|
|
| by Christopher
Spencer |
Former Senior
Advisor International Organizations, Canadian Department of
Foreign Affairs and International Trade |
| Updated: 19 JUL
10 | |
ACCESS TO HIV PREVENTION: CLOSING THE GAP, A 40 page Report by Global HIV Prevention Working Group, (distributed
after May 03 as Supplement to Foreign Affairs):-brief statement of Working Group's accomplishment states that it is
region-by-region analysis of gaps in access to HIV prevention interventions; it examines current spending levels versus
projected need; and it recommends funding and programmatic activities to avert 29m of 45m new HIV infections projected
between 2002 and 2010.Worldwide comments; then analyses regarding regions: Sub-Saharan Africa, Asia/Pacific, Eastern
Europe/Central Asia, Caribbean/Latin America, North Africa/Middle East. Conclusions: HIV Prevention Resource Gap;
RECOMMENDATIONS. Latter(each followed by argumentation) are: Global spending on HIV prevention activities from all
sources should increase three-fold by 2005 to $5.7b, and to $6.6b by 2007. Because prevention efforts currently fall short of
what is needed in every region of developing world, prevention scale-up must be central priority in each region. In immediate
future, prevention efforts should aggressively focus on bringing to scale especially cost-effective, high-impact interventions.
As both prevention and treatment programs are brought to scale, these initiatives should be carefully integrated to create
singlecontinuum of services. In addition to funding prevention interventions themselves, donors should, in collaboration with
multilateral agencies, provide extensive additional support to build long-term human capacity and infrastructure. Development
assistance and policy reforms should address social and economicconditions that increase vulnerability to, and facilitate rapid
spread of HIV/AIDS. Research into newprevention strategies and technologies should be strengthened and accelerated.
Substantial and sustained efforts by all donors should focus on improving data collection regarding magnitude and nature
of HIV/AIDS spending in low- and middle-income countries.
F.H.Abed, "Micro-Credit, Poverty and Development: the Case of Bangladesh" in Behind the HeadlinesVol.57/ No.2-3
(Winter/Spring 00):-micro-credit -small loans made to poor households/individuals to finance small-scale entrepreneurial
activities- has expanded rapidly(world target is now $20b), and encouraged hope for major cost-effective global
poverty-reduction. "NGOs in Asia, Africa, and Latin America are largest providers of micro-credit to those sections of society
- rural landless, disadvantagedwomen, marginal farmers, and wage labourers - who depend largely on selling their labour for
a living" (12). These target groups reflect the fact that it is often the only way very poor can break cycle of povertyresulting
from a lack of collateral and exorbitant local interest charges. It produced high success ratesnot only in poverty-reduction(and
repayment:98%)but in social reform, economic development, education/training, and growth of assets for both
borrowers/lenders, which is reinvested. Abed, director ofBangladesh Rural Advancement Committee, among world's largest
NGO's, offers much globally-relevant information:big issues/questions; scale/approach/result; specialties(income-useful
education, social development).
Virginia D.Abernethy Population Politics: The Choices that Shape Our Future(New York: Insight Books 93):-an influential
source, frequently cited for its study of human incentives. It takes now widely-held view that developing an informed motivation
to lower fertility rates(e.g. perception of limited resources)must often precede active use of contraceptives. It also makes
radical proposal: total US immigration ban.[In fact, current migration from poor to rich countries barely affects demographic
pressures or trends, although short-distance, large-scale movements (such as from Bangladesh to Assam)can have local
impact.] G. Pascal Zachary, "An Unconventional Academic Sounds Population Alarm" in Wall Street Journal 31 Jul 98, reports
that Abernethy opposed most aid to poor countries since, contrary to "demographic transition" theory(that fertility falls as
living standards rise), prosperity increases fertility.[Most experts probably feel that while" transition" is much more complex
than once thought, perceiving its complete reversal would:(1)confusesome immediate, with major long-term, effects of rising
living standards (low OECD fertility);(2)ignore many other factors, e.g. female education; women's choice; cultural imperatives.]
Masood Ahmed & Cheryl Gray Helping Countries Combat Corruption: The Role of the World Bank(Washington: IBRD
97):-produced by World Bank's Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Network(PREM). Bank's World Development
Report 1997: The State in a Changing World(op.cit.)also deals with global corruption issues in government context but mainly
descriptively, while PREM reportconcentrates on how Bank can help governments address corruption as serious development
constraint. Daniel Kaufmann(op.cit.)lists more articles and books on this issue.
Salman Ahmed"No Size Fits All: Lessons in Making Peace and Rebuilding States"Foreign AffairsVol.84/No.1(Jan/Feb
05):-Review Essay by Senior Political Officer, Office of UN USG for Peacekeeping Operations who served in Cambodia, South
Africa, Bosnia/Herzegovina, Afghanistan and Iraq. Providesanalysis of the argumentation of three books: Roland Paris At War's
End: Building Peace After Civil Conflict(Cambridge: Cambridge Univ.Press 04); Kimberly Zisk Marten Enforcing the Peace:
Learning From the Imperial Past(New York: Columbia Univ. Press 04); John Mueller The Remnants of War(Ithaca: Cornell
Univ.Press 04). All three draw"attention to important lessons that deserve serious consideration from policymakers and
practitioners...Still, these authors make too much of similarities among cases they study and not enough of differences. And
by using them to extrapolate bold models for state reconstruction, authors belie inherent complexities of task...Specifics
of...conflicts - their scale as well as their historical geopolitical/socioeconomic roots - should inform how peace
brokered/maintained. Yet none...pays enough attention to such fundamental considerations."Essay is worth reading - as a
survey of all the issues faced by the UN when easing post-crisis problems.
AIDS: THIRD WORLD: COST-PATENT DILEMMA; GLOBAL ASSISTANCE
AIDS: THIRD WORLD: INFECTION RATES AND SOCIAL-ECONOMIC ISSUES
AIDS: THIRD WORLD: MEDICAL DEVELOPMENTS AND CHALLENGES
AIDS: THIRD WORLD: POLICY ISSUES AND CONFERENCES
The HIV/AIDS pandemic is viewed increasingly as the most serious challenge facing global society. Almost all material on this
subject is found in the media and is included in RECENT DEVELOPMENTS. To reach all media selections relating to AIDS, click
on AIDS Third World.
John B.Alexander Future War: Non-Lethal Weapons in Twenty-First Century Warfare(New York: St. Martin's Press 99):-excellent
study of immense potential of non-lethal weapons, and impact of global trends on aims of security. Assumed US/NATO
must(via UN)be world police force. Emerging threats for armed forces/police are: powerful criminal/terrorist organizations,
together with transnational/religious bodies/ groups seeing themselves as politically, economically or socially deprived. Wide
range of non-lethal weaponry includes acoustic, biological, chemical, electromagnetic weapons, physical restraints, low-impact
projectiles, information warfare. Useful scenarios: peace support(UN)operations; technologicalsanctions; strategic paralysis;
hostages or barricades. Issues addressed: practical limitations, strategicimplications, moral opposition, legal considerations,
and constraints on "winning" .
Graham AllisonNuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe(New York: Owl Books/Henry Holk & Co 05):-extremely
expert/influential report argues in INTRODUCTION that:"Given the number of actors with serious intent, the accessibility of
weapons or nuclear materials from which elementary weapons could be constructed, and the almost limitless ways in which
terrorists could smuggle a weapon through US borders, [i]n my own considered judgment, on the current path, a nuclear
terrorist attack on US inthe decade ahead is more likely than not"(15). First chapter concludes:"What all [major terrorist]
groups have in common is a hatred of the US or the West, along with sophisticated organizational structuresand access to
technical know-how. [U]ncomfortable fact is that being the world's only superpower isinevitably going to breed resentment
of one form or another - and it is impossible to mollify every single group. Challenge to US is to prevent these organizations
from acquiring the means to threaten us with nuclear attack"(42).Then describes"unique destructive power of these terrible
weapons", how/where they could be obtained, and where/when/how attacks might take place(43-120). Then describes policy
changes to reduce chance of attack. List: priority to issue; standard for secure nuclear weapons/material; globalalliance
against nuclear terrorism; global clean-out of all dangerous fissile material; stop new national production of fissile material;
shut down of nuclear black markets; block emergence of nuclear weaponsstates; full review of global nonproliferation regime;
revise nuclear weapons' postures/pronouncements;global prosecuting war on terrorism(205). Emphasis is on US but essential
involvement must be global.
Graham Allison"Nuclear Disorder: Surveying Atomic Threats"(74-85) Foreign Affairs Vol.89/No.1 (Jan/Feb 10):-this is the first
of a complementary pair of topical essays on nuclear weapons problems and options. Official summary of Allison's:"The
current global nuclear order is extremely fragile, threatened by North Korea's expanding nuclear weapons program, Iran's
nuclear ambitions, and Pakistan's increasing instability. US President Barack Obama has put these threats at the top of his
national security agenda, but the effort to prevent catastrophe will encounter serious obstacles and stubborn adversaries".
Emphasized extracts:"Over the past eight years, the Pakistani government has tripled its arsenal of nuclear weapons".
"Obama's mission is to bend the trend lines currently pointing toward catastrophe". Final paragraph: "The international
community has crucial choices to make, and the stakes could not be higher. Having failed to heed repeated warning signs of
rot in the US-led global financial system, the world dare not wait for a catastrophic collapse of the nonproliferation regime.
From the consequences of such an event, there is no feasible bailout". Allison is Douglas Dillon Prof. of Government and
Director of Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard Univ.'s Kennedy School of Government. For annotated
guide to this topic, see "What to Read on Nuclear Proliferation" at www.foreignaffairs.com/readinglists/nuclear-proliferation.
Second essay: Charles D.Ferguson "The Long Road to Zero: Overcoming the Obstacles to a Nuclear-Free World"(86-94):-Official summary:"The Obama administration has embraced the goal of a world without nuclear weapons, but many political
and economic obstacles stand in its way. If there is any hope of reducing the world's nuclear arsenals, US government will
have to assuage the fears of nonnuclear states, diminish the presumed prestige that the ultimate weapon confers on its
owners, and address the risk of proliferation posed by civilian nuclear energy programs". From first paragraph:"Over the past
three years, a remarkable bipartisan consensus has emerged in WashDC regarding nuclear security. The new US nuclear
agenda includes renewing formal arms control agreements with Russia, revitalizing a strategic dialogue with China, pushing
for ratification of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty, repairing the damaged nuclear nonproliferation regime, and
redoubling efforts to reduce and secure fissile material that may be used in weapons... In past year, President Obama has made
this goal a priority for his administration..." Ferguson is President of Federation of American Scientists. From 2004-09 he was
Senior Fellow for Science and Technology at Council on Foreign Relations, where he served as Project Director for the CFR-sponsored Independent Task Force on US Nuclear Weapons Policy. For annotated guide to this topic, same source as Allison.
Mark Almond, Europe's Backyard War: The War in the Balkans(London: Heinemann 94):-combination of background
information on post-Yugoslav conflicts and military/political conduct to publication date. Highly critical of diplomatic actions
of virtually all involved, including most Yugoslav groups, UN and European bodies. Gives prescient warning of ominous
precedent set by failure in Balkans.
Lawrence K.Altman "Study Finds Drop in H.I.V. Cases in South India"NYT 31 Mar 06:-"Prevalence of new HIV infections has
fallen significantly in southern India, region of that country where the disease hasoccurred most often, scientists reported.
Many health officials have predicted major increases in HIV in India, which has world's second highest number of infected
people, after South Africa. But new infections among young aduts declined by more than a third from 2000 through 2004,
according to astatistical study. [Article contains selected statistics from study and varied information about sources.]Authors
attributed favorable trend to an increasing use of condoms by men and an insistence by prostitutes that their partners use
them. That decline, in turn, reduced transmission of HIV to spouses.Experts cautioned against drawing too firm a conclusion
from one study and added that the new findingsdid not mean India's HIV epidemic was over. Still, the study has two key
implications, researchers said.One is that strategies that emphasize education about how HIV can be transmitted and the use
of condoms offer the best hope for reducing the spread of the virus in India. Second is that routine monitoring of HIV and other
sexually transmitted diseases are powerful and cost-effective ways to control AIDS in India. But experts urged constant
vigilance for signs of a reversal of the favorable trend...Reductions were more modest in 14 northern states, where prevalence
of HIV infections is about one-fifth that in the four southern states".
Lawrence K.Altman "Chimp Virus Is Linked to H.I.V." New York Times 26 May 06:- "By studying chimpanzee droppings in
remote African jungles, scientists reported [25 May] they have found direct evidence of amissing link between a chimpanzee
virus and the one that causes human AIDS. Scientists have long suspected that chimpanzees are the source of the human
AIDS pandemic because at least one subspecies carries a simian immune deficiency virus closely related to HIV, the virus that
causes AIDS... The genetic and immunologic tests were developed in stages over the past seven years to help tracethe
evolution of HIV and solve the mysterious origins of AIDS. [S]tudy combined genetics and epidemiology... Team's findings
show 'for the first time a clear picture of the origin of HIV-1 and theseeds of the AIDS pandemic'. HIV-1 is the virus that causes
the vast majority of AIDS cases in the world... Studies estimate that the human AIDS virus jumped species 50 to 75 years ago.
But no one knowswho the first infected person was or how that person acquired HIV. The earliest HIV infection
wasdocumented in 1959 in an unidentified man in Kinshasa[, Congo]. Team theorized that HIV was first transmitted locally
somewhere in west-central Africa. Because the subspecies of chimpanzees... livesin the wild in Cameroon, Gabon and Congo
Republic, the first infection could have been in any of those areas... The communities with a high prevalence of infected
chimpanees were located south of theSangha River, which flows into the Congo river and on to Kinshasa. That led... to the
theory that someinfected person carried HIV from a remote area to Kinshasa, where it was then passed on. It is not known
whether chimpanzees infected with SIVcpz become ill... More collections were needed in other vast areas of Africa to provide
a clearer picture of the evolution of AIDS and to determine if there wereother viruses that could cause epidemics like AIDS"
.
Lawrence K.Altman "Report Shows AIDS Epidemic Slowdown in 2005"New York Times 30 May 06:- "Newsurveys suggest that
global AIDS epidemic has begun to slow, with decline in new HIV infections in about 10 countries, leader of UNAID program
said. Outside of those countries,.. number of new AIDS infections continues to rise or hover at its current pace. Meanwhile,
public health efforts are reaching only a small proportion of people at risk, Dr.Peter Piot, executive director of UNAIDS, said
at news conference in UN NYC ...India has 5.7m infected people and South Africa 5.5m, but India's population far greater.
Showing no sign of decline, South Africa has a prevalence rate of about 19% of 47m people.In India, rate is less than 1% of
its population of 1.1b. Progress against AIDS in some regions represents dividends from a surge in financing since 2001, when
UN pledged its commitment to stem epidemic by 2010. Declaration called for countries to report regularly on their responses
to AIDS. This week, UNGAwill receive the progress that 126 countries have said they have made. Report(op.cit.), most
comprehensive survey ever compiled from country data, pointed to the 2001 UN meeting as a turning point for AIDS financing.
In 2005,.. world spent $8.3b on AIDS, compared with $1.6b in 2001. 'We areseeing the impact', Piot said. He cited increased
condom use, a rise in postponement of sexual intercourse and a decrease in number of sex partners as factors in slowing of
epidemic. Summarizing report's findings, Piot said '2005 was least bad year in the history of the AIDS epidemic'... Despite
thepositive trends, Piot reported grim findings from China, Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Russia andVietnam(op.cit.), with
signs of outbreaks in Bangladesh and Pakistan. Ending the pandemic will depend largely on changing social norms like
empowering women, reducing stigma of the disease andencouraging a greater reduction in the number of sex partners, report
said. Most countries have strong foundations for building an effective response against AIDS, report said, but systems to carry
out plansremain inconsistent. Thoroughness of the individual national reports varied, and many countries did not provide data
for all categories... Still, replies identified significant weaknesses, he said. Fewer than 50%of young people achieved
comprehensive knowledge levels about HIV, far fewer than the 90% goal. Only9% of gay men and fewer than 20% of
intravenous drug users received any kind of HIV prevention help in 2005. Services to prevent HIV infections in infants have
not scaled up as rapidly as programs to provide antiretroviral therapy. Just 9% of pregnant women were covered... Report
shows that epicenterof the epidemic remains in sub-Saharan Africa. There epidemic has reached peak, but incidence remains
unacceptably high, Piot said. Across most of Africa, HIV prevalence among pregnant women attendingclinics has remained
roughly level for several years. UN disputed contentions by some observers thatthe leveling off showed a turning point in the
AIDS epidemic in Africa... Piot said, 'actual number of people infected continues to rise because of population growth'" ;
Reuters "25 Years On, Anti-AIDS Drive Still Falling Short" NYT 30 May 06:- "Twenty-five years after AIDS first recognized, world
still falling shortin its battle against the disease with severe gaps in prevention and treatment, UN said [30 May].'Response to
AIDS epidemic to date has been nowhere near adequate', said UNAIDS... Since...1981,AIDS and HIV virus that causes it have
spread relentlessly from a few widely scattered hot spots to virtually every country in the world, infecting 65m and killing 25m,
UNAIDS said in 630p report... Anti-AIDS initiatives and their results vary widely from country to country, and many are falling
short of benchmarks set in a landmark high-level UNGA session in 2001, UNAIDS said... Dr. Peter Piot of UNAIDS... expected
long-term commitments at this week's meeting...and hoped for $20m annually by 2010... Global AIDS incidence rate is believed
to have peaked in 1990s. About 1.3m in developing world now on life-extending antiretroviral medicines, which saved about
300,000 lives last year alone. Still, some 4.1m were newly infected and 2.8m died in 2005... Global supply of condoms was less
than 50% of what was needed, and antiretroviral drugs, while more widely available, remained costly and hard to get. Ignored
in many countries are prostitutes, said... ex-dir of UN Population Fund... However, final statement by governments at
conference this week not expected to refer to prostitutes, drug users orhomosexuals, due to objections from Islamic nations,
some Catholic countries and US, which fear thatmerely mentioning these groups would endorse their behaviour. Infected
individuals still suffer fromostracism and discrimination, while vast majority of world's 40m infected have never been tested
for HIVand are unaware of their status, report said. While $8.9b expected available in 2006, $14.9b will be needed, UNAIDS said.
By 2008, it predicted $22.1b would be needed, including $11.4b for prevention plans alone. Report called for more and
better-targeted education and prevention strategies, more treatment opportunities, and more drug research, particularly on
drugs for children, whose needs 'have been largely left out of the research agenda'" ; Lawrence K.Altman "U.N. Urges Tripling
of Funds by '08 to Halt AIDS" NYT 01 Jun 06:- "Stopping epidemic of AIDS will require $22b/year by 2008 and possibly more
in following years, officials of UNAIDS program said. The $22b is nearly triple the $8.3b spent 05 by all sources, including
governments and private sector. Urging that countries spend more, UNSG Kofi Annan said a costlier and more sustained effort
needed because AIDS 'has spread further, faster and with more catastrophic long-term effects than any other disease'... Of
projected figure, half is needed for prevention and a quarter for treatment and care of infected people. Remainder is for care
of orphans,children at risk of becoming infected and program costs. UNSG and Piot of UNAIDS spoke as UNGAbegan meeting
aimed at renewing political commitment and setting new goals for expenditures and formeasuring progress... Annan urged
delegates to challenge countries trying to avoid goals that mention gay people, prostitutes, intravenous-drug users and others
at high risk of becoming infected.'Governments concerned need to be realistic and responsible', UNSG said. He also said that
'if we are here to try to end the epidemic, we will not succeed by putting our head in the sand and pretending thatthese people
do not exist or they do not need help'... Report cards showed that most countries missed more goals than they met. More than
20m have become infected since 2001 meeting. Now countriesmust fundamentally change the way they think and deal with
epidemic, moving from crisis managementto 'sustained attention and the kind of "anything it takes" resolve that member
states apply to preventing global financial meltdowns or wars' , Piot said... Global Business Coalition on HIV/AIDS released
a study showing that private companies have become more likely to provide treatment for employees as cost of antiretroviral
drugs has fallen over last six years, to $140-$300/year, from $10,000. In African countries with a high prevalence, more than
70% of companies surveyed are fully subsidizing access to HIV treatment, coalition said. Study...found increasing trend to
expand such treatment to employees' dependents. Companies also offering access to voluntary testing/counseling" ; Lawrence
K.Altman & Elisabeth Rosenthal "U.N. Strengthens Call for a Global Battle Against AIDS" NYT 02 Jun 06:- "[UNGA]adopted
strongly worded declaration [02 Jun] aimed at pressing nations of the world to strengthen theirbattle against AIDS, global
pandemic [UNSG] called 'greatest challenge of our generation'. Language of document surprised even anti-AIDS groups, which
said that while it did not satisfy all their objectives, they had feared it would be watered down... Nonbinding declaration
reaffirms commitments made in 01,when UN defined AIDS as far more than a medical issue, framing it in terms of
political/human rights/ economic survival... New document is political blueprint, not plan of action. Calls for strong commitment
to bolster the rights of women/girls so they can protect themselves from infection with HIV... Declarationcalls on countries to:
use scientifically documented prevention strategies, including condoms;make clean needles accessible to drug users; take
steps to provide universal access to prevention programs/ care/antiretroviral drugs. Includes politically charged terms like
'condoms' /'vulnerable groups' , thoughthose groups not specified... Countries expected to measure their progress over next
5 years against targets to be determined by UN... Said world will need to spend up to $23b/year by 2010... Earlier in day,UNSG
Annan delivered a gloomy assessment, saying world was losing the battle. 'The epidemic continues to outpace us' , he told
packed UNGA. 'There are more new infections than ever before; more deaths than ever before; more women/girls infected than
ever before'... [US' s] Mrs.Bush speech steered away from many of the criticisms that have been labled against administration,
notably that it promotes sexual abstinence over scientifically proven strategies, particularly condom use. Indeed, she said,
'ABC'model - initials stand for abstain, be faithful and use condoms - had brought sharp declines in infections in Africa.
Britain's international development [minister] said in interview: abstinence alone did not work...Dr. Peter Piot [UNAIDS]said:
while no docu could make anyone'100% happy', final version was 'major advance'and far stronger than weaker drafts
circulating earlier in week".
Roger C.Altman "The Great Crash, 2008: A Geopolitical Setback for the West"(2-14) Foreign Affairs Vol.88/No.1(Jan/Feb 09):-official summary:"The economic collapse of 2008, the worst in over 75 years, is a major geopolitical setback for the West. It
has stripped Wshdc and European governments of the resources and credibility they need to maintain their roles in global
affairs. These weaknesses will eventually be repaired, but in the meantime they will accelerate trends that are shifting the
world's center of gravity away from the US". Emphasized extracts:"The crisis' underlying cause was the combination of very
low interest rates and unprecedented levels of liquidity". "US deficit for the fiscal year that began in Oct 08 will approach $1
trillion - or 7.5% of US GDP". Altman is Chair/CEO of Evercore Partners. Was US Deputy Treasury Secretary 93-4.
Kofi A.Annan "Peacekeeping, Military Intervention, and National Sovereignty in Internal Armed Conflict" in Jonathan Moore
edit. Hard Choices: Moral Dilemmas in Humanitarian Intervention (Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield 98)(for book see Moore
op.cit.):-UNSG notes how UN operations forced to change radically since end of Cold War. One change been UN involvement
in internal armed conflicts. "Often do not lend themselves to traditional peacekeeping treatment," requiring difficult
coordinated political, military, andhumanitarian response. Meanwhile "understanding of sovereignty undergoing significant
transformation" : "matter of responsibility, not just power." "[M]ust not be allowed to obstruct effective action to address
problems that transcend borders or to secure human dignity." Author then provides illustrations, drawing mainly on UN role
in Bosnia.
Kofi A. Annan, "Two Concerns of Sovereignty: International Intervention in Humanitarian Crises" The Economist18 Sep
99(49-50):-UNSG gives his views on basic issues. Inaction in Rwanda and interventions in Kosovo(no authority) and East
Timor(too little too late)all justify criticism. We need consensus "not only... that massive and systematic violations of human
rights must be checked...but also on ways of deciding what action is necessary, and when, and by whom." Critical points:
"intervention" should not be understood as referring only to use of force; we need redefinition of sovereignty and broader
definition of national interests that "would induce states to find greater unity in pursuit of common goals and
values...today,collective interest is national interest" ;if force is necessary, Council must uphold Charter; act "in defence of
our common humanity" ;ceasefires do not end commitments.
Kofi A. Annan, "Preventing War and Disaster: A Growing Global Challenge" , Annual Report on the Work of the Organization
1999, by the Secretary-General of the United Nations(New York: DPI/2058; Sales No: E.99.1.29-Sep 1999):-after a convincing
plea for more cost-saving global efforts to foresee, prevent, or reduce human and natural crises, Annan summarizes all major
UN activities over year to Sep 99, and selected plans and problems(in 130pp). Chapters address: peace and security;
development; humanitarian issues; globalization; legal order; human rights; administration. Overall impression: hard-won
progress implementing UN obligations/reforms/savings are frustrated by Members' selfishness/lack of political will/financial
irresponsibility. HUMANITARIAN ISSUES and how they are handled merit a special chapter(64-75). The year under review was
described as "fraught with humanitarian disasters" (64)both natural and created, many of which involved deliberate targeting
of UN/NGO workers. Inter-organization coordination was improved, and study of prevention expanded, but funding's been
short/imbalanced. The refugee situation(72-5) initially improved, but was then hit hard by Kosovo's complex needs.
Kofi A. Annan, "UN Committed to Ensuring World Water Security and 'Blue Revolution', Says Secretary-General, in Message
to World Water Forum" in UN Press Release SG/SM/7334 21 Mar 00:-urgent global problem is finding huge additional quantities
of affordable water to meet increasing needs of population growth/concentration and rising agricultural/industrial demand,
and to make up for global pollution andfalling water tables(see Worldwatch Institute: Lester R. Brown, "Water: Emerging
Constraint on Growth" (123-5)in State of the World(1999)op.cit.). Hence "world's impending water crisis" was theme of UNSG's
text. He reported that "every year, more than 5 million people[over 50% children]die as a result of poor water quality - 10 times
the number killed in wars...[W]ithin 25 years two out of every three people on Earth will live in water-stressed conditions.
Indeed, the declining state of the world's freshwater resources, in terms of quantity and quality, may well prove to be the
dominant issue on the environment and development agenda of the new century" . UN Newservice 21 Mar 00: Klaus Toepfer,
UNEP head, at the Forum: "The battle for the conservation of water will be won or lost in the mega-cities of the world"
.[Technology can help:]Douglas Jehl, "Tampa Bay Looks to the Sea to Quench Its Thirst" in New York Times12 Mar 00:-US
appears to be just reaching the stage when many high-density areas need, or find it economic, to desalinate sea or brackish
water. Tampa Bay(2.3m residents)will be the first large urban areato do so, planning the largest(25m gallons/day)desalinization
plant outside Saudi Arabia(whose economics are totally different). As of writing, five states(cheaply)desalinate brackish water,
while two cities which built sea-water plants decades ago, now use them for backup due to cost. But Tampa cost estimates
have fallen from $4-6 per 1,000 gallons to $2.08. With several cities planning desalinization, and many more facing the need,
economics/technology may now produce a global cost breakthrough. [World FDI and ODA may soon include large
expenditures on desalination.]
Kofi A. Annan, "Common Destiny, New Resolve" , Annual Report on the Work of the Organization 2000, by the
Secretary-General of the United Nations(New York: DPI/2153;Sales No.E.00.1.22-Sep 99):-UNSG begins by noting report to
Millennium Summit, "We the Peoples: The Role of the United Nations in the 21st Century" (op.cit.), includes his assessment
of humanity's progress and challenges at turn of millennium,and suggests ways in which international community can work
together to" better lives of people still left behind" .Introduction, summarizing 130-page report on major UN activities over year
to Sep 00, highlights: (1)Demands on UN humanitarian agencies far exceeded worst-case predictions; (2)Living standards in
sub-Saharan Africa still declining; (3)AIDS pandemic spreads with frightening rapidity; needs stronger commitment to action;
(4)Three new peace missions were created, straining UNHQ resources. (5)Reviewsanalysed UN failures in Srebrenica and
Rwanda; offered recommendations. (6) controversial economicbenefits of globalization must be more inclusive/equitably
shared. (7)Must be cooperative management ofglobal economic affairs through more effective governance. (8)Informal global
policy networks involving governments, international institutions, civil society and private sector have great potential.
Chapters: Peace/Security; Humanitarian Commitments; Development; International Legal Order/Human Rights;
UNManagement.
Kofi A. Annan "Courage To Fulfil Our Responsibilities" The Economist 04 Dec 04(23-5):-UNSG offers global action-urging essay
built on his immediate reaction to report of the High-Level Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change. Following his urgent
introduction is a brief summary of Annan's alreadyconcentrated and rearranged version of the panel report's many
concerns/proposals. Its value is less to summarize the panel's views than to identify subjects they and/or he discuss. "We
face a world of extraordinary challenges - and of extraordinary interconnectedness. We are all vulnerable to new security
threats, and to old threats that are evolving in complex and unpredictable ways. Either we allow this array of threats, and our
responses to them, to divide us, or we come together to take effective action to meet all of them on basis of a shared
commitment to collective security. I asked the 16 members of [panel]- eminent people representing many nations and points
of view - to analyse the threats to peaceand security our world faces; to evaluate how well our existing policies and institutions
are meeting them; and to recommend changes to those policies and institutions, so as to ensure an effective collective
response to those threats. Their report...makes 101 far-sighted but realistic recommendations. If acted on, they would address
the security concerns of all states, ensure that UN works better, strengtheninternational rule of law and make all people safer"
. First: threats. Event/process leading to deaths on large scale/lessening life chances or undermines states, should be viewed
as threat to innatl peace/security.Clusters: economic/social, including poverty/disease; inter-state conflict/rivalry; internal
violence: civil war/state collapse/genocide; nuclear/radiological/chemical/ biological weapons; terrorism; innatl crime.Threats
interconnected to unprecedented degree; no state alone can defeat. Highly enriched uranium at size of 6 milk cartons could
level medium-sized city as nuclear device. Such attack in US/Europe isstaggering cost for world economy. Security of
developed states only as strong as ability of poor statesto respond to/contain new deadly infectious disease. Incubation period
for most is longer than most air flights, so any one of 700m who travel airlines in year could unwittingly carry lethal virus to
unsuspecting state. Today, virus similar to 1918 influenza could kill tens of millions in fraction of a year. In today's worldany
threat to one is truly threat to all; applies to all categories of threats. Since real limits on self-protection,all states need
collective-security system, committing all to act cooperatively against dangers. Givengravity/interconnectedness of threats,
world needs more active prevention. Prevention can be highly effective(Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty);WHO helped halt
SARS. Best prevention agents: capable states, acting/cooperating with others. Best preventive strategy: is development
support. Millennium Development Goals to halve poverty/hunger by 2015 states' best security investment. It will save
lives/reduce violentconflict and radicalism/bolster state ability against threats before real harm. HIV/AIDS shows danger
ofinadequate prevention. Slow/ineffective global response allowed 20m killed/20 years; spread continues andworst to come.
Ultimate cost will include shattered societies. Still not taking all needed steps to bring under control. Also need public-health
facilities built in poor world. Not only poorer states benefit diseasetreatment/local prevention; whole world has better defence
against bio-terrorism/large-scale naturalepidemics. UNSC should work with WHO to strengthen biological security via prompt,
effective responses.Equal: greater environmental collective action, including beyond Kyoto protocol to better resources
management in states at risk. Prevention also vital to protect against terrorism. New isrange/scale/intensity of threat(al-Qaeda
can kill around world/has struck in 10+ UN members).Could acquire instruments of massive destruction: unprecedented
danger. UN must better use assets in fight against terrorists: articulate a strategy respectful of laws/human rights. Definition
of terrorism offered: any action intended to kill/seriously harm civilians/non-combatants, with purpose of
intimidatingpopulation/compelling action by government/innatl organization. States should use to build consensus
andstrengthen UN response to deadly scourge. Also urgent recommendations on non-proliferation/disarmament/curbing
supply of materials to reduce risk of nuclear/chemical/biological attacks by states/terrorist groups. States encouraged to end
development of domestic uranium enrichmentand urged to voluntary time-limited moratorium on reprocessing plant
construction. IAEA ability to monitorcompliance with Non-Proliferation Treaty strengthened by standards in protocol for
safeguards inspections. Since Cold War, UN far more engaged in preventing/ending civil wars; ended more through
negotiationsince 90 than in previous 200 years; developed expertise/learned hard lessons. As demand for UN blue helmets
grows, need to boost peacekeeper supply/avoid 90s worst failures. Rich states should hastenefforts transforming existing
forces for UN peace operations. UN must invest in mediation/support peace agreement implementation. Demobilize
combatants/reintegrate into civil life; otherwise civil wars not successfully ended/other goals(democracy/justice/
development)remain unmet. Often innatl community lost focus if crisis high point past/peacekeepers left. Propose UNSC create
Peacekeeping Commission; to givestrategic focus for work in states under stress/emerging from conflict. If
prevention/peaceful resolution fails, UN must be able to rely on force. Whatever reason: all states/UNSC should bear in mind
basic guidelines/questions: (1)Seriousness of threat: does it justify force?(2)Proper purpose: does proposed force halt/avert
threat?(3)Last resort: all non-military options explored/exhausted? (4) Proportional means: force proposed minimum
necessary?(5)Balance of consequences: clear action not worse than inaction? No need to amend Art.51 of UN Charter: any
state's right of self-defence against armed attack/pre-emptive action against imminent threat. However if states fear threats,
neither imminent nor proximate, but which could culminate in horrific violence if left to fester, UNSC already powered to
act/must be prepared to take action earlier than past, when asked/reliable evidence. Protection of civilians inside states long
fraught with controversy. Yet recognized more widely that question better framed, not as intervene-right but
protection-responsibility - borne first/foremost by states. Panel agreed principle of non-intervention in internal affairs cannot
protect committing genocide/large-scale ethnic cleansing/othercomparable atrocities. I hope UN members agree/UNSC will
act. UN(now nearly 60)born in very different time/world, so has under-appreciated record of adapting to new dangers, e.g.
peacekeeping in world's civil wars/response to attack of Sep 01. Clearly needs far-reaching reform to prevent/respond to all
current threats. Some propose via-UN collective response too difficult/not necessary. But all anti-threat actions impact beyond
immediate context/all states benefit from shared global framework. Not mean UN needs to do everything. It must learn of share
burdens/welcome help from others/work with them. Already does so; report recommends strengthened UN partnerships with
regional organs/individual states. Great attention: UNSC reform. Objectives: make UNSC more effective/authoritative.
Permanent membership devised(1945)to ensure active engagement of big powers to maintain peace/security. New permanent
members matter of controversy/debate. Two suggestions, both expanding membership to 24; aim at: add those who contribute
most to UN financially/militarily/diplomatically; ensure UNSC represents UN as whole;not expand veto, which would render
decisions more difficult. Proposals offer chance breakthrough in year ahead. If acted on, UNSC more representative/better
equipped for decisive action. Need strengthened UN secretariat that can support Peacebuilding Commission; implement UNSC/
committee decisions better on peacekeeping/mediating civil wars. Report envisages more concerted-action secretariat, with
UNSGmore responsible for management/accountability. Equally important: ECOSOC overhaul to strengthen role in social
development/improving knowledge on economic-social dimensions of security threats. Also, recommends Human Rights
Commission better defender of rights of all. After 60 years, once again findworld mired in disillusionment and all too imperfect.
Easy to stand at sidelines and criticise/talk endlessly about UN reform, but world no longer has that luxury. Time to adapt
collective security system so it works efficiently/effectively/ equitably. Next year UN states reviewing progress on Millennium
Declaration; world leaders' summit in Sep. Appropriate moment to act on some of most important recommendations in report.I
will indicate which call for decisions at that level. Fervently hope world leaders will rise to challenge. Have all lived through
period of deep division and sombre reflection. Must make 05 year of bold decision; all share responsibility for each other's
security. Let's summon courage to fulfil responsibility." Complete text of "A More Secure World: Our Shared Responsibility"
Report of the High-level Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change, plus initial comments by requester/addressee, UNSG Kofi
Annan, can be read and even copied(99pp Acrobat Reader)from Secretary General's part of UN file (www.un.org). Executive
Summary(8pp Acrobat)also available at same address. Capturing the 21st Century Security: Prospects for Collective
Responses(Oct 04)collects reports from six Stanley Foundation conferences in 04 that dealt with UNSG panel. Report at
http://reports.stanleyfoundation.org. Council on Foreign Relations "Q&A: Reforming the United Nations" 01 Dec 04:-originally
available either by NYT>CFR>International>[title] or via CFR directly. This is expert interview with Lee Feinstein who" has
spearheaded Council work on the United Nations" and studied the important UN report and its UNGA prospects.
Clair Apodaca, Michael Stohl, George Lopez, "Moving Norms to Political Reality: Institutionalizing Human Rights Standards
through the United Nations System" (185-220)in The Future of the United Nations System: Potential for the Twenty-First
Century(New York: UN Univ. 98):-extremely useful study of UN human rights structures, treaties and activities, employing a
new sense that state legitimacy derives from internal order and regard for standards. Four main UN purposes include
promotion of human rights, set down in Universal Declaration(48)and amplified in two International Covenants(76).All three
now binding on all states. Many more specific UN System treaties, with recent emphasis on Humanitarian Law.Growing human
rights roles of NGOs, High Commissioner and complex UN structures are explained.Reform proposals involve structure, NGO
protection and regional action.
Reza Aslan No god but God: The Origins, Evolution, and Future of Islam(New York: Random House 05):-The widely-read author
defines his aim in the Prologue: "This book is not just critical reexamination of the origins and evolution of Islam, nor is it
merely an account of the current struggle among Muslims to define the future of this magnificent yet misunderstood faith. This
book is, above all else, an argument for reform"(xx). William Grimes, in his New York Times 04 May 05 review, quotes the
book:"What is taking place now in the Muslim world is an internal conflict between Muslims, not an external battle between
Islam and the West"(248). Grimes himself argues: "[Islam's] history, grippingly narrated and thoughtfully examined, takes up
nearly all of 'No god but God'. Aslan... has written a literate, accessible introduction to Islam.,. carefully placing its
message/rituals in historical context. Complete with glossary/annotated bibliography, it could easily serve as a college
textbook". The 310-page book includes 21st century arguments: "[T]he attacks of 11 Sep 01 were not a defensive strike against
a specific act of aggression against Islam. They were never sanctioned by a qualified mujtahid. They made no differentiation
between combatant/noncombatant.,. indiscriminately killed women, children, and approximately 200 Muslims. In other words,
they fell far short of the regulations imposed by Muhammad for a legitimate jihadi response, which is why, despite common
perception in the West, they were so roundly condemned by the vast majority of the world's Muslims"(87). "Tragic events of
11 Sep... initiated a vibrant discourse among Muslims about meaning/message of Islam in 21st century... It may be too early
to know who will write the next chapter of Islam's story, but it is not too early to recognize who will ultimately win the war
between reform/counterreform... But the cleansing inevitable, and tide of reform cannot be stopped. Islamic Reformation is
already here"(266).
Associated Press," Researchers Produce a Healthier Rice" in New York Times 14 Jan 00: -item reports that " scientists have
genetically engineered a type of rice that could end vitamin A deficiency in the developing world" . About 14m children
worldwide are deficient; so besides reducing widespread blindness, raising vitamin A levels could prevent 1-2m deaths a year.
Swiss researchers successfully spliced three genes into rice to make it rich in beta carotene, a source of vitamin A. While tests
are ensuring the original nutritional value is maintained, the famous International Rice Research Institute(IRRI) is working
tobreed the trait into popular rice varieties. New developments are reported in David Barboza, "AstraZeneca to Sell a
Genetically Engineered Strain of Rice" NYT 16 May(Note to Anthony DePalma," Super Seeds Sweeping Major Markets..." ).
Associated Press, "Number of Refugees Grows Worldwide" New York Times 13 Jun 00:-World Refugee Survey 2000, issued
by prestigious US Committee for Refugees, claims that at end of 20th Century there were35m people worldwide "uprooted and
in need of protection." Conflict contributed 7m to this in 99 alone, and despite UN success in ending some long-term disputes
following end of Cold War, this estimated total had risen from 29m in 90. Moreover, of these, 13.7m are found in Africa(4.4m
in Sudan alone).Another trend has been continually growing number of refugees that for various reasons remain in their own
countries:Internally Displaced Persons. Identified IDPs now number at least 4m, and clearly demand higher priority from
UN-UNHCR since they are not afforded same legal protections and care as" international" refugeesunder Geneva Conventions.
On other hand, there is hope that some sources of refugees and IDPs may bein sight of permanent solution. Elizabeth
Rosenthal, "Famine in North Korea Creates Steady Human Flow into China" NYT 10 Jun:-report on motives and stratagems
of North Korean refugees within/outside their country. Any moves towards Korean reconciliation could have major and rapid
effect on this crisis. For evenlonger-term look at issue of unwilling migration, AP reports "Conference Addresses Migration"
NYT 10 Jun:-experts Paris meeting organized by Universal Academy of Cultures concluded "globalization demands greater
moral responsibility and intervening in sovereign nations is plausible response to misery that drives populations beyond their
borders." Those seeking political asylum increased from 250,000 in 87 to 900,000 in 92, but then declined to 388,000 in
98,perhaps reflecting growing influence of such perceptionin UN. Meanwhile, if Europe's population falls 100m by 50, migration
waves may become beneficial.
Associated Press, "Activists Seek Cluster Bomb Ban" New York Times 08 Aug 00:-British arm of International Campaign to
Ban Land Mines has called for global moratorium on use, manufacture and sale of cluster bombs, pending in-depth review
of their legality and impact. While designed to scatter immediately-exploding "bomblets" over large area, significant numbers
of bomblets fail to explode on first impact; so effectively become land mines. By causing civilian casualties for years after
hostilities end, charged their use is "indiscriminate and in clear breach of international humanitarian law." Group calls for laws
requiring clearance after combat, compensation of civilian casualties and deployment records.Reuters, "UK Anti-Land Mine
Group Seeks Ban on Cluster Bombs" NYT 8 Aug :- gives similar facts, but adds bomblets can blight farmland, impede
economic recovery, grow in lethality over time.
Associated Press "Nations Vow to Fight Urban Blight" New York Times 09 Jun 01:-results of five-year-review of progress in
meeting UN Habitat Agenda, agreed upon at 96 global summit on urban issues in Istanbul. New York review conference
produced UN Declaration on Cities and Other Human Settlements in the New Millennium which reaffirmed commitment to
Agenda principles regarding "adequate housing for all and sustainable development of world's cities" -no easy task since
many countries" openly admit they have made little progress since Istanbul meeting. More than 1b...still lack adequate
housing[out of 3b(50%)global urban population, and since f]ast-growing slums are common on outskirts of Asian, Africa and
Latin American cities" .Textual crises overcome involved Palestinian proposal to criticize Israel, and US refusal to reaffirm
adequate housing as "human right" .
Associated Press"Ugandans Report Mixed Messages on AIDS Plan"New York Times 18 Mar 06:-"Question of why Ugandans
didn't use a condom is at the heart of a dispute between some health activists and US government. Activists, as well as some
Ugandan officials, accuse US of blunting the condom message in favor of abstinence, while the Americans say they are victims
of misinformation and have actually increased nearly tenfold the number of condoms they supply to this African nation of 26
million...Billboards urging condom use have disappeared from the capital, Kampala. In their place are posters, some funded
by US government, urging youth to delay sex until marriage... HIV prevalence crept up to 7.1% in 2004-5, after stagnating at
around 6% preceding three years, according to government figures";
Associated Press"AIDS Said Orphaned 1.5M Asia - Pacific Kids"New York Times 22 Mar 06:-"AIDS hasorphaned an estimated
1.5m children in Asia-Pacific region, but they are often overlooked in the mix of other issues surrounding a disease that has
historically focused on adults, officials told a regional conference... About 121,000 children in the region have been infected
by the disease, according to UNAIDS figures from 2004. Another 35,000 also need anti-retroviral drug treatment to survive.
Three-day meeting has drawn some 250 delegates from UN agencies, governments and NGOs to Hanoi to discusswhat can
be done to limit spread of the disease among youth and how to help children already infected or orphaned by it... UNICEF
regional director... said there needs to be increased prevention efforts targeting youth, more focus on prevention of mother
to child transmission, provision of drugs to children suffering from the disease, and creation of support groups for kids
infected with the virus or orphaned by it... A Save the Children survey... found that many children cannot go to school
becausesomeone in their family is sick with the disease, they are commonly ridiculed and ostracized by society and are
sometimes forced to work as slaves or sex workers after becoming orphans"; AP"Group Warns of More Child AIDS
Deaths"NYT 24 Mar 06:-"Number of children orphaned by AIDS in East Asia-Pacificregion could grow from 450,000 to 1.7m
in less than a decade if resources aren't increased for prevention and treatment, UNICEF official said... Also said number of
child deaths could reach nearly 20,000 a year during that time if more isn't done... It would take up to $5.5b annually until 2015
to lessen effects of HIV/AIDS on children in the region, in increasing to an estimated $6b a year after that, he said... [UNICEF
epidemiologist also said] there are an estimated 450,000 children in the region who have lost one or both parents to the
disease, and that could grow to 1.7m by 2015 without more funding... A documentreleased at end of conference called for
reducing the stigma and discrimination associated with HIV,boosting steps to prevent mother-to-child transmission, and
enhansing care and protection for children. Other provisions included more pediatric HIV testing and greater access to
anti-retroviral drugs for children.HIV/AIDS epidemic is growing faster in East Asia than anywhere else in the world. In many
countriesepidemic still largely concentrated in high-risk groups.
Associated Press"AIDS Conference Ends With Appeals"New York Times 26 Apr 06:-"International AIDS conference [in Cape
Town, of 1,000 scientists/researchers,] ended [26 Apr] with impassioned appeals to political/pharmaceutical industry leaders
to fund development of a virus-killing [vaginal] gel to protect women from the disease and so save millions of lives. Peter Piot,
head of UNAIDS,.. said safe/effective microbicides could be ready in 5-7 years, with only minimal additional funding, and thus
turn the dream of saving millions of lives into reality... In the hard hit African countries, women account for nearly 60% of
infections. Most are infected through heterosexual intercourse... UNAIDS/WHO have long promotedmicrobicides as a
potentially valuable weapon in fight against the epidemic, not least because it allows women to protect themselves without
having to rely on partners who refuse to wear a condom or befaithful. Yet despite this, research has proceeded slowly. [Piot]
said investment in microbicide development should be doubled - and even then would still only reach about US$150m per
year...Microbicides can take the form of a gel, cream, sponge or ring that releases an ingredient that can kill or deactivate HIV
during intercourse. There are currently five different products being tested[, mainly in Africa on thousand of women]. Dozens
of agents that could interrupt HIV transmission have so far beenidentified. There are also hopes that the microbicides could
be used to prevent other sexually transmitteddiseases and unwanted pregnancies. One of the products, cellulose sulphate,
has the potential to bea contraceptive and shield against HIV... Another microbicide, Carragard, coats vaginal cells and
preventsthe virus from entering...Much of funding for research comes from Gates Foundation and US government... Trying
to dismiss fears that microbicides would mainly be used in developing countries and therefore offer only low profit margins,
[WHO] cited their potential for use in contraception in wealthy countries".
Associated Press "Annan Paints Grim Picture to Assembly"New York Times 19 Sep 06:-"Addressing world leaders for last time
as UNSG, Kofi Annan painted a grim picture of an unjust world economy, global disorder, widespread contempt for human
rights, and appealed for nations/peoples to truly unite. As theannual UN General Assembly [UNGA] ministerial meeting got
under way, 192 UN member states facedambitious agenda including trying to promote Mideast peace, curb Iran's nuclear
ambitions, get UN peacekeepers into conflict-wracked Darfur, promote democracy... Annan, whose second five-year term ends
31 Dec 06, said the past decade has seen progress in development, security, rule of law - the threegreat challenges he said
humanity faced in first address to UNGA in 97. But UNSG said too many still exposed to brutal conflict, and fear of terrorism
has increased clash of civilizations/religions. Terrorismbeing used as pretext to limit or abolish human rights, and globalization
risks driving richer and poorer apart, he said. 'Events of last 10 years have not resolved, but sharpened, three great challenges
- unjust world economy, world disorder, and widespread contempt for human rights and rule of law', Annan said.'As result,
we face world whose divisions threaten very notion of an international community, upon which this institution stands. I remain
convinced that only answer to this divided world must be a truly United Nations' , he said. In annual report, UNSG touched on
some of most difficult issues confronting leaders... [Arab-Israeli conflict; Iraq; Afghanistan; Sudan/Darfur]. 'Together we have
pushed some big rocks to top of the mountain, even if others have slipped from our grasp and rolled back. But this mountain...
is best place on earth to be',UNSG said.'I yield my place to others with an obstinate feeling of hope for our common future',
Annan said. [UNGA] loud applause/rose in sustained standing ovation".
Enrico Augelli & Craig Murphy"Lessons of Somalia for Future Multilateral Humanitarian Assistance Operations"Global
Governance Vol.1/No.3 (Sep-Dec 95):-detailed account of what went wrong in Somalia, and why. For another analysis of this
important case, see Sapir and Deconinck in Weiss (1995) op. cit.
Séverine Autesserre"The Trouble With Congo: How Local Disputes Fuel Regional Conflict"(94-110)Foreign Affairs
Vol.87/No.3(May/Jun 08):-official summary:"Although the war in Congo officially ended in 2003, 2m people have died since.
One of the reasons is that the international community's peacekeeping efforts there have not focused on the local grievances
in eastern Congo, especially those over land, that are fueling much of the broader tensions. Until they do, the nation's security
and that of wider Great Lakes region will remain uncertain". Emphasized extracts:"Congo is now the stage for the largest
humanitarian disaster in the world - far larger than the crisis in Sudan. [I]nternational actors must tackle situation in Congo
from the ground up". Autesserre is Assistant Professor of Political Science at Barnard College, Columbia Univ.
Deborah Avant "THINK AGAIN: Mercenaries" Foreign Policy No.143(Jul/Aug 04):-a correction of ten public (mis)concepts about
the current activities and value of (mainly US-employed) PRIVATE SECURITY FIRMS vs (traditional) MERCENARIES. (See also
Sarah V.Percy op.cit.) Avant first offers widely-believed view about such firms ("Quoted/Under-lined Phrases"); then states
a FIRM ONE/TWO-WORD REACTION; then says at length her views of the actual truth. "Private Security Companies Are
Mercenaries" -NO. "'Mercenary'describes wide variety of military activities, many of which bear little resemblance to those of
today's... corporate endeavours that perform logistics support, training, security, intelligence work, risk analysis, and much
more". "The Bush Administration Has Dramatically Expanded Use of Military Contractors" -WRONG. "US ramped up military
outsourcing during 1990s, after end of Cold War brought reductions in force size and numerous ethnic and regional conflicts
emerged requiring intervention" ."Contractors Don't Engage in Combat or Other Essential Military Tasks" -FALSE. "Although...
Rumsfeld said Pentagon would outsource all but core military tasks, these tasks are changing, and military contractors
perform many of them. Contractors have technical expertise to support increasingly complex weapons systems [and
intelligence services for war on terrorism]". "Military Contractors Are Cheaper than Regular Soldiers" -PROVE IT. "Two
conditions must be present for private sector to deliver services more efficiently than government: competitive market and
contractor flexibility in fulfilling their obligations. [G]overnments frequently curtail competition to preserve reliability and
continuity [and] impose conditions that reduce contractors' flexibility" . "Contractors Are Accountable to No One" -AN
EXAGGERATION. "Many governments regulate security contractors to greater or lesser degrees ... Contractors are
accountable to range of employers and respond most effectively to market incentives... Use of contractors to avoid
governmental accountability is more worrisome. "Contractors Value Profits More than Peace" -NOT ALWAYS. "Although many
critics argue that military contractors have economic interest in prolonging conflict rather than reducing it, employees of
private military companies rarely have been accused of aggravating conflict intentionally to keep profits flowing". "Contractors
Operate Outside the Law" -FREQUENTLY "Legal status of contractors varies considerably. Sometimes they are subject to laws
of territory in which they operate and other times to those of their home territory, but too often distinction is unclear... Status
of contractors is even more contentious under international law. Most... activity falls outside purview of 1989 UN Convention
on Mercenaries" . "Only Governments Hire Private Security Companies" -WRONG. "Security contractors work for governments,
transnational corporations, and nongovernmental organizations (NGOs). Oil, diamond, and other extractive industries hire
contractors to guard their facilities, and UN and NGOs employ convoy guards. In Iraq, nearly every foreign entity... requires
private security". "UN Should Outsource Peacekeeping to Private Contractors" -NO. "Those who advocate that UN hire private
contractors are not looking to replace UN peacekeeping forces. Rather, they hope to make them more flexible and easier to
use... Outsourced peacekeeping is... unlikely. UNSC and UNGA have been reluctant to consider it because of weak
governments' concern that private security forces could be used against them". "Private Military Contractors Undermine State
Power" -NOT ALWAYS. "Contractors undermine states' collective monopoly on violence. Fact that US, Britain, Australia and
UN hire private security makes it hard for nations that oppose military contracting to restrict security firms based in their
country" . For another excellent (different) description of current use of mercenaries, see The Economist 04 Nov
06"Mercenaries: Blood and Treasure" (70-1) :-Highlight is: "In recent decades, mercenaries... pushed to the wilder edges of
global conflict: the 'dogs of war' who fight nasty little campaigns in Africa. But for a new kind of soldier of fortune, the fighting
in Iraq has proved to be a pot of gold". Item's own summary:"After the windfall of Iraq, where is the next fortune to be found?".
Lloyd Axworthy and Sarah Taylor, "A Ban for All Seasons: The Landmines Convention and Its Implications for Canadian
Diplomacy" International Journal Vol.LIII/No.2(Spring 98):-almost entirely on techniques used to persuade 122 governments
to sign Convention(Dec 97)to eliminate the manufacture/use/export of anti-personnel landmines. Thrust: "Ottawa process"
required governments and civil society to work together as team. This "soft power" approach is more appropriate because
of changed international issues/relations/outcomes that also call for more focus on human(vs state)security and humanitarian
law.(See Hampson-Oliver op.cit.)The Economist 04 Dec 04 "Lifting Landmines: Easy To Lay, Hard To Dig Up" (46):-describes
how one of world's worst minefields being cleared, and reports on techniques/global issues, at the time of an international
landmine conference in Nairobi. "Rats, sniffer dogs and armour-plated bulldozers can help, but most mine-clearing still done
by hand, usually by man with pointed stickand plastic mask." Those in Angola use no metal detectors since ground scattered
with bullet casings as well. De-miners are rarely killed. "In five years since global ban agreed in Ottawa, nearly 40m landmines
...destroyed. Most were in stockpiles, but some 4m were painstakingly found and dug up. Nonetheless,devices still kill or maim
40 people/day...Some armies, such as Sudan's, continue to plant them.Guerrillas and rebels respect no treaties. Only complete
destruction of existing stocks and end to manufacture would cut off supply. But that would require all countries to sign up
to Ottawa treaty. So far144 countries have, but China, Russia, Pakistan, India, US still refuse. China...considering signing,
butUS will not, mostly because minefields help keep North Koreans out of South Korea...US plans to switch to using mines
that self-destruct after a few weeks(though not always reliably)will be used as excuse never to sign treaty. Men...will be
prodding gingerly for long time yet."
Robert Baer"THE FP MEMO:- Wanted: Spies Unlike Us"Foreign Policy No.147(Mar/Apr 05):-former CIA case officer 1976-97,
and author -See No Evil: The True Story of a Ground Soldier in the CIA's War on Terrorism(New York: Crown Publishers 02),
drafts a MEMORANDUM from himself to Porter Goss, U.S. Director of Central Intelligence, entitled"Getting the CIA Back in the
Game". He writes"CIA is clearly broken, and you have a chance to fix it... Reform is needed across the board, but the
Directorate of Operations(DO) should be your first target. Its mission - recruiting and running foreign spies - should be the
agency's core function.Give DO the tools it needs, and intelligence analysis will take care of itself...Here are my
suggestions(forming remainder of the MEMO under following headings): Reform the Promotion System; Know Your
Sources;Recruit on College Campuses; Lower the Retirement Age; Stop Relying on Foreign Governments;Change the Security
Clearance System; Recruit on the Dark Side. [I would myself disagree with the proposed total lack of cooperation with the
world's 200 or so "Foreign Governments". Even the US could not gain unilaterally all the global information it is going to need.
The global danger of all types/sources of terrorism in the world can only be constrained if all governments ideally/ostensibly
work together.Genuine intelligence activity abroad could/would lie on top of that.]
Sydney D. Bailey and Sam Daws, The Procedure of the U N Security Council (Third Edition)(New York: Oxford Univ. Press
98):-clearly most complete, authoritative and readable reference book on how UNSC works(or doesn't). With Council often in
news and Canada member, knowing better what going on, and why, of practical value. There are 400 pages, but all can be read
through quite painlessly as sprinkled with amusing anecdotes. For reference, chapters address distinct topics: The
Constitutional Framework(how and why extraordinary Charter role);The Council Meets(ever more secret huddles; what about;
how methodschange);The People(S-Gs; Presidents; dreaded P5; from polite quips to slugfests);Diplomacy and Debate(how
debates are won -or stalled while your side wins war);Voting (various species of votes;skullduggery with veto);Relations with
Other Organs(phantom Military Staff; UNGA hordes; TrusteeshipCouncil immortality; eternal votes over ICJ judges; more
skullduggery over S-Gs);Subsidiary Organs(planting acorns or pulling weeds);New Charter, New Members, New Rules, New
Working Practices, or New National Policies?(UNSC reform deadlock and how to ignore it).Plus 200 pages of Appendices, on
everything. To complete picture, Election of Nonpermanent Members described by Malone(op.cit.).
Carter F.Bales & Richard D.Duke "Containing Climate Change: An Opportunity for U.S. Leadership"(78-89) Foreign Affairs
Vol.87/No.5(Sep/Oct 08):-official summary:"Greenhouse gas emissions are harming the environment and the global economy.
After cleaning up its own act, US must enlist developing countries in a new climate-control regime that promises to
dramatically reduce emissions and encourage energy efficiency and the development of clean-energy technology".
Emphasized extracts:"A cap-and-invest strategy would allow US to develop a clean economy at little or no net cost". "Time
has come for US to lead the fight against global warming at home and abroad". Bales: Managing Partner Emeritus of Wicks
Group of Companies. Duke: Director of Natural Resources Defense Council's Center for Market Innovation.
Ben Barber"Feeding Refugees, or War? The Dilemma of Humanitarian Aid"Foreign Affairs Vol.76/No.4 (Jul/Aug 1997). -
describes the standard techniques used increasingly by combatants to exploit refugees for cover and to obtain aid supplies.
Recommends: disarming camps; careful siting of refugees; aid distribution by selected agency and recipient; barring aid from
interested parties; full information.
Scott Barrett Why Cooperate? The Incentive to Supply Global Public Goods (New York: Oxford Univ Press 07):-surprisingly
well written -considering the complexity of issues- in: (1) describing the existing global challenges (e.g. climate change,
nuclear proliferation, worldwide pandemics) and those that threaten the entire planet (e.g. terrorism,
physical/chemical/biological instabilities, asteroids); and (2) reporting on how such problems have been successfully or badly
handled in the past, the rationales involved, and the various cooperations that would/might work best in future. Barrett's
"threat" approach differs from my item "EARTH MUST COOPERATE...", mainly in stressing "Global Public Goods" actions of
the recent past (e.g.often successful United Nations; wonderful "Montreal Protocol" ozone treaty), whereas my gloomy and
concentrated "page" is designed almost solely to identify: (1) the exploding scale/variety of global threats; (2) the human
tendencies that have created/will create them; and (3) why we must change a number of very old human views/feelings. Both
press broader global diplomacy as essential tool. Most chapters focus on distinct types of issue/solution. [Even a study of
brief bit(s) of 275p would be valuable.] Titles: Incentives to Supply Global Public Goods [GPG]; (1) Single Best Efforts: GPG
that Can Be Supplied Unilaterally or Minilaterally; (2) Weakest Links: GPG that Depend on States that Contribute the Least;
(3) Aggregate Efforts: GPG that Depend on Combined Efforts of All States; (4) Financing and Burden Sharing: Paying for GPG;
(5) Mutual Restraint: Agreeing What States Ought Not to Do; (6) Coordination and Global Standards: Agreeing What States
Ought to Do; (7) Development: Do GPG Help Poor States?; Conclusion: Institutions for Supply of GPG.
Felicity Barringer "Nations Ranked as Protectors of the Environment"New York Times 24 Jan 05:-2005 has produced"index
of environmental sustainability, which ranks nations on their success at such tasks asmaintaining/improving air and water
quality, maximizing biodiversity and cooperating with other countries on environmental problems...Report is based on 75
measures, including rate at which children die from respiratory diseases, fertility rates[of what?], water quality, overfishing,
emission of heat-trapping gases, and export of sodium dioxide, crucial component of acid rain. Report also cited
statisticallysignificant correlation between high-ranking countries and[those]with open political systems/effective
governments."Top ten out of 146 countries studied were(in their order):Finland, Norway, Uruguay, Sweden, Iceland, Canada,
Switzerland, Guyana, Argentina, Austria. US ranked 45th, behind such countries as Japan, Botswana, Bhutan, most of Western
Europe. Lowest-ranking country was North Korea; others near bottom were Haiti, Taiwan, Iraq, Kuwait. Index is second
produced in collaboration with World Economic Forum(Davos, Switzerland).
Warren Bass "The Triage of Dayton" Foreign Affairs Vol.77/No.5(Sep/Oct 98):-highly critical account of US/UN actions and
inactions relating to 95 Dayton Accords on Bosnia.(Full account of negotiations: Holbrooke op.cit.)Seems to take it as given
that" Serbs"and they alone committed both aggression and ethnic cleansing, and hence required punishment, not mediation.
Argued that early "lift and strike" policy by US against Serbs(regardless of UN ground forces' vulnerability as decided by
UNSC)could have let US(sic) "stay true to its avowed ideals of multiethnic tolerance, liberal democracy and reversing
aggression."
Jean-Francois Bayart, Stephen Ellis and Beatrice Hibou The Criminalization of the State in Africa(Oxford:James Currey
99):-inevitably researched unscientifically, seeks to explain multiple political-economic crises of Africa(i.e.south of Sahara)as
whole. "African specialists" after lamentingdemography/stagnation-acerbated poverty/hyper-urbanization, highlight certain
developments: facade of democratic transition/structural adjustment/other reforms; armed conflicts' continuation or spread;
above all, elites' massive involvement in corrupt/criminal activities(drugs/other smuggling; political-financial/other fraud;
coercion/violence).While driven by change, these African reactions show historicalinfluence of approving accumulation of
power and wealth through devious personal initiative. Thusnationalism, government and law are simply used; their
criminalization culturally-rooted.
Barbara Beck "The Economics of Ageing: The Luxury of Longer Life" The Economist 27 Jan 96(Survey 1-16):-longer average
lifespans worldwide are raising global, and not simply national, problems in fields like economics and finance, travel and
migration, medicine and health care, social and cultural change, and even moral standards.
Elizabeth Becker "Number of Hungry Rising, U.N. Says" New York Times 08 Dec 04:-UN agency Food and Agriculture
Organization(FAO)makes ominous report: for first time in almost decade, estimated number in the world going hungry has
increased. Despite overall increase in global wealth, FAO states, after slow/steady decrease, chronically hungry rose to nearly
852m(18m increase since 00); 5m children are dying of hunger annually. FAO senior claimed world now producing more than
enough food, so problem is access to jobs/resources/land/money to buy food. UN's International Labor Organization
(ILO)reported that record 1.4b(half world's workers)earn less than $2 daily. Oxfam reported that global aid budgets now total
half of level in 60. Yet UN's Millennium Development Goals, pledged by all the world's governments, set targets to halve
extreme poverty/hunger by 15." At least 80% of world's chronically hungry live in rural areas and over half...subsistence
farmers. Competition from world's wealthiest farmers, heavilysubsidized by rich governments,...blamed in part for the inequity.
Trade ministers have promised to continue working to reduce agricultural subsidies/supports at global trade talks next year
[WTO].In measuring hunger [FAO] considers calorie intake/amount of food available/inequities in access to food supplies.
Thirty countries [Asia/ Africa/Latin America] cut percentage of hungry people at least 25% over last decade by reducing
conflict/focusing... programs on rural areas/small farmers.[This is fundamentally critical, since]children under three most
vulnerable to disease/death. Without proper nutrition, it is difficult for these children to ever recover/lead productive lives."
Samuel R. Berger "Foreign Policy for a Democratic President" Foreign Affairs Vol.83/No.3(May/Jun 04):-aimed at those
concerned about weaknesses in US foreign policy of Bush regime, andneeds/opportunities in modified policies of any Nov
04-elected Democratic(or amended)regime. Most issues discussed of global relevance, and many stress US relations with
foreign entities, particularlyNATO/UN/international law. This mentions those of global importance discussed in some detail.
US administration's "high-handed style and its gratuitous unilateralism" about its military, economic and cultural aims,
embittered even those abroad most likely to embrace US values. New US regime "no moreurgent task than to restore...global
moral and political authority, so when we decide to act we canpersuade others to join us. Achieving reversal will require
forging new strategic bargain with closest allies...Democratic approach to resolving disputes with Europe over treaties should
be pragmatic, focused on improving flawed agreements rather than ripping them up" .US policy towards Israel-Palestine
conflictmust return with energy/urgency. Regarding Afghanistan/Pakistan and Iraq," Bush administration'sunilateralist
approach has let allies off hook: given them excuse to shirk these and other global responsibilities. Democratic administration
would not be so dismissive of allies on issues that matter to them" since exercises truly international rather than exclusively
US. Similar approaches are relevant to spread of weapons of mass destruction(WMD)." Democratic administration should use
every tool at disposal to prevent WMD threats from arising before force becomes only option" . Listed issues include
Nunn-Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction Program with Russia, and "global effort to secure nuclear materials at all such
sites" .Others sites described are North Korea and Iran. Non-Proliferation Treaty(NPT)might add "new bargain" helping
non-nuclear countries develop nuclear energy. Many more issues are brief.
Sheri Berman"From the Sun King to Karzai: Lessons for State Building in Afghanistan"(2-9) Foreign Affairs Vol.89/No.2
(Mar/Apr10):-official summary:"The US's mission in Afghanistan will not be accomplished until a central government exists
there that can control the country's territory. History shows that such state building is possible but is not a job for the
squeamish, the impatient, or the easily frustrated. Policymakers should look to Louis XIV and the development of France's
ancien régime for guidance". Berman: Associate Professor of Political Science at Barnard College, Columbia Univ. For an
annotated guide to this topic, see "What to Read on State Building" at www.foreignaffairs.com/readinglists/state-building.
Richard K.Betts"The New Politics of Intelligence: Will Reforms Work This Time?" Foreign AffairsVol.83/No.3(May/ Jun 04):-
while relates to optimal improvements to US top-level intelligence use, much of discussion/advice relevant to relationship
between policy-makers and intelligence-commanders in any country. "Danger stems from gap between urge to do something
and uncertainty about just what something could be...At end of day, strongest defense against intelligence mistakes will come
less from any structural or procedural tweak than from good sense, good character, and good mental habits of senior officials"
.Not mentioned in FA, but relevant to both intelligence and diplomatic/defense/securitystaff effectiveness is ability to speak
relevant foreign languages. The Economist 15 May 04 "ARABIC: Speak Up" (56):-how British and other governments need to
ensure sufficient national facilities to train civil servants/university students that need special language ability. Economist 17
Jul 04 "Sincere Deceivers" (Edit.11-2)and "Intelligence Failures: The Weapons That Weren't" (23-5):-both US and British
governments analysed positions of intelligence forces in giving President Bush and PM Blair respectivelyreports that made
their bosses announce need to attack Iraq because it constituted regime both able to use/pass to terrorists weapons of mass
destruction(WMD)and, in case of Bush, willing to support attacks by al-Qaeda. Both governments' reports criticize their
intelligence forces as hinting more positive threats than should have been derived from their information, influenced by
views/desires of heads of government. But US system considerably worse in this respect. Gives full information about two
analyses and comments on politically inclined intelligence, and mentions future effects. Efraim Halevy "In Defence of the
Intelligence Services" Economist 31 Jul 04(By Invite 21-3):-author was head 98-02 of Mossad, Israel's intelligence service.
Essence of well-written thesis: "Committees of inquiry into US and British intelligence failures may have left West less secure."
Basic critique is that of professional intelligence officer, and views are of expertise/relevance. However, one does get
background implied of support for attack on Iraq, even if intelligence is ambiguous - an Israeli need? Economist 07 Aug 04
"New Non-Fiction: The al-Qaeda Code" (69):-favourable review of famous government document published as book 567pp
long: The 9/11 Commission Report: Final Report of the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States
(Norton).Something to be emulated by all future government reports. Economist 14 Aug 04 "The CIA: The Right Man?"
(26):-short item regarding politically hot issue in US. Criticism of intelligence produced recently by CIA resulted in: (1) criticism
of CIA director who also had acted as coordinating national head of all US intelligence groups; (2)resignation of CIA director
in reaction to criticism. President Bush has nominatedCongressman Porter Goss as friend and experienced eight-term
Republican, once CIA agent and recently chairman of House Intelligence Committee. Already controversy over Goss'
appropriateness, although Bush agreed coordination of all US intelligence services will in future be carried out by another,
new, separate position. Economist 28 Aug "The CIA: For the Scrap-Heap?" (28):-another short item reports on proposal of Pat
Roberts, Republican chairman of Senate Intelligence Committee. He recommended new National Intelligence Service "run by
hugely powerful director, backed by four assistant directors, each responsible for different phase of intelligence process. CIA
would be dismantled, and its departments assigned to relevant assistant director. Control over other intelligence agencies
would be wrested from Defence Department and FBI." Many experts claim proposals are wrong; some prefer more: diverse
recruits, work with foreign agencies, and human intelligence-gathering.
Jagdish Bhagwati "Free Trade Today"(Princeton: Princeton Univ Press 02):-while only 140pp long (including Preface and
Index), and presented in the form of three Lectures (with multiple footnotes - mainly identifying sources), this famous book
is often described as the greatest defense for global free trade ever written. Dustcover claims:"Forcefully, elegantly, and clearly
written for the public by one of the foremost economic thinkers of our day [Professor at Columbia Univ. and a special adviser
to UN and particularly GATT/WTO], this volume is not merely accessible but essential reading for anyone interested in
economic policy orin the world economy". Titles: LECTURE 1: "Confronting Conventional Threats to Free Trade: The Postwar
Revolution in the Theory of Commercial Policy"; LECTURE 2: "'Fair Trade', Income Distribution, and Social Agendas: Using
Trade Theory to Meet New Challenges"; LECTURE 3: "Getting to Free Trade: Alternative Approaches and Their Theoretical
Rationale". While 1 is difficult for those without economic training, 2 and 3 can be easily handled by any who regularly read
international affairs. Editor's own summary: "Bhagwati applies critical insights from revolutionary developments in commercial
policy theory... to show how the pursuit of social and environmental agendas can be creatively reconciled withthe pursuit of
free trade. Indeed, he argues that free trade, by raising living standards, can serve these agendas far better than can a descent
into trade sanctions and restrictions. [H]e argues in support of multilateralism and advances a withering critique of recent
bilateral and regional free trade agreements". Bhagwati's also famous"In Defense of Globalization"(Oxford Univ 04), offers a
300+pp broader approach.
Jagdish Bhagwati"Banned Aid: Why International Assistance Does Not Alleviate Poverty"(120-125) Foreign Affairs Vol.89/No.1
(Jan/Feb 10):-Review Essay of Dambisa Moyo: Dead Aid: Why Aid Is Not Working and How There Is a Better Way for Africa
(Farrar, Straus & Giraux 09, 208pp. $24.00). Official summary:"The idea that foreign aid can be used to promote development
seems reasonable. But as the Zambian economist Moyo argues, it is flawed - not just because corrupt dictators divert aid for
nefarious or selfish purposes but also because even in reasonably democratic countries, aid creates perverse incentives and
unintended consequences". [In other words, while the deeply experienced and global-level economist Bhagwati ultimately
rejects Moyo's proposal to terminate all aid within five years, he shares many of her criticisms of its errant policies by
identifying several unfortunate motives that drove the donations. He also feels that she does not assign sufficient blame to
the terrible faults of many of the African leaders involved.] Bhagwati is Senior Fellow in International Economics at the Council
on Foreign Relations and University Professor of Economics and Law at Columbia University. He served on the UN secretary-general's Advisory Panel on International Support for the New Partnership for Africa's Development 2005-06. For an annotated
guide to this topic, see "What to Read on Foreign Aid" at www.foreignaffairs.com/readinglists/foreign-aid.
Stephen Biddle, Fotini Christia & J Alexander Thier“Defining Success in Afghanistan: What Can the United States [and NATO]
Accept?”(48-60) Foreign Affairs Vol.89/No.4 (Jul/Aug 10):-official summary:“Since the overthrow of the Taliban in 2001, the
West has tried to build a strong centralized government in Afghanistan. But such an approach fits poorly with Afghanistan’s
history and political culture. A range of alternative models are possible, of which the two most realistic and acceptable in terms
of US security interests are decentralized democracy and a system of internal mixed sovereignty”. Emphasized extracts:“The
US will have to push for a more inclusive, flexible, and decentralized political arrangement”. “Centralized governance matches
neither the real internal distribution of power in Afghanistan nor local notions of legitimacy”. Final sentence: “The perfect is
probably not achievable in Afghanistan - but the acceptable can still be salvaged”. Biddle is Roger Hertog Senior Fellow for
Defense Policy at the Council on Foreign Relations. Christia is Assistant Professor of Political Science at the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology. Thier is Director of Afghanistan and Pakistan at the US Institute of Peace. For a selection of articles
on Afghanistan from the Foreign Affairs archives, see the collection at www.foreignaffairs.com/collections/afghanistan.
Matthew Bishop"Social Insurance: Privatising Peace of Mind"Economist 24 Oct 98(Survey 1-22):-matter of growing concern
for OECD states, the NICs and - in desperate terms - the LDCs, is how best to ensure basic social needs. The areas of greatest
concern are health (and related social aid), pensions, help for the unemployed, and ensuring minimum living standards.
Ever-growing dilemmas vary from finding thebasic funds and facilities in the LDCs to selecting the best ways, in terms of
efficiency and financing, to organize the large-scale programs in the rich welfare states. Two major issues mainly in the latter
relate to the growing demographic ratio of recipients to contributors, and the relative advantages of state and private schemes.
The Survey studies all these carefully.
Tony Blair "A Year of Huge Challenges" The Economist 01 Jan 05(By Invitation 44-6):-British PM presents two major global
initiatives, to urge G8 to organize and substantially pay(Britain: 05 president).Essay makes strong cases in favor since, "with
threat from international terrorism and spread of weapons of mass destruction.,. they are most serious problems facing world
today [and] problems beyond power of any single country...Solution requires co-ordinated international action, and above all
leadershipwhich G8 is uniquely placed to give. The two initiatives relate to solving African issues and attacking climate change.
Here the only material summarized is on Sorting Out Africa. "[P]lagued with problems - debt, disease, conflict, corruption,
weak governance - so embedded/widespread that no continent, no matter how prosperous, could tackle on its own.[Details
of problems provided.]Should this matter to rest of world?For democratic governments, it should, because it matters to our
citizens.[I]t can't be morally right, in world growing more prosperous/healthier,..that one in six African children still die before
fifth birthday. Worldwide campaign to make poverty history rightly challenges us to act...We must now all accept utter futility
of trying to shut our borders to problems abroad.[Famine/conflict]create conditions for terrorism/fanaticismto take root and
spread[to globe.]Prosperous Africa, where people have chance to fulfil their talents, is in all our interests[while] sheer scale
of Africa's problems can induce understandable sense ofhopelessness. Governance been improving faster...than in many other
areas[,and]Africa Union playingincreasing role in settling conflicts.[B]est way to reduce poverty is through economic
growth.[This]can be increased by aid[that involves greater donation/effectiveness.] But to help Africa continue progresswe
need...coordinated global effort[,including]concerted action to improve opportunities/growth, reduce debt, tackle
HIV/malaria/TB, fight corruption, promote peace/security. We also need to tackle trade barriers...I hope G8 will agree not only
to plan of action but also to its implementation, a process of monitoring and review. We all need to be accountable for carrying
out commitments we have made." Changing Climate is on "twin" item, to keep their lengths reasonable. Starts are similar, but
theirmain texts/distributions differ.
Tony Blair "A Year of Huge Challenges" The Economist 01 Jan 05(By Invitation 44-6):-British PM presents two major global
initiatives, to urge G8 to organize and substantially pay(Britain: 05 president).Essay makes strong cases in favor since, "with
threat from international terrorism and spread of weapons of mass destruction.,. they are most serious problems facing world
today [and] problems beyond power of any single country...Solution requires co-ordinated international action, and above all
leadershipwhich G8 is uniquely placed to give. The two initiatives relate to attacking climate change and solving African issues.
Here the only material summarized is on Changing Climate. "[N]o country will escape its impact. And there can be no
doubt...world getting warmer. Temperatures already risen by 0.7C over past century, and ten hottest years on record all
occurred since 91[;] fastest rise in temperatures in northern hemisphere for thousand years. This...has meant rise in sea level
that, if continues as predicted, will meanhundreds of millions...increasingly at risk from flooding[, plus]other
extreme/increasingly unpredictable weather events such as rainstorms/droughts will also have heavy human/economic cost...
Overwhelming view of experts is that climate change, to greater or lesser extent, is man-made and, without action, will get
worse...But just as technological progress/human activity have helped cause problem, also within our power to lessen impact/
adapt to change.[N]eed to act now. Delay will only increase seriousness of problems...and economic disruption required to
move to more renewable energy and sustainablemanufacturing in future. G8 needs to lead. Kyoto protocol[coming into force]is
good news,but...change/ambition required will be far more[and, with US refusal to sign,]makes measures we could secure
through G8 even more vital." US/Britain have national/state legislation and leading investment/research under way, and firms'
lower-emission status gaining commercial advantage." We are at stage where role of government/global policy must encourage
development/commercial viability of new technologies that have potential to mitigate effects of climate change...G8 can take
global lead both inmaking world aware of scale of problem and proposing ways to tackle. G8[also]opportunity to agree onwhat
most up-to-date investigations of climate change are telling about the threat[, and]engage actively withother countries' growing
energy needs...to ensure they meet needs sustainably and adapt to adverse effects of climate change, which seem inevitable.
Sorting Out Africa is on a "twin" item to keep their lengths reasonable. Starts similar but main texts/distributions differ.
Sandra Blakeslee "A Decade of Discovery Yields a Shock About the Brain" New York Times 04 Jan 00:-US Congress declared
90s "Decade of the Brain" to support research. Most startling/scientifically-upsetting discovery was that long-held assumption
human brain cells are fixed at birth and cannot even be renewed, apparently false. "In fact, from birth through late adolescence,
brain appears to add billions of new cells...In adulthood, process...slows down but does not stop...Mature circuits appear to
be maintained by new cell growth well into old age." News demands "total revision of how scientists think human minds
organized,..shed new light on mechanisms of learning, memory and aging" and creates major opportunities in neurosurgery
and treatment of brain injuries and disorders. Events/trends in neuroscience surveyed; see Goode(op.cit.)for those in brain
medications. Blakeslee reports another revolutionary discovery about brain in "'Rewired'Ferrets Overturn Theories of Brain
Growth" NYT 25 Apr 00:-MIT scientific team appears to have reopened question of relative contributions of genes and
experience in building brain structure. It "rewired" newborn ferret brains so animals' eyes hooked up to brain regions where
hearing normally develops, and found ferrets develop fully functioning visual pathways in auditory portions of
brains,contradicting assumption that brains have specialized regions for different functions set at birth. It appearsbrains
develop specialized functions based on information flowing into them and wire themselvesaccordingly: "experience shapes
the brain." Also explains long-perceived "adjustments" to new brain needs/constraints/damage.
Davis B.Bobrow & Mark A.Boyer"International System Stability and American Decline" International Journal Vol.LVIII/No.2
(Spring 98):-concludes relative decline of US power "has not led to prolonged across-the-board decrease in international
efforts to maintain stability of international system" . "Muted optimism" from recent trends in foreign aid, debt relief,
peace-keeping. Reveals crucial roles of states like Canada and institutionalized co-operative arrangements, to success of
international initiatives. Meanwhile US policy tending toward an evolving, more specialized and narrowly focused activism in
world. All developments direct relevance to UN aims/activities.
Christopher S.Bond & Lewis M.Simons "The Forgotten Front:Winning Hearts and Minds in Southeast Asia"(52-63)Foreign
Affairs Vol.88/No.6(Nov/Dec 09):-official summary:"US [Western?] policymakers can no longer afford to ignore Southeast Asia.
Islamic militants pose a threat to stability in Indonesia, the Philippines, and Thailand. But rather than relying on miltary power
alone to do the job, US should use trade, aid, and education to alleviate poverty in the region and win the hearts and minds
of Southeast Asian Muslims". Bond is a Republican Senator from Missouri. Simons s a Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist. They
are the co-authors of The Next Front: Southeast Asia and the Road to Global Peace With Islam.
Elise Boulding and Jan Oberg "United Nations Peace-Keeping and NGO Peace-Building: Towards Partnership" in Chadwick
F. Alger edit., The Future of the United Nations System: Potential for the Twenty-First Century(New York: U N Univ. Press
98):-argues NGOs worldwide can contribute to UN peace-keepingeffectiveness by developing networks of "civilian peace teams
that co-function with military/civilian peace-keepers." Also detailed proposals about integrating such teams into Department
of Peace-Keeping Operations complete with appropriate organization charts.[Rather unrealistic, given political objections to
NGO inclusion in UN decision-making; NGOs' proud autonomy. Urgent need for all NGOs to cooperatemore, with both others
and UN/government bodies in complex emergencies. More expert "practitioners inmediation/negotiation/conflict resolution"
also welcome, but case for NGO teams weak.]
Newton R. Bowles, United Nations: Less is More? A Report on the Fifty-Third General Assembly: September-December
1998(Report to Group of 78/United Nations Association in Canada)(New York:www.unac.org 99):-author is inter alia UNICEF
Senior Advisor on Children/War/closely involved in UNGA/other UN meetings. Excellent report covers not only highlights of
98 UNGA but variety of related UN issues over year e.g. Security Council developments. Topics covered selectively but
analytically:Overview; General Debate(tone/highlights);Globalization (dialogue/ business-liaison);ODA/FDI Resources;Human
Rights/development/UN casualties; Humanitarian Intervention; Security Council(evolution);Conflict Prevention(education);
Peacekeeping; Disarmament(new trends);Africa(war/ poverty); Crime (ICC/Tribunals/terrorism/ drugs);NGOs/Civil Society; UN
Management/Funding.
Newton R.Bowles, United Nations: Hedge or Taels? A Report on the Fifty-Fourth General Assembly: September-December
1999(Report to Group of 78/United Nations Association in Canada)(New York:www.unac.org 00):-valuable impressions of
tone/highlights of UNGA Regular Session/related developments, particularly in Security Council. Subject titles(and main
points): World in 99(better prospects than 98; praise for UNSG/UNGA President; radical UNSG speech: humanitarian law before
sovereignty(text: Annex 1);no UNSC reform but more open; progress on UN human rights and development role); General
Debate(main value: networking/ stage-setting; main theme: massive human rights violence, armed conflict within states; major
points of notable speeches);Human Security Issues(follow-up to "Agenda for Peace" particularly prevention; key: broad
"international approach to poverty, human rights and social/economic development" (UNGA President Statement: Annex
2);UNSC renewed activism but no progress on membership or veto; special problems of Africa); HIV/AIDS(stress on Africa
where death toll 10 times that of wars; Statement by UNAIDS Executive-Director: Annex 3); Conflict Prevention(improved
early-warning/prevention strategies; seek social/economic root causes); Peacekeeping(major forcesin Kosovo, Sierra Leone,
East Timor, DR Congo total well over 30,000 in 00(Operations in Annex 4);International Justice(international criminal law fairly
controversial compared with civil law; Yugoslavia and Rwanda Tribunals started from scratch but improving; International
Criminal Court: 30 Jun deadline will be met; current: new convention on terrorism financing, working on conventions re nuclear
terrorism and comprehensive anti-terrorism; planning international conference and transnational crime
convention;Disarmament(gloomy: START II stuck in Duma; CTBT refused by Congress; ABM may be weakened or ignored;
Conference on Disarmament is paralysed; Special Assembly Session on Disarmament unlikely;NPT review conference also
unlikely; Resolution on Peaceful Uses of Outer Space passed, but US resumed anti-missile tests; practical progress on
implementing/completing agreements on Chemical and Biological weapons, Landmines, Heavy Weapons register, Small Arms
Trade; Development(of LDC needs-investment, markets, debt relief, only ODA is responsibility of UN proper(and aid is
declining),but UN-Bank/Fund relations closer; North-South dialogue also less confrontational; "Agenda for Development"
stresses good governance/ accountability/participation/social security; UNSG WTO speech(Annex 5)highlights LDCs' need
to share globalization; 01 all-issue conference on financing development will bring in all stakeholders); UN Aid(of $50b annual
ODA, $5b through UN and $5b World Bank; UN stresses social concerns/human development; UNDP major effort to coordinate
multilateral aid better); Business and Labour(UNSG challenged big business at Davos to "Global Compact" tocooperate with
UN on human rights/labour standards/environment; positive response from ICC; ICFTUalso undertook to
support);Humanitarian Activities(natural disasters cost $500b in 90s; armed conflicts cost $200b in external aid, so probably
over $1 trillion overall; UN priority to avoid or mitigate natural disasters or conflicts);Human Rights(most humanitarian law
written since WWII; much being added; all aspects of human (mis)behaviour come together at UN under human rights; UNSC
adopted strong/comprehensive policy on protecting civilians(Annex 6); in Kosovo/East Timor, UN creating entirecriminal
justice and human rights systems; UNHCHR investigating standards in 21 fields worldwide);Women's Advancement(Special
UNGA Session on Women(Jun 00)will examine implementation of BeijingConference decisions; UNGA studied new report on
role of women in development);Children(Tenth Anniversary of Convention on Rights of Child; UNSC resolution "strongly
condemns targeting of children in situations of armed conflict" );Finance and Management(main focus again US budget arrears
followed by highly-conditional part-payment; 00-01 biennium budget $2,535m, up a symbolic $3m; staff managementstill
slow/cumbersome; excellent final report of 5-year "Internal Oversight" (quoted));Civil Societies(getsmore into basic issues
of development-globalization; UNSG for tripartite "Global Compact" :UN-business-civil society);(Annex 7:Current Membership
of UN Organs).
Charles G. Boyd "Making Bosnia Work" Foreign Affairs Vol.77/No.1(Jan/Feb 98):-international community's greatest problem,
years after Dayton Accord: how to achieve aim of creating unified Bosnia. After intense local investigation, concludes this
impossible for foreseeable future, and only solution is de facto partition, with security and economic aid provided to all groups,
continuing foreign presence, and long healing period.Letters Vol.77/No.3(May/Jun 98):offer some counter-arguments.[My own
inclination is to agree, and give up trying to create traditional sovereign state where one has never existed before and at time
when feelings are so intense. Emphasis should be on down-grading significance of any borders in area and increasing
economic modernization/integration of Balkans so ethnicity becomes "private" matter (again) while all benefit from working
together.]
Duane Bratt "Peace Over Justice: Developing a Framework for UN Peacekeeping Operations in Internal Conflicts" Global
Governance Vol.5/No.1(Jan-Mar 99):-while UN's "purpose" is to "maintain international peace/security" ,many Charter
references to human rights make clear second objective to improve political/economic/social justice. Priority and resource
dilemmas arise when aims equally demanding or mutually exclusive, mainly in facing internal conflicts. Argues that, besides
Charter ranking, obvious precedence of saving lives and doing most urgent first, means peace must have priority. Moreover,
thisreduces perception of UN "imperialism" and alien priorities as well as criticism UN forces "helping" one sideby(aiding
in)delivering humanitarian assistance or seizing war criminals. Still, agonizing global "triage" may be only solution to choosing
among "peace" options.
Joel Brinkley"Cambodia's Curse: Struggling to Shed the Khmer Rouge's Legacy" (111-122) Foreign Affairs Vol.88/No.2 (Mar/Apr
09):- official summary: "Thirty years after the fall of Khmer Rouge, much of Cambodia remains mired in memories of the
country's sorrowful past. Meanwhile, the rest of the world, whose perception is also skewed, barely seems to notice that the
government of Prime Minister Hun Sen is destroying the nation". Emphasized extracts:"Much of Cambodia, and the world, is
still mired in the bloody legacy of the Khmer Rouge". "Hun Sen's government has been looting natural resources, jailing
political opponents, evicting thousands from their homes, and fostering corruption". Brinkley, former FA Corespondent for
New York Times, is Professor of Journalism at Stanford Univ. Research carried out in Cambodia Aug 08.
Harry G.Broadman"China and India Go to Africa: New Deals in the Developing World"(95-109) Foreign Affairs
Vol.87/No.2(Mar/Apr 08):-official summary: "Economic activity between Africa and Asia, especially China and India, is booming
like never before. If the problems and imbalances this sometimes creates are managed well, this expanding engagement could
be an unprecedented opportunity for Africa's growth and for its integration into the global economy". Broadman is Economic
Adviser for the Africa Region at the World Bank, and author of Africa's Silk Road: China and India's New Economic
Frontier(World Bank 07). Views in FA are his own.
Stephen G.Brooks & William C.Wohlforth"Reshaping the World Order: How Washington Should Reform International
Institutions"(49-63)Foreign Affairs Vol.88/No.2(Mar/Apr09):-official summary :"The current architecture of international
institutions is so out of sync with the modern world that it must be updated. But skeptics question whether US is up to the task.
They need not worry: US still possesses enough power and legitimacy to spearhead reform". Emphasized quote: "In a 2007
address to the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, [Barack Obama, now US president,] stressed that 'it was America that largely
built a system of international institutions that carried us through the Cold War... Instead of constraining our power, these
institutions magnified it'. 'Today it's become fashionable to disparage the United Nations, the World Bank, and other
international organizations', he continued. 'In fact, reform of these bodies is urgently needed if they are to keep pace with the
fast-moving threats we face'"(50). Brooks is Associate Professor of Government, and Wohlforth is Daniel Webster Professor
of Government and Chair of Department of Government, both Dartmouth College. Article adapted from their: World Out of
Balance: International Relations and the Challenge of American Primacy(Princeton Univ 08).
George Brown, "Debt and Development: Time to Act, Again" The Economist 21 Feb 98(77-8):-on behalf of British government,
author makes number of proposals to deal urgently with LDC debt. Proposed: G7recommit themselves to accelerated debt
relief; donor countries support IMF-IBRD initiative for Heavily Indebted Poor Countries(HIPCs); areas stressed:
macro-economic stability, IMF-IBRD transparency, fullprivate sector contribution, more investment in education and health,
provision of productive export creditsonly; and elimination of gaps and overlaps in IMF-IBRD activities. The Economist 20 Mar
99(19, 51):-updates situation by reporting US President Clinton has supported an acceleration of HIPC initiative since only 8
of 40 HIPCs have so far "qualified" and only two have received debt relief. Yet their debts have now reached$170 billion and
on average exceed their annual export earnings more than fourfold. In total, Clinton proposedmeasures to forgive a further
$70 billion HIPC debt.
Lester R.Brown"Feeding Nine Billion"(115-32)in State of the World(1999)(New York: W.W.Norton, 99):-main points: World grain
harvests grew from 400m tons in 1900 to nearly 1.9b in 1998, aided by massiveirrigation (40% of food), chemical fertilizers,
huge plant-breeding advances, short-stem wheat/rice, hybridcorn - such cropland assets being globally available. Yet 840m
people are hungry/malnourished(19,000 children die daily from effects of malnutrition). Other two basic food-supply systems
- oceanic fisheries andrangelands - appear to have reached global carrying capacity, and per capita grain production
hasdecreased 7% since 1984. Meanwhile the current 6b world population is expected to grow to 9b about 2050, during which
period net global harvested area is expected to be almost unchanged, and to continuedropping per capita to 0.07
hectares(1950=0.23). Mounting water scarcity has reduced irrigated area per capita by 6% since 1978, simultaneously lowering
fertilizing capacity - and levelling off for lack of further benefit. Remaining route to increased food productivity - plant breeding
- could raise drought-, disease-, insect-resistance and salt-tolerance, but now little gain is physiologically possible for wheat,
corn and ricein terms of further raising crop yields. It all means that eradication of hunger and malnutrition now may depend
heavily on demand-side initiatives: slowing population growth and using grain and water more efficiently.
Lester R.Brown Plan B 3.0: Mobilizing to Save Civilization(New York: Earth Policy Institute 08):-brilliant accounts of: (I)climate
change crises; (II)needs/means to take counter-actions; (III)urgent worldwide programs. Any of 400pp could be consulted
individually. Here are Chapters(plus sub-headings): 1. Entering a New World (A Massive Market Failure; Environment and
Civilization; China: Why Existing Economic Model Will Fail; Mounting Stresses, Failing States; Civilizational Tipping Point;
Plan B - Plan of Hope); (I) 2. Deteriorating Oil and Food Security (Coming Decline of Oil; Oil Intensity of Food; Changing Food
Prospect; Cars/People Compete for Crops; World Beyond Peak Oil; Food Insecurity and Failing States); 3. Rising Temperatures
and Rising Seas (Rising Temperature - Its Effects; Crop Yield Effect; Reservoirs in Sky; Melting Rice and Rising Seas; More-Destructive Storms; Cutting Carbon 80% by 2020); 4. Emerging Water Shortages (Water Tables Falling; Rivers Running Dry;
Lakes Disappearing; Farmers Losing to Cities; Scarcity Crossing National Borders; Water Scarcity Yields Political Stresses);
5. Natural Systems Under Stress (Shrinking Forests -Many Costs; Losing Soil; From Grassland to Desert; Advancing Deserts;
Collapsing Fisheries; Disappearing Plants and Animals); 6. Early Signs of Decline (Our Socially Divided World; Health
Challenge Growing; Throwaway Economy in Trouble; Population and Resource Conflicts; Environmental Refugees on Rise;
Mounting Stresses, Failing States); (II) 7. Eradicating Poverty, Stabilizing Population Universal Basic Education; Stabilizing
Population; Better Health for All; Curbing HIV Epidemic; Reducing Farm Subsidies/Debt; Poverty Eradication Barrier); 8.
Restoring the Earth (Protecting and Restoring Forests; Conserving and Rebuilding Soils; Regenerating Fisheries; Protecting
Plant/Animal Diversity; Planting Trees to Sequester Carbon; Earth Restoration Budget); 9. Feeding Eight Billion Well
(Rethinking Land Productivity; Raising Water Productivity; Producing Proteir More Efficiently; Moving Down Food Chain;
Action on Many Fronts); 10. Designing Cities for People (Ecology of Cities; Redesigning Urban Transport; Reducing Urban
Water Use; Farming in the City; Upgrading Squatter Settlements; Cities for People); 11. Raising Energy Efficiency (Banning
the Bulb; Energy-Efficient Appliances; More-Efficient Buildings; Restructuring Transport System; New Materials Economy;
Energy Savings Potential); 12. Turning to Renewable Energy (Harnessing Wind; Wind-Powered Plug-in Hybrid Cars; Solar Cells
and Collectors; Energy from the Earth; Plant-Based Sources of Energy; River/Tidal/Wave Power; World Energy Economy:
2020); (III) 13.The Great Mobilization (Shifting Taxes and Subsidies; Summing Up Climate Stabilization Measures; Response
to Failing States; Wartime Mobilization; Mobilizing to Save Civilization; What You and I Can Do).
Bill Bryson A Short History of Nearly Everything(New York: Broadway Books 03):-pre-bestseller author of many/widely-varied
books, undertook "informative journey into world of science,.. his greatest challenge yet: to understand - and, if possible,
answer - oldest, biggest questions... about the universe and ourselves... Result is a sometimes profound, sometimes funny,
and always supremely clear/entertaining adventure in the realms of human knowledge"(publisher). Even new "lavishly
illustrated" Nov 05 hardcover edition of 624pp available from Barnes & Noble to all @US$28.00. Favourable Ed Regis NYT
review(18 May 03)states:"Bryson achieved exactly what he'd set out to do, and, moreover, [did] it in stylish, efficient, colloquial
and stunningly accurate prose... The basic facts of physics, chemistry, biology, botany, climatology, geology - all these and
many more are presented with exceptional clarity and skill". My own reaction is that this easily available/readable reference
on all not-personally-specialised scientific subjects should ideally be read - or at least be used for topic-reference - by all in
this very unstable world.
Zbigniew Brzezinski "Hegemonic Quicksand" The National Interest Winter 03/04(5-16):-long article on future instability
excerpted from The Choice, Global Domination or Global Leadership. Claims unstable but new "Global Balkans" (developing
similar to past "European Balkans" )is region between Europe and Far East. "For next several decades, most volatile and
dangerous region of world - with explosive potential to plunge world into chaos - will be crucial swathe[from approximately
Suez Canal to Xinjiang, and fromRusso-Kazakh border to southern Afghanistan]...Here that America could slide into collision
with world of Islam while American-European policy differences could even cause Atlantic Alliance to come unhinged. Two
eventualities together could then put prevailing American global hegemony at risk.[C]hallengeAmerica now confronts, dwarfs
what it faced half-century ago in Western Europe [since]to promote global security will be pacification and then cooperative
organization of region that contains world's greatest concentration of political injustice, social deprivation, demographic
congestion and potential for high-intensity violence. But region also contains most of world's oil and natural gas...In 2020 area
projected to produce roughly 42m barrels of oil per day - 39% of global production total...No self-evident answers to such basic
questions as how and with whom America should be engaged in helping to stabilize area, pacifyit and eventually cooperatively
organize it." Then notes that some states in area could be US potential key partners: Turkey, Israel, India, and Russia. All four
are then examined in detail but ruled out for various reasons. "Ultimately US can look to only one genuine partner...:Europe.
Although it will need help of leading East Asian states like Japan and China...neither likely at this stage to become heavily
engaged. Only Europe...potential capacity in political, military and economic realms to pursue jointly with US task of engaging
various Eurasian peoples...US and Europe together represent array of physical and experientialassets with capacity to make
decisive difference in shaping political future of Global Balkans...European engagement will not occur, however, if expected
to consist of simply following US lead" .Latter portionof paper discusses whether and how US and Europe can work together
in improving issues of area. Specific attention made to problems: Arab-Israeli peace, Iraq, Iran, Gulf states, Caucasus and
Central Asia, Caspian Basin. Final comments relate to" need to contain both proliferation of WMD and terrorist epidemic."
Paper ends:" One should not forget that struggling alone makes quicksand only more dangerous."
Zbigniew Brzezinski"An Agenda for NATO: Toward a Global Security Web"(2-20) Foreign Affairs Vol.88/No.5 (Sep/Oct 09):-official summary:"In the course of its 60 years, NATO has ended the 'civil war' within the West for transoceanic and European
supremacy, institutionalized the United States' commitment to the defense of Europe, and secured the peaceful termination
of the Cold War. What next? To live up to its potential, the alliance should become the hub of a global-spanning web of regional
cooperative-security undertakings". Emphasized extracts:"In the vulnerable decades after World War II, conflict was avoided
largely because NATO remained united". "WshDC's arrogant unilateralism in Iraq and its demagogic Islamophobic
sloganeering weakened the unity of NATO". "NATO has the means to become the center of a globe-spanning web of
cooperative-security undertakings". Brzezinski was US National Security Adviser 1977-1981. His most recent book: Second
Chance: Three Presidents and the Crisis of American Superpower.
Zbigniew Brzezinski"From Hope to Audacity: Appraising Obama's Foreign Policy"(16-30) Foreign Affairs Vol.89/No.1 (Jan/Feb
10):-while this leading/positive essay is about US policy, the subjects are all of global importance. Official summary:"In his
first year in office, President Barack Obama has reconceptualized US foreign policy and demonstrated a genuine sense of
strategic direction. But so far, Obama's foreign policy has generated more expectations than strategic breakthroughs. Three
urgent issues - Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Iran's nuclear ambitions, and Afghan-Pakistani challenge - are posing an immediate
test of his ability to significantly change US policy". Emphasized extracts:"Obama has shown a genuine sense of strategic
direction and a solid grasp of what today's world is all about". "US is already losing the renewed confidence of the Arab world
that Obama won with his speech in Cairo". "Sanctions against Iran must punish those in power - not the middle class, as an
embargo on gasoline would do". "So far, Obama's foreign policy has generated more expectations than strategic
breakthroughs". Brzezinski was US National Security Adviser 1977-1981. His most recent book: Second Chance: Three
Presidents and the Crisis of American Superpower.
Robert Buckman, Can We Be Good Without God? An Exploration of Behaviour, Belonging and the Need to Believe (Toronto:
Penguin 01):-while author both medical doctor/atheist, not designed to criticize religionor to scientifically support atheism.
One major concern: religions generate specific/competinginterpretations of "goodness" , developing critical link between
"good and god." Also offers perspective "onconnection between behaviour and belief - connection between ethics and
religion." Such diversified convictions held by each faithful group have produced unrealistic and unjust frictions. "The world
will be better place if we all believe whatever we wish, but behave as if there is no deity to sort out humankind's problems."
Global issues described may indeed become worse or easier.
Hedley Bull, The Anarchical Society: A Study of Order in World Politics(Second Edition) (Houndmills: Macmillan Press 95):-new
edition of seminal work on state system surprisingly retains original 77 text. ItsUN-relevant aim was to determine whether
system would/should survive -and alternatives. Concluded very little change was possible or needed. Interest today derives
from how much of original argumentundercut by extraordinary changes of past 20 years, particularly constraints on state
sovereignty by:globalization of information/manufacture/ finance; new global imperatives/power centers/vacuums; novel
capacities/threats. For firm support see Hoffmann(op.cit.).
Barry A.Burciul"UN Sanctions: Policy Options for Canada"Canadian Foreign Policy Vol.6/No.1 (Fall 98):-thorough, global effort
to improve sanctions, in response to tough facts:(1)sanctions rarely achieve ends, and often cause unnecessary pain;(2)serve
as relatively cheap and risk-free ways to meet pressurefor "action" ;(3)targeted sanctions often work better than
comprehensive. Priorities: discourage sanctionsif more constructive, humane alternatives exist; ensure strong/ targeted;
always consider innocentcivilians. Ideas: wider range of threats, but sanctions high-cost, so need broad multilateral coalition
plus regional/NGO support; humane sanctions more effectively gain essential support; target states/personsmust be fully
understood, to avoid counterproductive action and find optimum means (travel, sports, culture ban, arms embargo, even
violence); better as deterrent/preventive/threat than as coercion; "sanctions forum" studies options/support/strategic planning
using pooled intelligence to judge hot spots/time limits/temporary tariffs/lessons learned/finance levers; "humanitarian limits"
must protect NGOs, determine and police exemptions; enforcement must be rapid/specific/coordinated/ committed/informed,
and include border surveys.
Richard Butler "Bewitched, Bothered, and Bewildered: Repairing the Security Council" Foreign AffairsVol.78/No.5 (Sep/Oct
99):-former UNSCOM Executive Chairman(Iraq disarmament supervision)on most urgent problems facing UN Security Council.
Sees as particularly dismaying last 12 months, "during which council was bypassed, defied, and abused" by misuse/threat
of veto. This was granted to permanent members(P5)solely" to allow them to prevent council decision authorizing use of force
against them[yet they]weighted their narrow national interests over collective responsibility." Council must address two key
areas:(1)new informal rules should reduce matters subject to veto(US initiative critical);(2)P5 should not judge Council's
ultimate role in enforcing arms control treaties on subjective political basis. Must also keep their NPT promises.
Barry Buzan and Gerald Segal, Anticipating the Future: Twenty Millennia of Human Progress(London: Simon & Schuster
1998):-this book is both stimulating and misleading -points made in Reviews in both The Economist 14 Feb 98(12)and Foreign
Affairs Vol.77/No.2(Mar/Apr 1998)(134-9). In spite of its title, almost entire book deals with broad sweep of human past and
present, in order to put 1998 and our possible futures into focus. It does it clearly/usefully if in fairly orthodox terms. "Future"
section anticipates UN system stymied, mainly by US, requiring replacement. My criticism is that it underestimates depth and
acceleration of current global change(INTRODUCTION or Bull-op.cit.).
David Callahan Unwinnable Wars: American Power and Ethnic Conflict(New York: Hill & Wang 97):-while addressed to US
leaders, fine analysis/recommendations apply to UN and its active members. Thesis: recent trend for intra-state ethnic violence
will continue - if decrease. All states have interest in ending - ideally, preventing - such wars. UN must be empowered to play
more effective role, and greater capacity for using standing forces, in managing internal conflicts. Regional bodies, UN
financing, arms-trade control, cooperation with NGOs, and aid to failed states, must all be strengthened.
Diplomacy/intelligence(mainly analysis)must be updated - and cooperate with UN.
Ted Galen Carpenter edit. Delusions of Grandeur: The United Nations and Global Intervention (Washington: Cato Institute
97):-Cato aims to further "traditional American principles of limited government, individual liberty, and peace." Libertarian view
inclines it to oppose multilateralism(it inter alia limits US global freedom of action)and all constraints on free enterprise.
Topics: UN in Perspective; Peacemaker-Peacekeeper; Bureaucracy-Funding- Corruption; Social and Environmental Agenda;
Economic Development Role. 18 essays clearly stress Cato views. Only five sympathetic to UN aims/activities; 10 or so
reasonable, even if bit selective or broad, in criticism. Last deliberately distort, and in their narrow-minded, selfish jingoism,
exhibit true "delusions of grandeur": John Bolton: " [Clinton] forgot that UN was instrument to be used to advance America's
foreign policy interests, not to engage in international social work..." (51; his emphasis)! Provides rationales of many US
anti-UN views.
Geoffrey Carr, "The Alchemists: A Survey of the Pharmaceutical Industry" in The Economist 21 Feb 98(1-18):-Survey claims
scientific/technological revolution is sweeping this industry. It describes new technologies being developed and used,
examines huge present/probable future changes in industry'sstructure, and asks what this could mean for future health care.
Anticipates:(1)increase in range of diseases treatable with drugs; (2)increase in drug precision and effectiveness;(3)increase
in ability to anticipate disease. Each trend is accelerated by new genetic insights and will have major global impact. But
terriblerich-poor economic issue of drug patents/costs: unprobed.
Peter, Lord Carrington et al. Words to Deeds: Strengthening the U.N.'s Enforcement Capabilities - Final Report of the
International Task Force on the Enforcement of U.N. Security Council Resolutions(New York: UNA-USA 97):- ten world figures
reached constructive and expert consensus with genuine prospects of implementation. Among 29 conclusions: give priority
to preventive diplomacy and strengthened enforcement machinery; UNSC primacy for enforcement to be respected and
reinforced; Chapter VIIresolutions to be clear, specific, consistent, unambiguous, realistic and well-supervised, to
includeoperational plans, regular consultations with states involved and world-class experts, and securely use and share all
sources of relevant information; resolutions on non-military sanctions to be specific, fully costedfor all affected, monitored,
given a timeframe, focused if possible, and to draw on expert advice; military operations to have very clear mandate, strategic
oversight, post-conflict follow-up and be decisive; overhaul Military Staff Committee to give UNSC best advice, and to consult
with others involved; since for now ad hoc coalitions more likely than standing UN or stand-by forces, develop capability
inventory, a roster of earmarked units, a common doctrine, rules of engagement and training, and tighter UNSC oversight;
support regional bodies with preventive measures, financial, material, and logistic help, and better inter-group coordination.
Ashton Carter, John Deutch & Philip Zelikow "Catastrophic Terrorism: Tackling the New Danger" Foreign Affairs
Vol.77/No.6(Nov/Dec 98):-distillation of Universities Study Group on Catastrophic Terrorism reportpublished by Stanford
University. Version will also appear as chapter in forthcoming Preventive Defense: An American Security Strategy for the 21st
Century by Ashton Carter and William Perry. All(distinguished) members of Study Group are listed in footnote. Conclusions
are: terrorism using weapons of mass destruction has moved "from far-fetched horror to a contingency that could happen next
month" ; particularly with biological weapons, "technology is more accessible, and society is more vulnerable" ; elaborate
"networks have developed among organized criminals, drug traffickers, arms dealers, money launderers, [thus]creating
infrastructure for[such]terrorism around the world" . While recommendations directed mainly at urgent US action, all fall into
universal categories: intelligence/warning; prevention/deterrence;management of crises and consequences. All needs
international/global cooperation.
Ashton B. Carter "How To Counter WMD" Foreign Affairs Vol.83/No.5(Sep/Oct 04):-ex-US Assistant Secretary of Defense (under
Clinton)and currently Co-director, Harvard Preventive Defense Project, writes just when:most are concerned that US attacked
Iraq by mis-claiming WMD threat; US presidential election imminent. Concerned that since 11 Sep crisis, US
"counterproliferation policies have not been overhauled" ,and" it has made no new efforts to prevent nonstate actors such
as terrorists from getting their hands on WMD." He truly decrees much reliable advice on countering the serious terrorist/WMD
dangers to the entire global audience, and not to Washington only. His basic view:" WMD generally applies to nuclear,
biological, chemical weapons; ballistic missiles; more recently'dirty bombs,'ordinary explosives containing some radioactive
material. But this definition is too broad. Chemical weapons are not much more lethal than conventional
explosives/hardly...WMD label. Similarly, long-range ballistic missiles especially destructive only if they have nuclear or
biological warhead, and so should not be considered separate category. Dirty bombs cause local contamination and costly
priority. Primary focus of counterproliferation policy, therefore, should be nuclear and biological weapons...True overhaul of
counterproliferation policy would recognize that, like defense against terrorism, defense against WMD must be multilayered
and comprehensive. Such reforms would aim to eliminate threat of nuclear terrorism entirely by denying fissilematerials to
nonstate actors and...prepare to contain scale of most likely forms of bioterrorism to minor outbreaks. It would revamp
outdated arms control agreements, expand counterproliferation programs,...improve way intelligence on WMD is collected and
analysed.[W]ould favor countering WMD with non-nuclear rather than nuclear measures. And it would at last develop coherent
strategies for heading off...most pressing nuclear proliferation threats." Substantial article then amplifies all these points.
Thomas Carters, "Democracy Without Illusions" in Foreign Affairs Vol.76/No.1(Jan/Feb 97):-notes that recent hopes for almost
universal establishment of democratic governments have been disappointed by revival in many states of authoritarian regimes
or practices. Yet some retrenchment does not eliminate underlying trend of progress.
Nayan Chanda Bound Together: How Traders, Preachers, Adventurers, and Warriors Shaped Globalization(New Haven: Yale
Univ Press 07):-this fascinating survey of the development of globalization since 6000BCE is valuable as a unique reminder -
to specialists in history, politics, economics, religion, movement, technology, science, etc - of how their own knowledge
relates to other specialized information, and to the present/future of the intense/expanding relations across this planet. (This
aim corresponds exactly with my purpose in this information source.) Style is amusing, and novel in all areas but one's
expertise, so it is delicious/constructive in all unstudied fields and hence globally constructive. Final para offers view that fits
closely with that in Christopher Spencer Oct 06(op.cit.):"We benefit from all that the world has to offer, but we think only in
narrow terms of protecting the land and people within our national borders - the borders that have been established only in
the modern era. [All that separates us] from the rest of the world... cannot change the fact that we are bound together through
the invisible filament of history. [W]e know how we have reached where we are and where we may be headed. We are in a
position to know that the sum of human desires, aspirations, and fears that have woven our fates together can neither be
disentangled nor reeled back. But neither are we capable of accurately gauging how this elemental mix will shape our planet's
future. Still, compared to the past... we are better equipped to look over the horizon at both the dangers and the opportunities
...There is no alternative to rising above our tribal interests: over the centuries to come, our destinies will remain inextricably
bound together. [W]e can attempt to nudge our rapidly integrating world toward a more harmonious course - because we are
all connected".
Erskine Childers edit., Challenges to the United Nations: Building a Safer World (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1995). - a useful
but uneven collection of essays on the various elements of the UN's responsibilities. Although most of the authors included
tend to blame the selfish, rich world for all the UN's failures and imperfections, those dealing with human rights and
humanitarian challenges are both informative and balanced.
Jarat Chopra edit."Special Issue on Peace-Maintenance Operations"Global Governance Vol.4/ No.1 (Jan/Mar 98):- since Cold
War end, UN has undertaken many peace-related operations of new complexity and scale(often called second-generation).
Several(Bosnia/Rwanda/Somalia) deficient for multiple reasons(mandate/management/resources). Papers analyse peace-
maintenance system where UN exercises(some)political authority to harmonize diplomatic/ humanitarian/military/other civil
aspects of operations if local systems fail.Authority-Knight; Administration-Morphet; Humanitarianism-Donini; Law-Plunkett;
Military-Cousens; Accepting Authority-Adibe.
Jarat Chopra, "United Nations Peace-Maintenance" (312-40)in Martin Ira Glassner edit. The United Nations at Work (Westport:
Praeger 98):-more uniform/all-embracing case for idea of flexible UN multi-functional governance role than made in Global
Governance(Jan/Mar 98)(Ibid.).Hedges "failed states" / "trusteeships" as politically sensitive terms, although many analysts
suspect these may be toughest UN "peace/order/good government" challenges for 21st century, particularly in Africa. Surveys
history of all UN "peace" operations, and concludes its greatest current problems weak orchestration of complex emergencies,
and inclination to act as mediator when creation of order is first priority, followed by nurturing of stable democratic society.
Kosovo(which post-dates writing)would seem more what Chopra has in mind, though with full UN political authority.
Jarat Chopra and Tanja Hohe "Participatory Intervention" Global Governance Vol.10/No.3(Jul-Sep 04):-both authors served
in UN Transitional Administration in East Timor(UNTAET)and offer thoughtful ideas abouthow UN should optimally
build/modify political systems in troubled/new states - a responsibility that isgrowing in UN numbers and importance globally.
Experience with administration intervention in Cambodia, East Timor, Kosovo, Namibia, and Somalia has been imperfect, but
educational as to how future responsibilities could be improved by more carefully considering what actually constitute the
"front lines" - "the level of local administration. Here, Western-style paradigm of state building, which ispreoccupied with
forming a national executive, legislature, and judiciary, confronts resilient traditional structures, socially legitimate
powerholders, abusive warlords out to win, or coping mechanisms communities rely on under conflict conditions. Options
for establishment or reconstruction of governing institutions seem stark: either reinforce status quo and build on it, further
empowering the already strong;or replace altogether what exists with new administrative order. But there may be middle road."
Essay analyses latter.
Amy Chua WORLD ON FIRE: How Exporting Free Market Democracy Breeds Ethnic Hatred and Global Instability(New York:
Doubleday 03):-this easy-to-read 350page survey of special political/economic/social problems in many parts of the world has
generated good reviews and more influence. Its strong warning is not against either globalization trade or pure democracy
in developing countries, but against pressing these ideas too quickly when rich but unpopular minorities dominate their
economies - widely common situation that is carefully described. She concludes by first naming three goals: "[1] the best
economic hope for developing and post-socialist countries lies in some form of market-generated growth; [2] thebest political
hope for these countries lies in some form of democracy, with constitutional constraints,tailored to local realities; [3] avoiding
ethnic oppression and bloodshed must be a constant priority. But if these goals are to be achieved - if global free market
democracy is to be peaceably sustainable - thenthe problem of market-dominant minorities, however unsettling, must be
confronted head-on. [Finally, four specific "tonics" are addressed:] (1) the possibility of 'leveling the playing field'between
market-dominant minorities and the impoverished 'indigenous' majorities around them; (2) ways of getting thepoor, frustrated
majorities of the world a greater stake in global markets; (3) ways of promoting liberalrather than illiberal democracies; and
(4) approaches that market-dominant minorities themselves might take to forestall majority-based, often murderous
ethnonationalist backlashes". Chapter sub-titles showwhere and how these major challenges exist and must be addressed:
(1)Chinese Minority Dominance in Southeast Asia; (2)'White'Wealth in Latin America; (3)The Jewish Billionaires of
Post-Communist Russia; (4)Market-Dominant Minorities in Africa; (5)Ethnically Targeted Seizures and Nationalizations;
(6)Crony Capitalism and Minority Rule; (7)Expulsions and Genocide; (8)Assimilation, Globalization, and the Case of
Thailand;(9)From Jim Crow to the Holocaust;(10)Israeli Jews as a Regional Market-Dominant Minority; (11)US as a Global
Market-Dominant Minority; (12)The Future of Free Market Democracy.
Walter Clarke & Jeffrey Herbst "Somalia and the Future of Humanitarian Intervention" Foreign AffairsVol.75/No.2(Mar/ Apr
96):-fine account of errors/lessons of UN operation in Somalia. Concludes that, in failed states, UN operations cannot be either
short or neutral, and may require installation of full UN administration.
Bruce Clark, "A Survey of NATO: Knights in Shining Armour?" (1-18)The Economist 24 Apr 99:-extremely useful in several
respects. Provides history of NATO's gradually - now rapidly - changing role(s),(un)popularity,(dis)unity. Describes how "most
successful military alliance in history" suddenly lost its raison d'etre; then altered from new trans-European-US security entity,
swamped with new applicants and proud of its Bosnian role, to frustrated military giant in Kosovo, seen by many as having
acted illegally and unnecessarily, with future dependent on solving complex puzzle of own making. Also outlines functional
dilemmas facing military allies equipped/trained decades apart technologically. Finally, survey coversNATO's split over
whether it plays global role in(UN-sponsored) multilateral combat interventions which it alone has weapons, training, cohesion
to handle.
Walter J. Clemens, Jr, Dynamics of International Relations: Conflict and Mutual Gain in an Era of Global
Interdependence(Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield 98):-well-organized introductory text on IR, helpful to students or those first
looking at global issue(s). Chapters:(1)Is IR "Winner-Take-All?" Can It Be Mutual Gain?(2)How to Win at Peace: Creating New
World Orders;(3)Foreign Policy Decision Making: Do Individuals Count?(4)Why Wage War? Does It Pay to Fight?(5)Power and
Influence:What Wins?(6)Why Arm?Can Swords Become Plowshares? (7)Negotiating Conflict:How Can Foes Become
Partners?(8)Nationalism and World Order: Peoples at Risk? (9)Intervention and Mediation: How Can Outsiders
Help?(10)Democracy and Authoritarianism: What Impact on International Peace and Prosperity?(11)Wealth of Nations: West
Meets East(12)Challenges of Development: South MeetsNorth(13) Transitions: Can Second World Join First?(14)Ecopolitics:
Health of Nations(15)Organizing for Mutual Gain:UN, Europe and Nonstate Actors(16)International Protection of Human
Rights:Sham orRevolution? (17)Alternative Futures.
Harlan Cleveland, Birth of a New World: An Open Moment for International Leadership(San Francisco: Jossey-Bass Publishers
93):-post-Cold War book by a top US diplomat/administrator who does not advocate a Pax Americana. Offers succinct
description of many changes in, and dynamic characteristics of, post-industrial world.
Roger A.Coate edit.U.S. Policy and the Future of the United Nations(New York: Twentieth Century Fund 94):-fine essays on
UN political/organizational problems and realistic proposals retain global value sinceissues remain relevant and/or reforms
underway. Spiers proposes administrative/structural/peacemaking/ financial reforms. Coate urges inter-agency/ intra-
government coordination of UN system. Blechman looks at new intra-state conflict/ preventive action challenges. Graham
surveys IAEA proliferation/enforcement needs. Abram urges enforcement of human rights/humanitarian law. Loescher
examines new scale/originsof refugees/displaced persons. Gordenker discusses WHO role/problems. Sessions/Steever explore
challenges/constraints on Commission on Sustainable Development. Leonard picks UN priorities: security/economy/
environment/humanitarian action/human rights.
Richard Cockett"Chasing the Rainbow: A Survey of South Africa"The Economist 08 Apr 06(1-12):-official summary of Survey:
"Since end of apartheid, South Africa has moved closer to becoming the 'rainbow nation'of Nelson Mandela's vision. But not
nearly close enough yet". Highlights of broad introductory essay: "South Africa has plotted its own course to relative stability,
democracy and prosperity[, and is even] beginning to lead continent in entirely new way. [P]ost-apartheid government [African
National Congress(ANC) now under President Thabo Mbeki] has managed to build 1.9m new homes, connect 4.5m households
to electricity, provide 11m homes with running water. Targets for raising living standards aremost ambitious on the continent.
However, South Africa still deeply scarred by legacy of apartheid[- with that] geography very much intact... Now sense of
impatience over pace of change[:] for many...'rainbow nation'has slowed to a crawl[,so] government well aware of this, and
now intervening in more areas of national life to try to speed up change. [Yet] from education to foreign policy to
crime-fighting, people have found creative solutions to many of their problems. That creativity is South Africa's most
impressive asset, and increasingly comes from poorest and historically most disadvantagedof communities - nowbuilding their
own ladders out of poverty. [F]or all the good economic news, government is lookingpolitically more vulnerable than at any
time since 1994 [defeat of apartheid] for simple reason: little [GDP]growth has benefited [ANC's] core supporters - poor and
black. [U]nemployment [formally up to] about 27% [as new jobs] not enough to keep pace with number of new entrants into
labour market. [O]ther big problem is rising inequality[:] number of people living on poverty line may be rising. [ANC
economic]prudence paid off, bringing economic stability and launching consumer boom. But [it] did not create enough
jobs[/investment]. So now ANC looking... at disgruntled activists who feel let down. [It plans]more money for program of social
grants[mainly child support/pensions to about 10m out of 47m, plus]370b rand over next 3 years on public works, mainly
infrastructure/tourism, to boost jobs and create more [leveling] demand. Longer-term aims: growth rate to 6% by 2010; halve
unemployment/poverty by 2014. [Dangers] twin bottlenecks.:. severe skills shortage and failure to deliver services at local
level".Final points, also in Editorial"Term Limits in Africa: When Enough Is Enough"(18):"With many leading politicians
discredited, continent needs a strong South Africa. Also needs South Africa prepared to go beyond its strickly African agenda,
and to deliver on its commitments to good governance, human rightsand democracy enshrined in new vision of African Union
and Nepad [New Partnership for Africa's Development]. These are very much South Africa's creations. It is time for Africa's
leading democracy to cast off its humility and diffidence - and perhaps even to throw its weight around for these causes".
Richard Cockett "Chasing the Rainbow: A Survey of South Africa"Economist 08 Apr 06(5-6):-Summary of major section on
government's HIV/AIDS policy only: "[G]reatest weakness of [ruling African National Congress] ANC's top-down system is that
party is inclined to dismiss ideas from outside its own bureaucracy. Most obvious example has been [President Thabo] Mbeki's
well-documented response to the HIV/AIDS crisis. For a long time [op.cit.] Mbeki stood out against the combined weight of
world medical opinion on the causes/treatment of AIDS, and particularly on use of anti-retroviral drugs. Main group
campaigning for their use, Treatment Action Campaign, was made up almost entirely of ANC members, and Mbeki seems to
have resisted their arguments as much because he felt they werebreaking party ranks as for their prescriptions on AIDS (with
which he disagreed). In 2003, government eventually caved in to domestic/ international pressure and gracelessly introduced
a comprehensivemanagement regime involving anti-retroviral drugs to combat HIV/AIDS. May have signalled change of policy
by government, but not, it seems, much of a change of mind. In a country with 5.2m HIV-positivepeople on record, the largest
number in the world, there is almost no public acknowledgement of theproblem or public education about it. [M]inisters (with
a few honourable exceptions) still seem loth to talk about the illness, which kills about 900 people a day and undermines much
else the country is trying to achieve. It handicaps the army, with an infection rate said to be up to 40%, breaks up families and
killsmuch-needed teachers. Chillingly, Actuarial Society of South Africa estimates that it will be another ten years before the
pandemic peaks. Tardiness with which government responded to HIV/AIDS crisis,together with Mbeki's own strange take on
underlying science, has tarnished own reputation, as well as that of ANC. Critics argue government remains ambivalent about
its commitment to fighting pandemic with anti-retroviral drugs. Government's plan to combat HIV/AIDS may be model of its
kind in intent, but it is already falling behind. By end of 2006 about 225,000 patients will be receiving anti-retroviral drugs, well
short of the plan's target of 380,000 by 2005-06. Mbeki's unorthodox views on causes/cures of HIV/AIDS undoubtedly have
something to do with his agenda of finding African solutions (rather than expensive Western ones) to Africa's problems... But
AIDS saga, together withANC's unresponsiveness to its own supporters and its failure to deliver on its promises, has
diminished aura of moral authority it has earned";
Roberta Cohen & Francis M.Deng Masses in Flight: The Global Crisis of Internal Displacement(Washington: Brookings 98):-
thorough, containing many sound proposals. Written by Deng as UNSG representative on internally displaced
persons(IDP).Numbers are big and growing(20-25m IDPs vs 20m refugees)affecting multiple UN roles (humanitarian/human
rights/development/peace/sovereignty)and bodies(DMTS/ ECHA/ ERC/ IOM/ OCHA/ ODIHR(UNHQ)/ UNDP/ UNHCR/ UNICEF/
UNIFEM/ UNRWA/ WFP/ WHO).Sections : Global View; Legal issues; Institutional issues; NGOs (Red Cross/Voluntary Agencies
Council/etc.); Regional Groups; some Strategies/Proposals; IDP Guiding Principles. For excellent summary of book by authors
see "Exodus Within Borders" Foreign Affairs Vol.77/No.4(Jul/Aug 98).
Roberta Cohen "The Guiding Principles on Internal Displacement: An Innovation in International Standard Setting" Global
Governance Vol.10/No.4(Oct.-Dec. 04):-includes how and why global concern about internally displaced persons(IDP) has
developed, particularly since Cohen/Deng source of 98(op.cit.). "It was not until 90s that absence of international system for
IDPs began to be noticed and more traditional notions of sovereignty questioned. One of vivid examples of change in attitude
was new set of international standards to protect persons forcibly uprooted in their own countries - Guiding Principles on
Internal Displacement. Introduced into UN Commission on Human Rights 98, they set forth rights of IDPs and obligations of
governments/international community toward these populations...GPs recast sovereignty as form of national responsibility
toward one's vulnerable populations with role provided forinternational community when governments did not have
capacity/willingness to protect their uprootedpopulations. Although not legally binding instrument like treaty, GPs quickly
gained substantial internationalacceptance/authority.[Article analyses] origin/development of GPs, reasons for growing
international usage,validity of reservations about them, and question whether process that developed them truly constitutes
turning point in standard setting reflecting greater role for NGO community in developing internationalnorms of conduct for
states."
Isobel Coleman "The Payoff From Women's Rights" Foreign Affairs Vol.83/No.3(May/Jun 04):-three points strongly: women's
full rights critically important not just for women alone but for entire societies; most negative women's areas of world are both
curbed by old-style religion/culture and blocked economically;US can and must do more to improve this. First point:" Over
past decade, significant research has demonstrated what many have known for long time: women critical to economic
development, active civil society, good governance -especially in developing countries. Focus on women often best way
reduce birth rates/child mortality; improve health/nutrition/education; stem spread of HIV/AIDS; build robust/self- sustaining
community organizations; encourage grassroots democracy... Women's status advanced in many countries: gender gaps in
infant mortality rates/calorie consumption/school enrollment/literacy levels/ access to health care/political participation
narrowed steadily. These... benefited society at large/improvingliving standards/increasing social entrepreneurship/ attracting
foreign direct investment." Second point: "[S]ignificant gender disparities continues to exist, and in some cases to grow, in
three regions: southern Asia, Middle East, sub-Saharan Africa. [C]onstraints on women living in areas [are] conservative/
patriarchal practices, often reinforced by religious values." Third point: "[Deep tensions] between religious extremists and
those with more moderate/progressive views... evident in Saudi Arabia/Iraq/Afghanistan...to lesser extent Nigeria/ Pakistan/
Indonesia. Resolution critical to progress..., for those that suppress women likely to stagnate economically/fail to develop
democratic institutions/become more prone to extremism." Sourges US to intensify women's rights much more.
Isobel Coleman"The Better Half: Helping Women Help the World"(126-130) Foreign Affairs Vol.89/No.1 (Jan/Feb 10):-Review
Essay of Nicholas D.Kristof & Sheryl WuDunn: Half the Sky:Oppression Into Opportunity for Women Worldwide (Knopf 09).
Official summary:"Efforts to provide the world's women with economic and political power are more than just a worthy moral
crusade: they represent perhaps the best strategy for pursuing development and stability across the globe. [The $27.95 HC
320pp. book] is an insightful and inspiring call to action". [The review is very persuasive.] Coleman: Senior Fellow for US
Foreign Policy and Director of Women and Foreign Policy Program at Council on Foreign Relations. Her book Paradise Beneath
Her Feet: How Women Are Transforming the Middle East to be published by Random House this spring. For annotated guide
to this topic, see "What to Read on Gender and Foreign Policy" at www.foreignaffairs.com/readinglists/gender.
Isobel Coleman"The Global Glass Ceiling: Why Empowering Women Is Good for Business"(13-20) Foreign Affairs Vol.89/No.3
(May/Jun 10):-official summary:"It is now accepted wisdom that empowering women in the developing world is a catalyst for
achieving a range of international development goals. It is time for multinational corporations to get on board: funding
education for girls and incorporating women-owned firms into their supply chains are good for business". Coleman: Senior
Fellow for US Foreign Policy and Director of Women and Foreign Policy Program at Council on Foreign Relations. She is author
of Paradise Beneath Her Feet: How Women Are Transforming the Middle East (Random House:HC$26.00). For annotated guide
to this topic, see "What to Read on Gender and Foreign Policy" at www.foreignaffairs.com/readinglists/gender.
Paul Collier The Bottom Billion: Why the Poorest Countries Are Failing and What Can Be Done About It(New York: Oxford Univ
Press 07):-reviews praise this brilliant description of the world's poorest states and how they need unprecedented forms of
aid to escape their chronic dilemmas. Essence of argument by author in Preface (xi):"The problems these countries have are
very different from those we have addressed for the past four decades in what we have called 'developing countries' - that is,
virtually all countries besides the most developed, which account for only one-sixth of the earth's people. For all this time we
have defined developing countries so as to encompass five billion of the six billion people in the world. But not all developing
countries are the same. Those where development has failed face intractable problems not found in the countries that are
succeeding. We have, in fact, done the easier part of global development; finishing the job now gets more difficult. Finish it
we must, because an impoverished ghetto of one billion people will be increasingly impossible for a comfortable world to
tolerate... But to do so we will need to draw upon tools - such as military interventions, international standard-setting, and trade
policy - that to date have been used for other purposes.. To build a unity of purpose, thinking needs to change, not just within
the development agencies but among the wider electorates whose views shape what is possible". Text (200pp) is essential.
Paul Collier "The Politics of Hunger: How Illusion and Greed Fan the Food Crisis"(67-79) Foreign Affairs Vol.87/No.6(Nov/Dec
08):-official summary:"The food crisis could have dire effects on the poor. Politicians have it in their power to bring food prices
down. But doing so will require ending the bias against big commercial farms and genetically modified crops and doing away
with damaging subsidies - the giants of romantic populism, bolstered by both illusion and greed". [Criticism is particularly
aimed at US and Europe.] Collier is Professor of Economics and Director of Center for Study of African Economics at Oxford
Univ. and author of Bottom Billion.
Cindy Collins & Thomas G.Weiss An Overview and Assessment of 1989-1996 Peace Operations Publications: Occasional Paper
#28(Providence: Watson Institute for International Studies, Brown Univ. 97):-any book ordering/ summarizing 2000-publications
about globally critical issue is invaluable. Although prepared as research aid, concise text worth reading by itself for wealth
of information/views it conveys on many big problems/decisions facing UN. Subjects: Root Causes of Armed Conflicts and
Appropriate Responses; Decisions to Intervene(ethics, and UNSC/state processes); Planning and Implementing
Intervention(UN, state, and NGO processes/relations).
Commitment to Development Index(CDI), "Ranking the Rich: 2004"in Foreign Policy(Co-Edited with Center for Global
Development(CGD))No.142(May/Jun 04)(46-56):-CDI in 2003 was a ranking of rich nationsaccording to how their policies help
or hinder social and economic development in poor countries. In2004, CGD/FP unveils...CDI that brings into sharper focus
which governments lead the global community in the challenge of development. "Why should rich countries care about
development in poor ones? For reasons both pragmatic and principled. In a globalizing world, rich countries cannot insulate
themselves from insecurity. Poverty and weak institutions are breeding grounds for public-health crises, violence, and
economic volatility. Fairness is another reason to care. No human being should be denied the chance to live free of poverty
and oppression, or to enjoy a basic standard of education and health. Yet richnations' current trade policies, for example, place
disproportionate burdens on poor countries, discriminatingagainst their agricultural goods in particular. Finally, the countries
ranked in the CDI are all democracies that preach concern for human dignity and economic opportunity within their own
borders. The index measureswhether their policies promote these same values in the rest of the world" .
Carl Conetta and Charles Knight, Vital Force: A Proposal for the Overhaul of the UN Peace Operations System and for the
Creation of a UN Legion(Cambridge: Commonwealth Institute 95):-detailed and fairly technical proposal, employing in-depth
knowledge of modern military organization and capabilities. Like Government of Canada's simultaneous proposal(op.cit.)this
was prepared in response to suggestion by UNSG(Boutros-Ghali)that UN-controlled rapid response capability needed. After
identifying six problems affecting "authorization, planning, and execution of peace operations" , it proposes creation of four
organizations: Military Advisory and Cooperation Council; multilateral Field Communication and Liaison Corps; strengthened
Secretariat staff structure; four-brigade permanent standing force(UN Legion)plus field support structure(44,000 personnel).
Gordon Conway, The Doubly Green Revolution: Food for All in the 21st Century(London: Penguin Books 97):-expert survey
of food problems and potential in developing countries. Specific advice on eradicating hunger/rapidly reducing 750m
undernourished(as pledged at World Food Summit)through complex but realistic second Green Revolution. Topics: global
hunger/poverty; 2020 prospects; specific needs; Green Revolution's successes; where missed poor; pollution from
pesticides/fertilizer; production trends/priorities; biotechnology; sustainable agriculture; farmers' input; pest control; nutrients;
soil/water management; other resources; food security.
James Cooper"Child Labour: Legal Regimes, Market Pressures and the Search for Meaningful Solutions"and John
English"'Imitating the Cries of Little Children': Exploitative Child Labour and the Growth of Children's Rights"International
Journal Vol.LII/ No.3(Summer 97):-paired articles, while advocating different approaches to this complex problem - and one
that can be locally very controversial, agree it must be met globally and positively, including through UNGA, ILO, WTO,
UNICEF. For a specific example of where pressure to end child labour locally (making soccer balls in Pakistan)was successful,
but created a number of economic side effects, see The Economist 08 Apr 00"After the Children Went to School"(72-3).
Robert Cottrell"Meet the Neighbours: A Survey of the EU's Eastern Borders"The Economist 25 Jun 05(1-16):-a cautiously
optimistic -and particularly economic - look at European Union's future, particularly as regards keen but poor countries to its
east. The very useful Introduction is summarized:"EU has been expanding by leaps and bounds. [Author]asks what happens
if it stops". The seven mostly-geographicchapters are carefully identified. "Transformed: EU membership has worked magic
in central Europe". "Climate Change: What post-communist countries need to flourish". "Taming the Balkans: Could EU
accession do the trick?" "A Bearish Outlook: EU's relations with Russia are bad and may get worse". "Too Big To Handle?:
Turkey's application to join EU is causing anxiety on both sides". "The 4% Solution: Getting closer to Europe is good for
economic growth". "The Shape of Things to Come: EU should go its different ways". Final section includes: "This survey has
argued for best-case result in which EU goes on using the power of membership to change the countries around it for the
better. But Europe is much less likely to find the energy/generosity for that strategy, now that it has lost its sense of
purpose/confidence in itself."
Timothy Wallace Crawford "Why Minimum Force Won't Work: Doctrine and Deterrence in Bosnia and Beyond" Global
Governance Vol.4/No.2(Apr/Jun 98):-since many diagnoses for failures of UN role in Bosnia, analyses problem for future
through critique of doctrine(s)UN attempted, particularly "minimum force." Argument: Military deterrence coercion, which
entails dropping peacekeeping rules like participants' consent/minimum force. UN forces' credibility ability/will to take effective
military action key to deterring local parties from attacking each other/UN.Threat includes offensive.[Approach quite distinct
from humanitarian operations; two should not be confused/result in "mission creep" .]
Tim Creery edit. "Human Rights:How Can Canada Make a Difference?" Report of Conference on Canada's Foreign Policy by
the Group of 78, Cantley, Quebec: 25-7 Sep 98:-contains keynote speech by Warren Allmand, President, International Centre
for Human Rights and Democratic Development(particular emphasis on decision to establish International Criminal Court);
discussions on Canada's Roles in Protection of Civil and Political Rights(through UN and OAS)and of Economic, Social and
Cultural Rights(through trade and development assistance); summaries of Discussion Groups on Constructive Engagement
or Confrontation towards Burma, China, Cuba, Nigeria, and former Yugoslavia; and summaries of statements on Rights of
Indigenous Peoples and official views on Progress and Challenges in Human Rights. Report also contains: Introduction,
Summary, Conclusions and Proposals.
Barbara Crossette "A U.N. Watchdog Exits to Applause" New York Times 15 Nov 99:-reports very successfulcompletion 5-year
term by first head UN Office of Internal Oversight Services. Karl Theodor Paschke, former personnel/ management chief,
German Foreign Ministry, appointed USG level as watchdog to fight corruption/mismanagement. Expanded auditing throughout
UN/sent inspectors around world/uncovered dollars millions in fraud/abuse. UN now dismisses employees quickly/losses
recovered/criminal cases to trial/Annan's management reforms working. Predictably, Paschke praised by US Congress but
criticized by some developing nations for coming from rich country, and some major reports blocked. Concluded: UN'sfaults
similar to those in other big bureaucracies, even though faces unique challenges(e.g. inpeacekeeping/emergency relief
operations/global procurement, where corruption worst).
Barbara Crossette "Kofi Annan Unsettles Important People, as He Believes the U. N. Should Do" New York Times 31 Dec
99:-built around frank interview with UNSG, also contributes background, especially on UN-US relations. Annan, "soft-spoken
aristocrat from Ghana[and]quiet insider with gentle sense of humor welcomed as healer" at time of bad US-UN relations. Three
years after election, "turning out to be one of most provocative leaders[UN]ever known" . Speeches/reports castigate both UN
and major powers "for doing nothing in face of predictable catastrophes" (Rwanda, Srebenica)and hit fellow Africans for
shortcomings. Annan defends practical need for honest assessments and fault-finding, but has antagonized both Third World
and influential Americans. 99 UNGA speech arguing right to intervene in state affairs if leaders abusetheir people drew fear
from small nations and claims from senior US conservatives he was exceeding powers. Personal diplomatic initiatives(Iraq,
Libya)criticized, but he stressed he was only doing his job. Much of Annan's independence derives from his selection of strong
and expert advisors.
Barbara Crossette "U.N. Studies How Refugees Qualify to Get Assistance" New York Times 14 Jan 00:-UNSC debate on what
Roberta Cohen(Masses in Flight op.cit.)called "absurdity" ;Brookings: "one of most pressing humanitarian, human rights and
political issues now facing global community" . Most of 20m+ internally displaced persons(IDPs) ineligible to receive UN
assistance simply because not(yet)crossed border out of own country. Many forced from homes(often by own governments
who prefer world excluded);most in more danger/distress than those able to reach border; some interspersed
with/indistinguishable from "recognized" refugees; often far outnumber latter(Angola: 1-2m to 370,000).UNHCR Ogata stressed
how inherent IDP geographic/political/security problems made worse byWWII-vintage definitions. UNSC supportive of new
rules/arrangements for new conditions, with UNHCR in charge.
Barbara Crossette "Advocates for Children Joining U.N. Peacekeeping Missions" New York Times 18 Feb 00:-for first time, UN
will assign full-time children's advocates to top operational staff abroad of all peacekeeping missions. Announced by Olara
A.Otunnu, Special Representative of SG for Children and Armed Conflict. First advocate assigned for Sierra Leone where
atrocities against(and by)children have been particularly serious, and two will be assigned to UN force in Congo, so far all from
UNICEF. Otunnu explained:" For protection and welfare of children to be taken seriously, and not be marginalized, we must
have[advocates]within central political structure" .Will advise Mission heads, coordinate all child assistance groups, determine
necessary programs for children and(since civil war combatants may ignore Conventions)also mobilize public opinion.
Barbara Crossette "The U.N.'s Unhappy Lot: Perilous Police Duties Multiplying" New York Times 22 Feb 00:-describes
challenge facing UN in finding/managing very large number of police officers demanded by new peacekeeping duties and
dangers.(For history of UN police activities, see Oakley op.cit.)UNPeacekeeping Operations' total staff of 400 must find/deploy
nearly 9,000 specially qualified officersimmediately(almost 5,000 for Kosovo, 2000+for Bosnia, 1,640 for East Timor).For first
time, UN police in Kosovo/East Timor have direct executive law enforcement powers and in Kosovo will be armed. Less than
half Kosovo force has arrived(and some returned as unqualified).Thus in assuming responsibility for law and order, UN police
activities not only grown but become more varied/complex/delicate/ hazardous. Many are worried that current assignments
will exceed UN capacity.
Barbara Crossette "U.S. Ready for Much Larger Security Council" New York Times 04 Apr 00:-update on long attempt at UNSC
membership reform. In spite of major power shifts and huge membership growthsince 45, five permanent
(veto-wielding)members remain unchanged, while 183 states now share 10 rotating seats. Yet powerful Council must be
decisive, and was never intended to be representative. Fassbender(op.cit.)explains basic dilemma: Council can become more
equal, representative, or effective - but never all three. Article reports some small progress: US no longer demands limit of 20-1
seats, so 28are now proposed. This may ease deadlock on(permanent)regional seats. Since France and UK refuseto pass
permanent status to EU, Germany and(?)may be added. Japan plus 2-3 Asian seats become feasible.Africa and Latin America
could also have more flexibility for aspirants.
Barbara Crossette "U.S. Report Says the U.N. Has Improved With Changes" New York Times 29 May 00:-summarizes
"surprisingly positive report on...UN" written by US General Accounting Office for Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
Criticisms of UN by committee have been "frequent and shrill" and it playedmajor role in US' ignoring its legally-binding UN
debts, and unilaterally demanding SG/Secretariat implement wide range of political reforms (Helms, Speech op.cit.).Yet GAO
concludes SG Annan made "considerable strides in improving[UN]management" , and clearly "differentiates between reform
goals[SG/Secretariat]can meet alone and those that are dependent on decisions of 188 member nations" .Moreover, GAO
notes, "where there are serious failures or lags in putting changes into practice...shortcomings often related to fuzzy
instructions from[UNGA,]...20% in each year[being]too open-ended or vague to determine what objectives[SG]expected to
accomplish" -often reflecting political compromises. SG is credited with improving coordination and appointing chief operating
officer, who in turn established standard code of conduct. While UN peace operations now reflect unified policy and integrated
planning, overall UN capacity "to manage, logistically support and respond to rapid changes in...demand" have not been
addressed because "organization, under severe financial handicaps and with demands on it multiplying, does not have
capability to manage scope and scale of activity." Full text of report can be obtained via GAO home page: www.gao.gov.
Barbara Crossette "U.S. Report Says the U.N. Has Improved With Changes" New York Times 29 May 00:-summarizes
"surprisingly positive report on...UN" written by US General Accounting Office for Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
Criticisms of UN by committee have been "frequent and shrill" and it playedmajor role in US' ignoring its legally-binding UN
debts, and unilaterally demanding SG/Secretariat implement wide range of political reforms (Helms, Speech op.cit.).Yet GAO
concludes SG Annan made "considerable strides in improving[UN]management" , and clearly "differentiates between reform
goals[SG/Secretariat]can meet alone and those that are dependent on decisions of 188 member nations" .Moreover, GAO
notes, "where there are serious failures or lags in putting changes into practice...shortcomings often related to fuzzy
instructions from[UNGA,]...20% in each year[being]too open-ended or vague to determine what objectives[SG]expected to
accomplish" -often reflecting political compromises. SG is credited with improving coordination and appointing chief operating
officer, who in turn established standard code of conduct. While UN peace operations now reflect unified policy and integrated
planning, overall UN capacity "to manage, logistically support and respond to rapid changes in...demand" have not been
addressed because "organization, under severe financial handicaps and with demands on it multiplying, does not have
capability to manage scope and scale of activity." Full text of report can be obtained via GAO home page: www.gao.gov.
Ivo H. Daalder and Michael E. O'Hanlon, "Unlearning the Lessons of Kosovo" Foreign Policy No.116(Fall 99):-test of
assumptions to see if Kosovo sets precedent for humanitarian interventions. NATO Won: air campaign was clearly NATO
success in gaining more than originally asked, but only after Serbs had uprooted 1.3m Kosovars. Airpower Alone Worked:
while" probably most successful use of strategic bombardmentin history of warfare" , vulnerable Serb infrastructure, 40,000
KLA troops, credible NATO invasion, were also key. Powell Doctrine is Dead: NATO power was not "decisive" initially, but grew
until it was so. UN Is Nice, But Not Necessary: UN still cannot run military operations itself, but new UNSC unity helped Serbs
concede, and UN political mandate unprecedented. In Military Terms, Europe Is a Dwarf: US ran war, butEurope now running
peace/reordering its armed forces. Lessons: such operations not cheap/easy; US must still lead and be willing to commit
troops.
Suzanne Daley," Rising Rate of Mad Cow Disease Alarms Europe" in the New York Times 07 May 00:-showshow hard it is to
stop the spread of fatal diseases even with drastic control measures in an interdependent world. Bovine spongiform
encephalopathy has just turned up in south-eastern France, having also been detected in native-born cows in 10 other
European countries. While the number of continental cases identified is small compared with the 178,000 reported in Britain,
those discovered in France have gone from six in 1997 to one weekly in 2000. Moreover the true total of cows (and humans)
infected may be much larger as transmission modes and incubation periods remain mysterious. Nevertheless, considerable
progress is being made in other respects: Sandra Blakeslee, " Clues to Mad Cow Disease Emerge in Study of Mutant Proteins"
in NYT 23 May 00:-reports on the information exchanged at an international meeting on the disease. While scientists still do
not know how the disease spreads to humans, how many more will die from it, and if a similar epidemic could start in the US
spread by infected deer and elk, clues are now being discovered on an almost weekly basis. These are based on an infectious
agent called the prion, normal proteins found throughout the body tissues of humans and other animals. For unknown reasons
thesesometimes transform themselves into tiny particles almost impossible to destroy, and accumulate in the brains of
infected animals/people, destroying cells and leaving spongy holes in the tissue. Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease is the human
version and could eventually kill tens of thousands, -or die out. So far the death toll is 56 in Britain, 2 in France, 1 from Ireland.
Donald C.F.Daniel, Bradd C.Hayes and Chantal deJonge Oudraat, Coercive Inducement and the Containment of International
Crises(Washington:US Institute of Peace Press 99):-novel look at various multilateral peace operations since 88. Effort is
valuable as new diversity/complexity/cost brought confused or bad mandates/structures/ resources/motives/aims/hopes.
Worse, many overwhelmed(soundermined)UN system both unprepared and unable to handle them. Address many operations
between traditional peacekeeping(firm ceasefire/both sides' consent/fully impartial/minimum self-defense)and military
enforcement. Middle option termed Coercive Inducement(CI): "judicious resort to coercive diplomacy or forceful persuasion
by international community in order to implement community norms or mandates vis-a-vis all parties to particular crisis." UN
operations in Bosnia, Somalia, Rwanda, Haiti analysed to show effects of abiding by or contravening principles of
CI:(1)Inducement Contingents(ICs)function under aegis of leading state or coalition in operations endorsed by UN.(2)CI
personnel represent both moral authority andcredible force.(3)While aspiring for as much universality as possible, ICs primarily
reflect capabilities that make for immediately effective crisis responses.(4)IC personnel assume no more than provisional
consent, so act to impose community will on recalcitrant parties.(5)While not intending to harm anyone's interests, IC must
implement mandates even when doing so prejudices interests of one or more party.(6)Force may be used for other than
self-defense, but should not exceed minimum to cause desired behaviour.(7)IC mustplan to minimize casualties while
preparing for worst. End offers operational guidelines when following CI principles, and circumstances that make it essential.
Tobias Debiel, "Strengthening the UN as an Effective World Authority: Cooperative Security Versus Hegemonic Crisis
Management" Global Governance Vol.6/No.1(Jan/Mar 00):-neither as academic or utopian as title might suggest, looks at very
practical/pertinent issue of what UN can and should do to be more effective in peacekeeping and crisis prevention roles. Such
roles increase in importance as consensus develops: national sovereignty may be curtailed in exceptional humanitarian
circumstances. Argued: world, unready for legally-bound multilateralism, and widely opposed to superpower-driven
coercion,must turn to cooperative security - willing collaboration of all types of bodies: interest groups/relevantstates/regional
organizations. Core element UN must create "standby capacities for early warning/conflict management/peacekeeping; reform
of non-military sanctions instrument; and speedy institution ofinternational criminal court" (39).
Louis A.Delvoie "The Kosovo War: A Long Catalogue of Losers" Behind the Headlines Vol.57/No.2,3 (Winter/Spring 00):-NATO's
99 air campaign against rump "Yugoslavia" has had many supporters andcritics. Former mainly argue that it succeeded in
noble humanitarian aim of relieving Kosovars from Serbian oppression; latter argue force was itself wrong and/or stress
absence of UN imprimatur. Author seeks those involved that were net losers in conflict. NATO: hurt its image/reputation/future
effectivenessby launching war of aggression, ending its credibility as purely defensive alliance; United
Nations:sidelined/marginalized, lost any post-Gulf hope it might play its Charter peace/ security role;
OSCE:reputation/credibility suffered when its 1,300 Observers had to withdraw hastily when many of OSCEmembers attacked
state where they were to keep peace; Kosovars: NATO's "beneficiaries" sufferedhundreds dead and thousands displaced
before bombing, but thousands dead, hundreds of thousandsdisplaced once two deterrents(OSCE plus threat to bomb)ceased
to restrain; Serbs: suffered "collateral" casualties, food/water shortages as infrastructure hit, and vast long-term economic
loss from bombing/ sanctions; Balkan Stability: lost in refugee floods, revived ethnic tension; "New European Security
Architecture" : Russia reacted with anger/ condemnation, needing much time/effort to defuse; US: lost instature/credibility
e.g. through sudden change in KLA image, public policy it would not risk ground troops, ominous intelligence error on Chinese
Embassy; Western Governments: caught with double standards over Serbia/Chechnya. Many lessons to be learned.
Francis M. Deng et al. Sovereignty as Responsibility: Conflict Management in Africa(Washington: Brookings 96):- conclusion
of 7-volume project to help governments/international community deal with conflicts in least stable continent(Reader
op.cit.).Probes African states' responsibility: balance sovereignty sanctity against transborder political/economic/moral
relevance of human rights violations/internal violence. Project concludes UN has unique role to play in Africa as both mediator
and healer.
Anthony DePalma "The'Slippery Slope'of Patenting Farmers' Crops" New York Times 24 May 00:-as noted elsewhere, much
of controversy over genetically modified organisms(GMO)derives from their high costs in R&D and consequent concern of
biotechnology companies to ensure "adequate returns" through patents(or intellectual property rights(IPRs); see
Paarlberg)relating to their products. Most infamous patent defenses were "terminator genes" in cereal seeds that could not
reproduce, and thus prevented re-seeding(Economist 9 Oct 99).This ensured annual seed purchases -and prohibitive costs
in Third World. DePalma reports CIMMYT, Green Revolution's famous non-profit International Maize and Wheat Improvement
Center in Mexico, though founded to make high-yield products available free to Third World, has had to start patenting its work
as defensive tactic to block attempts by others to patent its discoveries and thus keep small farmers from using them. Before
companies/countries contribute to CIMMYT's research, theyalso require patents in own self-defense. Consolation: reproductive
genes will be included in seeds distributed in Third World. Another GMO patent-related development reported in
DePalma/Simon Romero "Super Seeds Sweeping Major Markets, and Brazil May Be Next" NYT 16 May. US, Brazil,
Argentinatogether grow 80% of world's 157m tonnes of soybeans annually, but have different rules for GMvarieties. In US
several conditions must be met: for Monsanto, farmers pay fee for each bag of seed, agree not to save seed for following year
( "terminator" seeds were dropped after outcry)and accept inspections if claim to have stopped using seed. In Argentina, where
perhaps 90% of soybean crop genetically altered, but its patents not recognized, effectively no rules. In Brazil, use of altered
varieties not(yet)legal, but clearly smuggled in; to 30% of soybeans may already be uncontrolled GMO. "Global regulatory
mechanism" obviously needed. Meanwhile, US regulations tightened further. Associated Press reported 03 May "F.D.A.
Announces New Steps for Regulation of Biotech Food" according to which US Food and Drug Administrationwill require
biotech companies to notify it at least four months before releasing "new genetically engineered ingredients for food and
animal feed" and to provide their research data. FDA will also set" truthful and informative" standards for food processors
wanting to label products made with/without such ingredients. Also, mainly response to new consumer concerns, North
American retail food industry/exporters facing novel problems in separating out GM products, because of explosive increase
in use/saving. Some major food companies stopped sales of selected GM-based products, according to David Barboza in
"Modified Foods Put Companies in a Quandary" NYT 03 Jun. However none has found it feasible to abandon biotech
ingredients entirely, since about 70% of US grocery-store food may have been made with genetically altered crops. Related
dilemma arisen in Europe. Donald G. McNeil Jr. "Anxiety on Genetically Altered Seed Spreads in Europe" NYT 20 May, reports
on divergent reactions of British, French, Swedish governments on discovering tiny amount in one seed variety in order of
long-planted Canadian canola had inadvertently carried genetically-modified trait.
J. Raymond DePaulo and Leslie Alan Horvitz, Understanding Depression: What We Know and What You Can Do About It(New
York: John Wiley & Sons, 2002):-UN's World Health Organization has stressed that mental illness is an overwhelming global
crisis against multiple humans' active lives and even survival. WHO's "study estimates that in the coming decade depression
will rank as the number two leading cause of death in the world; most of those deaths will be primarily in the form of suicide
and secondly from coronary artery disease" (133). The book, by one of the world's foremost authorities on depression, and
coming from the Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine in the US, concentrates on the technically improving but widely
undeveloped situation in that country. However, the clearly written and up-to-date text is among the most advanced and ideally
relevant anywhere on earth. It includes a thorough, accessible guide to depression's nature, causes, effects, and treatments,
and also provides essential advice tothose responsible for handling those suffering. Aid must do more globally to help.
Daniel Deudney & G.John Ikenberry"The Myth of the Autocratic Revival: Why Liberal Democracy Will Prevail"(77-93) Foreign
Affairs Vol.88/No.1(Jan/Feb 09):-official summary:"After years of liberal triumphalism, recently fears have grown that
autocracies have found new ways to prosper. In fact, the imperatives of liberal democracy are as strong as ever. The key to
defanging autocracies is bringing them into the liberal order, not excluding them from it". Emphasized extracts:"There remain
deep contradictions between authoritarian political systems and capitalist economic systems". "War as a path to conflict
resolution and great-power expansion has become largely obsolete". "Emerging global problems will create common interests
across states regardless of regime type". Deudney: Professor of Political Science at Johns Hopkins University and author of
Bounding Power: Republican Security From the Polis to the Global Village. Ikenberry: Albert G.Milbank Professor of Politics
and International Affairs at Princeton University, a Global Eminence Scholar at Kyung Hee University, and author of After
Victory: Institutions, Strategic Restraint, and the Rebuilding of Order After Major Wars.
Larry Diamond Promoting Democracy: Actors and Instruments, Issues and Imperatives (Washington: Carnegie Commission
on Preventing Deadly Conflict 95):-report to Commission describes organizations(including UN), activities, techniques and
limitations, all of which help to promote democracy's worldwide spread and support.
Larry Diamond"The Democratic Rollback: The Resurgence of the Predatory State"(36-48) Foreign Affairs Vol.87/No.2(Mar/Apr
08):-official summary: "After decades of historic gains, the world has slipped into a democratic recession. Predatory states
are on the rise, threatening both nascent and established democracies throughout the world. But this trend can be reversed
with the development of good governance and strict accountability, and the help of conditional aid from the West". Author is
Senior Fellow at Hoover Institution and Co-Editor of Journal of Democracy. Essay is adapted from his new book, The Spirit
of Democracy: The Struggle to Build Free Societies Throughout the World (Times Books 08).
Philippe Douste-Blazy & Daniel Altman"A Few Dollars at a Time: How to Tap Consumers for Development"(2-7) Foreign Affairs
Vol.89/No.1 (Jan/Feb 10):-official summary:"This year, consumers purchasing airline tickets will have a chance to at the same
time contribute to the global fight against HIV/AIDS, malaria, and tuberculosis. This initiative is part of a new movement called
innovative financing, which seeks to share a tiny fraction of globalization's enormous gains with sick people in poor
countries". Final sentence of impressive text:"The backers of innovative financing mechanisms, such as UNITAID, have two
main responsibilities: to help fight diseases through novel ways of raising money and also to ensure that their success does
not undermine the existing efforts [-government aid budgets-] they set out to strengthen". Douste-Blazy, who served as
France's Foreign Minister 2005-07, is currently the United Nation's Special Advisor for Innovative Financing for Development
and Chair of UNITAID. Altman is President of North Yard Economics, a not-for-profit consulting firm serving developing
countries. Article is adapted from their book on innovative financing, which will be published in Jan 10 by PublicAffairs.
Daniel W.Drezner All Politics Is Global: Explaining International Regulatory Regimes(Princeton & Oxford: Princeton Univ Press
07):-as The Economist 18 Mar 07 admits in specially favourable review "International Relations: An Interconnected World":
book is "too nuanced and academic for easy reading", but concludes significantly "Drezner... finds that the challenges of the
future will be increasingly transnational. As globalisation intensifies, the rewards for coordination will increase as well. To
achieve success, essential not to eliminate international institutions but rather to understand their utility... Key to their success
lies in convincing leading governments of the gains from acting in cooperation, rather than isolation, in volatile but
interconnected world -message that surely applies well beyond esoteric world of trade". [Another support for my own - tough
but essential - global urgency: op.cit. Christopher Spencer]. Suggest you read short Chapter One which summarizes Drezner's
book in simplest explanation. "Regulation of global economy is intrinsically important. Markets rely on rules, customs, and
institutions to function properly. Global markets need global rules and institutions to work efficiently. The presence or absence
of these rules and institutions and their content and enforcement, is the subject of this book. In a globalizing economy, what
are the rules? Who makes them? How are they made?"(6). Issue areas analysed by chapters to study relative roles of (top)
governments/institutions/NGOs: Internet, International Finance, Genetically Modified Organisms, TRIPS and Public Health.
Celia W.Dugger"U.N. Panel Urges Doubling of Aid to Cut Poverty"New York Times 17 Jan 05:-announces that an"international
team[has]proposed a detailed ambitious plan...that it says could halve extreme poverty and save the lives of millions of
children and hundreds of thousands of mothers each year by 2015. Report[claims that]drastically reducing poverty in its many
guises - hunger, illiteracy, disease - is 'utterly affordable', [but that]to fulfill this goal industrial nations would need to double
aid to poor countries, to 0.5% of national incomes from 0.25%".'Investing in Development: A Practical Plan to Achieve the
Millennium Development Goals[MDG]'also urges the easing of trade and"sweeping investments in health, education,rural
development, road building, housing and scientific research".Jeffery D.Sachs(op.cit.),appointed head of this UN Millennium
Project by UNSG Annan to revive the 2000-agreed 'MDG'promises, is"known ascrusader for the idea that within a generation,
rich and poor countries together can end extreme poverty afflicting more than a billion".Other elements are described: the
serious diversity of essential program-related policies among both the rich and poor nations, and the surprisingly varied
analysis of the plan's realism that is found among aid experts -and British PM Tony Blair(op.cit.). Reuters"U.N. Report Offers
Plan to Halve Extreme Poverty by 2015"in NYT 17 Jan 05:-covers same major proposals, although with natural variations in
emphasis. Again, divergences among both aid donors and seekers are stressed. It also reports that in Jul 05 G8, and in Sep
05 UNGA will, spotlighting global poverty, set a development agenda.The Environment 22 Jan 05"Development: Recasting the
Case for Aid"(69-70):-even longer than the NYT and Reuters analyses of the Sachs-led UN report, but again offering an
objective analysis of its critically-important aims and prospects. Initial description of report includes:"Document in full runs
to ten supporting volumes and more than 3,000 pages...Overview paper is packed with high-octane analysis
andrecommendations, no waffle, not a sentence wasted. Aim is no less than to dispel prevailing pessimism on aid - a deeply
entrenched attitude, based on years of disappointment - and to mobilise hundreds of billions of dollars in new help for
developing world. In this, it might succeed. Whether it deserves to is another question." Later:"Question now - and it is the
right question - is what policy inputs will be required to hit the targets[i.e.MDG final goals]...Given what is at stake, Sach's
passion and ambition are entirely warranted - but does approach he advocates make sense?...Looking only at development
aid, report argues, you find that aid works: it spurs growth...Good-government precondition is crucial, however, and causes
team some difficulty...Poorest countries, including basket-cases of sub-Saharan Africa, aremost deserving by test of need,
but tend to be worst governed".Report challenges problem by plugging poorer recipients that nevertheless have good
government and by claiming aid itself can improve bad governments, but quick success appears unrealistic in Africa. Warren
Hoge"African Crises Take Back Seat to Tsunami, U.N. Relief Chief Says"NYT 28 Jan 05:-Jan Egeland, UN emergency relief
coordinator, complained to UNSC that impressive aid being given to those countries suffering from earthquake-produced
Indian Ocean tsunami was in fact no more seriously needed than the unmet African needs. Alan Cowell"Pressure Grows for
Rich Nations to Redouble Efforts to Aid Africa"NYT 28 Jan 05:-report fromWorld Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland,
records many more pro-African aid demands than usual.
Celia W.Dugger"U.N. vs Poverty: Seeking a Focus, Quarreling Over the Vision"NYT 14 Sep 05:-this itemleads a discouraging
collection of inter-related historical articles, most inevitably summarized by a bit more than their strong titles/introductory
sentences. All relate to a globally critical summit of some 170 heads of state/government. They marked seriously the 60th
anniversary of the United Nations 14-16 Sep 05 when, vital reforms and international poverty commitments having been
discussed, some are adopted- in full or vague status - but many more are both left required and postponed. Dugger:"The
United Nations General Assembly(UNGA) meeting today was to have been a rare moment when quest to relieve crushing
poverty of a billion people took center stage. But so far that goal has been overshadowed by [current disasters] and squabbling
over reform of UN itself. Even debate about world's common agenda on global poverty began on an unexpectedly sour note,
centred around goals for healing world's deepest poverty that were to be in meeting's final document. US ambassador, John
R. Bolton, initially proposed expunging any reference to specific goals for reducing poverty, hunger and child mortality
andcombating pandemic of AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria. Known as Millennium Development Goals[MDGs], they emerged
from UN conference five years ago. He favored instead citing broad declaration from which goals were drawn. US subsequently
relented, but not before US administration's opening in negotiations left some African leaders dismayed... Negotiations at UN
got absorbed by issues around UN reform... It is not clear that much new will emerge at UN. World leaders are likely to affirm
commitment to push forward with MDGs to halve extreme poverty and hunger, cut child mortality by two-thirds and ensure
basic education of each child by 23015, among other things.Those are same broad goals agreed to five years ago"; Warren
Hoge"U.N. Adopts Modest Goals on Reforms and Poverty"NYT 14 Sep 05:-"UNGA unanimously approved scaled-down
statement of goals [13 Sep] that Secretary General [UNSG] Kofi Annan said would still give world leaders gathering [14 Sep]
basis for recommendation to reform organization and combat poverty. Loud cheers from delegates, however, could not
disguise widespread disappointment at weakening of 35-page document"; David E.Sanger & Warren Hoge"Bush Thanks World
Leaders and Takes Conciliatory Tone"NYT 15 Sep 05:-President Bush, facing array of world leaders who are deeply divided
on how to define terrorism or act against nuclear proliferation/poverty, struck conciliatory tone at UN [14 Sep], describing
himself as grateful leader of superpower in recent days... Speech...came hours after UNGA greatly watered down what had
once been ambitious plans for institutional change and for commitments to fight terrorism/nuclear arms... He balanced his
discussion of need to chase down terrorists with his endorsement of set of antipoverty objectives... 'No nation canremain
isolated/indifferent to struggles of others' ... He pressed for UNSC resolution commiting countriesto prosecute - and extradite
- anyone seeking fissile materials or technology for nuclear devices... But Bush did not repeat his previous calls to bar any
new country from producing enriched uranium orplutonium. In references to goals for poverty reduction, he cited not only
MDGs but also another initiative that grew out of summit meeting in Monterrey, Mexico. There, poor nations agreed to fight
corruption and improve governance, and rich nations commited to 'make concrete efforts' toward giving 0.7% national income
in aid. Bush did not address aid issue, but advocates said they hoped endorsement of Monterray would make harder for US
to continue to oppose such aid targets"; Reuters"World Leaders Seek to Invigorate UN at Age 60"NYT 14 Sep 05:-"Leaders
explore ways to revitalize UN at summit, buttheir bluepoint falls short of UNSG vision of freedom from want, persecution and
war... [S]ession marking60th anniversary of world body suffering from corruption scandals and sharp divisions among
memberson how to tackle international crises... UNSG in 85p paper in Mar entitled 'In Larger Freedom', addressed challenges
for 21st century that required collective action: alleviating extreme poverty, reversing AIDS pandemic, global security, terrorism
and human rights. But after bitter negotiations over last few weeks,nearly every bold initiative suffered cutbacks in final 38p
document approved by UNGA for endorsementat summit... Still, somewhat emasculated document saved summit from failure.
UN officials highlighted initiatives, including new human rights body, Peacebuilding Commission to help nations emerging
from war and perhaps most significantly, obligation to intervene when civilians face genocide/war crimes... Butnegotiators
failed to agree on how to tackle nuclear proliferation or on definition of terrorism sought by Western nations, and fell short
of commitments to greater aid and tearing down trade barriers developing nations wanted"; AP"Annan Appeals to World
Leaders at Summit"NYT 14 Sep 05:-"UNSG Kofi Annanappealed [14 Sep] to world leaders...to help restore confidence in world
body and act together to meet challenges of new century... Annan said document they will adopt at end of 3-day summit was
'good start'but not 'sweeping and fundamental reform'he proposed. He called for urgent action on tough, unresolved issues.
'Because one thing has emerged clearly from this process on which we embarked two years ago: whatever our differences,
in our interdependent world, we stand or fall together', UNSG said.'Whether our challenge is peacemaking, nation-building,
democratization or responding to natural or man-made disasters, we have seen that even the strongest among us cannot
succeed alone'... In what he call 'a high-risk gamble', UNSG and incoming/outgoing presidents of UNGA decided to drop issues
where there was no agreement, choose language for which they thought they could win consent, andpresent clean text to
member states. It worked"; AP"Bush Focuses on Terror in Speech to U.N."NYT 14 Sep 05:-"Before skeptical world leaders,
President Bush [14 Sep] urged compassion for the needy and pressed global community to 'put the terrorists on notice'by
cracking down on any activities that could incite deadly attacks. Bush... was seeking to sell his blueprints for spreading
democracy in Iraq and elsewhere, overhauling UN and expanding trade"; AP"Chiefs of U.N. Agencies Appeal to Donors"NYT14
Sep 05:-"UN refugee and food agencies' chiefs said [14 Sep] that international donors are not doing enough to help alleviate
shortages of survival rations in refugee camps across Africa. Because of lack of funds, World Food Program has been forced
to cut rations for hundreds of thousands of refugees, particularly in West Africa and Great Lakes region in east of continent";
AP"Mexico's Fox OK With U.N. Reform Document"NYT 14 Sep:-"Mexican President Vicente Fox said [14 Sep] that he and the
rest of theGroup of 15 developing nations think UN reform document approved this week is a step in the right direction, but
stressed it is only first step... The 35-page document is supposed to launch a major reform of UN itself and galvanize efforts
to ease global poverty. But to reach consensus, most of text's details gutted in favor of abstract language. UNSG had hoped
that in addition to addressing UN overhaul, document would outline specific actions for improving the lot of the poor and
tackling genocide, terrorism and human rights. But nations couldn't bridge their difference during negotiations. Group of
15developing nations in Asia, Africa and Latin America was set up to foster cooperation in dealing withinternational groups
such as World Trade Organization and the Group of Seven rich industrialized nations"; AP"Annan Seeks to Restore U.N.
Credibility"NYT 14 Sep 05:-"After a year of mounting criticism,UNSG Annan defended UN [14 Sep] and urged global leaders
to restore organization's credibility by adopting broad reforms needed for world to act together to tackle poverty, terrorism
and conflict...Instead of a celebration of UN achievements since its founding in ashes of WWII, summit was much more a
somber reappraisal of its shortcomings and a debate about how to meet the daunting challenges ofa world becoming moreand
more interlinked"; Reuters"World Leaders United on Terrorism"NYT 14 Sep 05:-"World leaders united [14 Sep] on need to ban
incitement of terrorism but fell short of ambitions forfundamental reform of UN...Negotiations on the summit document world
leaders are to endorse dropped disarmament proposals from Norway and South Africa, backed by about 80 nations. US
objected to calls for nuclear disarmament but stressed danger of terrorists and rogue states obtaining unconventional
weapons... In veiled criticism of US, world's richest nation, Dutch PM... said Europeans had agreed to boost development aid
spending but 'we need to see more equal burden-sharing'"; AP"Annan Seeks to Restore U.N.'s Credibility"NYT 15 Sep
05:-"Bitter differences among UN member states have blocked many crucial UN reforms, and nations must act boldly to restore
the world body's credibility, UNSG told summit of world leaders... Coming into the summit, diplomats had to dilute a document
on goals for tackling rights abuses, terrorism and UN reform because they couldn't settle their disputes"; Financial
Times"Shifting Positions at the UN World Summit"NYT 15 Sep 05:-"Fact that US and China have both become simultaneous
aid donors and recipients says much about changing global society. World ismuch more diffuse in power than traditional
stereotypes allowed... US is rich, and its military power iscommanding, but US ability to impose its will on world is limited...
China, as well as India, Brazil and some other developing countries, is gaining economic power, especially through rapid
absorption ofadvanced technologies and emergence of home-grown scientific prowess... [E]verything points to
vastinternational diffusion of scientific expertise in coming decades... US will likely become more rather than less engaged
as donor country in Africa and elsewhere... [I]dea of a US empire astride the world in 21st century will go... [C]ertainly the most
important issue, hardly noted at [UN] world summit, is that rise of China, India, and other regional powers will intensify growing
and multiple pressures on global environment and resource base... As a crowded world of 6.5 billion on its way to 9 billion
people by mid-century, and with rising risks/complexities all around us, we are all both donors and recipients now. We are all
in this together, and we had better get used to that reality"; The Economist 15 Sep 05"United Nations Reform: Better Than
Nothing"(p.33 in 17 Sep NA issue):- "Annan sought to explain why a draftdeclaration on UN reform and tackling world poverty,
to be endorsed by some 150 heads of state/government... has turned into such a pale shadow of proposals he himself put
forward. 'With 191 member states' , he sighed, 'its not easy to get agreement'. Most countries put the blame on US, in the form
of its abrasive new ambassador, John Bolton, for insisting at end of Aug on hundreds of last-minute amendments and
line-by-line renegotiation of a text most others had thought was almost settled. Buta group of middle-income developing
nations... also came up with plenty of last-minute changes of their own. Risk of having no document at all... was averted only
by marathon talks... The 35-page final document not wholly devoid of substance. It calls for creation of a Peacebuilding
Commission to supervise reconstruction of countries after wars; replacement of discreditied Commission on Human Rights
by supposedly tougher Human Rights Council; recognition of a new 'responsibility to protect'peoples from genocide and other
atrocities when national authorities fail to take action, if necessary by force; and 'early'reform of UNSC. Although much pared
down, all these proposals have at least survived.Others have not. Either...so contentious they were omitted altogether, such
as sections on disarmament/non-proliferation/ICC, or they were watered down to little more than empty platitudes: no longer
evenmentions vexed issue of pre-eminent strikes. [M]eanwhile, section on terrorism condemns it 'in all its forms and
manifestations, committed by whomever, wherever and for whatever purposes' , but fails to provide clear definition US
wanted... Now up to UNGA to flesh out document's skeleton proposals and propose new ones. But its chances of success
appear slim"; Steven R.Weisman"A Frustrating Week at the U.N. for the White House Team"NYT 16 Sep 05:-"[R]ebellion by
countries outside the ambit of Europe and US appears to have thwarted some of the changes sought at UN. Bush officials
insist that they arepleased with some of the changes adopted by UNGA, notably a broad definition of terrorism. They saytried
to address wishes of developing world by agreeing at last minute to endorse specific goals to increase foreign aid. But when
it came time to adopt stringent budgetary changes at UN,cementing fiscaland personnel authority with Secretariat under Kofi
Annan and taking some of it away from UNGA, thevotes were not there. Neither were there enough votes to scrap UN Human
Rights Commission and replace it with a council that would not be led by countries like Sudan or Cuba, which US and its allies
consider bad actors in human rights sphere. The scandals of last couple of years in oil-for-food problem in Iraq, with favoritism
and corruption in awarding of contracts, might have been avoided if UNSG's office had exercised greater control over the
budget and personnel, now in hands of a committee made up of all members of UNGA. 'The way UN is run, the vast number
of less developed countries sitting in UNGA hold the power of the purse', a diplomat at UN said. 'A lot of developing countries
see giving moreauthority to UNSG as ploy by US and Europeans to take more control of UN'"; AP"Rice Urges 'Revolution of
Reform'at U.N."NYT 17 Sep 05:-"UN must make itself more relevant to tackle 21st century problems... Secretary of State
Condoleezza Rice said [17 Sep]. 'In this new world, we must again embrace challenge of building for the future'. World
leaders...adopted watered-down version of proposed reforms...'Time to reform UN is now', she said. 'And we must seize this
opportunity together'... 'No cause, no movement, and no grievance can justify intentional killing of innocent civilians and
noncombatants. This isunacceptable by any moral standard'. UNSG [had] said condemnation of terrorism must be
unqualifiedand that... should 'forge a global counterterrorism strategy that weakens terrorists and strengthens international
community'... Rice called on rich countries to help poor ones with development assistance... She said new [human rights]
council... should have more credibility. [That] means should 'never, never empower brutal dictatorships to sit in judgement
of responsible democracies' ... Rice has locked arms with Annan on reform, declaring him an effective manager, with whom
she can work closely. 'I havenever had a better relationship with anyone than Kofi Annan', Rice said, thereby separating US
concerns about management flaws and corruption from world body's top diplomat"; Warren Hoge"Bolton and U.N. Are Still
Standing After His First Test"NYT 17 Sep 05:-"Fellow ambassadors say they are impressed with[John] Bolton's work ethic,
his knowledge of his brief, clarity in declaring it and his toughness as anegotiator... Some delegates, however,faulted him for
emphasizing what US would never accept, saying it ended up encouraging more active opposition to US positions. They
complained he devoted too much time to talking about US 'red lines' and about the red pen he had in his pocket at the ready.
Those who feared Bolton came with devil's horns thought they saw them spring forth 3 weeks ago when he submitted more
than 400 substantive amendments and deletions, and ordered up a line-by-line renegotiation of summit document. One of
recommendations was to eliminate all mention of a series of antipoverty measures called MDGs. Surprise attack on cherished
standard sent shock waves across UN where officials had grown hopeful that Bush administration's hostility to UN had
significantly lessened,particularly after supportive comments from [Rice] and State Department opposition to calls for US to
withhold its UN dues. A week later, phase was restored at Rice's direction, and Bush declared in his speech to UNGA, 'We are
committed to MDGs' . So a question arose about whether Bolton had beencarrying out traditional mission of executing State
Department policy or originating his own more assertive view... John G.Ruggie,...Harvard... said he thought Bolton's approach
had emboldened opponents of US priorities, like reforming UN management structure to give more power and flexibilityto
UNSG. 'After Bolton's bombshell, they were able to make case that this is why we have to stand firm, because if we give great
discretionary authority to UNSG, danger US will roll over him, and behind him always stands Congress willing to withhold
funding', he said. Bolton said purpose in calling for line-by-line renegotiation was to avoid having text by 'nameless, faceless
textwriters' , a reference to writing staff of UNGA president Jean Ping of Gabon. But in the end such a text proved to be only
way to get consensus. Three weeks of wrestling with language had left document on [13 Sep a.m.] with 27 unsolved issues
and 149 phrases in brackets, meaning they were still in dispute. Decision was made to presentambassadors with final version
refined by Ping, and it was that text UNGA endorsed [13 Sep p.m.], just hours before arrival of world leaders. Much of positive
reaction to Bolton has come from how he did not live up to his negative reviews"; AP"Chavez Criticizes U.N. Reforms in
Speech"NYT 17 Sep 05:-"Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez criticized UN reforms [17 Sep] saying they [section of
Peacebuilding Commission] would permit powerful countries [to] invade developing ones whose leaders are considered a
threat"; Reuters"Annan Defends Summit"NYT 17 Sep 05:-"UNSG put brave face on [17 Sep]on modest reforms to the work of
UN, but [Rice] said world body needed nothing short of revolution to become real force... Annan sought to highlight the
positive... 'Scale of this achievement seems to have been missed by some...So let's make sure we live up to our promises to
the world's poor'. Among gainswere unprecedented agreement on international responsibility to intervene to protect civilians
from genocide, establishment of peace-building commission to help nations recover from war and areaffirmation of goals set
in 2000 to halve poverty by 2015. But the document fudged definition of what constitutes terrorism, reached no agreement on
how to deal with spread of weapons of mass destructionand did little on far-reaching reforms to UN's bureaucracy or its
decision-making. 'UN must launch lasting revolution of reform', [Rice] said. Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo, who chairs
53-memberAfrican Union, said terrorism could not be 'justified under any circumstances' . But he said a dangerous correlation
existed between grinding poverty and political instability"; Reuters"Like Fixing the Weather, Council Reform Eludes UN"NYT
18 Sep 05:-"Closest UN came to expanding 15-member UN Security Council(UNSC) was considered a plan by Germany, Japan,
India and Brazil last spring. But moment came and went without a vote. National rivalries across and within each regional
group run high, although...pledged to do something by end of year... Leaders from four candidates, known as Group of
Four(G-4)... decided to put their resolution back on table. But participants at the session said there was no strategy of how
or when to do this... UNSG, after decade of debate, urged UN members in Mar to come to decision world leaders could endorse,
arguing that UNSC, which decides on war and peace, sanctions and peacekeeping, still reflected balance of power at end of
WWII. But 35-page document world leadersendorsed on UN reforms had only one sentence on need for 15-member UNSC to
become 'more broadly representative, more efficient and transparent'. On this, compromise nearly impossible as UNSC seats
meant winners and losers, with each candidate having drawn enough opposition to prevent resolution from gaining two-thirds
vote in 191-member UNGA. UNSC currently has 10 nonpermanent seats, rotating for two-year terms, and five permanent
members with veto power - US, Russia, Britain, China, and France, considered WWII victors. To begin UNSC expansion,
191-member UNGA must approve a framework,without names of candidates, by two-thirds vote, with each member casting
one vote. Last step in process is UN Charter change, which must be approved by national legislatures, and here current five
permanentmembers have veto power... Brazil, Germany, India and Japan, whose plan also called for two permanent seats from
Africa [Egypt? South Africa?], had hoped for deal with 53-member African Union, which has a similar proposal. But Africans
insisted new permanent members have veto power, which the four aspirants dropped because of opposition from current five
UNSC powers"; AP"Leaders at U.N. Seek Anti - Terror Treaty"NYT 19 Sep 05:-"Leaders at UNGA urged quick adoption of
comprehensive global treatythat would put words into action. But one issue in particular is causing trouble - how to define
terrorism amid concern independence struggles would be targeted. [R]esolution accepted unanimously by UNSC on sidelines
of UN summit last week also called upon all states to prohibit and prevent terrorism and deny a safe haven to anyone
considered guilty of such conduct. But delegates stressed need for abroader convention that would serve as a framework for
governments to work together to curtailinternational terrorism"; AP"U.N. Assembly Focuses on World's Poor"NYT 19 Sep
05:-"Leaders fromdeveloping nations took speaker's platform on second day of annual UNGA debate to criticize rich
countriesfor not doing enough to ease plight of world's poorest people. Speakers from Africa, Asia and Latin America said
[18 Sep] they were encouraged by document adopted at three-day summit renewing commitments to alleviate poverty, but said
they would withhold final judgment until rich nations make good on their vows... Leaders of poor nations made clear that they
were not impressed with progress made so far. A week ago, UN report said about 40% of world's people still struggle to survive
on less than $2/day. Jamaica's PM, speaking on behalf of Group of 77 developing countries, repeated what has been largely
acknowledged by many UN and outside officials: world nowhere close to meeting the development goals"; Reuters"UN
Refugee Boss Says World Tackling Past Failures"NYT 27 Sep 05:-"International community has woken up to tragedy of the
millions who are refugees in their own country and begun to act, head of UN refugee agency[UN High Commissioner for
Refugees] said. Internal refugees - known as internally displaced people (IDPs) - number 20-25million, more than double the
nine million refugees who are recognized as such because they have crossed a border, and their plight is often just as bad,
said UNHCR... UN was finalizing a more vigorous approach to a problem which is particularlyacute in sub-Saharan Africa...
Crux of the new policy was that for first time UN agencies, and otherhumanitarian organizations, given specific roles and
responsibilities - for which they could be held to account - in handling any IDP crisis. In case of UNHCR, which already handles
some IDP situations on an ad hoc basis, it would manage camps, provide shelter and tackle issues of protection for those
considered to be in danger of persecution. Move should also be seen in context of changing international attitudes to
sovereignty, with recent UNGA resolutions stressing obligations governments had to protect their citizens - indicating a more
assertive stance on the part of global body"; AP"U.N. Envoy Says Reforms Have Started"NYT 28 Sep 05:-"President Bush's
hard-charging ambassador to UN, [John R.Bolton,] told skeptical members of Congress [28 Sep] US 'didn't get everything we
wanted'in agreement to reform UN bureaucracy, but it is a start... Bolton cast US vote for watered-down reform document with
obvious disappointment after weeks of wrangling. Document backed off bureaucratic and other changes... Bolton is expected
to follow up with new resolutions, but it is not clear how muchappetite UN diplomats will have for subject now. The House has
passed measure... that establishes a timetable for reform and ties progress to payment of US dues. Senate has not passed
measure. Bushadministration does not want to use dues as leverage"; AP"Japan Rethinking Plan for Security Council"NYT
30 Sep 05:-"Japan has warned Congress that US legislation seeking to withhold UN dues could lead Japanese lawmakers to
take similar action, possibly resulting in loss of millions of dollars to world body...Japan pays 19.5% of annual UN budget of
about $2billion, second only to US, which pays about 22%".
Celia W.Dugger"Overfarming African Land Is Worsening Hunger Crisis"New York Times 31 Mar 06:-"Thedegradation of
farmland across sub-Saharan Africa has accelerated at an ominous rate over past decade, deepening hunger crisis that already
afflicts more than 240m Africans, according to a study released [30 Mar]. Three quarters of Africa's farmland severely depleted
of basic nutrients needed to grow crops, compared with 40% just a decade ago, study found. African farmers can afford only
fraction of fertilizers needed to replenish their increasingly barren fields. Traditionally, farmers cleared land, grew crops for
a few harvests, then let fields lie fallow for 10 or 15 years to rejuvenate as they moved on to clear more land... But as they try
to feed rapidly growing population, farmers instead grow crop after crop, sapping soil's fertility. 'Topsoil is blown away by wind
and washed away by rains' , said president International Fertilizer Development Center, nonprofit agricultural aid organization
which produced study. If this process continues unabated, crop yields in Africa will fall as much as 30% in next 15 years, even
as region's population continues to grow rapidly... Africa... likely to face more frequent famines and become ever more
dependent on food aid/imports. Farmers... increasingly clearing forests as well as savannas...Already, farmland in Africa yields
less than a third amount of grain of that in Asia and Latin America... 'Wemust feed our soils' , said Nigeria's president... Jun
meeting on Africa's fertilizer needs expected to drawleading experts... as well as donors. Foreign aid aimed at improving
agricultural productivity in Africadeclined sharply in 1990's and has begun to recover only in recent years. About two-thirds
of Africa's750m people depend on agriculture for income/employment. Fertilizer... far too expensive for Africa's small and often
impoverished farmers - costs two to six times world average. African farmers use less than 10% as much as Asian farmers
do. Lowering price no simple task... Roads make transportation difficult/costly... Green revolution to Africa would require:
functioning road network/credit for farmers/ extension agents to teach new methods/ better irrigation/ retailers to sell fertilizers/
improved seed varieties... Would also mean combating corruption". Wealthiest countries have pledged to increase aid to
Africa.
Celia W.Dugger"U.S. Focus on Abstinence Weakens AIDS Fight, Agency Finds"New York Times 05 Apr 06:-"Insistence by
Republican Congressional leaders that US money to fight the spread of AIDS globally be used to emphasize abstinence and
fidelity is undercutting comprehensive and widely accepted aid models,[US] Government Accountability Office said in a report
released [04 Apr 06]... It found that theprovision had limited the reach of broader strategies to fight AIDS that include the use
of condoms... 'It is hampering their ability to implement key elements of widely accepted model of HIV/AIDS prevention - the
ABC approach', said main author of the report. ABC stands for abstain, be faithful, or use condoms.Report based on interviews
with US officials carrying out US-financed AIDS programs in 15 countries".
Celia W.Dugger"Letter From Kenya: Where AIDS Galloped, Lessons in Applying the Reins"New York Times 18 May 06:-major
article describes/discusses US influence on Kenya policy, but summary mainly on current pandemic conditions. "Kenya rarity
in Africa: nation where experts say AIDS shows signs of easing. So... attracting policy makers/researchers looking for keys
to slowing relentless spread of AIDS on continent. Trends heartening. Medical experts estimate new HIV infections...
plummeted over last decade from peak of more than 200,000/year to fewer than 90,000. And changes in sexual habits
seemcontributing to decline. Men say having sex with fewer partners, and women report losing virginity later.Many teenagers,
once sexually active, say they are abstaining entirely. Such shifts... suggest abstinenceprograms... have some chance of
success...Kenyan health officials frankly acknowledge evidence lacking on effectiveness of programs that promote condoms
or abstinence. According to UN AIDS agency, Kenya, Uganda, Zimbabwe: the sub-Saharan with documented declines in HIV
prevalence. Researchers agreefall partly because AIDS deaths have reduced population of HIV-positive people. But also say
likely behaviour change has helped. In Uganda, increased use of condoms important. Health officials [in Kenya]say spread
of knowledge about how to prevent infection and rising tide of death been catalytic... Asdonors racheted up financing of
anti-AIDS programs, landscape for prevention changed. Since...2003,US dominant donor in Kenya: $208m this year to combat
AIDS... More than half that financing feverish drive for diagnosis of AIDS and treatment of infected... AIDS patients receiving
drug treatment rocketedto 70,000 from fewer than 10,000 in 2003. Paradoxically, explosive growth in testing/treatment may be
US' s most important contribution to preventing spread of disease. Once people know AIDS not a death sentence, more willing
to be tested, and once know their HIV status they can protect themselves/sexualpartners... Experts' judgement[:] more than
half new infections in Kenya are with couples in which onepartner HIV-positive. US also paying programs aimed at changing
behaviour. This year,.. $15.7m on programs that promote abstinence/faithfulness, and $7.8m to prevent sexual transmission
of HIV,including... condoms to high-risk groups. [D]ebate that rages in WashDC over AIDS/sex sometimesseems [here] more
reflection US culture wars than African realities... Under guidelines, US funds can be used to educate children 14/younger
about abstinence/faithfulness, with condom education added for15/older... Scholars say much work remains to figure out which
of so-called ABC programs - abstain, befaithful, use condoms - effective...But efforts to prevent spread of AIDS will not wait
for definitiveevidence. [If] sex can lead to death, many people on both sides of ideological divide agree abstinence for the
young should be embraced. Also clear many young people will have sex despite the dangers, and that abstinence programs
alone will not protect them".
Celia W.Dugger "Clinton Makes Up for Lost Time in Battling AIDS" New York Times 29 Aug 06:-full six-page article contains
substantial information on US aid/political history, particularly Bill Clinton's roles as past president and post-president donor
in regard to Rwanda, medicine patents, and AIDS-related funds. "Few public figures in US have spawned as much speculation
about what motivates them as Clinton.Abroad, even fewer inspire the affectionate reception Clinton received as he raced
across seven African countries in eight days in [Jul 06]... It was clear the efforts by his foundation had personal meaning. [O]n
this trip, Clinton...reveled in his role as a private citizen championing people with AIDS... Clinton wasadamant that he had done
all he could about global AIDS with a Congress hostile to foreign aid, thoughhe conceded that his administration fought too
long to protect the patent rights of pharmaceutical companies against countries trying to make or import cheaper AIDS
medicines... Clinton and his foundation have undertaken projects with two dozen developing countries, raising money to
postnurses in rural clinics,.. mustering experts to train hospital managers... and buying drugs for thousands of sick children,
among other things. His foundation also has negotiated steep cuts in the price of AIDS medicines through deals with drug
companies that cover more than 400,000 patients in dozens of countries, helping propel momentum for treatment of the
destitute. [A MSF doctor] credited Clinton and his foundation for showing independence from the politically powerful drug
industry and helping toaccelerate the decline in prices for generic AIDS medicines in developing countries...
Clintonfoundation's budget last year was $30m, raised from private donors. Clinton, who oversees its operations full time, has
plunged into many causes, from childhood obesity to tsunami relief to global warming, but he has made his most substantive
contribution on AIDS [and] Rwanda was one of the firstcountries he chose to work in... Like most international leaders and
US advocates for people with AIDSin 1990's, critics say, Clinton's efforts on global AIDS did not match the epic scale of the
human tragedy as it unfolded across Africa and millions died and were orphaned. In recent years, the fight against AIDShas
leapt onto the world stage, claimed by Clinton and his successor, George W.Bush... On his recenttour of Africa - his fifth since
2001 - Clinton showed a remarkable ability to establish a human connection with people he met... Bill and Melina Gates, the
billionaire philanthropists, watched Clinton[closely]. The two Bills, as they have been dubbed, have taken to doing high-profile
AIDS advocacyevents together, with Clinton bringing star power and Gates his deep pockets... The price of antiretroviral drugs
fell after Clinton left office, helping change the view that it was too costly anddifficult to treat people in poor countries... The
debate over whether Clinton missed a politicalopportunity to lead the charge on global AIDS years before Bush seized it is
far from over... After he leftoffice, Clinton considered his future with a keen eye on history... From the start, Clinton had a host
of issues on his agenda, but quickly found himself drawn into AIDS... Opportunities proliferated, and Clinton's enthusiasm
grew... Through cost cutting, spurred by breakthrough talks with companies that supplied ingredients to the drug makers, [his]
team got deals. Cipla, for example, halved the price of themost common AIDS triple-drug therapy, already declining due to
competition, to $140 a person per year... [President Thabo Mbeki of South Africa] soon invited Clinton's foundation to help
country writecomprehensive treatment plan. South Africa now has more than 130,000 people on antiretroviral drugs,still far
short of what critics say is needed. Since 2004, Clinton has campaigned to raise the profile of children with AIDS. [M]ore than
500,000 a year were dying. Clinton foundation has raised $4.4m to buy drugs for 13,000 children, train health workers, renovate
pediatric wings and pay for lab tests... Clintonambitions seem to grow daily, and foundation now branching out in Africa from
AIDS into poverty" .
The Economist 25 Jul 98 "A Challenge to Impunity" (Edit.21-2):-cautiously optimistic on decision in Rome to establish
International Criminal Court, despite US attempts to weaken and finally block it. Vote 120-7 in favour left US "humiliated and
glum"but, as with landmine treaty, it showed willingness of other states to move ahead without superpower to create rule of
law. Text outlines questions of contention and weakness but argues court is long overdue(planned to follow Nuremberg/Tokyo
trials); however, large body of international law covering genocide, war crimes, and crimes against humanity has developed
since. Court can show both independence and moral force.
The Economist 28 Nov 98: "A Deluge of Information" (86): - fortuitously, a detailed digital atlas of Honduraswas completed
just before Hurricane Mitch flooded the country. Compiled by the International Centre for Tropical Agriculture, it contains 90
layers of information: soil types, crop distribution, climate, population, topography and all infrastructure. Since the flood it
has been continuously updated and can play a key role in restoring the country's agricultural capacity. This type of technology
is likely to play an increasingly important role in disaster relief globally, and an international disaster information network is
proposed.
The Economist 02 Jan 99 "The 21st-Century Army: A New But Risky Sort of War" (28-9):-some of latest training/ weaponry
being tested by US Marine Corps. Training is designed for "low-intensity conflicts" i.e. peace-making/ peace-enforcement
operations where lower-rank leaders make major decisions. Planners anticipate "three-block wars" in which troops "would
simultaneously be distributing food and medicine to frantic civilians in one part of city, quelling rioters/maintaining order in
another; fighting guerrillas in third" - typical UN-type challenges(Haiti/Somalia/Bosnia).New weapons include "non-lethal
munitions" such as bean-bagprojectiles, pepper spray, blinding flashlights, adhesive foam, plus double-option guns able to
fire lethally or non-lethally. Hope US, allies, presumably UN can keep ahead.
The Economist 13 Feb 99 "Female Genital Mutilation: Is It Crime or Culture?" (45-6):-serious human rights, health, legal and
ethnic problem. Chart shows those countries with highest prevalence - from Djibouti/Somalia/Egypt with over 95% to Burkina
Faso 70% estimated; 137m women in at least 28 African countries have been mutilated. Attempts to stop it clearly causing less
controversy in UN than in countries involved; while number of African states officially criminalized practice to avoid losing
ODA, they do not dare enforce law. Apparently more effective to avoid cultural or moral judgment, and to concentrate onhealth
risks, which WHO sees as serious, and education.
The Economist 20 Feb 99 "Europe's Smuggled Masses" (45-6):-illegal "economic" migration has been UN concern for many
years. Increasing divergence between standards of living in "rich" and "poor" countries andwider awareness of this fact has
been expected to increase problem. Article describes what may be world's largest and potentially most vexing flow; estimates:
at least 400,000 now smuggled into EU each year. Several routes are used by professional smugglers: by sea from Morocco
to Spain, or from Albania or Tunisia to Italy; by land from Sarajevo via Slovenia to Italy or Austria, from Istanbul via Ukraine
and Poland, or via Rumania, Hungary, Slovakia, Czech Republic to Germany; alternatively from Greece into Macedonia and
on, or from Russia into Finland. "Many" smuggled are Albanians, Kurds, Afghans, Bangladeshis, Iraqis, Iranians. Organized
"trade" often ends in asylum demands.
The Economist 27 Feb 99 "Japan's Constitution: The Call to Arms" (23-5):-very controversial element of UN reform relates to
expanding membership of Security Council(UNSC). Single most eager/naturaladditional permanent member Japan,
second-largest economy in world/second biggest contributor to UN budget. But UNSC responsibility to maintain international
peace and security, so members expected to play major role in UN peacemaking. But Article 9 of Japan's Constitution
renounces "threat or use of force as means of settling international disputes." While Japan maintains modern Self-Defence
Force, many oppose it being used abroad, even in UN peacekeeping activities. Essay discusses current debate in Japan over
use of its armed forces.
The Economist 17 Apr 99 "Refugees: Exporting Misery" (23-7):-origins, political/military uses, ultimate destinies, of many past
refugee issues, designed to help determine Serb aims and NATO options in Kosovo. While global number/exploitation/impact
of refugees seem to have escalated recently, tragedy so chronic that historical lessons can be drawn. Nature of triggering
conflict(ideological/ethnic/economic)and how it ends are critical. Ethnic conflicts most difficult to end, while reconciliation aids
resettlement. Of four types of basic refugee assistance(safe havens in homeland; camps nearby; more distant resettlement;
permanent repatriation), experience and circumstances favour repatriation in spite of difficulty/high cost. Additional lessons:
separate refugees from combatants; give them some choice of location if movement necessary; or of timing if repatriation
possible.
The Economist 24 Apr 99 "Lawyer Sam's War" (30):-US State Department citing international law much more in its foreign
policy argumentation. Significant since US recently isolated in opposing International Criminal Court and Anti-Personnel
Landmine decisions, and has refused to recognize international lawsperceived threatening to US interests. Newly-created US
Ambassador for War Crimes, with considerable influence, claims war over Kosovo may be "watershed not only for NATO but
for international law." Argued in past for such "humanitarian interventions" , even if they infringe national sovereignty, but
they should be authorized by Security Council.
The Economist 24 Jul 99 "How Angola's War Protects Polio" (43):-sobering evidence of both human security's interdependence
and multiple afflictions of violence. Probably WHO's greatest achievement was global eradication of smallpox in 79. For 10
years UN bodies/governments been fighting to eradicate polio, which at peak killed or paralysed 500,000 people annually.
Effective vaccine now immunizes by few drops in baby's mouth. Hence by 98 reported cases reduced to 5,000, limited to
pockets mainly in Africa/South Asia, thus creating hope to eliminate polio by 00. But these last bastions hardest, mainly
because of civil wars, e.g. Sierra Leone/Congo/Sudan/Somalia. In Angola, UNITA has both blocked aid workers and driven so
many refugees into such huge camps these actually created major polio outbreak. "For polio virus, war is last safe haven" .
The Economist 14 Aug 99:" Balms for the Poor" (63-5):-amplification of the key point made in this issue in both an essay by
Jeffrey Sachs and an editorial(op.cit.). It is that the rate of (and death-rate from)infectious diseases in poor countries is
tragically high because they offer a tiny effective drug market, and no incentive for drug companies to do costly specialized
research on diseases now almost unknown(malaria) or presenting different problems(HIV) in rich countries. US and Europe
spend $220b a year on prescription drugs alone; hence WHO estimates that while $56b a year is spent on health research, less
than 10% is directed toward diseases that afflict 90% of the world's population. Between 1975 and 1997, 1,223 new compounds
were launched on the market (at $300m/10 years research each on average), of which only 11 were designed for tropical
diseases. The article describes a number of plans to redirect research and lower prices.
The Economist 21 Aug 99: Water Supply: "Pass the Salt" (Desalinization)(23); "Cloudbusting" (Rain-Making)(69-70); "An Ice
Idea" (Storage)(70): - all articles relate to scientific-technological developments withmajor implications for expected world-wide
fresh water shortages. The first describes a "reverse-osmosis" desalinization plant being built in conjunction with a power
station, "which will provide the cheapest drinking water ever extracted from the sea" : 25m gallons a day at a wholesale cost
of $2.08 per 1000 gallons for 30 years, i.e. competitive with other sources. The second article reports on a new method of
cloud-seeding. Now completing thorough (double-blind), encouraging tests, "hygroscopic-flare" seeding uses salts
asstrongly water-affinitive nuclei to form raindrops. The last foresees artificial ice mountains, created cheaplyby modified
"snow machines" at below-freezing, water-abundant times/places, and tapped/shipped as/where needed.
The Economist 16 Oct 99 "Let Death Be My Dominion: Suicide and Euthanasia" " (89-92):-wide-ranging, well-written essay on
great variety of moral, religious, medical, etc. issues raised by(assisted)suicide through history and many new problems raised
by rapidly evolving life-support capacity and moral standards. "These developments have sparked complex and emotive
debates about how to handle final stages of life...Idea that people have'right to die'is ...gaining support[in context of terminal
illness but, if so,]does not everyone...have right to choose timing and manner of their own death?" .Yet there is strong taboo
against suicide in most societies: it must reflect mental or emotional instability, despite its high global incidence. But increased
euthanasia will likely force debate on suicide. Is it still sinful, irresponsible, unnatural, selfish, cruel, destructive, irrational?
Each has counter-arguments.
The Economist 27 Nov 99:" Microfinance in Cyberspace" (79):- "lending small amounts of money, without collateral, to help
poor people to become entrepreneurs - is one of the trendiest areas of international development" . There are about 10,000
microfinance institutions (MFIs) globally, and the World Bank estimates $400-600m in donor funds are earmarked annually for
them. The most famous is the Grameen Bank in Bangladesh. The article reports that Jacques Attali (ex-EBRD) has founded
PlaNet Finance to promote microfinance by using the Internet to deliver online: information, training, systems support, rating
and capital. The most controversial element is a scheme to launch PlaNet Bank to raise money in the capital markets in order
to offer loans, guarantees and equity capital to MFIs. But funds are not scarce; most needed is institutional capacity. Here the
Internet might indeed help - together with more and better Third World links.
The Economist 11 Dec 99 "The Non-Governmental Order: Citizens' Groups" (20-1):-how and why "citizens' groups" (NGOs)
are increasingly powerful at corporate, national, international level, and whether representmove towards "international civil
society" or "dangerous shift of power to unelected and unaccountablespecial-interest groups" . Their growth was enabled by:
communism's fall; democracy's spread; technological change; economic integration. Reflects concern over: environment;
labour-human-consumer rights; poverty; jobs; etc. Rapid, mass news dispensing or joint action are promoted by:
democratisation; technology.Number: international NGOs: 26,000; national NGOs: US - 2m; India - 1m; East Europe - 0.1m.
Membershipin one NGO can exceed .5m. Roles: deliver services(NGOs dispense more aid than UN system); others
stressadvocacy. "Technical groups" specialize providing expert analysis/ information and assist planners, decision-makers,
negotiators, advocates at all levels. Governments can be helped, manipulated or blocked; some international
organizations/corporations can co-opt such NGOs(World Bank); others may fail(controversial IOs and MNCs).
The Economist 8 Jan 00:" Measuring Up for Aid" (44)and" Development Finance: Old Battle; New Strategy" (74-5):- the first
article deals with the global volume of development assistance in 1998. After years of decline, rich governments spent 9% more
on ODA than in 1997 with OECD members giving $51b ($63 per capita), and private aid reaching $100b. As a proportion of
national income this was an increase from 0.22 to 0.23%, against the agreed UN target of 0.7%. Meanwhile private capital
investment in LDCs also increased - by 700% between 1990 and 1997. But(1) with 25% of ODA tied to the donor country's
products, much of it paying expatriates' salaries, and all of it effectively conditional and/or channelled through the local
elite;(2)with NGOs specializing in crises rather than long-term development; and (3)with FDI naturally focused on the richer,
well-organized LDCs, how much of this transfer actually alleviates the grinding poverty of the 1.2b who live on less than $1
a day? The other article describes action taken by the World Bank/IMF to address this very problem. Henceforth Bank/Fund
policies must be "owned" by national governments. They must prepare(and so be committed to)Poverty Reduction Strategy
Papers" through a 'participatory'process of consultation with all groups of society, especially the poorest" . PRSPs will set
a few broad outcomes only like reducing infant mortality or improving school enrolment. Emphasis will be on the poorest
countries' top priorities. Bank/Fund policies already show changes such as more complementary cooperation, while
broadly-based home-grown pledges should encourage a stronger sense of responsibility in LDCs. Maybe even donors will
catch on.
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