwan's Bullet Trains Can't Outrun Controversy" New York Times 28 Dec 06:- "The sleet,bulbous-nosed new
bullet trains look like they are designed to whisk passengers across wide-open spaces. But on congested island, they
represent the start of a 180-mile-per-hour commuter train system.After quarter century of planning and construction, system
scheduled to open 05 Jan 07. Will tie together cities/towns where 94% Taiwan lives, offering alternative to clogged highways
and the air pollution vehicles produce. For some urban planners/environmentalists, project is example of how Asia may...
control oil imports, curb fast-rising emissions of global-warming gases and bring higher standard of living to enormous
numbers of people in environmentally sustainable way. Passengers who travel on fully loaded train will use only sixth of
energy they would use if they drove alone in a car and willrelease only one-ninth as much carbon dioxide... Compared with
bus ride, figures are half the energyand a quarter of carbon dioxide, train system officials said. But system's enormous cost
- $15b... - madeit a subject of dispute... Using overhead electric lines,... trains will run from Taipei down through western
Taiwan to Kaohsiung, the main industrial city in south,.. distance of 215 miles... System will start with 19 trains in each
direction daily and eventually handle 88... Most trains will make six intermediate stops, lengthening travel time [from 90
minutes] to 2hours-7mins... The high-speed trains travel almost entirely on specially built, 60-foot-tall viaducts to avoid need
to cross roads... Whether train system becomes commercial success will partly depend on how many people use its
somewhatinconveniently-located [new] stations, how quickly the land is developed around these stations and how much
tickets cost" . Associated Press "Taiwan High - Speed Rail System to Debut" NYT 04 Jan 07:- "Taiwan's long-delayed
high-speed rail system geared up... to welcome its first paying passengers amid lingering safety concerns and embarrassing
ticketing glitches. [L]imited service 05 Jan 07 will cut rail travel time between Taipei and Kaohsiung from 4 hours to 90 mins.
[I]t represents colossal effort toimprove transportation for Taiwan's 23m people, while saving energy/preserving environment.
[P]roblems that dogged it for more than a decade still apparent. [A]ngry ticket buyers complaining about being unable to use
credit cards, or receiving wrong change from ticket machines... When full servicebegins, four domestic airlines expected main
casualty [as] vast majority [within] 2 hours from Taipei".
Duane Bratt "Peace Over Justice: Developing a Framework for UN Peacekeeping Operations in Internal Conflicts" Global
Governance Vol.5/No.1(Jan-Mar 99):-while UN's "purpose" is to "maintain international peace/security" ,many Charter
references to human rights make clear second objective to improve political/economic/social justice. Priority and resource
dilemmas arise when aims equally demanding or mutually exclusive, mainly in facing internal conflicts. Argues that, besides
Charter ranking, obvious precedence of saving lives and doing most urgent first, means peace must have priority. Moreover,
thisreduces perception of UN "imperialism" and alien priorities as well as criticism UN forces "helping" one sideby(aiding
in)delivering humanitarian assistance or seizing war criminals. Still, agonizing global "triage" may be only solution to choosing
among "peace" options.
Joel Brinkley"Cambodia's Curse: Struggling to Shed the Khmer Rouge's Legacy" (111-122) Foreign Affairs Vol.88/No.2
(Mar/Apr 09):- official summary: "Thirty years after the fall of Khmer Rouge, much of Cambodia remains mired in memories
of the country's sorrowful past. Meanwhile, the rest of the world, whose perception is also skewed, barely seems to notice that
the government of Prime Minister Hun Sen is destroying the nation". Emphasized extracts:"Much of Cambodia, and the world,
is still mired in the bloody legacy of the Khmer Rouge". "Hun Sen's government has been looting natural resources, jailing
political opponents, evicting thousands from their homes, and fostering corruption". Brinkley, former FA Corespondent for
New York Times, is Professor of Journalism at Stanford Univ. Research carried out in Cambodia Aug 08.
Simon Briscoe & Hugh Aldersey-Williams Panicology :Subtitle on Book Cover Only: What Are You Afraid Of? Two Statisticians
Explain What's Worth Worrying About (and What's Not) in the 21st Century (London: Viking 08):-after a brief Introduction, the
300-page book offers essays on 42 specialized subjects in hopefully objective terms and the most up-to-date statistics. Each
essay is inclined to lampoon deliberately-scary headlines that were inclined to raise excessive worries on the subject. My
main/chronic criticism is that many essays apply solely to the UK situation or primarily to the West, whereas most issues are
clearly of global concern - and are studied globally by UN (multiple UN summaries op. cit.). The chapter titles are followed by
my own subjects of the relevant essays. (1) Sex, Marriage and Children: Population Issues; Family Units and Children; Getting
Married; Sexual Attitudes. (2) Health: Obesity; Salt Consumption; Bird Flu; Hospital-Acquired Infections; Kids' Triple Vaccines;
Sudden Infant Death Syndromes. (3) Passing the Time: Accidents from Physical Art; Heavy Drinking of Alcohol; Cinema
Admissions; Collection of Sports Cards. (4) Social Policy: Pensions; Household Debts; House Prices; Immigration; Deaths
Through Transport; Accidents Through Mobile Phones; (5) The Workplace: Globalization's Effects on Employment; Women's
Pay; Work-Related Stress; Repetitive Strain Injury; (6) Law and Order: Terrorist Threats; Military Threats; Numbers in Prison;
Crime Figures; (7) Natural World: Ozone Depletion; Hurricanes; Climate Change; Sea-Level Rise; Earthquakes and Volcanos;
New Ice Age? (8) Our Declining Resources: Extinctions; Fisheries Issues; Languages. (9) Modern Science: Genetically Modified
Food; Nanotechnology; Nuclear Radiation. (10) They're Coming to Get You: UFO Reports; Asteroids.
Harry G.Broadman"China and India Go to Africa: New Deals in the Developing World"(95-109) Foreign Affairs
Vol.87/No.2(Mar/Apr 08):-official summary: "Economic activity between Africa and Asia, especially China and India, is booming
like never before. If the problems and imbalances this sometimes creates are managed well, this expanding engagement could
be an unprecedented opportunity for Africa's growth and for its integration into the global economy". Broadman is Economic
Adviser for the Africa Region at the World Bank, and author of Africa's Silk Road: China and India's New Economic
Frontier(World Bank 07). Views in FA are his own.
Stephen G.Brooks & William C.Wohlforth"Reshaping the World Order: How Washington Should Reform International
Institutions"(49-63)Foreign Affairs Vol.88/No.2(Mar/Apr09):-official summary :"The current architecture of international
institutions is so out of sync with the modern world that it must be updated. But skeptics question whether US is up to the
task. They need not worry: US still possesses enough power and legitimacy to spearhead reform". Emphasized quote: "In a
2007 address to the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, [Barack Obama, now US president,] stressed that 'it was America that
largely built a system of international institutions that carried us through the Cold War... Instead of constraining our power,
these institutions magnified it'. 'Today it's become fashionable to disparage the United Nations, the World Bank, and other
international organizations', he continued. 'In fact, reform of these bodies is urgently needed if they are to keep pace with the
fast-moving threats we face'"(50). Brooks is Associate Professor of Government, and Wohlforth is Daniel Webster Professor
of Government and Chair of Department of Government, both Dartmouth College. Article adapted from their: World Out of
Balance: International Relations and the Challenge of American Primacy(Princeton Univ 08).
Bill Bryson A Short History of Nearly Everything(New York: Broadway Books 03):-pre-bestseller author of many/widely-varied
books, undertook "informative journey into world of science,.. his greatest challenge yet: to understand - and, if possible,
answer - oldest, biggest questions... about the universe and ourselves... Result is a sometimes profound, sometimes funny,
and always supremely clear/entertaining adventure in the realms of human knowledge"(publisher). Even new "lavishly
illustrated" Nov 05 hardcover edition of 624pp available from Barnes & Noble to all @US$28.00. Favourable Ed Regis NYT
review(18 May 03)states:"Bryson achieved exactly what he'd set out to do, and, moreover, [did] it in stylish, efficient, colloquial
and stunningly accurate prose... The basic facts of physics, chemistry, biology, botany, climatology, geology - all these and
many more are presented with exceptional clarity and skill". My own reaction is that this easily available/readable reference
on all not-personally-specialised scientific subjects should ideally be read - or at least be used for topic-reference - by all in
this very unstable world.
Zbigniew Brzezinski "Hegemonic Quicksand" The National Interest Winter 03/04(5-16):-long article on future instability
excerpted from The Choice, Global Domination or Global Leadership. Claims unstable but new "Global Balkans" (developing
similar to past "European Balkans" )is region between Europe and Far East. "For next several decades, most volatile and
dangerous region of world - with explosive potential to plunge world into chaos - will be crucial swathe[from approximately
Suez Canal to Xinjiang, and fromRusso-Kazakh border to southern Afghanistan]...Here that America could slide into collision
with world of Islam while American-European policy differences could even cause Atlantic Alliance to come unhinged. Two
eventualities together could then put prevailing American global hegemony at risk.[C]hallengeAmerica now confronts, dwarfs
what it faced half-century ago in Western Europe [since]to promote global security will be pacification and then cooperative
organization of region that contains world's greatest concentration of political injustice, social deprivation, demographic
congestion and potential for high-intensity violence. But region also contains most of world's oil and natural gas...In 2020 area
projected to produce roughly 42m barrels of oil per day - 39% of global production total...No self-evident answers to such basic
questions as how and with whom America should be engaged in helping to stabilize area, pacifyit and eventually cooperatively
organize it." Then notes that some states in area could be US potential key partners: Turkey, Israel, India, and Russia. All four
are then examined in detail but ruled out for various reasons. "Ultimately US can look to only one genuine partner...:Europe.
Although it will need help of leading East Asian states like Japan and China...neither likely at this stage to become heavily
engaged. OnlyEurope...potential capacity in political, military and economic realms to pursue jointly with US task of engaging
various Eurasian peoples...US and Europe together represent array of physical and experientialassets with capacity to make
decisive difference in shaping political future of Global Balkans...European engagement will not occur, however, if expected
to consist of simply following US lead" .Latter portionof paper discusses whether and how US and Europe can work together
in improving issues of area. Specific attention made to problems: Arab-Israeli peace, Iraq, Iran, Gulf states, Caucasus and
Central Asia, Caspian Basin. Final comments relate to" need to contain both proliferation of WMD and terrorist epidemic."
Paper ends:" One should not forget that struggling alone makes quicksand only more dangerous."
Zbigniew Brzezinski"An Agenda for NATO: Toward a Global Security Web"(2-20) Foreign Affairs Vol.88/No.5 (Sep/Oct 09):-official summary:"In the course of its 60 years, NATO has ended the 'civil war' within the West for transoceanic and European
supremacy, institutionalized the United States' commitment to the defense of Europe, and secured the peaceful termination
of the Cold War. What next? To live up to its potential, the alliance should become the hub of a global-spanning web of regional
cooperative-security undertakings". Emphasized extracts:"In the vulnerable decades after World War II, conflict was avoided
largely because NATO remained united". "WshDC's arrogant unilateralism in Iraq and its demagogic Islamophobic
sloganeering weakened the unity of NATO". "NATO has the means to become the center of a globe-spanning web of
cooperative-security undertakings". Brzezinski was US National Security Adviser 1977-1981. His most recent book: Second
Chance: Three Presidents and the Crisis of American Superpower.
Zbigniew Brzezinski"From Hope to Audacity: Appraising Obama's Foreign Policy"(16-30) Foreign Affairs Vol.89/No.1 (Jan/Feb
10):-while this leading/positive essay is about US policy, the subjects are all of global importance. Official summary:"In his
first year in office, President Barack Obama has reconceptualized US foreign policy and demonstrated a genuine sense of
strategic direction. But so far, Obama's foreign policy has generated more expectations than strategic breakthroughs. Three
urgent issues - Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Iran's nuclear ambitions, and Afghan-Pakistani challenge - are posing an immediate
test of his ability to significantly change US policy". Emphasized extracts:"Obama has shown a genuine sense of strategic
direction and a solid grasp of what today's world is all about". "US is already losing the renewed confidence of the Arab world
that Obama won with his speech in Cairo". "Sanctions against Iran must punish those in power - not the middle class, as an
embargo on gasoline would do". "So far, Obama's foreign policy has generated more expectations than strategic
breakthroughs". Brzezinski was US National Security Adviser 1977-1981. His most recent book: Second Chance: Three
Presidents and the Crisis of American Superpower.
Robert Buckman, Can We Be Good Without God? An Exploration of Behaviour, Belonging and the Need to Believe (Toronto:
Penguin 01):-while author both medical doctor/atheist, not designed to criticize religionor to scientifically support atheism.
One major concern: religions generate specific/competinginterpretations of "goodness" , developing critical link between
"good and god." Also offers perspective "onconnection between behaviour and belief - connection between ethics and
religion." Such diversified convictions held by each faithful group have produced unrealistic and unjust frictions. "The world
will be better place if we all believe whatever we wish, but behave as if there is no deity to sort out humankind's problems."
Global issues described may indeed become worse or easier.
Hedley Bull, The Anarchical Society: A Study of Order in World Politics(Second Edition) (Houndmills: Macmillan Press 95):-new
edition of seminal work on state system surprisingly retains original 77 text. ItsUN-relevant aim was to determine whether
system would/should survive -and alternatives. Concluded very little change was possible or needed. Interest today derives
from how much of original argumentundercut by extraordinary changes of past 20 years, particularly constraints on state
sovereignty by:globalization of information/ manufacture/ finance; new global imperatives/power centers/vacuums; novel
capacities/threats. For firm support see Hoffmann(op.cit.).
Jason Burke"Al-Qaeda: Casting a Shadow of Terror"(New York: I.B.Tauris & Co 03):-while I read this book long after
summarizing Burke‛s valuable article in 04 Foreign Policy(op cit), many of author‛s FP views also stated/implied in book, so
aren‛t repeated. Book, however, is a valuable - and concentrated(300 pp) - report on the origins/members/relationships/aims
of "al-Qaeda" in global terms, plus involvement of bin Laden to events of 11 Sep 01. Material is derived from both author‛s
extraordinary interviews/experience and information from many other personal sources. Advice in book‛s conclusion is of
special importance - and has much in common with "Christopher Spencer" item: "We [West] need to counter the twisted vision
of world that is becoming so prevalent. Every time force is used it reinforces that vision by providing more evidence of a ‛clash
of civilisations‛ and a ‛cosmic struggle‛... ‛War on terror‛ should have a military component [:] hardened militants cannot be
rehabilitated[; b]ut if we are to win battle against terrorism, our strategies must be made broader and more sophisticated.
[G]reatest weapon available in war on terrorism is the courage, decency, humour and integrity of the vast proportion of the
world‛s Muslims [-] restricting the spread of ‛al-Qaeda‛ and its warped worldview. [B]attle between West and men like bin
Laden...is not a battle for global supremacy. It is a battle for hearts and minds [-] battle we, and our allies in the Muslim world,
losing. [Yet all] modern Islamic terrorism... can be acted on by well-judged, properly executed policies. Causes of terrorism
must be addressed, careful analysis of...threat...undertaken, moderate Muslim leaders engaged, spread of hardline strands
of Islam rolled back, and enormous effort to counter growing sympathy for ‛al-Qaeda‛ worldview must be made... All terrorist
violence, ‛Islamic‛ or otherwise, is unjustifiable/unforgivable/cowardly/contemptible. But just because we condemn does not
mean we should not strive to comprehend. We need to keep asking why"(249-50).
Jason Burke"THINK AGAIN: Al Qaeda"Foreign Policy No.142(May/Jun 04):-summarizing (global) public (mis)concepts about
current capacities and aims of al Qaeda forces and ideas, and its future strength, Burke, chief reporter of Britain's Observer
and author of Al Qaeda: Casting a Shadow of Terror(New York: I.B.Tauris 03)(op cit),offers nine widely believed views about
issues, and then denies accuracy of each. "Al Qaeda Is a Global Terrorist Organization" -NO. "It is less an organization than
an ideology...Today, structure that was built in Afghanistan has been destroyed... There is no longer a central hub for Islamic
militancy. But al Qaeda workview... is growing stronger every day." "Capturing or Killing Bin Laden Will Deal a Severe Blow
to Al Qaeda" -WRONG "If...he surrenders without a fight, which is very unlikely, many followers will be deeply disillusioned.
If he achieves martyrdom in way that his cohorts can spin as heroic, he will beinspiration for generations to come. Either way,
bin Laden's removal from scene will not stop Islamic militancy. "The Militants Seek to Destroy the West So They Can Impose
a Global Islamic State" -FALSE "Islamic militants' main objective is not conquest, but to beat back what they perceive as an
aggressive West. [S]econdary goal is establishment of...single Islamic state, in lands roughly corresponding to furthest extent
of Islamic empire." "The Militants Reject Modern Ideas in Favor of Traditional Muslim Theology" -NO "Islamic
hard-liners...have little compunction about embracing tools that modernity provides... [M]ilitants are framing modern political
concerns ...within mythic and religious narrative. They do not reject modernization per se, but...resent their failure to benefit
from that modernization." "Since the Rise of Al Qaeda, Islamic Moderates Have Been Marginalized" -INCORRECT "Al Qaeda
represents lunatic fringe of political thought in Islamic world. While al Qaeda has made significant inroads in recent years, only
tiny minority of world's 1.3b Muslims adhere to its doctrine." "The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Is Central to the Militants' Cause"
-WRONG "Televised images... reinforce militants' key message that lands of Islam under attack, and that all Muslims must rise
up and fight. However,...resolution...would not end threat of militant Islam...Two-state solution...would still leave 'Zionist entity'
intact." "Sort Out Saudi Arabia and the Whole Problem Will Disappear" -NO "Inequities of Saudi system... continues to create
sense of disenfranchisement that allows extremism to flourish...Saudi Arabia is one of many causes of modern
Islamicmilitancy, but it has no monopoly on blame." "It Is Only a Matter of Time Before Islamic Militants Use Weapons of Mass
Destruction" -CALM DOWN "Although Islamic militants...have attempted to develop basic chemical or biological arsenal,
efforts have been largely unsuccessful due to technical difficulty...Islamic militants far more likely to use conventional bombs
or employ conventional devices in imaginative ways." "The West Is Winning the War on Terror" -UNFORTUNATELY, NO "If
countries to win war on terror, must eradicate enemies without creating new ones...Invasion of Iraq...has made task more
pressing... Ben Laden's aim to radicalize/mobilize. He is closer to achieving goals than West is to deterring him".
Jason Burke"It May Well Take 20 Years. But al-Qaeda‛s Days Are Numbered"Guardian 10 Sep 06:-Special Report by
expert/famous journalist, published five years after "9/11", claims: "Osama bin Laden waits in vain for a Muslim ‛awakening‛.
The lure of the West is just too powerful a force". Full Burke text (plus 70 optional pages of the item‛s wide Email reactions)
is available: http://www.guardian.co.uk/alqaida/story/0,,1869182,00.html. Highlights: "There is a sense that history, far from
ending, is accelerating. That the centre cannot hold. That the individual counts for nothing. [Burke‛s reactions to some of bin
Laden‛s 01 claims: H]e was wrong. Yes, there is increasing radicalisation. Yes, a new and powerfully globalised ‛Muslim‛
identity is spreading, aided by communications technology that renders national frontiers obsolete. Yes, there is a small, if
growing, number of Muslims who are attracted to ‛al-Qaedism‛ in its largest sense. But truth is that out of a total of 1.6b
Muslims, very few have joined terrorist organisations. In [some Muslim] countries... there has been strong counter-reaction
to the atrocities... World‛s Muslims are not behaving as bin Laden wants them to... The [London] bombs were a strike against
a continuing and largely successful process of integration on a national scale. The attacks across the world in the past five
years are strikes against a similar process of integration on an international scale. This process is largely driven by the
continuing popularity and attraction of the Western model of secular liberal democracy, Enlightment values, and capitalist
economics. It is the success of this model that has provoked the violence against it, not its failure. [N]eed to ask why so many
people... recently came to view the apparently ineluctable process of Westernisation. [T]he arithmetic of terrorism means that
you only need a small shift in public opinion to create enough angry individuals to cause a major problem... The appeal of the
West is founded not just on a dream of a high level of material comfort but also on the satisfaction of basic and universal
human values such as dignity, protection of life and justice. This gives West considerable moral capital,.. a fragile commodity...
profligately spent in recent years... But for all the clumsiness with which the misconceived ‛war on terror‛ has been handled,
the attraction, however conflicted, of ‛the West‛ for billions of people remains our greatest strength. Remember that and, over
10 or 20 years, it will become clear bin Laden‛s life or death will indeed have no significance. He and his kind will have been
consigned to the history books". Related Burke volume is:On the Road to Kandahar(Bond Street Books 06 or St. Martin‛s Press
07)"From one of world‛s leading experts..how we are to get to grips with radical Islam/what it really means".
Mayra Buvinic,"Women in Poverty: A New Global Underclass"in Foreign Policy Number 108 (Fall 1997):-there is disturbing
evidence that increased national income and female employment has not preventedlowered living standards for the poorest
women - particularly single parents. Investment in family-planning and health services, education, credit, infrastructure, etc.
to their benefit pays big dividends. Some claim it is the world's best.
Barry Buzan and Gerald Segal, Anticipating the Future: Twenty Millennia of Human Progress(London: Simon & Schuster
1998):-this book is both stimulating and misleading -points made in Reviews in both The Economist 14 Feb 98(12)and Foreign
Affairs Vol.77/No.2(Mar/Apr 1998)(134-9). In spite of its title, almost entire book deals with broad sweep of human past and
present, in order to put 1998 and our possible futures into focus. It does it clearly/usefully if in fairly orthodox terms. "Future"
section anticipates UN system stymied, mainly by US, requiring replacement. My criticism is that it underestimates depth and
acceleration of current global change(INTRODUCTION or Bull-op.cit.).
Kevin M.Cahill edit. Preventive Diplomacy: Stopping Wars Before They Start(New York: Basic Books 96):-unusually
valuable/varied source of information/views on UN issues by 20 top experts in their fields. While "preventive action" and
medical parallel provide unifying theme of sorts, each(UN/diplomatic/NGO/government/medical, etc. background) provides
unique and often unexpected focus. A good trend!
Frances Cairncross The Death of Distance: How the Communications Revolution Will Change Our Lives(Boston: Harvard
Business School 97):-superb survey for non-experts. Major globally-relevant points:distance will no longer determine costs
of electronic communication; location will no longer be key in most business decisions; most people will get access to
omni-address, two-way, picture-capable, selective filterablenetworks; global bonds will join like-minded; roles of home and
office will become blurred; distanceeducation will be easy; there will be rapid and global information dispersal; qualified people
will become ultimate scarce resources; state info-control and privacy will both be reduced; while there will be global pay
levelling for similar work, there will be more divergence by job; global/urban migration will lessen as standards level; taxes
will be harder to collect, so they will be lowered to attract skills; cities will concentrateless work but more culture; English will
strengthen its global role, but cultures will generally be reinforcedby new opportunities; written communication will improve
in quality; governments will become moresensitive to public views; cause of peace will be helped by mutual experience/needs
among people. Many trends will stress increased global cooperation. See also Brief: TV globalization Economist 29 Nov
97(71-2). Overall, many predictions would strengthen both global human rights and equality.
Frances Cairncross, "A Survey of E-Management: Inside the Machine" The Economist 11 Nov 00(1-40):-while aimed at
business, text relevant to development, economics/finance/ jobs/education, globalization, government, HR, law, S&T, many
UN roles. "Change has not only become more rapid, but also more complex and more ubiquitous" (5). Behind resulting
uncertainty in all forms of management liesInternet/related technologies, whose evolution/impact only just starting. It offers
new communicationsand distribution channel, market place, information system, and tool for creating goods and services,
all driven by dramatic falls in cost of handling/transmitting information. It produces "almost instant" andpossibly huge
productivity gains, at minimal expense for hard- and soft-ware, but demands ten times that investment in new "organizational
capital" .Survey analyses: internal communications; links with suppliers/sources and customers/consumers; organizational
changes; good e-management. Last needs:1.Speed;2.Good People;3.Openness;4.Collaboration Skills;5.Discipline;6.Good
Communications;7.Content-Management Skills;8.Customer Focus;9.Knowledge Management;10.Leadership by Example.
Frances Cairncross "A Survey of Illegal Drugs: High Time" The Economist 28 Jul 01(1-16):- excellent report on global status,
system and knowledge of illegal drugs. It makes strong case for their legalization, aimed mainly at current situation in US. In
essence, drug industry consists of production, transport and sale of "simple agricultural extracts and chemical compounds...
for astonishing prices[, which] directly reflect the ferocious efforts by the rich countries to suppress [them]". Effect is to create
huge -and highly profitable- escalation from production to import to retail prices. Per kilo, farmers get $90 for opium and $610
for coca leaves. Import prices of resulting heroin and cocaine are about 10-15% of retail prices in rich countries, where heroin
can sell for $290,000 and cocaine powder for $110,000 per kilo. Annual global tobacco sales total $204b; alcohol $252b; rough
guesses of illegal drugs sales vary: $150b(author); $400b(UN)(3). Much material is derived from a major new study: Robert
MacCoun & Peter Reuter Drug War Heresies: Learning from Other Vices, Times, and Places(Cambridge Univ. Press).
Cairncross argues that, while not underestimating harm drug misuse can do to individuals and "moral fury drug-taking can
arouse,.. outrage has turned out to be a poor basis for policy". In US, where anti-drug policy costs $35-40b a year, it has
"eroded civil liberties, locked up unprecedented numbers of young blacks and Hispanics... corroded foreign policy [and]
proved a dismal rerun of [Prohibition. Yet as US now] probably consume[s] more drugs per head... than most other
countries[,its]experience demonstrates the awkward reality that there is little connection between the severity of a drugs
policy... and prevalence of use... At the heart of the debate... lies a moral question: what duty does the state have to protect
individual citizens from harming themselves?"(4/5). Here she supports John Stuart Mills' "On Liberty" :'Over himself, over his
own body and mind, the individual is sovereign'. "So a first priority is to look for measures that reduce the harm drugs do, both
to users and to society at large" (5). "Big Business" describes recent history and current structure of global drugs industry:
where and how drugs originate, are processed, shipped, and sold and who is involved at various stages/places. In sum: "drugs
industry is simple and profitable. Its simplicity makes it relatively easy to organize; its profitability makes it hard to stop. At
every level, its pricing and its structure are shaped by the high level of risk from enforcement" (6). "Choose Your Poison"
discusses who uses drugs and why. Most drug users live in the poor world (China, Pakistan, Colombia). Future growth will
be concentrated in developing countries and former USSR. Markets with big money are in rich world - which also prefers drugs
with fewest side-effects and least likely to cause addiction. Most drug users are "occasional dabblers", so a minority of users
account for bulk of consumption. "Most drugs do not appear to be physically addictive" (including cannabis and
amphetamines) but: "Heroin is a true addiction, with a recovery rate of 40-50%... With cocaine, the recovery rate is around 90%"
(9). A third of US heroin users are dependent (80% of cigarette smokers are addicted). Idea that soft drugs lead on to hard
drugs turns out to be nonsense. "The Harm Done" deals with drugs' negative effects on users and society. Abusing drugs
wrecks many lives. For those dependent, pleasure -often their original motive- "consists mainly of avoiding the pain of giving
up[; however, m]ost drug users ultimately stop when drugs no longer fit their lifestyle. [Also, with exception]of heroin, drugs
contribute to far fewer deaths among... users than... nicotine or alcohol[, and c]onsuming a drug is rarely the only cause of
death" (9)(dirty needles). Although drugs may affect brain activity (even cannabis might possibly do damage), The Lancet
concludes:" It would be reasonable to judge cannabis less of a threat than tobacco or alcohol", while it could help treat nausea,
appetite loss, pain and anxiety. Besides health problems, drugs have been linked to domestic violence, grogginess, bad
driving, and much petty crime. Here government is right to intervene - but best way is not necessarily to ban drugs. "Stopping
It" describes how governments try unsuccessfully to stop the flow of drugs. US Prohibition, though milder than its drug
policies, foreshadowed many current problems. Most important, "the attempt to stamp out drugs has had effects more
devastating than those of the drugs themselves" (10) - and on global stage. Because of vast profits, reflecting low costs/high
prices, suppression of drug-growing in some regions simply shifts production/related problems, with little durable effect on
supply. Even huge drug seizures do not affect prices, and essential corruption can be bought at all levels. Demand is also hard
to reduce despite harsh penalties, because of popular cultures,huge numbers who want to buy, and desperation of addicts.
"Collateral Damage" looks at varied indirect costs of criminalizing drugs. Among "victims": Law enforcement and legal system
are at minimum distorted, with investigative and court standards lowered and at worst corrupted. Mere drug users jailed (US
mandatory minimum: 5-10 years for possession of few grams of drugs) for usually harmless and (in Mill's sense) strictly
personal acts. Many released dangerously scarred, drug-addicted and/or HIV-infected. Basic civil liberties and freedom from
state intrusion are at minimum constrained. Education/social benefit/job impeding criminal records are branded on previously
non-criminal and perhaps exemplary citizens. US rate of incarceration for drug offences (74% black) is totally at odds with the
racial mix of drug users (13% black) because more blacks/Hispanics have to buy (vulnerably) on the street. Both huge US costs
of drug enforcement and substantial drug taxes are unavailable for better purposes, while criminals/rogue states enjoy
revenues of $80-100b a year. "Better Ways"probes various alternatives to enforcement for controlling drug use. Education is
a possibility, but apparently has at best limited effect. For habitual drug users, "harm reduction" is more promising (methadone
programs, needle-exchange centres, prescription heroin). Very successful Swiss program includes all three in its "heroin
maintenance" clinics. These care for 1000 most problematic of 33,000 Swiss heroin addicts. Most are given anti-addictive
heroin-substitute methadone, but most "chaotic" are initially given "pharmaceutical" heroin daily. They are not pushed towards
abstinence since: "People can tolerate regular doses of heroin for long periods, but if they give up for a period and then start
again, they run big risk of overdosing" (14). Of those who drop out of full "heroin maintenance", two-thirds move on to either
methadone or abstinence. Even while still on heroin, most can get full-time jobs, end trouble with police, and hardly ever
attempt suicide or contract HIV. Vast majority are also taking cocaine on first arrival (29%: daily) but after 18 months 93% take
it never or only occasionally (there is no "methadone" for cocaine). Dutch "principle of expediency" aims to "separate the
markets for illegal drugs to keep users of 'soft' ones away from dealers in the harder versions, and to avoid marginalising drug
users" (14). While cannabis remains illegal, some "coffee shops" may sell small quantities under strict rules without
prosecution. Both Swiss and Dutch governments want to legalize marijuana but restrain because UN convention prevents them
from (formally) legalizing" possession of and trade in cannabis". US opinion is moving in same direction, and several states
(plus Canada) already allow medical use of marijuana (73% of US supported this by 1999). "Set It Free" addresses issue of how
best to decriminalize drugs if it is so decided. They would effectively be put on par with tobacco and alcohol, and both
possession and trade would have to be legalised, but under systems which could reflect each drug's relative danger and with
appropriate quality control. Number of users would inevitably rise. (1)Prices would certainly be lower (maybe much lower)
since appropriate taxes could not be so high as to encourage smuggling and crime again. (2)Access to drugs would be easier
and quality-assured. (3)Social stigma against use of drugs would diminish. (4)Might be strong commercialization with
corresponding pressure to consume more. (5)Even with consumer age-limits, younger market is certain to grow. But "nobody
knows quite what drives the demand for drugs"(16); it may respond most to price, to fashion, to social standards - or to local
culture. Hence best to move slowly, thus building experience, and cautiously start with just marijuana and amphetamines.
International cooperation is needed to "minimise drug tourism and smuggling" (UN role?). Hard drugs should be sold only
through licenced outlets (pharmacies?). Above is well summarized in Editorial "The Case For Legislation" (11-12), although
it makes "stronger case for principle" (John Stuart Mill) and terrible harm drug trade in doing in poor world. Finally it notes
that good health and safety rules could be applied. Economist 25 Aug 01 Letters: "Legalising Drugs" (16-7):-includes number
of reactions to above. Majority raise disagreement, but all are thoughtful and constructive.
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace/FP Special Report"China Rising: How the Asian Colossus Is Changing Our World"
Foreign Policy No.146(Jan/Feb 05):-in fall 04, Carnegie "convened some of world's leading thinkers on China to take stock of
political/economic consequences of country's rapid ascent [www.CarnegieEndowment.org/ChinaProgram]. FP asked seven
of these experts to weigh in on implications of Middle Kingdom's return to greatness". Jonathan D.Spence"The Once And
Future China":-investigates: What of China's past could be a harbinger for its future? Concludes "These are the memories
and the territorial histories [including Taiwan] that China has to juggle as it embarks on its myriad new challenges and
opportunities". Zbigniew Brzezinski & John J.Mearsheimer engage in Debate on"Clash of the Titans":-Is China more interested
in money than missiles? Will US seek to contain China as it once contained Soviet Union? ZB and JM go head-to-head on
whether these two great powers are destined to fight it out. Titles of thoughtful sequence: ZB: Make Money, Not War. JM: Better
to Be Godzilla than Bambi; i.e.powerful China is likely to try to push US out of Asia. ZB: Nukes Change Everything. JM:
Showing the US the Door. ZB: US's Staying Power. JM: It's Not a Pretty Picture. Martin Wolf"Why Is China Growing so Slowly?
:-For all its success, China is still not living up to its potential."Do not think China's rapid growth is either extraordinary or a
flash in the pan. It is neither. Social and political obstacles to China's rapid growth are considerable. But the opportunity
remains enormous. China's economic boom could well be in its middle, not its end." Ashley J.Tellis"A Grand Chessboard"
:-Beijing seeks to reassure the world that it isgentle giant; it knows that US is casting a wary eye in its direction."Strategy of
emphasizing peaceful ascendancy in word and deed will likely satisfy Chinese interests until it becomes a true rival of US."
Homi Kharas"Lifting All Boats":-Why China's great leap is good for the world's poor. China has become the center of a virtuous
regional trade cycle."For the developing world, it's something to emulate, not fear." Minx Pei "Dangerous Denials":-China's
economy is blinding the world to its political risks. "The only thing certain about China's... risks is that they are on the rise."
The Economist"China: No Sign of a Landing"29 Jan 05(39-40):-supports FP views by emphasizing that "China... continues to
grow at breakneck speed". National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) had declared that economy grew by 9.5% in 2004,"its fastest
clip in eight years", and probably an accurate or low figure for a change. NBS in fact "put a brave face on the figure, attributing
quickened pace of growth... to stronger than expected performances in agriculture and services - the parts of economy China
still wants to boost... Encouragingly, government's cooling measures... do not appear to have affected consumer spending.
Growth of retail sales of consumer goods remained strong during the year...This offers some hope investment can be curbed
without a sharp slowdown... First results from the census are due in August, and complete data by the middle of next year.
Whatever they reveal, it is unlikely to be that China has been wildly overstating its GDP growth figures". Jim Yardley "Fearing
Future, China Starts to Give Girls Their Due"New York Times 31 Jan 05:-reports on an important cultural concern. "Government
credits [so-called one-child] policy for sharply slowing China's population growth [300m less], but critics say it is a major
reason many families now use prenatal scans and selective abortions to make certain their child is a boy. [Hence] reversing
birth imbalance between boys and girls cannot be postponed... Nationwide ratio has reached 119 boys for every 100 girls. [I]n
a few decades China could have up to 40m bachelors unable to find mates. [Reason:] most Chinese parents, particularly in
rural areas, prefer sons. [A]ll parents, worried about their old age, know Chinese tradition holds that a son must care for his
parents. A daughter, on the other hand, marries into husband's family. In countryside, where no real social safety net, a son
is considered equivalent of pension. [Recently,] fiscal incentives [are] intended to give monetary value to girls and, by doing
so, reduce incentive to abort them. Even so, limited scope of program has reduced its impact. [Also,] attitudes hard to change
in male-dominated China. Joseph Kahn "China to Cut Taxes on Farmers and Raise Their Subsidies"NYT 03 Feb 05:-"Chinese
officials are promising to reduce taxes on peasants and increase farm subsidies to improve the lot of 800m rural residents left
behind in the fast-growing economy. Measures... are intended to slow the surging wealth gap between urban/rural residents,
major source of social discontent and perhaps the greatest challenge for governing Communist Party... Last year average
urban income 3.2 times as much as average rural income, one of the biggest urban-rural divides in the world. [G]overnment
has injected hundreds of billions of dollars into developing urban coastal areas while maintaining tight controls over farmland
and peasants to ensure steady supplies of grain and surplus labor. [O]ne potential key lies in creating a market for farmland
that resembles the one for urban land".
Thomas Carothers"Democracy: Think Again"Foreign Policy Number 107(Summer 97):- challenges a number of widespread
assumptions about democracies: e.g. there are many forms; democracy cannot be exported; one is easily identifiable; new
ones are most threatened by coups and/or cannot carry out tough economic reforms; they don't fight each other; economic
and political development go together.
Thomas Carothers"Civil Society: Think Again"Foreign Policy No.117(Winter 99-00):-contends that "civil society's worth as a
concept has soared far beyond its demonstrated returns...[The original 18th century idea was a]" domain parallel to but
separate from the state... where citizens associate according to their own interests and wishes" (18). It revived in the 1990s
as dictatorships conceded, political parties ossified, government retracted, technology made grouping easy/powerful. Broader
than do-good NGOs, the concept spans all interest groups outside state and market. The ends of such groups can be good,
bad, bizarre, and conflicting. They can strengthen or weaken both democracy and dictatorship(NAACP; NRA; Hitler Youth;
Solidarity), and a strong civil society is not essential for democracy or economic success(Japan); it can hurt(Latin American
unions). Civil society and the state are not rivals but complementary, and many groups get state funds. "Global" civil society
may be ancient, artificial, even hateful.
Geoffrey Carr, "The Alchemists: A Survey of the Pharmaceutical Industry" in The Economist 21 Feb 98(1-18):-Survey claims
scientific/technological revolution is sweeping this industry. It describes new technologies being developed and used,
examines huge present/probable future changes in industry'sstructure, and asks what this could mean for future health care.
Anticipates:(1)increase in range of diseases treatable with drugs; (2)increase in drug precision and effectiveness;(3)increase
in ability to anticipate disease. Each trend is accelerated by new genetic insights and will have major global impact. But
terriblerich-poor economic issue of drug patents/costs: unprobed.
Ashton B.Carter"How To Counter WMD"Foreign Affairs Vol.83/No.5(Sep/Oct 04):-ex-US Assistant Secretary of Defense (under
Clinton)and currently Co-director, Harvard Preventive Defense Project, writes just when:most are concerned that US attacked
Iraq by mis-claiming WMD threat; US presidential election imminent. Concerned that since 11 Sep crisis, US
"counterproliferation policies have not been overhauled" ,and" it has made no new efforts to prevent nonstate actors such
as terrorists from getting their hands on WMD." He truly decrees much reliable advice on countering the serious terrorist/WMD
dangers to the entire global audience, and not to Washington only. His basic view:" WMD generally applies to nuclear,
biological, chemical weapons; ballistic missiles; more recently'dirty bombs,'ordinary explosives containing some radioactive
material. But this definition is too broad. Chemical weapons are not much more lethal than conventional explosives/hardly...
WMD label. Similarly, long-range ballistic missiles especially destructive only if they have nuclear or biological warhead, and
so should not be considered separate category. Dirty bombs cause local contamination and costly priority. Primary focus of
counterproliferation policy, therefore, should be nuclear and biological weapons...True overhaul of counterproliferation policy
would recognize that, like defense against terrorism, defense against WMD must be multilayered and comprehensive. Such
reforms would aim to eliminate threat of nuclear terrorism entirely by denying fissilematerials to nonstate actors and...prepare
to contain scale of most likely forms of bioterrorism to minor outbreaks. It would revamp outdated arms control agreements,
expand counterproliferation programs,...improve way intelligence on WMD is collected and analysed.[W]ould favor countering
WMD with non-nuclear rather than nuclear measures. And it would at last develop coherent strategies for heading off...most
pressing nuclear proliferation threats." Substantial article then amplifies all these points.
Thomas Carters"Democracy Without Illusions" in Foreign Affairs Vol.76/No.1(Jan/Feb 97):-notes that recent hopes for almost
universal establishment of democratic governments have been disappointed by revival in many states of authoritarian regimes
or practices. Yet some retrenchment does not eliminate underlying trend of progress.
Nayan Chanda Bound Together: How Traders, Preachers, Adventurers, and Warriors Shaped Globalization(New Haven: Yale
Univ Press 07):-this fascinating survey of the development of globalization since 6000BCE is valuable as a unique reminder -
to specialists in history, politics, economics, religion, movement, technology, science, etc - of how their own knowledge
relates to other specialized information, and to the present/future of the intense/expanding relations across this planet. (This
aim corresponds exactly with my purpose in this information source.) Style is amusing, and novel in all areas but one's
expertise, so it is delicious/constructive in all unstudied fields and hence globally constructive. Final para offers view that fits
closely with that in Christopher Spencer Oct 06(op.cit.):"We benefit from all that the world has to offer, but we think only in
narrow terms of protecting the land and people within our national borders - the borders that have been established only in
the modern era. [All that separates us] from the rest of the world... cannot change the fact that we are bound together through
the invisible filament of history. [W]e know how we have reached where we are and where we may be headed. We are in a
position to know that the sum of human desires, aspirations, and fears that have woven our fates together can neither be
disentangled nor reeled back. But neither are we capable of accurately gauging how this elemental mix will shape our planet's
future. Still, compared to the past... we are better equipped to look over the horizon at both the dangers and the opportunities
...There is no alternative to rising above our tribal interests: over the centuries to come, our destinies will remain inextricably
bound together. [W]e can attempt to nudge our rapidly integrating world toward a more harmonious course - because we are
all connected".
Michael Chertoff"The Responsibility to Contain: Protecting Sovereignty Under International Law" (130-147) Foreign Affairs
Vol.88/No.1(Jan/Feb 09):-official summary:"A new framework of international law that confronts modern threats is long
overdue. If it is to revive the legitimacy of international law, this order must be predicated on a new principle, under which
individual states assume reciprocal obligations to contain transnational threats emerging from within their borders".
Emphasized extracts:"Those who challenge the relevance of consent often treat 'sovereignty' as a pejorative term or an
antiquated concept". "If US withdraws from international legal institutions to protect its national interests, everyone will lose".
"The most serious threats to sovereignty today do not necessarily come from the official acts of other states". "International
law has no business interfering with the US domestic system of justice". "States can no longer hide behind seventeenth-century concepts of sovereignty in world of twenty-first-century dangers". Chertoff: US Secretary of Homeland Security. Views
expressed are his own.
Erskine Childers edit., Challenges to the United Nations: Building a Safer World (New York: St. Martin's Press 95):-useful but
uneven collection of essays on the various elements of the UN's responsibilities. Although most of the authors included tend
to blame the selfish, rich world for all the UN's failures and imperfections, those dealing with human rights and humanitarian
challenges are both informative and balanced.
Jarat Chopra edit. "Special Issue on Peace-Maintenance Operations" Global Governance Vol.4/ No.1 (Jan/Mar 98):- since Cold
War end, UN has undertaken many peace-related operations of new complexity and scale(often called second-generation).
Several (Bosnia/ Rwanda/ Somalia) deficient for multiple reasons(mandate/management/resources). Papers analyse peace-
maintenance system where UN exercises(some)political authority to harmonize diplomatic/ humanitarian/military/other civil
aspects of operations if local systems fail.Authority-Knight; Administration-Morphet; Humanitarianism-Donini; Law-Plunkett;
Military-Cousens; Accepting Authority-Adibe.
Jarat Chopra, "United Nations Peace-Maintenance" (312-40)in Martin Ira Glassner edit. The United Nations at Work (Westport:
Praeger 98):-more uniform/all-embracing case for idea of flexible UN multi-functional governance role than made in Global
Governance(Jan/Mar 98)(Ibid.).Hedges "failed states" / "trusteeships" as politically sensitive terms, although many analysts
suspect these may be toughest UN "peace/order/good government" challenges for 21st century, particularly in Africa. Surveys
history of all UN "peace" operations, and concludes its greatest current problems weak orchestration of complex emergencies,
and inclination to act as mediator when creation of order is first priority, followed by nurturing of stable democratic society.
Kosovo(which post-dates writing)would seem more what Chopra has in mind, though with full UN political authority.
Jarat Chopra & Tanja Hohe "Participatory Intervention" Global Governance Vol.10/No.3(Jul-Sep 04):-both authors served in
UN Transitional Administration in East Timor(UNTAET)and offer thoughtful ideas abouthow UN should optimally build/modify
political systems in troubled/new states - a responsibility that isgrowing in UN numbers and importance globally. Experience
with administration intervention in Cambodia, East Timor, Kosovo, Namibia, and Somalia has been imperfect, but educational
as to how future responsibilities could be improved by more carefully considering what actually constitute the "front lines"
- "the level of local administration. Here, Western-style paradigm of state building, which ispreoccupied with forming a
national executive, legislature, and judiciary, confronts resilient traditional structures, socially legitimate powerholders,
abusive warlords out to win, or coping mechanisms communities rely on under conflict conditions. Options for establishment
or reconstruction of governing institutions seem stark: either reinforce status quo and build on it, further empowering the
already strong;or replace altogether what exists with new administrative order. But there may be middle road." Essay analyses
latter.
Amy Chua WORLD ON FIRE: How Exporting Free Market Democracy Breeds Ethnic Hatred and Global Instability(New York:
Doubleday 03):-this easy-to-read 350page survey of special political/economic/social problems in many parts of the world has
generated good reviews and more influence. Its strong warning is not against either globalization trade or pure democracy
in developing countries, but against pressing these ideas too quickly when rich but unpopular minorities dominate their
economies - widely common situation that is carefully described. She concludes by first naming three goals: "[1] the best
economic hope for developing and post-socialist countries lies in some form of market-generated growth; [2] thebest political
hope for these countries lies in some form of democracy, with constitutional constraints,tailored to local realities; [3] avoiding
ethnic oppression and bloodshed must be a constant priority. But if these goals are to be achieved - if global free market
democracy is to be peaceably sustainable - thenthe problem of market-dominant minorities, however unsettling, must be
confronted head-on. [Finally, four specific "tonics" are addressed:] (1) the possibility of 'leveling the playing field'between
market-dominant minorities and the impoverished 'indigenous' majorities around them; (2) ways of getting thepoor, frustrated
majorities of the world a greater stake in global markets; (3) ways of promoting liberalrather than illiberal democracies; and
(4) approaches that market-dominant minorities themselves might take to forestall majority-based, often murderous
ethnonationalist backlashes". Chapter sub-titles showwhere and how these major challenges exist and must be addressed:
(1)Chinese Minority Dominance in Southeast Asia; (2)'White'Wealth in Latin America; (3)The Jewish Billionaires of
Post-Communist Russia; (4)Market-Dominant Minorities in Africa; (5)Ethnically Targeted Seizures and Nationalizations;
(6)Crony Capitalism and Minority Rule; (7)Expulsions and Genocide; (8)Assimilation, Globalization, and the Case of
Thailand;(9)From Jim Crow to the Holocaust;(10)Israeli Jews as a Regional Market-Dominant Minority; (11)US as a Global
Market-Dominant Minority; (12)The Future of Free Market Democracy.
Bruce Clark, "A Survey of NATO: Knights in Shining Armour?" (1-18)The Economist 24 Apr 99:-extremely useful in several
respects. Provides history of NATO's gradually - now rapidly - changing role(s), (un)popularity,(dis)unity. Describes how "most
successful military alliance in history" suddenly lost its raison d'etre; then altered from new trans-European-US security entity,
swamped with new applicants and proud of its Bosnian role, to frustrated military giant in Kosovo, seen by many as having
acted illegally and unnecessarily, with future dependent on solving complex puzzle of own making. Also outlines functional
dilemmas facing military allies equipped/trained decades apart technologically. Finally, survey coversNATO's split over
whether it plays global role in(UN-sponsored) multilateral combat interventions which it alone has weapons, training, cohesion
to handle.
Walter Clarke & Jeffrey Herbst "Somalia and the Future of Humanitarian Intervention" Foreign AffairsVol.75/No.2(Mar/ Apr
96):-fine account of errors/lessons of UN operation in Somalia. Concludes that, in failed states, UN operations cannot be either
short or neutral, and may require installation of full UN administration.
Walter J.Clemens, Jr, Dynamics of International Relations: Conflict and Mutual Gain in an Era of Global
Interdependence(Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield 98):-well-organized introductory text on IR, helpful to students or those first
looking at global issue(s). Chapters:(1)Is IR "Winner-Take-All?" Can It Be Mutual Gain?(2)How to Win at Peace: Creating New
World Orders;(3)Foreign Policy Decision Making: Do IndividualsCount?(4)Why Wage War? Does It Pay to Fight?(5)Power and
Influence:What Wins?(6)Why Arm?CanSwords Become Plowshares? (7)Negotiating Conflict:How Can Foes Become Partners?
(8)Nationalism and World Order: Peoples at Risk? (9)Intervention and Mediation: How Can Outsiders Help?(10)Democracy and
Authoritarianism: What Impact on International Peace and Prosperity?(11)Wealth of Nations: West Meets East(12)Challenges
of Development: South Meets North(13) Transitions: CanSecond World Join First?(14)Ecopolitics: Health of
Nations(15)Organizing for Mutual Gain:UN, Europe and Nonstate Actors(16)International Protection of Human Rights:Sham
or Revolution? (17)Alternative Futures.
Walter J.Clemens, Jr, "From AD 2000 to AD 2025: Six Alternative Futures" International Journal Vol.LIV/No.2 (Spring
99):-interesting/balanced exercise in futurology using relatively conservative global views to create believable: (1)Unipolar
Stability: benign US hegemony extends most current/surprise-free globaltrends.(2) Fragmented Chaos: environmental-
pandemic-autarkic fears come true; global injustice provokesanger/violence; WMDs proliferate; China turns unstable; all
reflecting a low level of global cooperation.(3)Hegemon Challenged: China becomes powerful bully; either intimidates or is
faced down by US.(4)Bipolar Cooperation: China turns democratic/cooperative.(5)Multipolar Cooperation: Most countries turn
democratic/prosperous.(6)Global Governance Without World Government: trans-national civil society andgovernments share
powers at many levels. Interdependence may force the last.
Harlan Cleveland, Birth of a New World: An Open Moment for International Leadership(San Francisco: Jossey-Bass Publishers
93):-post-Cold War book by a top US diplomat/administrator who does not advocate a Pax Americana. Offers succinct
description of many changes in, and dynamic characteristics of, post-industrial world.
Roger A.Coate edit.U.S. Policy and the Future of the United Nations(New York: Twentieth Century Fund 94):-fine essays on
UN political/organizational problems and realistic proposals retain global value sinceissues remain relevant and/or reforms
underway. Spiers proposes administrative/structural/peacemaking/ financial reforms. Coate urges inter-agency/ intra-
government coordination of UN system. Blechman looks at new intra-state conflict/ preventive action challenges. Graham
surveys IAEA proliferation/enforcement needs. Abram urges enforcement of human rights/humanitarian law. Loescher
examines new scale/originsof refugees/displaced persons. Gordenker discusses WHO role/problems. Sessions/Steever explore
challenges/constraints on Commission on Sustainable Development. Leonard picks UN priorities: security/
economy/environment/humanitarian action/human rights.
Richard Cockett"Chasing the Rainbow: A Survey of South Africa"The Economist 08 Apr 06(1-12) :- official summary of Survey:
"Since end of apartheid, South Africa has moved closer to becoming the 'rainbow nation'of Nelson Mandela's vision. But not
nearly close enough yet". Highlights of broad introductory essay: "South Africa has plotted its own course to relative stability,
democracy and prosperity[, and is even] beginning to lead continent in entirely new way. [P]ost-apartheid government [African
National Congress(ANC) now under President Thabo Mbeki] has managed to build 1.9m new homes, connect 4.5m households
to electricity, provide 11m homes with running water. Targets for raising living standards aremost ambitious on the continent.
However, South Africa still deeply scarred by legacy of apartheid[- with that] geography very much intact... Now sense of
impatience over pace of change[:] for many...'rainbow nation'has slowed to a crawl[,so] government well aware of this, and
now intervening in more areas of national life to try to speed up change. [Yet] from education to foreign policy to
crime-fighting, people have found creative solutions to many of their problems. That creativity is South Africa's most
impressive asset, and increasingly comes from poorest and historically most disadvantagedof communities - nowbuilding
their own ladders out of poverty. [F]or all the good economic news, government is lookingpolitically more vulnerable than at
any time since 1994 [defeat of apartheid] for simple reason: little [GDP]growth has benefited [ANC's] core supporters - poor
and black. [U]nemployment [formally up to] about 27% [as new jobs] not enough to keep pace with number of new entrants
into labour market. [O]ther big problem is rising inequality[:] number of people living on poverty line may be rising. [ANC
economic]prudence paid off, bringing economic stability and launching consumer boom. But [it] did not create enough
jobs[/investment]. So now ANC looking... at disgruntled activists who feel let down. [It plans]more money for program of social
grants[mainly child support/pensions to about 10m out of 47m, plus]370b rand over next 3 years on public works, mainly
infrastructure/tourism, to boost jobs and create more [leveling] demand. Longer-term aims: growth rate to 6% by 2010; halve
unemployment/poverty by 2014. [Dangers] twin bottlenecks.:. severe skills shortage and failure to deliver services at local
level".Final points, also in Editorial"Term Limits in Africa: When Enough Is Enough"(18):"With many leading politicians
discredited, continent needs a strong South Africa. Also needs South Africa prepared to go beyond its strickly African agenda,
and to deliver on its commitments to good governance, human rightsand democracy enshrined in new vision of African Union
and Nepad [New Partnership for Africa's Development]. These are very much South Africa's creations. It is time for Africa's
leading democracy to cast off its humility and diffidence - and perhaps even to throw its weight around for these causes".
Eliot A.Cohen "History and the Hyperpower" Foreign Affairs Vol.83/No.4(Jul/Aug 04):-vast US scope, in comparison with any
other state or group of states, gives it both capacities and opposition of past major empires(e.g. Rome, Britain), but its global
interests/roles are unique and controversial. Author contendswell worth while to compare US positions and potential with
historical styles/events/problems. "Historicalanalogy making rounds of late is notion that US today is an empire that can and
should be compared with imperial powers of past...Casual talk of Pax Americana...implies that US is following pattern of
imperial dominance that holds precedents and lessons. Metaphor of empire merits neither angry rejection nor gleeful embrace.
It instead deserves careful scrutiny, because imperial history contains analogies and parallels that bear critically on current
US predicament."
Roberta Cohen & Francis M.Deng, Masses in Flight: The Global Crisis of Internal Displacement (Washington: Brookings
98):-thorough, containing many sound proposals. Written by Deng as UNSG representative on internally displaced
persons(IDP).Numbers are big and growing(20-25m IDPs vs 20m refugees)affecting multiple UN roles(humanitarian/
humanrights/ development/ peace/ sovereignty) and bodies (DMTS/ECHA/ERC/IOM/OCHA/ODIHR(UNHQ)/ UNDP/UNHCR/
UNICEF/UNIFEM/UNRWA/ WFP/WHO).Sections: Global View; Legal issues; Institutional issues; NGOs (Red Cross/Voluntary
Agencies Council/etc.); Regional Groups; some Strategies/ Proposals; IDP Guiding Principles. For excellent summary of book
by authors see "Exodus Within Borders" Foreign Affairs Vol.77/No.4(Jul/Aug 98).
Roberta Cohen "The Guiding Principles on Internal Displacement: An Innovation in International Standard Setting" Global
Governance Vol.10/No.4(Oct.-Dec. 04):-includes how and why global concern about internally displaced persons(IDP) has
developed, particularly since Cohen/Deng source of 98(op.cit.). "It was not until 90s that absence of international system for
IDPs began to be noticed and more traditional notions of sovereignty questioned. One of vivid examples of change in attitude
was new set of international standards to protect persons forcibly uprooted in their own countries - Guiding Principles on
Internal Displacement. Introduced into UN Commission on Human Rights 98, they set forth rights of IDPs and obligations of
governments/international community toward these populations...GPs recast sovereignty as form of national responsibility
toward one's vulnerable populations with role provided forinternational community when governments did not have
capacity/willingness to protect their uprootedpopulations. Although not legally binding instrument like treaty, GPs quickly
gained substantial internationalacceptance/authority.[Article analyses] origin/development of GPs, reasons for growing
international usage,validity of reservations about them, and question whether process that developed them truly constitutes
turning point in standard setting reflecting greater role for NGO community in developing internationalnorms of conduct for
states."
Leonard A.Cole The Eleventh Plague: The Politics of Biological and Chemical Warfare(New York: W.H.Freeman 97):-three-way
view of problems raised by biological and chemical weapons. Part I reports on US attitudes towards, and activities in,
developing/controlling these weapons. Part II deals withpossession/use by Iraq, and varied psychological reactions of world
opinion, Israelis, and Iranian/US troops. Part III completes fine account of agents/ techniques involved, physical effects, and
latest users:terrorists. 96 report on major international proposals (BWC/CWC)to control such weapons notes thatWHO global
disease-watch would help treaty verification.
Isobel Coleman "The Payoff From Women's Rights" Foreign Affairs Vol.83/No.3(May/Jun 04):-three points strongly: women's
full rights critically important not just for women alone but for entire societies; most negative women's areas of world are both
curbed by old-style religion/culture and blocked economically;US can and must do more to improve this. First point:" Over
past decade, significant research has demonstrated what many have known for long time: women critical to economic
development, active civil society, good governance -especially in developing countries. Focus on women often best way
reduce birth rates/child mortality; improve health/nutrition/education; stem spread of HIV/AIDS; build robust/ self- sustaining
community organizations; encourage grassroots democracy... Women's status advanced in many countries: gender gaps in
infant mortality rates/calorie consumption/school enrollment/literacy levels/access to health care/political participation
narrowed steadily. These... benefited society at large/improving living standards/increasing social entrepreneurship/ attracting
foreign direct investment." Second point: "[S]ignificant gender disparities continues to exist, and in some cases to grow, in
three regions: southern Asia, Middle East, sub-Saharan Africa. [C]onstraints on women living in areas[are] conservative/
patriarchal practices, often reinforced by religious values." Third point: "[Deep tensions] between religious extremists and
those with more moderate/progressive views... evident in Saudi Arabia/Iraq/Afghanistan...to lesser extent Nigeria/Pakistan/
Indonesia. Resolution critical to progress...,for those that suppress women likely to stagnate economically/fail to develop
democratic institutions/become more prone to extremism." So urges US to intensify women's rights much more.
Isobel Coleman"The Better Half: Helping Women Help the World"(126-130) Foreign Affairs Vol.89/No.1 (Jan/Feb 10):-Review
Essay of Nicholas D.Kristof & Sheryl WuDunn: Half the Sky:Oppression Into Opportunity for Women Worldwide (Knopf 09).
Official summary:"Efforts to provide the world's women with economic and political power are more than just a worthy moral
crusade: they represent perhaps the best strategy for pursuing development and stability across the globe. [The $27.95 HC
320pp. book] is an insightful and inspiring call to action". [The review is very persuasive.] Coleman: Senior Fellow for US
Foreign Policy and Director of Women and Foreign Policy Program at Council on Foreign Relations. Her book Paradise
Beneath Her Feet: How Women Are Transforming the Middle East to be published by Random House this spring. For annotated
guide to this topic, see "What to Read on Gender and Foreign Policy" at www.foreignaffairs.com/readinglists/gender.
Paul Collier The Bottom Billion: Why the Poorest Countries Are Failing and What Can Be Done About It(New York: Oxford Univ
Press 07):-reviews praise this brilliant description of the world's poorest states and how they need unprecedented forms of
aid to escape their chronic dilemmas. Essence of argument by author in Preface (xi):"The problems these countries have are
very different from those we have addressed for the past four decades in what we have called 'developing countries' - that is,
virtually all countries besides the most developed, which account for only one-sixth of the earth's people. For all this time we
have defined developing countries so as to encompass five billion of the six billion people in the world. But not all developing
countries are the same. Those where development has failed face intractable problems not found in the countries that are
succeeding. We have, in fact, done the easier part of global development; finishing the job now gets more difficult. Finish it
we must, because an impoverished ghetto of one billion people will be increasingly impossible for a comfortable world to
tolerate... But to do so we will need to draw upon tools - such as military interventions, international standard-setting, and trade
policy - that to date have been used for other purposes.. To build a unity of purpose, thinking needs to change, not just within
the development agencies but among the wider electorates whose views shape what is possible". Text (200pp) is essential.
Paul Collier "The Politics of Hunger: How Illusion and Greed Fan the Food Crisis"(67-79) Foreign Affairs Vol.87/No.6(Nov/Dec
08):-official summary:"The food crisis could have dire effects on the poor. Politicians have it in their power to bring food prices
down. But doing so will require ending the bias against big commercial farms and genetically modified crops and doing away
with damaging subsidies - the giants of romantic populism, bolstered by both illusion and greed". [Criticism is particularly
aimed at US and Europe.] Collier is Professor of Economics and Director of Center for Study of African Economics at Oxford
Univ. and author of Bottom Billion.
Commitment to Development Index(CDI), "Ranking the Rich: 2004"in Foreign Policy(Co-Edited with Center for Global
Development(CGD))No.142(May/Jun 04)(46-56):-CDI in 2003 was a ranking of rich nationsaccording to how their policies help
or hinder social and economic development in poor countries. In2004, CGD/FP unveils...CDI that brings into sharper focus
which governments lead the global community in the challenge of development. "Why should rich countries care about
development in poor ones? For reasons both pragmatic and principled. In a globalizing world, rich countries cannot insulate
themselves from insecurity. Poverty and weak institutions are breeding grounds for public-health crises, violence, and
economic volatility. Fairness is another reason to care. No human being should be denied the chance to live free of poverty
and oppression, or to enjoy a basic standard of education and health. Yet richnations' current trade policies, for example, place
disproportionate burdens on poor countries, discriminatingagainst their agricultural goods in particular. Finally, the countries
ranked in the CDI are all democracies that preach concern for human dignity and economic opportunity within their own
borders. The index measureswhether their policies promote these same values in the rest of the world" .
Commonwealth Consultative Group on the Special Needs of Small States, Vulnerability: Small States in Global Society(London:
Commonwealth Secretariat Pubs. 85):-UN now includes many small and indeed micro-states(latter having populations of less
than 100,000).Almost any UN additions likely to be small in population and/or power, particularly if "Wilsonian" dictum strictly
followed: that all "nations" have right to self-determination. Report by global group of senior personalities one of few
authoritative sources focusing specifically on particular security problems of such states. It makes almost 80 realistic
recommendations; large number involving UN System.
Edward A.Comor"Governance and the`Commoditization'of Information"Global Governance Vol.4/No.2 (Apr-Jun 98):-critique
of one major element in James N.Rosenau"Governance in the Twenty-First Century"Vol.1/No.1(Winter 95) i.e. that "the rapid
and widespread application of international communication and information technologies...facilitate a...trend in which
governance becomes both more pervasive and disaggregated" (217). Comor argues there will be emerging power disparities
between the information haves and have-nots, because the information consumption potential of the two groups will vary,
favoured by the private sector and the dominant US policy in the WTO.
Gordon Conway, The Doubly Green Revolution: Food for All in the 21st Century (London: Penguin Books 97):-expert survey
of food problems and potential in developing countries. It offers specific advice oneradicating hunger and rapidly reducing
the 750m undernourished(as pledged at the World Food Summit)through a complex but realistic second Green Revolution.
Topics: global hunger and poverty; 2020 prospects; specific needs; the Green Revolution's successes; where it missed the
poor; pollution from pesticides and fertilizer; production trends and priorities; biotechnology; sustainable agriculture; farmers'
input; pest control; nutrients; soil and water management; other resources; food security.
Steven A.Cook"Adrift on the Nile: The Limits of the Opposition in Egypt"(124-130) Foreign Affairs Vol.88/No.2 (Mar/Apr 09):-careful review of : Bruce K.Rutherford Egypt After Mubarak: Liberalism, Islam, and Democracy in the Arab World(Princeton
Univ Press 08, 292pp):-official summary of review:"An ambitious effort to explain how the Muslim Brotherhood, the judiciary,
and the business sector can work in parallel, if not exactly together, to influence Egypt's political future". Cook is Senior Fellow
for Middle Eastern Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations.
James Cooper"Child Labour: Legal Regimes, Market Pressures and the Search for Meaningful Solutions"and John
English"'Imitating the Cries of Little Children': Exploitative Child Labour and the Growth of Children's Rights"International
Journal Vol.LII/ No.3(Summer 97):-paired articles, while advocating different approaches to this complex problem - and one
that can be locally very controversial, agree it must be met globally and positively, including through UNGA, ILO, WTO,
UNICEF. For a specific example of where pressure to end child labour locally (making soccer balls in Pakistan)was successful,
but created a number of economic side effects, see The Economist 08 Apr 00"After the Children Went to School"(72-3).
Daryl Copeland"Globalization, Enterprise, and Governance: What Does a Changing World Mean for Canada?"International
Journal Vol.LIII/No.1(Winter 1997-8):-takes worldwide approach despite title. Succinct but broad survey of globalization covers
both its rationale and effects: borderless business-first priorities; technological shrinking of time, space, and ignorance; job
insecurity and divergence; cultural convergence and ethnic reaction; structural standardization; uncontrolled finance. The
author fears the end of the welfare state. Mark S.Worrall State and Society in the Age of the Global
Economy"Vol.LIII/No.3(Summer 98) offers a friendly but more optimistic response. In his view " the state has been forced to
share its powers with suprastate, substate, and nonstate actors" . While "not the driving force behind globalization...[the state]
remains the single possible architect of the post-cold war order" . This in turn must include international institutions capable
of addressing new global issues. Top analyses.
Sonia Correa Population and Reproductive Rights: Feminist Perspectives from the South(London: Zed Books 94):-useful
explanation, from the (Third World) feminist point of view, of the important relationship between feminist and population
concerns and movements. Such views were very influential at recent UN World Conferences (e.g. Cairo and Beijing).
Donna Lee Van Cott Prospects for Self-Determination of Indigenous Peoples in Latin America: Questions of Law and
Practice"Global Governance Vol.2/No.1 (Jan-Apr 1996).- although the essay deals particularly with indigenous peoples in Latin
America, their problems and the self-determination questions raised relate to all UN issues of group rights and representation.
Robert Cottrell, "A Work in Progress: A Survey of Europe" The Economist 23 Oct 99(1-18):-key trends inera of rapid
globalization include:(1)increasing constraints on economic, financial, cultural autonomy of nation-states; (2)growing
intrusions into traditionally absolute domestic sovereignty, under security/human rights pressures; (3)institutional means by
which state of international anarchy being perceptibly contained. Since Europe has moved furthest/most deliberately in
following all three, this general, non-technical survey of main challenges facing European Union and their likely outcomes,
has immense global relevance. After setting scene historically, survey discusses in turn "five recent fundamental shifts in
structure of post-war Europe and its international relations" :(1)inversion of Franco-German balance in favour of
Germany;(2)emergence of strong sense leading EU countries should have capacity for collective military action separable from
NATO/US;(3)introduction of new common currency;(4)replacement of power ofEurocrats by Councils directly representing
national governments;(5)planned EU enlargement.
Robert Cottrell"Meet the Neighbours: A Survey of the EU's Eastern Borders"The Economist 25 Jun 05(1-16):-a cautiously
optimistic -and particularly economic - look at European Union's future, particularly as regards keen but poor countries to its
east. The very useful Introduction is summarized:"EU has been expanding by leaps and bounds. [Author]asks what happens
if it stops". The seven mostly-geographicchapters are carefully identified. "Transformed: EU membership has worked magic
in central Europe". "Climate Change: What post-communist countries need to flourish". "Taming the Balkans: Could EU
accession do the trick?" "A Bearish Outlook: EU's relations with Russia are bad and may get worse". "Too Big To Handle?:
Turkey's application to join EU is causing anxiety on both sides". "The 4% Solution: Getting closer to Europe is good for
economic growth". "The Shape of Things to Come: EU should go its different ways". Final section includes: "This survey has
argued for best-case result in which EU goes on using the power of membership to change the countries around it for the
better. But Europe is much less likely to find the energy/generosity for that strategy, now that it has lost its sense of
purpose/confidence in itself."
Tim Creery edit. "Human Rights:How Can Canada Make a Difference?" Report of Conference on Canada's Foreign Policy by
the Group of 78, Cantley, Quebec: 25-7 Sep 98:-contains keynote speech by Warren Allmand, President, International Centre
for Human Rights and Democratic Development(particular emphasis on decision to establish International Criminal Court);
discussions on Canada's Roles in Protection of Civil and Political Rights(through UN and OAS)and of Economic, Social and
Cultural Rights(through trade and development assistance); summaries of Discussion Groups on Constructive Engagement
or Confrontation towards Burma, China, Cuba, Nigeria, and former Yugoslavia; and summaries of statements on Rights of
Indigenous Peoples and official views on Progress and Challenges in Human Rights. Report also contains: Introduction,
Summary, Conclusions and Proposals.
Chester A. Crocker and Fen Osler Hampson, Managing Global Chaos: Sources of and Responses to International
Conflict(Washington: US Institute of Peace Press 96):-42 expert/practical essays(675pp)offeringnew facts/thinking regarding
global challenges, and how resulting conflicts might be met(e.g. by UN).Challenges include: many weak(or failed)states; ethnic
conflicts; religio-cultural militancy; population pressures; resource crises(shortages, disputes);global competition; radical
military technology(Adams op.cit.);mega-terrorism. Stress on preventive action.
Barbara Crossette, "Rethinking Population at a Global Milestone" ;Nicholas Wade, "Now, You Can Have 5,999,999,999 Friends"
; "Why Malthus Was Wrong" New York Times 19 Sep 99:-article and notes offeringfacts/ideas on world population. UN says
pass 6 billion about 12 Oct 99; growth rate: 1.31%(about 80m)/year or 148 people/ minute; life expectancy: 65 years; current
projected world total in 2050: 8.9 billion. Regarding Malthus, substantive point is that innovation has enabled food production
to increasemuch faster than was anticipated in 1798. (While population growth cannot produce global famine, seriouslocal
food/people imbalances cause 40 million a year to die of hunger.) Article compares population problems/policies of autocratic
China(1.2b)and democratic India(1b, but faster growth). China more successful improving human conditions, but many factors
affect policy choice/impact.
Barbara Crossette "Kofi Annan Unsettles Important People, as He Believes the U. N. Should Do" New York Times 31 Dec
99:-built around frank interview with UNSG, also contributes background, especially on UN-US relations. Annan, "soft-spoken
aristocrat from Ghana[and]quiet insider with gentle sense of humor welcomed as healer" at time of bad US-UN relations. Three
years after election, "turning out to be one of most provocative leaders[UN]ever known" . Speeches/reports castigate both UN
and major powers "for doing nothing in face of predictable catastrophes" (Rwanda, Srebenica)and hit fellow Africans for
shortcomings. Annan defends practical need for honest assessments and fault-finding, but has antagonized both Third World
and influential Americans. 99 UNGA speech arguing right to intervene in state affairs if leaders abusetheir people drew fear
from small nations and claims from senior US conservatives he was exceeding powers. Personal diplomatic initiatives(Iraq,
Libya)criticized, but he stressed he was only doing his job. Much of Annan's independence derives from his selection of strong
and expert advisors.
Barbara Crossette "U.N. Studies How Refugees Qualify to Get Assistance" New York Times 14 Jan 00:-UNSC debate on what
Roberta Cohen(Masses in Flight op.cit.)called "absurdity" ;Brookings: "one of most pressing humanitarian, human rights and
political issues now facing global community" . Most of 20m+ internally displaced persons(IDPs) ineligible to receive UN
assistance simply because not(yet)crossed border out of own country. Many forced from homes(often by own governments
who prefer world excluded); most in more danger/distress than those able to reach border; some interspersed
with/indistinguishable from "recognized" refugees; often far outnumber latter(Angola: 1-2m to 370,000).UNHCR Ogata stressed
how inherent IDP geographic/political/security problems made worse by WWII-vintage definitions. UNSCsupportive of new
rules/arrangements for new conditions, with UNHCR in charge.
Barbara Crossette "Advocates for Children Joining U.N. Peacekeeping Missions" New York Times 18 Feb 00:-for first time,
UN will assign full-time children's advocates to top operational staff abroad of all peacekeeping missions. Announced by Olara
A.Otunnu, Special Representative of SG for Children and Armed Conflict. First advocate assigned for Sierra Leone where
atrocities against(and by)children have been particularly serious, and two will be assigned to UN force in Congo, so far all from
UNICEF. Otunnu explained:" For protection and welfare of children to be taken seriously, and not be marginalized, we must
have[advocates]within central political structure" .Will advise Mission heads, coordinate all child assistance groups, determine
necessary programs for children and(since civil war combatants may ignore Conventions)also mobilize public opinion.
Barbara Crossette "The U.N.'s Unhappy Lot: Perilous Police Duties Multiplying" New York Times 22 Feb 00:-describes
challenge facing UN in finding/managing very large number of police officers demanded by new peacekeeping duties and
dangers.(For history of UN police activities, see Oakley op.cit.)UNPeacekeeping Operations' total staff of 400 must find/deploy
nearly 9,000 specially qualified officersimmediately(almost 5,000 for Kosovo, 2000+for Bosnia, 1,640 for East Timor).For first
time, UN police in Kosovo/East Timor have direct executive law enforcement powers and in Kosovo will be armed. Less than
half Kosovo force has arrived(and some returned as unqualified).Thus in assuming responsibility for law and order, UN police
activities not only grown but become more varied/complex/delicate/ hazardous. Many are worried that current assignments
will exceed UN capacity.
Barbara Crossette "Smuggling of Iraqi Oil Is Rising, U.N. Is Told" New York Times 24 Mar 00; "Annan Exhorts U.N. Council on
'Oil for Food'for Iraqis" 25 Mar 00; "Security Council Votes to Let Iraq Buy Oil Gear" 01 Apr 00; The Economist 12 Feb 00 "One
Man's Joy in Iraq" (41-2):-summaries ignore" current events" unless text has permanent/long-term significance. UN sanctions
against Iraq in 00 illustrate extremely well problems raised by chronic sanctions issues, and how they could influence both
Iraq and US by 01-03. Among those either inherent from start and/or critical by 00:(1)scale/variety/severity of sanctions
imposed(most ambitious UN pressure applied);(2)(dis)unity of SC members over sanctions' aims/targets/ costs/means(P5
increasingly split);(3)authority/popularity/mettle/world economic integration/ vulnerability /value of target regime(Saddam runs
tight political/media system, is personally at threat but tough about others, and holds pretty strong economic hand);(4)strategic
importance of target state/its people/friends/resources/military capacity/philosophy(Iraq both very strong/very weak).
Barbara Crossette, "U.N. Warns That Trafficking in Human Beings Is Growing" New York Times 25 Jun 00:-DG of UN Office
for Drug Control and Crime Prevention claims that trade in people is "fastest growing criminal market in ...world because
of...number of people...involved,..scale of profits being generated for criminal organizations - and...its multifold nature. We
don't have just sexual exploitation. We don't have just economic slavery[forced labor and debt enslavement]. We have also
a lot of exploitation of migrants. And we have classic slavery. If you put all this together...you get the biggest violation of
human rights in[world. R]eliable estimates indicate that 200m people may now be in some way under the sway or in the hands
of traffickers of various kinds." UN urges possibly giving temporary residence to would-be immigrants who assist in
identifying criminals and reintroduction of anti-slavery laws. Economist 24 Jun "Drugs and Slavery in Myanmar"
(48):-according to ILO, many of 1m Burmese refugees along Thai border reportincreasing reliance on slavery by Myanmar
regime. While ceasefires have been arranged with most ethnic rebel groups, military keeps control only by "using slaves to
build defences, roads and bridges. Locals are forced to clear land, act as porters for the army and provide housing. Refugees
claim that forced labourers are even made to march along[mined]roads...800,000 or so people...thought[by ILO]to beexploited
in this way" . Roger Cohen, "Europe Tries to Turn a Tide of Migrants Chasing Dreams" NYT 02 Jul:-motivated by death of 58
Chinese illegal immigrants in truck container in Dover, England, this article explains how and why EU has replaced North
America as the principal destination of asylum-seekers(and unnumbered illegal immigrants). In 1999 30,000 people applied
for asylum in US(compared with 127,000 in 1993), while more than 365,000 sought asylum in EU. Main change has been
collapse of USSR, opening up of new land routes to Europe from Asia. Moreover "increasingly well-organized criminal
groups...have emerged to coordinate smuggled passages into Europe largely closed to legal immigration" . Also:
"[P]enaltiesare far less severe than for drugs, the up-front investment much smaller, and the evidence has legs and tends to
run away" explains DG of International Organization for Migration. Finally, Europe is relatively cheap to reach illegally - from
China about half cost of transport to US. Economist 24 Jun "The Last Frontier" (63-4)adds that about 30m people are smuggled
across international borders every year(up to 500,000 into EU; 300,000 into US). This trade is worth $12-30b, most world traffic
being handled by about 50 specialized gangs. UK Immigration concludes: "[G]angs have infrastructures, communications and
surveillancecapabilities far in excess of anything that...law enforcement agencies in transit and source countries can muster,
and...chances of their activities diminishing is negligible" . Elisabeth Rosenthal, "Chinese Town's Main Export: Its Young Men"
NYT 26 Jun:-gives detailed firsthand description of how 80% of 20-40 year oldmen of one town, by working illegally in US, have
made it very prosperous, although full of "widows" .
Stewart Crysdale, Alan J. C. King, and Nancy Mandell, On Their Own? Making the Transition from School to Work in the
Information Age(Montreal & Kingston: McGill-Queen's Univ. Press, 1999). - rapid labor market changes are now global. This
also demands rapid change in educational content and methods. This book - basically sociology - examines the resulting
changes in the education-work transition. With education/work content undergoing their own transformations, it focuses on:
why are so many young people having suchdifficulty finding permanent jobs in a growing economy; and what can be done
to ease their transition into work? The conclusion is key factors are: education attained(increasingly need post-secondary),
present job level(look ahead), job goal(realistic),innovative career planning(expect regular retraining), stable employment(can
be learned), intrinsic satisfaction(can be taught),on-the-job training(eases transition/selection).
Robert A. Dahl, On Democracy(New Haven: Yale Univ. Press 98):-carefully thought out and well-writtenintroduction to a
complex and now globally-relevant subject. It asks and expertly responds to: Where/How Did Democracy Develop?; What is
democracy?;Why democracy?; Why Political Equality?;WhatInstitutions?:Scale Factors, Parties, Constitutions, Electoral
Systems; What Conditions FavorDemocracy?; Does Market-Capitalism Favor/Harm Democracy? Last Chapter, on Future of
Democracy, is most relevant to this bibliography. It concludes: 20th Century was "era of unparalleled triumph" (180)for
democracy, but its changing problems in evolutionary times make its future dependent on their solution. Market-capitalism
will continue, perhaps with its nature to create inequality softened. Globalizing trends will remain hard to democratize. Human
rights for disadvantaged will increase. Migration will raise cultural diversity in "old" democracies. Civic education in complex
societies must expand.
Gustav Daniker, The Guardian Soldier: On the Nature and Use of Future Armed Forces(Geneva: United Nations UNIDIR 36
95):-thoughtful analysis by Swiss military strategist of effects and opportunities brought by end of Cold War. He sees security
as multi-faceted, long-sighted, and aimed at stability - not destruction.
Richard DawkinsThe God Delusion(New York: Houghton Mifflin 06):-as with 06 Dennett/previous Dawkinsitems, many books
related to the controversial global roles of science vs religion are now becomingincreasingly critical - and influential(?). They
may ease or contribute to serious violence if the growing factual issues are not compromised in some manner. Dawkins is
not only 'a preeminent scientist'but offers an extraordinarily thorough critique of mainly Christian/Jewish theology as
supported by the Bibleand fundamentalism. Press outline includes:"With rigor and wit, Dawkins examines God in all his forms.
[E]viscerates the major arguments for religion and demonstrates the supreme improbability of a supreme being. [S]hows how
religion fuels war/foments bigotry/abuses children, buttressing his points withhistorical/contemporary evidence. [M]akes
compelling case: belief in God not just wrong but potentially deadly. [A]lso offers exhilarating insight into advantages of
atheism to the individual and society, not least of which is clearer/ truer appreciation of the universe's wonders than any faith
could ever master". Highlight(282):"Fundamentalists know they are right because they have read the truth in a holy book and
they know, in advance, that nothing will budge them from their belief. [I]f evidence seems to contradict it, the evidence must
be thrown out, not the book. By contrast, what I, as scientist, believe(for example,evolution)I believe...because I have studied
the evidence. It really is a very different matter. Books about evolution...believed because they present overwhelming
quantities of mutually buttressed evidence. In principle, any reader can check evidence. When science book wrong, somebody
eventually discoversthe mistake/it is corrected in subsequent books. That conspicuously doesn't happen with holy books".
Louis A.Delvoie"The Kosovo War: A Long Catalogue of Losers"Behind the Headlines Vol.57/ No.2,3 (Winter/ Spring
00):-NATO's 99 air campaign against rump "Yugoslavia" has had many supporters and critics.Former mainly argue that it
succeeded in noble humanitarian aim of relieving Kosovars from Serbian oppression; latter argue force was itself wrong and/or
stress absence of UN imprimatur. Author seeks those involved that were net losers in conflict. NATO: hurt its
image/reputation/future effectiveness bylaunching war of aggression, ending its credibility as purely defensive alliance; United
Nations: sidelined/marginalized, lost any post-Gulf hope it might play its Charter peace/ security role;
OSCE:reputation/credibility suffered when its 1,300 Observers had to withdraw hastily when many of OSCEmembers attacked
state where they were to keep peace; Kosovars: NATO's "beneficiaries" sufferedhundreds dead and thousands displaced
before bombing, but thousands dead, hundreds of thousandsdisplaced once two deterrents(OSCE plus threat to bomb)ceased
to restrain; Serbs: suffered "collateral" casualties, food/water shortages as infrastructure hit, and vast long-term economic
lossfrom bombing/sanctions; Balkan Stability: lost in refugee floods, revived ethnic tension; "New European Security
Architecture" :Russia reacted with anger/ condemnation, needing much time/effort to defuse; US: lost in stature/credibility
e.g. through sudden change in KLA image, public policy it would not risk ground troops, ominous intelligence error on Chinese
Embassy; Western Governments: caught with double standards over Serbia/Chechnya. Many lessons to be learned.
Francis M. Deng et al. Sovereignty as Responsibility: Conflict Management in Africa(Washington: Brookings 96):- conclusion
of 7-volume project to help governments/international community deal with conflicts in least stable continent(Reader
op.cit.).Probes African states' responsibility: balance sovereignty sanctity against transborder political/economic/moral
relevance of human rights violations/internal violence. Project concludes UN has unique role to play in Africa as both mediator
and healer.
Daniel C.Dennett Breaking the Spell: Religion as a Natural Phenomenon (New York: Viking 06):-very carefully drafted by
professor of philosophy, Tufts University and well-known author (particularly Darwin's Dangerous Idea 95), aims of 450p
volume are the questions:"Is Religion Good For You? Should It Be the Basis for Morality?". Accurate, if full, summary of the
book's aim on its dust-cover:"For many people around the world - perhaps most people - there is nothing more important than
religion. It has comfortedthem in their suffering, become an integral part of their marriages and child rearing, and
encouragedgroup cooperation to achieve ends both magnificant and terrible. Religion plays such a powerful rolein the world
that we should try to understand it in all its complexities, but most adherants bristle at anyone who wants to investigate their
practices and beliefs in a scientific manner. In this daring and important new book, Daniel C.Dennett seeks to uncover the
origins of this remarkable family of phenomena that mean so much to so many people, and to discuss why - and how - they
have commanded allegiance, becomeso potent, and shaped so many lives so strongly. Where does our devotion to God come
from? Wherewas the psychological and cultural soil in which religion first took root? Is it an addiction or a genuine needthat
we should try to preserve at any cost? Is it the product of blind evolutionary instinct or rational choice? Do those who believe
in God have good reasons for doing so? Are people right to say that the best way to live a good life is through religion? In a
spirited argument that ranges widely through biology,history, and psychology, Dennett explores how religion evolved from
folk beliefs and how these early 'wild'strains of religion were then carefully and consciously domesticated. As the motives of
religion'sstewards entered this process, such features as secrecy and systematic invulnerability to disproof emerged. Dennett
contends that this protective veneer of mystery needs to be removed so that religions can be better understood, and - most
important - he argues that the widespread assumption that they arethe necessary foundation of morality can no longer be
supported. Breaking the Spell is not an antireligiousscreed but rather an eye-opening exploration of the role that religious
belief plays in our lives, ourinteractions, and our country. With the conflict between science and 'intelligent design'becoming
ever more impassioned, Dennett has written a calmly reasoned and timely book that will be read and debated by believers and
nonbelievers alike".
Daniel Deudney & G.John Ikenberry"The Myth of the Autocratic Revival: Why Liberal Democracy Will Prevail"(77-93) Foreign
Affairs Vol.88/No.1(Jan/Feb 09):-official summary:"After years of liberal triumphalism, recently fears have grown that
autocracies have found new ways to prosper. In fact, the imperatives of liberal democracy are as strong as ever. The key to
defanging autocracies is bringing them into the liberal order, not excluding them from it". Emphasized extracts:"There remain
deep contradictions between authoritarian political systems and capitalist economic systems". "War as a path to conflict
resolution and great-power expansion has become largely obsolete". "Emerging global problems will create common interests
across states regardless of regime type". Deudney: Professor of Political Science at Johns Hopkins University and author of
Bounding Power: Republican Security From the Polis to the Global Village. Ikenberry: Albert G.Milbank Professor of Politics
and International Affairs at Princeton University, a Global Eminence Scholar at Kyung Hee University, and author of After
Victory: Institutions, Strategic Restraint, and the Rebuilding of Order After Major Wars.
Faisal Devji Landscapes of the Jihad: Militancy . Morality . Modernity(Ithaca: Cornell Univ.Press 05):-very thoughtful analysis
of Al-Qaeda's jihad motives behind the 11 Sep 01 attack against USA. To determine and describe this, the less-than-200-page
book draws often on written/ spoken rationales by Osama bin Laden and Ayman al-Zawahiri in particular. Following is derived
from its own summary: "Devji focuses on the ethical content of [the Al-Qaeda's] jihad, as opposed to its purported political
intent. Al-Qaedadiffers radically from such groups as... Muslim Brotherhood and Indonesia's Jemaah Islamiyah, which aim
to establish fundamentalist Islamist states. In fact,.. Al-Qaeda [has] a decentralized structure, andemphasis on moral rather
than political action... Bin Laden and his lieutenants view their cause as aresponse to oppressive conditions faced by Muslim
world[; not] an Islamic attempt to build states. Al-Qaeda culls diverse symbols/fragments from Islam's past in order to
legitimize its global war against the'metaphysical evil'emanating from the West. Most salient example of this assemblage...
is concept of jihad itself, which Al-Qaeda defines as 'individual duty'incumbent on all Muslims, [and] weapon of spiritual
conflict. Al Qaeda and its jihad, Devji suggests, are only the most visible manifestations of wider changes in the Muslim world.
Such changes include fragmentation of traditional/fundamentalist forms of authority. [Hence] Al-Qaeda represents a dangerous
new way of organizing Muslim belief/practice within a globallandscape and does not require ideological/institutional unity.
[Book] is at once a sophisticated work of historical/cultural analysis, and an invaluable guide to the world's most prominent
terrorist movement".
Jared Diamond Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human Societies(New York: W.W.Norton 99):-brilliant and fascinating
book seeks to explain dangerously unequal societies in world. Taking a long-term view, Diamond rejects racism and sees
cultures as reactions to environments (cf Sowell, op.cit.). Divergence of societies(by geographic area)reflected:
(1)"[C]ontinental differences in... wild plant and animal species as starting materials for domestication [compared to hunting-gathering, since]food production was critical for accumulation of food surpluses that could feed non-food-producing
specialists, and for buildup of large populations enjoying... military advantage... even before they had developed any technical
or political advantage; (2) [R]ates of diffusion and migration, which differed greatly among [and between] continents
[depending on climates, barriers, distances]; (3) [C]ontinental differences in area or total population size" which affect numbers
of inventors, competing societies, and innovations available/adopted, and disease immunity. Environment is therefore critical.
Jared Diamond Collapse: How Societies Choose To Fail or Succeed(New York: Viking Penguin 05):-globally relevant/influential
600-page heir to Guns, Germs.... Describes how and why societies have survived or collapsed on basis of five factors:
environmental damage, climate change, hostile neighbours, friendly trade partners, and society's responses to its
environmental problems. Essence of entire text is well-outlined in the Prologue, so if your time or preliminary dedication are
brief, at least read that. You could then read any of 16 chapters individually, although your hunger or concerns may become
overwhelming. Parts/Chapters titles as follows: Part One: Modern Montana: (1)Under Montana's Big Sky; Part Two: Past
Societies: (2)Twilight at Easter; (3)The Last People Alive: Pitcairn and Henderson Islands; (4)The Ancient Ones: The Anasazi
and Their Neighbours; (5)The Maya Collapses; (6)The Viking Prelude and Fugues; (7)Norse Greenland's Flowering; (8)Norse
Greenland's End; (9)Opposite Paths to Success; Part Three: Modern Societies: (10)Malthus in Africa: Rwanda's Genocide;
(11)One Island, Two Peoples, Two Histories: The Dominican Republic and Haiti; (12)China, Lurching Giant; (13) 'Mining'
Australia; Part Four: Practical Lessons: (14)Why Do Some Societies Make Disastrous Decisions? (15)Big Businesses and the
Environment: Different Conditions, Different Outcomes; (16)The World as a Polder: What Does It All Mean to Us Today? Final
five pages of text are entitled Reasons for Hope, followed by Further Readings.
Larry Diamond Promoting Democracy: Actors and Instruments, Issues and Imperatives (Washington: Carnegie Commission
on Preventing Deadly Conflict 95):-report to Commission describes organizations(including UN), activities, techniques and
limitations, all of which help to promote democracy's worldwide spread and support.
Larry Diamond"The Democratic Rollback: The Resurgence of the Predatory State"(36-48) Foreign Affairs Vol.87/No.2(Mar/Apr
08):-official summary: "After decades of historic gains, the world has slipped into a democratic recession. Predatory states
are on the rise, threatening both nascent and established democracies throughout the world. But this trend can be reversed
with the development of good governance and strict accountability, and the help of conditional aid from the West". Author
is Senior Fellow at Hoover Institution and Co-Editor of Journal of Democracy. Essay is adapted from his new book, The Spirit
of Democracy: The Struggle to Build Free Societies Throughout the World (Times Books 08).
Peter Dicken Global Shift: Transforming the World Economy:Third Edition(New York: Guilford Press 98):-500p of
well-researched/immensely valuable text. Read through, offers broad/objective look at globalized world production, trade,
financial and corporate realities; complex and inter-related driving forces(e.g. intensified competition and technology); huge
and changing impact on corporate vs state power, onknowledge, income, employment; net gains/costs for different societies,
individuals and institutions; inexorable but variable futures. Consulted selectively, it offers specific analyses of: history,
nationality(sic), structures, liaisons, activities of transnational corporations; trends in production, trade and investment;
different state powers and policies; technology's many roles; textile/clothing, automobile, electronics, serviceindustries;
effects: jobs, LDCs, environment and equity; global governance.
Milovan Djilas, The New Class: An Analysis of the Communist System (New York: Praeger, 1957). - the definitive insider's
critique of how idealistic systems become self-serving, and rulers sacrifice others' concerns and lives to perpetuate their own
group interests. The insights extend well beyond Yugoslavia in both time and place. Other Djilas works that illuminate both
his case and the origins of the current conflictsinclude: Conversations with Stalin (New York: Harcourt, Brace & World 1962);
Wartime: With Tito and the Partisans (London: Secker & Warburg, 1980); and Tito: The Story from Inside (New York: Harcourt
Brace Jovanovich, 1980). All help to explain the only regime most Yugoslavs knew until recently.
A. Walter Dorn edit., World Order for a New Millennium: Political, Cultural and Spiritual Approaches to Building Peace(New
York: St. Martin's Press 99):-selected conference statements with diverse speakers, sochapters vary by viewpoint/ideals, plus
topic.Part I.Political and Institutional Approaches:Evolution ofWorld Order(conceptions (Anatol Rapoport);international law
history;disarmament compliance;corporatecapitalism and/or market socialism; order by trade/investment decree);Military(Cold
War nuclear mishaps;decline of major wars;Third World militarization); United Nations(world challenges(text
inINTRODUCTION, with "institutional" material added); recent UN environment agreements; monitoring UN
enforcement(UNSCOM); International Criminal Court; realistic UN reforms). Part II.Cultural and Spiritual Approaches:
Developing a Culture of Peace(coordinating official/non-official diplomacy;civil societyplatforms;relevant UNESCO
appeals;education of ethics);Spiritual Dimensions(2 Christian views, Jewishview, 2 Buddhist views, First Nations view,
syncretistic view, Baha'i view, UN role). Declaration.
Margaret P.Doxey International Sanctions in Contemporary Perspective: Second Edition(London: Macmillan Press
96):-definitive guide to non-military sanctions. Describes/assesses all major cases since WWI:Italy(1935), Yugoslavia(by
USSR),Cuba, Rhodesia, South Africa, Egypt(by Arab League),Iran, USSR(re Afghanistan/Poland), Argentina, Iraq,
Yugoslavia/Serbia, Libya, Haiti. Includes: definition, history, types(political, cultural-communications, economic);contexts,
frameworks, intentions; costs and burden-sharing;implementation; impact on targets(their vulnerability and response);UN
problem areas:(a)decisions to impose/remove;(b)sharing of cost and collateral damage; © problems of coordination,
monitoring and policing.
Margaret P.Doxey United Nations Sanctions: Current Policy Issues: Revised Edition(Halifax: Dalhousie Univ. 99):-containing
information up to Apr 99. Appendix offers basic facts about all sanctions imposed under UN Charter(Chap. VII).Text examines
four issues subject to debate:(1)Domestic economic costs of sanctions to "sending" states and prospects for burden-sharing.
Options: financial help; tariff adjustments;technical/humanitarian assistance; specific help on sanctions
enforcement.(2)Mitigation on humanitarian grounds of sanctions-induced hardships in "targets" . Ideally, punishment fits crime
but scope for: improving ways to determine need; handling humanitarian exemptions; avoiding abuse through
monitoring.(3)Determining scope for direct targeting of leaders and elite groups. Types of targeted sanctions: personal travel
restrictions; limit/end international bodies' membership(privileges); limit air links; cultural/sportsboycotts; financial
sanctions(freezing assets)-most promising, but speed/information/selection/discipline critical.(4)Improved
administration/enforcement. Much effort underway to improve work of Sanctions Committees; humanitarian issues handled
better, but to detect/control serious violations of sanctions regimes still strictly limited.
Margaret P.Doxey"Sanctions Through the Looking Glass: The Spectrum of Goals and Achievements" International Journal
Vol.LV/No.2(Spring 00):-expert, realistic look at recent UN experience with sanctions, and at current thinking on how they could
be improved. (All Chapter VII sanctions to Jan 00 are listed.)Security Council use of sanctions has increased greatly since
1990(earlier it approved only two: Rhodesia, South Africa); hence study of optimum use has also expanded. US has been
keenest supporter, but public opinion in many democracies under media pressure, has increased demands governments "do
something" about human rights violations - broadening both "targets" and "goals" and changing criteria of success. Political
effective might now include not only gaining compliance, but also stigmatizing orcontaining targets, and as means of
preventing or deterring certain action. Success is harder to judge, particularly when multiple pressures, to both apply and
satisfy. All are analysed. Finally, essay discusses means of focusing sanctions better, not only on elites but away from
innocents.
Daniel W.Drezner All Politics Is Global: Explaining International Regulatory Regimes(Princeton & Oxford: Princeton Univ Press
07):-as The Economist 18 Mar 07 admits in specially favourable review "International Relations: An Interconnected World":
book is "too nuanced and academic for easy reading", but concludes significantly "Drezner... finds that the challenges of the
future will be increasingly transnational. As globalisation intensifies, the rewards for coordination will increase as well. To
achieve success, essential not to eliminate international institutions but rather to understand their utility... Key to their success
lies in convincing leading governments of the gains from acting in cooperation, rather than isolation, in volatile but
interconnected world -message that surely applies well beyond esoteric world of trade". [Another support for my own - tough
but essential - global urgency: op.cit. Christopher Spencer]. Suggest you read short Chapter One which summarizes Drezner's
book in simplest explanation. "Regulation of global economy is intrinsically important. Markets rely on rules, customs, and
institutions to function properly. Global markets need global rules and institutions to work efficiently. The presence or absence
of these rules and institutions and their content and enforcement, is the subject of this book. In a globalizing economy, what
are the rules? Who makes them? How are they made?"(6). Issue areas analysed by chapters to study relative roles of (top)
governments/institutions/NGOs: Internet, International Finance, Genetically Modified Organisms, TRIPS and Public Health.
Celia W.Dugger"U.N. Panel Urges Doubling of Aid to Cut Poverty"New York Times 17 Jan 05:-announces that an"international
team[has]proposed a detailed ambitious plan...that it says could halve extreme poverty and save the lives of millions of
children and hundreds of thousands of mothers each year by 2015. Report[claims that]drastically reducing poverty in its many
guises - hunger, illiteracy, disease - is 'utterly affordable', [but that]to fulfill this goal industrial nations would need to double
aid to poor countries, to 0.5% of national incomes from 0.25%".'Investing in Development: A Practical Plan to Achieve the
Millennium Development Goals[MDG]'also urges the easing of trade and"sweeping investments in health, education,rural
development, road building, housing and scientific research".Jeffery D.Sachs(op.cit.),appointed head of this UN Millennium
Project by UNSG Annan to revive the 2000-agreed 'MDG'promises, is"known ascrusader for the idea that within a generation,
rich and poor countries together can end extreme poverty afflicting more than a billion".Other elements are described: the
serious diversity of essential program-related policies among both the rich and poor nations, and the surprisingly varied
analysis of the plan's realism that is found among aid experts -and British PM Tony Blair(op.cit.). Reuters"U.N. Report Offers
Plan to Halve Extreme Poverty by 2015"in NYT 17 Jan 05:-covers same major proposals, although with natural variations in
emphasis. Again, divergences among both aid donors and seekers are stressed. It also reports that in Jul 05 G8, and in Sep
05 UNGA will, spotlighting global poverty, set a development agenda.The Environment 22 Jan 05"Development: Recasting the
Case for Aid"(69-70):-even longer than the NYT and Reuters analyses of the Sachs-led UN report, but again offering an
objective analysis of its critically-important aims and prospects. Initial description of report includes:"Document in full runs
to ten supporting volumes and more than 3,000 pages...Overview paper is packed with high-octane analysis
andrecommendations, no waffle, not a sentence wasted. Aim is no less than to dispel prevailing pessimism on aid - a deeply
entrenched attitude, based on years of disappointment - and to mobilise hundreds of billions of dollars in new help for
developing world. In this, it might succeed. Whether it deserves to is another question." Later:"Question now - and it is the
right question - is what policy inputs will be required to hit the targets[i.e.MDG final goals]...Given what is at stake, Sach's
passion and ambition are entirely warranted - but does approach he advocates make sense?...Looking only at development
aid, report argues, you find that aid works: it spurs growth...Good-government precondition is crucial, however, and causes
team some difficulty...Poorest countries, including basket-cases of sub-Saharan Africa, aremost deserving by test of need,
but tend to be worst governed".Report challenges problem by plugging poorer recipients that nevertheless have good
government and by claiming aid itself can improve bad governments, but quick success appears unrealistic in Africa. Warren
Hoge"African Crises Take Back Seat to Tsunami, U.N. Relief Chief Says"NYT 28 Jan 05:-Jan Egeland, UN emergency relief
coordinator, complained to UNSC that impressive aid being given to those countries suffering from earthquake-produced
Indian Ocean tsunami was in fact no more seriously needed than the unmet African needs. Alan Cowell"Pressure Grows for
Rich Nations to Redouble Efforts to Aid Africa"NYT 28 Jan 05:-report fromWorld Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland,
records many more pro-African aid demands than usual.
Celia W.Dugger"U.N. vs Poverty: Seeking a Focus, Quarreling Over the Vision"NYT 14 Sep 05:-this itemleads a discouraging
collection of inter-related historical articles, most inevitably summarized by a bit more than their strong titles/introductory
sentences. All relate to a globally critical summit of some 170 heads of state/government. They marked seriously the 60th
anniversary of the United Nations 14-16 Sep 05 when, vital reforms and international poverty commitments having been
discussed, some are adopted- in full or vague status - but many more are both left required and postponed. Dugger:"The
United Nations General Assembly(UNGA) meeting today was to have been a rare moment when quest to relieve crushing
poverty of a billion people took center stage. But so far that goal has been overshadowed by [current disasters] and
squabbling over reform of UN itself. Even debate about world's common agenda on global poverty began on an unexpectedly
sour note, centred around goals for healing world's deepest poverty that were to be in meeting's final document. US
ambassador, John R. Bolton, initially proposed expunging any reference to specific goals for reducing poverty, hunger and
child mortality andcombating pandemic of AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria. Known as Millennium Development Goals[MDGs],
they emerged from UN conference five years ago. He favored instead citing broad declaration from which goals were drawn.
US subsequently relented, but not before US administration's opening in negotiations left some African leaders dismayed...
Negotiations at UN got absorbed by issues around UN reform... It is not clear that much new will emerge at UN. World leaders
are likely to affirm commitment to push forward with MDGs to halve extreme poverty and hunger, cut child mortality by
two-thirds and ensure basic education of each child by 23015, among other things.Those are same broad goals agreed to five
years ago"; Warren Hoge"U.N. Adopts Modest Goals on Reforms and Poverty"NYT 14 Sep 05:-"UNGA unanimously approved
scaled-down statement of goals [13 Sep] that Secretary General [UNSG] Kofi Annan said would still give world leaders
gathering [14 Sep] basis for recommendation to reform organization and combat poverty. Loud cheers from delegates,
however, could not disguise |