|
|
| by Christopher
Spencer |
Former Senior
Advisor International Organizations, Canadian Department of
Foreign Affairs and International Trade |
| Updated: 13 SEP
08 | |
Morton Abramowitz & Thomas Pickering "Making Intervention Work: Improving the UN's Ability
to Act"(100-108) Foreign Affairs Vol.87/No.5(Sep/Oct 08):-official summary:"In the face of grave
humanitarian crises in countries such as Myanmar and Sudan, the international community has
failed to back up its rhetoric with deeds. To adequately address such situations, the United
Nations must streamline its decision-making, strengthen its peacekeeping capabilities, and
create a crisis-response force". Emphasized extracts:"International clamor must produce
results, not simply more clamor". "The UN needs a limited force to respond to humanitarian
disasters and prevent conflicts from spiraling out of control". Abramowitz is a Senior Fellow at
the Century Foundation and former US Ambassador to Thailand and Turkey. Pickering is Vice
Chair of Hills & Company and has served as US Ambassador to six countries and the UN.
Agence France-Presse"U.N. Chief Blames Rich Nations for Failure of Trade Talks"New York
Times 13 Feb 00:-UNSG Kofi Annan told Conference on Trade and Development(UNCTAD) in
Bangkok that breakdown of WTO meeting in Seattle was not result of violent NGO protests, but
was the fault of world's most powerful nations which "could not agree on their priorities" . While
the developing nations played more "active and united role" than ever before, industrial powers"
bickered among themselves" and showed "they did not have will to carry out reforms in[trade]
rules". Annan said barriers were excluding LDCs from benefits of global trade, and called for a
"Global New Deal" to "spread the advantages of freer flow of goods, jobs and capital among all
countries...open to investment". Seth Mydans"U.N. Trade Meeting Brings Rich and Poor No
Closer"NYT 20 Feb 00:-UNCTAD "ended with no real narrowing of differences" that split WTO
meeting, thus confirming UNSG's pessimism. There were only "general expressions of hope that
rich and poor nations might eventually agree on formula that would allow them to share benefits
of global trade." To this end, LDCs had again demanded fully opened markets for their products,
and objected to standards of environmental and worker protection that simply delayed their
development. Algeria claimed Africa is being crushed - indeed "rubbed out" - by new world trade
order. The Economist 13 May 00"The WTO: Merry-Go-Round" (75-6):-provides useful update on
WTO-related issues since WTO/UNCTAD meetings, andconfirms both Annan's complaints: US
and EU still "bickering", and LDCs still getting raw deal. For another, more optimistic/
forward-looking update on Transatlantic bickering:Economist 30 Sep 00"Trade: Boom...".
Shardul Agrawala and Steinar Andresen, "Indispensability and Indefensibility? The United States
in the Climate Treaty Negotiations" Global Governance Vol.5/No.4(Oct/Dec 99):-insightful essay
not only relevant to most critical environmental issue facing global community(Grubb 99 op.cit);
helps explain both sudden changes or galling intransigence in US positions on variety
multilateral questions(for UN: Lyons op.cit.).Recalls major US environment statements, policies
and positions, and shows them surprisingly erratic even under same president. Then identifies
powers and interests of many forces and often key individuals within US administrations,
Congress, industry, public opinion and dedicated pressure groupsthat influenced environmental
policy, and shows how their interplay affected or determined volatile orstubborn US position on
climate change at various times.
Masood Ahmed & Cheryl Gray Helping Countries Combat Corruption: The Role of the World
Bank(Washington: IBRD 97):-produced by World Bank's Poverty Reduction and Economic
Management Network(PREM). Bank's World Development Report 1997: The State in a Changing
World(op.cit.)also deals with global corruption issues in government context but mainly
descriptively, while PREM reportconcentrates on how Bank can help governments address
corruption as serious development constraint. Daniel Kaufmann(op.cit.)lists more articles and
books on this issue.
Salman Ahmed"No Size Fits All: Lessons in Making Peace and Rebuilding States"Foreign Affairs
Vol.84/ No.1(Jan/Feb 05):-Review Essay by Senior Political Officer, Office of UN USG for
Peacekeeping Operations who served in Cambodia, South Africa, Bosnia/Herzegovina,
Afghanistan and Iraq. Providesanalysis of the argumentation of three books: Roland Paris At
War's End: Building Peace After Civil Conflict(Cambridge: Cambridge Univ.Press 04); Kimberly
Zisk Marten Enforcing the Peace: Learning From the Imperial Past(New York: Columbia Univ.
Press 04); John Mueller The Remnants of War(Ithaca: Cornell Univ.Press 04). All three
draw"attention to important lessons that deserve serious consideration from policymakers and
practitioners...Still, these authors make too much of similarities among cases they study and not
enough of differences. And by using them to extrapolate bold models for state reconstruction,
authors belie inherent complexities of task...Specifics of...conflicts - their scale as well as their
historical geopolitical/socioeconomic roots - should inform how peace brokered/maintained. Yet
none...pays enough attention to such fundamental considerations."Essay is worth reading - as
a survey of all the issues faced by the UN when easing post-crisis problems.
AIDS: THIRD WORLD: COST-PATENT DILEMMA; GLOBAL ASSISTANCE
AIDS: THIRD WORLD: INFECTION RATES AND SOCIAL-ECONOMIC ISSUES
AIDS: THIRD WORLD: MEDICAL DEVELOPMENTS AND CHALLENGES
The HIV/AIDS pandemic is viewed increasingly as the most serious challenge facing global
society. Almost all material on this subject is found in the media and is included in RECENT
DEVELOPMENTS. To reach all media selections relating to AIDS, click on AIDS Third World.
Chadwick F.Alger edit. The Future of the United Nations System: Potential for the Twenty-First
Century(New York: United Nation Univ. Press 98):-implies, in Introduction and writers'
biographies, it concentrates on peace research. While most of dozen chapters bring that subject
in at end of their main text, this concern does not distort generally excellent historical
summaries of major areas of UN activity, nor objective identification of problems/reform
proposals. Writers expert so usually offer unbiased/accurate snapshots of where UN stands
now; how it got there; where it is probably going. Chapters essentially deal with:disarmament,
"tough" intervention, peacekeeping, work with NGOs; internal conflicts; human
rights;North-South economics; women's rights; refugees; environment; communications; peace
education. Except for last, all are summarized.
Graham AllisonNuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe(New York: Owl
Books/Henry Holk & Co 05):-extremely expert/influential report argues in INTRODUCTION
that:"Given the number of actors with serious intent, the accessibility of weapons or nuclear
materials from which elementary weapons could be constructed, and the almost limitless ways
in which terrorists could smuggle a weapon through US borders, [i]n my own considered
judgment, on the current path, a nuclear terrorist attack on US inthe decade ahead is more likely
than not"(15). First chapter concludes:"What all [major terrorist] groups have in common is a
hatred of the US or the West, along with sophisticated organizational structuresand access to
technical know-how. [U]ncomfortable fact is that being the world's only superpower isinevitably
going to breed resentment of one form or another - and it is impossible to mollify every single
group. Challenge to US is to prevent these organizations from acquiring the means to threaten
us with nuclear attack"(42).Then describes"unique destructive power of these terrible weapons",
how/where they could be obtained, and where/when/how attacks might take place(43-120). Then
describes policy changes to reduce chance of attack. List: priority to issue; standard for secure
nuclear weapons/material; globalalliance against nuclear terrorism; global clean-out of all
dangerous fissile material; stop new national production of fissile material; shut down of nuclear
black markets; block emergence of nuclear weaponsstates; full review of global nonproliferation
regime; revise nuclear weapons' postures/pronouncements;global prosecuting war on
terrorism(205). Emphasis is on US but essential involvement must be global.
Lawrence K.Altman "Study Finds Drop in H.I.V. Cases in South India"NYT 31 Mar 06:-"Prevalence
of new HIV infections has fallen significantly in southern India, region of that country where the
disease hasoccurred most often, scientists reported. Many health officials have predicted major
increases in HIV in India, which has world's second highest number of infected people, after
South Africa. But new infections among young aduts declined by more than a third from 2000
through 2004, according to astatistical study. [Article contains selected statistics from study and
varied information about sources.]Authors attributed favorable trend to an increasing use of
condoms by men and an insistence by prostitutes that their partners use them. That decline, in
turn, reduced transmission of HIV to spouses.Experts cautioned against drawing too firm a
conclusion from one study and added that the new findingsdid not mean India's HIV epidemic
was over. Still, the study has two key implications, researchers said.One is that strategies that
emphasize education about how HIV can be transmitted and the use of condoms offer the best
hope for reducing the spread of the virus in India. Second is that routine monitoring of HIV and
other sexually transmitted diseases are powerful and cost-effective ways to control AIDS in
India. But experts urged constant vigilance for signs of a reversal of the favorable
trend...Reductions were more modest in 14 northern states, where prevalence of HIV infections
is about one-fifth that in the four southern states".
Lawrence K.Altman"Chimp Virus Is Linked to H.I.V."New York Times 26 May 06:- "By studying
chimpanzee droppings in remote African jungles, scientists reported [25 May] they have found
direct evidence of amissing link between a chimpanzee virus and the one that causes human
AIDS. Scientists have long suspected that chimpanzees are the source of the human AIDS
pandemic because at least one subspecies carries a simian immune deficiency virus closely
related to HIV, the virus that causes AIDS... The genetic and immunologic tests were developed
in stages over the past seven years to help tracethe evolution of HIV and solve the mysterious
origins of AIDS. [S]tudy combined genetics and epidemiology... Team's findings show 'for the
first time a clear picture of the origin of HIV-1 and theseeds of the AIDS pandemic'. HIV-1 is the
virus that causes the vast majority of AIDS cases in the world... Studies estimate that the human
AIDS virus jumped species 50 to 75 years ago. But no one knowswho the first infected person
was or how that person acquired HIV. The earliest HIV infection wasdocumented in 1959 in an
unidentified man in Kinshasa[, Congo]. Team theorized that HIV was first transmitted locally
somewhere in west-central Africa. Because the subspecies of chimpanzees... livesin the wild in
Cameroon, Gabon and Congo Republic, the first infection could have been in any of those
areas... The communities with a high prevalence of infected chimpanees were located south of
theSangha River, which flows into the Congo river and on to Kinshasa. That led... to the theory
that someinfected person carried HIV from a remote area to Kinshasa, where it was then passed
on. It is not known whether chimpanzees infected with SIVcpz become ill... More collections
were needed in other vast areas of Africa to provide a clearer picture of the evolution of AIDS
and to determine if there wereother viruses that could cause epidemics like AIDS" .
Lawrence K.Altman "Report Shows AIDS Epidemic Slowdown in 2005"New York Times 30 May
06:- "Newsurveys suggest that global AIDS epidemic has begun to slow, with decline in new HIV
infections in about 10 countries, leader of UNAID program said. Outside of those countries,..
number of new AIDS infections continues to rise or hover at its current pace. Meanwhile, public
health efforts are reaching only a small proportion of people at risk, Dr.Peter Piot, executive
director of UNAIDS, said at news conference in UN NYC ...India has 5.7m infected people and
South Africa 5.5m, but India's population far greater. Showing no sign of decline, South Africa
has a prevalence rate of about 19% of 47m people.In India, rate is less than 1% of its population
of 1.1b. Progress against AIDS in some regions represents dividends from a surge in financing
since 2001, when UN pledged its commitment to stem epidemic by 2010. Declaration called for
countries to report regularly on their responses to AIDS. This week, UNGAwill receive the
progress that 126 countries have said they have made. Report(op.cit.), most comprehensive
survey ever compiled from country data, pointed to the 2001 UN meeting as a turning point for
AIDS financing. In 2005,.. world spent $8.3b on AIDS, compared with $1.6b in 2001. 'We areseeing
the impact', Piot said. He cited increased condom use, a rise in postponement of sexual
intercourse and a decrease in number of sex partners as factors in slowing of epidemic.
Summarizing report's findings, Piot said '2005 was least bad year in the history of the AIDS
epidemic'... Despite thepositive trends, Piot reported grim findings from China, Indonesia, Papua
New Guinea, Russia andVietnam(op.cit.), with signs of outbreaks in Bangladesh and Pakistan.
Ending the pandemic will depend largely on changing social norms like empowering women,
reducing stigma of the disease andencouraging a greater reduction in the number of sex
partners, report said. Most countries have strong foundations for building an effective response
against AIDS, report said, but systems to carry out plansremain inconsistent. Thoroughness of
the individual national reports varied, and many countries did not provide data for all
categories... Still, replies identified significant weaknesses, he said. Fewer than 50%of young
people achieved comprehensive knowledge levels about HIV, far fewer than the 90% goal.
Only9% of gay men and fewer than 20% of intravenous drug users received any kind of HIV
prevention help in 2005. Services to prevent HIV infections in infants have not scaled up as
rapidly as programs to provide antiretroviral therapy. Just 9% of pregnant women were covered...
Report shows that epicenterof the epidemic remains in sub-Saharan Africa. There epidemic has
reached peak, but incidence remains unacceptably high, Piot said. Across most of Africa, HIV
prevalence among pregnant women attendingclinics has remained roughly level for several
years. UN disputed contentions by some observers thatthe leveling off showed a turning point
in the AIDS epidemic in Africa... Piot said, 'actual number of people infected continues to rise
because of population growth'" Reuters "25 Years On, Anti-AIDS Drive Still Falling Short" NYT
30 May 06:- "Twenty-five years after AIDS first recognized, world still falling shortin its battle
against the disease with severe gaps in prevention and treatment, UN said [30 May].'Response
to AIDS epidemic to date has been nowhere near adequate', said UNAIDS... Since...1981,AIDS
and HIV virus that causes it have spread relentlessly from a few widely scattered hot spots to
virtually every country in the world, infecting 65m and killing 25m, UNAIDS said in 630p report...
Anti-AIDS initiatives and their results vary widely from country to country, and many are falling
short of benchmarks set in a landmark high-level UNGA session in 2001, UNAIDS said... Dr. Peter
Piot of UNAIDS... expected long-term commitments at this week's meeting...and hoped for $20m
annually by 2010... Global AIDS incidence rate is believed to have peaked in 1990s. About 1.3m
in developing world now on life-extending antiretroviral medicines, which saved about 300,000
lives last year alone. Still, some 4.1m were newly infected and 2.8m died in 2005... Global supply
of condoms was less than 50% of what was needed, and antiretroviral drugs, while more widely
available, remained costly and hard to get. Ignored in many countries are prostitutes, said...
ex-dir of UN Population Fund... However, final statement by governments at conference this
week not expected to refer to prostitutes, drug users orhomosexuals, due to objections from
Islamic nations, some Catholic countries and US, which fear thatmerely mentioning these groups
would endorse their behaviour. Infected individuals still suffer fromostracism and discrimination,
while vast majority of world's 40m infected have never been tested for HIVand are unaware of
their status, report said. While $8.9b expected available in 2006, $14.9b will be needed, UNAIDS
said. By 2008, it predicted $22.1b would be needed, including $11.4b for prevention plans alone.
Report called for more and better-targeted education and prevention strategies, more treatment
opportunities, and more drug research, particularly on drugs for children, whose needs 'have
been largely left out of the research agenda'" ; Lawrence K.Altman "U.N. Urges Tripling of Funds
by '08 to Halt AIDS" NYT 01 Jun 06:- "Stopping epidemic of AIDS will require $22b/year by 2008
and possibly more in following years, officials of UNAIDS program said. The $22b is nearly triple
the $8.3b spent 05 by all sources, including governments and private sector. Urging that
countries spend more, UNSG Kofi Annan said a costlier and more sustained effort needed
because AIDS 'has spread further, faster and with more catastrophic long-term effects than any
other disease'... Of projected figure, half is needed for prevention and a quarter for treatment and
care of infected people. Remainder is for care of orphans,children at risk of becoming infected
and program costs. UNSG and Piot of UNAIDS spoke as UNGAbegan meeting aimed at renewing
political commitment and setting new goals for expenditures and formeasuring progress...
Annan urged delegates to challenge countries trying to avoid goals that mention gay people,
prostitutes, intravenous-drug users and others at high risk of becoming infected.'Governments
concerned need to be realistic and responsible', UNSG said. He also said that 'if we are here to
try to end the epidemic, we will not succeed by putting our head in the sand and pretending
thatthese people do not exist or they do not need help'... Report cards showed that most
countries missed more goals than they met. More than 20m have become infected since 2001
meeting. Now countriesmust fundamentally change the way they think and deal with epidemic,
moving from crisis managementto 'sustained attention and the kind of "anything it takes"
resolve that member states apply to preventing global financial meltdowns or wars' , Piot said...
Global Business Coalition on HIV/AIDS released a study showing that private companies have
become more likely to provide treatment for employees as cost of antiretroviral drugs has fallen
over last six years, to $140-$300/year, from $10,000. In African countries with a high prevalence,
more than 70% of companies surveyed are fully subsidizing access to HIV treatment, coalition
said. Study...found increasing trend to expand such treatment to employees' dependents.
Companies also offering access to voluntary testing/counseling"; Lawrence K.Altman &
Elisabeth Rosenthal "U.N. Strengthens Call for a Global Battle Against AIDS" NYT 02 Jun 06:-
"[UNGA]adopted strongly worded declaration [02 Jun] aimed at pressing nations of the world
to strengthen theirbattle against AIDS, global pandemic [UNSG] called 'greatest challenge of our
generation'. Language of document surprised even anti-AIDS groups, which said that while it
did not satisfy all their objectives, they had feared it would be watered down... Nonbinding
declaration reaffirms commitments made in 01,when UN defined AIDS as far more than a medical
issue, framing it in terms of political/human rights/ economic survival... New document is
political blueprint, not plan of action. Calls for strong commitment to bolster the rights of
women/girls so they can protect themselves from infection with HIV... Declarationcalls on
countries to: use scientifically documented prevention strategies, including condoms;make
clean needles accessible to drug users; take steps to provide universal access to prevention
programs/ care/antiretroviral drugs. Includes politically charged terms like 'condoms'
/'vulnerable groups' , thoughthose groups not specified... Countries expected to measure their
progress over next 5 years against targets to be determined by UN... Said world will need to
spend up to $23b/year by 2010... Earlier in day,UNSG Annan delivered a gloomy assessment,
saying world was losing the battle. 'The epidemic continues to outpace us' , he told packed
UNGA. 'There are more new infections than ever before; more deaths than ever before; more
women/girls infected than ever before'... [US' s] Mrs.Bush speech steered away from many of
the criticisms that have been labled against administration, notably that it promotes sexual
abstinence over scientifically proven strategies, particularly condom use. Indeed, she said,
'ABC'model - initials stand for abstain, be faithful and use condoms - had brought sharp declines
in infections in Africa. Britain's international development [minister] said in interview: abstinence
alone did not work...Dr. Peter Piot [UNAIDS] said: while no document could make anyone '100%
happy', final version was 'a major advance'and far stronger than weaker drafts circulating earlier
in week".
Kofi A. Annan, "Preventing War and Disaster: A Growing Global Challenge" , Annual Report on
the Work of the Organization 1999, by the Secretary-General of the United Nations(New York:
DPI/2058; Sales No: E.99.1.29-Sep 1999):-after a convincing plea for more cost-saving global
efforts to foresee, prevent, or reduce human and natural crises, Annan summarizes all major UN
activities over year to Sep 99, and selected plans and problems(in 130pp). Chapters address:
peace and security; development; humanitarian issues; globalization; legal order; human rights;
administration. Overall impression: hard-won progress implementing UN
obligations/reforms/savings are frustrated by Members' selfishness/lack of political will/financial
irresponsibility. UN RELATIONS WITH REGIONAL ORGANIZATIONS AND OTHER PARTS OF THE
UN SYSTEM are clearly of major concern to Annan. He is seriously worried about the precedents
being set by NATO in Bosnia and Kosovo: "enforcement actions without Security Council
authorization threaten the very core of the international security system founded on the
Charter...Only the Charter provides a universally accepted legal basis for the use of force" (20).
In general, however, UN cooperation with regional organizations is expanding in security affairs;
Annan sees a unique coordinating role for the UN in complex humanitarian emergencies(37). The
Report is also full of examples of cooperation among the UN System's agencies, and between
them and outside bodies(82). This is a clear priority for the very experienced S-G, but there are
few signs of breakthroughs.
Kofi A. Annan, "Common Destiny, New Resolve" , Annual Report on the Work of the Organization
2000, by the Secretary-General of the United Nations(New York: DPI/2153;Sales No.E.00.1.22-Sep
99):-UNSG begins by noting report to Millennium Summit, "We the Peoples: The Role of the
United Nations in the 21st Century" (op.cit.), includes his assessment of humanity's progress
and challenges at turn of millennium,and suggests ways in which international community can
work together to" better lives of people still left behind". Introduction, summarizing 130-page
report on major UN activities over year to Sep 00, highlights: (1)Demands on UN humanitarian
agencies far exceeded worst-case predictions; (2)Living standards in sub-Saharan Africa still
declining; (3)AIDS pandemic spreads with frightening rapidity; needs stronger commitment to
action; (4)Three new peace missions were created, straining UNHQ resources.
(5)Reviewsanalysed UN failures in Srebrenica and Rwanda; offered recommendations. (6)
controversial economicbenefits of globalization must be more inclusive/equitably shared.
(7)Must be cooperative management ofglobal economic affairs through more effective
governance. (8)Informal global policy networks involving governments, international institutions,
civil society and private sector have great potential. Chapters: Peace/Security; Humanitarian
Commitments; Development; International Legal Order/Human Rights; UNManagement.
Kofi A. Annan, Report of the [UN] Secretary-General to the Preparatory Committee for the
High-level International Intergovernmental Event on Financing for Development:-this
collaborative effort(officially UNGA Document A/AC.257/12)runs to 64 pages, makes 87
recommendations, and was commissioned bythe Millennium Summit to help focus discussion
at a Mar 2002 global meeting on development financing(still an" event" since it awaits an official
title). Involved directly in the report's preparation were: many parts of the UN proper(particularly
DESA, UNCTAD and UNDP); UN Agencies; the Bank, Fund and WTO; theregional development
banks; OECD; the Financial Stability Forum; many governments/otherstakeholders(arranged by
the UN regional commissions); the business community; and civil society organizations. Hence
it reflects extremely varied, expert and authoritative views - significant, since some proposals
are quite radical, even if presented solely on the responsibility of the UN Secretariat. The report
consists of an Introduction and six chapters, the latter perhaps being the agenda items of the
"event" : I. Mobilizing domestic financial resources for development; II. Mobilizing international
resources for development: foreign direct investment and other private flows; III. Trade; IV.
Increasing international financial cooperation for development through, inter alia, official
development assistance; V. Debt; VI. Addressing systemic issues: enhancing coherence and
consistency of the international monetary, financial and trading systems in support of
development. For highlights, see UN Press Release DEV/2275at: http://www.un.org/News/Press
/docs/2001/ dev2275.htm. The complete text(which explains all acronyms!)can also be
downloaded from the Web: http://www.un.org/esa/ffd/aac257-12E.htm
orhttp://www.un.org/esa/ffd/aac257-12E.pdf. For three articles about the Report(highlighting the
dirty bits)see: Christopher S. Wren, "U.N. Report Proposes Steps to Fight Global Poverty" in New
York Times 30 Jan 01;Reuters, "Annan Offers Poor Nations 87 Ways to Lure Funds" NYT 30 Jan;
Wren, "The U.N. Offers 87 Remedies to Help Poor Nations Develop" NYT 04 Feb. The UNSG's
opening speech at the subsequentPrepcom meeting is reported in: Reuters "Annan: Poor
Nations Must Set Development Priorities" NYT 12 Feb. It describes his theme as: LDCs "should
play a greater role in setting policy and priorities in thefinancing of global development" and
cease to be "decided in clubs where only rich countries have real influence" . This issue is of
course a perennial one at the UN, where the contribution-weighted voting in Bretton Woods
bodies is seen as "grossly unfair" and "neo-colonialist" by aid recipients, whose very survival
may be at stake, but "absolutely essential" by the investment-oriented donors, who feel"
shareholders" have natural rights to determine where and how their own money is spent. Annan
aims to increase the relative role of" one-country-one-vote" UN fora(UNGA; ECOSOC)in making
broad global development policies and priorities. He also is very concerned to make foreign
investment in LDCs larger and less volatile as ODA continues its decline. Advising him is a
high-level panel(Zedillo, Rubin, Delors...).
Kofi A. Annan "Courage To Fulfil Our Responsibilities" The Economist 04 Dec 04(23-5):-UNSG
offers global action-urging essay built on his immediate reaction to report of the High-Level
Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change. Following his urgent introduction is a brief summary
of Annan's alreadyconcentrated and rearranged version of the panel report's many
concerns/proposals. Its value is less to summarize the panel's views than to identify subjects
they and/or he discuss. "We face a world of extraordinary challenges - and of extraordinary
interconnectedness. We are all vulnerable to new security threats, and to old threats that are
evolving in complex and unpredictable ways. Either we allow this array of threats, and our
responses to them, to divide us, or we come together to take effective action to meet all of them
on basis of a shared commitment to collective security. I asked the 16 members of [panel]-
eminent people representing many nations and points of view - to analyse the threats to
peaceand security our world faces; to evaluate how well our existing policies and institutions
are meeting them; and to recommend changes to those policies and institutions, so as to ensure
an effective collective response to those threats. Their report...makes 101 far-sighted but
realistic recommendations. If acted on, they would address the security concerns of all states,
ensure that UN works better, strengtheninternational rule of law and make all people safer" .
First: threats. Event/process leading to deaths on large scale/lessening life chances or
undermines states, should be viewed as threat to innatl peace/security.Clusters:
economic/social, including poverty/disease; inter-state conflict/rivalry; internal violence: civil
war/state collapse/genocide; nuclear/radiological/chemical/ biological weapons; terrorism; innatl
crime.Threats interconnected to unprecedented degree; no state alone can defeat. Highly
enriched uranium at size of 6 milk cartons could level medium-sized city as nuclear device. Such
attack in US/Europe isstaggering cost for world economy. Security of developed states only as
strong as ability of poor statesto respond to/contain new deadly infectious disease. Incubation
period for most is longer than most air flights, so any one of 700m who travel airlines in year
could unwittingly carry lethal virus to unsuspecting state. Today, virus similar to 1918 influenza
could kill tens of millions in fraction of a year. In today's worldany threat to one is truly threat to
all; applies to all categories of threats. Since real limits on self-protection,all states need
collective-security system, committing all to act cooperatively against dangers. Given gravity/
interconnectedness of threats, world needs more active prevention. Prevention can be highly
effective(Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty);WHO helped halt SARS. Best prevention agents:
capable states, acting/cooperating with others. Best preventive strategy: is development
support. Millennium Development Goals to halve poverty/hunger by 2015 states' best security
investment. It will save lives/reduce violentconflict and radicalism/bolster state ability against
threats before real harm. HIV/AIDS shows danger ofinadequate prevention. Slow/ineffective
global response allowed 20m killed/20 years; spread continues andworst to come. Ultimate cost
will include shattered societies. Still not taking all needed steps to bring under control. Also
need public-health facilities built in poor world. Not only poorer states benefit
diseasetreatment/local prevention; whole world has better defence against
bio-terrorism/large-scale naturalepidemics. UNSC should work with WHO to strengthen
biological security via prompt, effective responses. Equal: greater environmental collective
action, including beyond Kyoto protocol to better resources management in states at risk.
Prevention also vital to protect against terrorism. New is range/scale/ intensity of threat(al-Qaeda
can kill around world/has struck in 10+ UN members).Could acquire instruments of massive
destruction: unprecedented danger. UN must better use assets in fight against
terrorists:articulate a strategy respectful of laws/human rights. Definition of terrorism offered:
any action intended to kill/seriously harm civilians/ non-combatants, with purpose of intimidating
population/compelling actionby government/innatl organization. States should use to build
consensus and strengthen UN response to deadly scourge. Also urgent recommendations on
non-proliferation/disarmament/curbing supply of materials to reduce risk of
nuclear/chemical/biological attacks by states/terrorist groups. States encouraged to end
development of domestic uranium enrichment and urged to voluntary time-limitedmoratorium
on reprocessing plant construction. IAEA ability to monitor compliance with Non-Proliferation
Treaty strengthened by standards in protocol for safeguards inspections. Since Cold War, UN
far moreengaged in preventing/ending civil wars; ended more through negotiation since 90 than
in previous 200 years; developed expertise/learned hard lessons. As demand for UN blue
helmets grows, need to boost peacekeeper supply/avoid 90s worst failures. Rich states should
hasten efforts transforming existing forces for UN peace operations. UN must invest in
mediation/support peace agreement implementation.Demobilize combatants/reintegrate into civil
life; otherwise civil wars not successfully ended/other goals(democracy/ justice/ development)
remain unmet. Often innatl community lost focus if crisis high point past/peacekeepers left.
Propose UNSC create Peacekeeping Commission; to give strategic focus for workin states under
stress/emerging from conflict. If prevention/peaceful resolution fails, UN must be able to rely on
force. Whatever reason: all states/UNSC should bear in mind basic guidelines/ questions:
(1)Seriousness of threat: does it justify force?(2)Proper purpose: does proposed force halt/avert
threat?(3) Last resort: all non-military options explored/exhausted? (4) Proportional means: force
proposed minimum necessary?(5)Balance of consequences: clear action not worse than
inaction? No need to amend Art.51 of UN Charter: any state's right of self-defence against armed
attack/pre-emptive actionagainst imminent threat. However if states fear threats, neither
imminent nor proximate, but which could culminate in horrific violence if left to fester, UNSC
already powered to act/must be prepared to take actionearlier than past, when asked/reliable
evidence. Protection of civilians inside states long fraught with controversy. Yet recognized
more widely that question better framed, not as intervene-right but protection-responsibility -
borne first/foremost by states. Panel agreed principle of non-intervention in internal affairs
cannot protect committing genocide/large-scale ethnic cleansing/other comparable atrocities.
I hope UN members agree/UNSC will act. UN(now nearly 60)born in very different time/world, so
has under-appreciated record of adapting to new dangers, e.g. peacekeeping in world's civil
wars/response to attack of Sep 01. Clearly needs far-reaching reform to prevent/respond to all
current threats. Some propose via-UN collective response too difficult/not necessary. But all
anti-threat actions impact beyond immediate context/all states benefit from shared global
framework. Not mean UN needs to do everything. It must learn of share burdens/welcome help
from others/work with them. Already does so; report recommendsstrengthened UN partnerships
with regional organs/individual states. Great attention: UNSC reform.Objectives: make UNSC
more effective/authoritative. Permanent membership devised(1945)to ensure active engagement
of big powers to maintain peace/security. New permanent members matter of controversy/
debate. Two suggestions, both expanding membership to 24; aim at: add those who contribute
most to UN financially/militarily/ diplomatically; ensure UNSC represents UN as whole; not
expand veto, which would render decisions more difficult. Proposals offer chance breakthrough
in year ahead. If acted on, UNSC more representative/better equipped for decisive action. Need
strengthened UN secretariat that can support Peacebuilding Commission; implement UNSC/
committee decisions better on peacekeeping/mediating civil wars. Report envisages more
concerted-action secretariat, with UNSGmore responsible for management/accountability.
Equally important: ECOSOC overhaul to strengthen role in social development/improving
knowledge on economic-social dimensions of security threats. Also, recommends Human Rights
Commission better defender of rights of all. After 60 years, once again findworld mired in
disillusionment and all too imperfect. Easy to stand at sidelines and criticise/talk endlessly about
UN reform, but world no longer has that luxury. Time to adapt collective security system so it
works efficiently/effectively/ equitably. Next year UN states reviewing progress on Millennium
Declaration; world leaders' summit in Sep. Appropriate moment to act on some of most
important recommendations in report.I will indicate which call for decisions at that level.
Fervently hope world leaders will rise to challenge. Have all lived through period of deep division
and sombre reflection. Must make 05 year of bold decision; all share responsibility for each
other's security. Let's summon courage to fulfil responsibility." Complete text of "A More Secure
World: Our Shared Responsibility" Report of the High-level Panel on Threats, Challenges and
Change, plus initial comments by requester/addressee, UNSG Kofi Annan, can be read and even
copied(99pp Acrobat Reader)from Secretary General's part of UN file (www.un.org). Executive
Summary(8pp Acrobat)also available at same address. Capturing the 21st Century Security:
Prospects for Collective Responses(Oct 04)collects reports from six Stanley Foundation
conferences in 04 that dealt with UNSG panel. Report at http://reports.stanleyfoundation.org.
Council on Foreign Relations "Q&A: Reforming the United Nations" 01 Dec 04:-originally
available either by NYT>CFR>International>[title] or via CFR directly. This is expert interview with
Lee Feinstein who" has spearheaded Council work on the United Nations" and studied the
important UN report and its UNGA prospects.
"Anonymous"Imperial Hubris: Why the West Is Losing the War on Terror(DullesVA: Brassey's
04):-author is a senior US intelligence official with nearly 20 years experience in national security
issues related to Afghanistan and South Asia. This strong critique of arrogant US/allies' policies
towards Osama bin Laden/al Qaeda, and military action against Afghanistan/Iraq, proved quickly
influential in many respects, and advocates less US loyalty to Israel/corrupt Muslim regimes or
presence in Mideast. Motivation of Muslim terrorists is identified not as hatred/fear of Western
national systems but of their broadly negative actions against Islamic peoples. All complex
chapter titles: (1)Some Thoughts on the Power of Focused, Principled Hatred. (2) An Unprepared
and Ignorant Lunge to Defeat - The US in Afghanistan. (3) Not Down, Not Out: Al Qaeda's
Resiliency, Expansion, and Momentum. (4) The World's View of bin Laden: A Muslim Leader and
Hero Coming into Focus? (5) Bin Laden Views the World: Some Old, Some New, and a Twist. (6)
Blinding Hubris Abounding: Inflicting Defeat on Ourselves - Non-War, Leaks, and Missionary
Democracy. (7) When the Enemy Sets the Stage: How US's Stubborn Obtuseness Aids Its Foes.
(8) The Way Ahead: A Few Suggestions for Debate. Epilogue: No Basis for Optimism.
Clair Apodaca, Michael Stohl, George Lopez, "Moving Norms to Political Reality:
Institutionalizing Human Rights Standards through the United Nations System" (185-220)in The
Future of the United Nations System: Potential for the Twenty-First Century(New York: UN Univ.
98):-extremely useful study of UN human rights structures, treaties and activities, employing a
new sense that state legitimacy derives from internal order and regard for standards. Four main
UN purposes include promotion of human rights, set down in Universal Declaration(48)and
amplified in two International Covenants(76).All three now binding on all states. Many more
specific UN System treaties, with recent emphasis on Humanitarian Law.Growing human rights
roles of NGOs, High Commissioner and complex UN structures are explained.Reform proposals
involve structure, NGO protection and regional action.
Reza Aslan No god but God: The Origins, Evolution, and Future of Islam(New York: Random
House 05):-The widely-read author defines his aim in the Prologue: "This book is not just critical
reexamination of the origins and evolution of Islam, nor is it merely an account of the current
struggle among Muslims to define the future of this magnificent yet misunderstood faith. This
book is, above all else, an argument for reform"(xx). William Grimes, in his New York Times 04
May 05 review, quotes the book:"What is taking place now in the Muslim world is an internal
conflict between Muslims, not an external battle between Islam and the West"(248). Grimes
himself argues: "[Islam's] history, grippingly narrated and thoughtfully examined, takes up nearly
all of 'No god but God'. Aslan... has written a literate, accessible introduction to Islam.,. carefully
placing its message/rituals in historical context. Complete with glossary/annotated bibliography,
it could easily serve as a college textbook". The 310-page book includes 21st century arguments:
"[T]he attacks of 11 Sep 01 were not a defensive strike against a specific act of aggression
against Islam. They were never sanctioned by a qualified mujtahid. They made no differentiation
between combatant/noncombatant.,. indiscriminately killed women, children, and approximately
200 Muslims. In other words, they fell far short of the regulations imposed by Muhammad for a
legitimate jihadi response, which is why, despite common perception in the West, they were so
roundly condemned by the vast majority of the world's Muslims"(87). "Tragic events of 11 Sep...
initiated a vibrant discourse among Muslims about meaning/message of Islam in 21st century...
It may be too early to know who will write the next chapter of Islam's story, but it is not too early
to recognize who will ultimately win the war between reform/counterreform... But the cleansing
inevitable, and tide of reform cannot be stopped. Islamic Reformation is already here"(266).
Associated Press"Researchers Produce a Healthier Rice"New York Times 14 Jan 00:-reports
"scientists have genetically engineered a type of rice that could end vitamin A deficiency in the
developing world" . About 14m children worldwide are deficient; so besides reducing
widespread blindness, raising vitamin A levels could prevent 1-2m deaths a year. Swiss
researchers successfully spliced three genes into rice to make it rich in beta carotene, a source
of vitamin A. While tests are ensuring the original nutritional valueis maintained, the famous
International Rice Research Institute(IRRI) is working to breed the trait into popular rice varieties.
New developments reported in David Barboza, "AstraZeneca to Sell a Genetically Engineered
Strain of Rice" NYT 16 May(Note to Anthony DePalma," Super Seeds Sweeping Major Markets..."
).
Associated Press "U.S. Troops in Asia Undergo Transformation"New York Times 16 Nov
05:-"North Korea's military power hasn't suddenly changed. It claims to have nukes and its
million-man army is ready to roll. China, meanwhile, is engaging as the new Asian military leader,
and terrorism is flaring upall over the region. But at US' s major Asian outposts, some serious
downsizing under way... US position isn't weakening, say officials and analysts; cutbacks will
be counterbalanced by improved equipment, organization and cooperation... In its biggest
reorganization in two decades, US will shed 12,500 of its32,500-strong force in Korea over next
3 years, reduce its number of bases by about 75% and hand overmajor elements of troops'
mission to their Korean counterparts, who will 'play larger and larger role', US Defense Secretary
said on recent Asia tour. Similar restructuring afoot in Japan, where nearly 50,000US troops are
stationed. US and Japan just agreed to most sweeping changes in deployments there..., plan
that... includes withdrawal of about 7,000 of 18,000 Marines on crowded island of Okinawa...
Ananalyst...says aim is to streamline, but not undermine, the alliance... Changes in Korea in line
with shifts now taking place within entire Army, moving toward combat teams 'smaller but fully
capable and fully lethal packages that can be deployed faster', said [chief of force development
and plans for 8th US Army in Korea]... By end of 2005, 8th Army will have shed 8,000 troops.
Another 3,500 will leave by 2008, along with 1,000 Air Force... Facing increased demands on its
own troops in Iraq/elsewhere, Washington pushing Seoul and Tokyo to assume bigger role in
regional security and in their own defense - and both appear willing... Under new accord... Japan
will defend itself, deal with such threats as ballistic missilesand commando attacks and invasion
of its own islands. US will deploy latest missile defense radar".
Associated Press"AIDS Said Orphaned 1.5M Asia - Pacific Kids"New York Times 22 Mar
06:-"AIDS hasorphaned an estimated 1.5m children in Asia-Pacific region, but they are often
overlooked in the mix of other issues surrounding a disease that has historically focused on
adults, officials told a regional conference... About 121,000 children in the region have been
infected by the disease, according to UNAIDS figures from 2004. Another 35,000 also need
anti-retroviral drug treatment to survive. Three-day meeting has drawn some 250 delegates from
UN agencies, governments and NGOs to Hanoi to discusswhat can be done to limit spread of
the disease among youth and how to help children already infected or orphaned by it... UNICEF
regional director... said there needs to be increased prevention efforts targeting youth, more
focus on prevention of mother to child transmission, provision of drugs to children suffering
from the disease, and creation of support groups for kids infected with the virus or orphaned by
it... A Save the Children survey... found that many children cannot go to school becausesomeone
in their family is sick with the disease, they are commonly ridiculed and ostracized by society
and are sometimes forced to work as slaves or sex workers after becoming orphans"; AP"Group
Warns of More Child AIDS Deaths"NYT 24 Mar 06:-"Number of children orphaned by AIDS in East
Asia-Pacificregion could grow from 450,000 to 1.7m in less than a decade if resources aren't
increased for prevention and treatment, UNICEF official said... Also said number of child deaths
could reach nearly 20,000 a year during that time if more isn't done... It would take up to $5.5b
annually until 2015 to lessen effects of HIV/AIDS on children in the region, in increasing to an
estimated $6b a year after that, he said... [UNICEF epidemiologist also said] there are an
estimated 450,000 children in the region who have lost one or both parents to the disease, and
that could grow to 1.7m by 2015 without more funding... A documentreleased at end of
conference called for reducing the stigma and discrimination associated with HIV,boosting steps
to prevent mother-to-child transmission, and enhansing care and protection for children. Other
provisions included more pediatric HIV testing and greater access to anti-retroviral drugs for
children.HIV/AIDS epidemic is growing faster in East Asia than anywhere else in the world. In
many countriesepidemic still largely concentrated in high-risk groups; AP"Bid to Give AIDS
Drugs to Poor Nations Lag"NYT 28 Mar 06:-"UN's attempt to put 3m HIV-infected people around
the world on antiretroviral drugsby last year fell far short of its goal, but it saved hundreds of
thousands of lives nonetheless, [WHO] said. So-called '3 by 5 program'- 3m people on
antiretroviral drugs by end of 05 - was launched in Dec 03. However, a progress report issued
by WHO said only 1.3m people in poorer countries were being treated at end of 05... Program
helped lay groundwork for more ambitious goal of achieving nearly universal access to medicine
by 2010, set by leaders of G8 nations in 05... Some 3m people die of AIDS each year, [Global
AIDS Alliance exec.dir.] said, and WHO believes program averted between 250,-350,000 deaths
in 05... WHO report said world spent $8.3b on AIDS 05, up from $4.7b in 03... Treatment in
southern Africa, a focus of program, has risen sharply... Other regions also of concern, such as
India where large number of people infected and treatment access still very low. A general goal
is to expand testing because mostpeople who are HIV-positive don't know it. Testing for children
in particular needs to be more widespread so that infected youngsters can be identified quickly
and started on treatment, WHO AIDS director said.Health workers have to act quickly because
about half of AIDS-infected children die before age of 2".
Associated Press"EU Agency: Gypsies Suffer Discrimination"New York Times 07 Apr
06:-"Gypsies [henceforth Roma] remain among Europe's most discriminated-against people,
European Union's racism watchdog agency said [07 Apr]... Roma routinely denied jobs/
housing/education/health care, saidVienna-based EU Monitoring Center on Racism and
Xenophobia. Center's director... said Roma living in many of EU's 25 member states suffer
'systematic discrimination', and called for more intensive effort/greater political will to eliminate
the bias and help lift Roma communities out of poverty. Estimated 6.2m Roma live in Europe -
4.6m in central/eastern Europe - according to estimates by UN-affiliatedInternational
Organization for Migration. Last year... EU monitoring center said unemployment ran as high as
90% among Roma in some new EU members such as Czech Republic, Hungary and Slovakia,
and that worst discrimination happened when Roma tried to rent/buy property. ['T]erritorial
segregationis particularly acute', report said. Roma also tended to receive substandard medical
care... A globalconference of Prague-based International Romani Union - coalition of
organizations working to easethe plight of Roma - designated 08 Apr as International Day of
Roma in 1990"
Associated Press"AIDS Conference Ends With Appeals"New York Times 26 Apr
06:-"International AIDS conference [in Cape Town, of 1,000 scientists/researchers,] ended [26
Apr] with impassioned appeals to political/pharmaceutical industry leaders to fund development
of a virus-killing [vaginal] gel to protect women from the disease and so save millions of lives.
Peter Piot, head of UNAIDS,.. said safe/effective microbicides could be ready in 5-7 years, with
only minimal additional funding, and thus turn the dream of saving millions of lives into reality...
In the hard hit African countries, women account for nearly 60% of infections. Most are infected
through heterosexual intercourse... UNAIDS/WHO have long promotedmicrobicides as a
potentially valuable weapon in fight against the epidemic, not least because it allows women to
protect themselves without having to rely on partners who refuse to wear a condom or befaithful.
Yet despite this, research has proceeded slowly. [Piot] said investment in microbicide
development should be doubled - and even then would still only reach about US$150m per
year...Microbicides can take the form of a gel, cream, sponge or ring that releases an ingredient
that can kill or deactivate HIV during intercourse. There are currently five different products
being tested[, mainly in Africa on thousand of women]. Dozens of agents that could interrupt HIV
transmission have so far beenidentified. There are also hopes that the microbicides could be
used to prevent other sexually transmitteddiseases and unwanted pregnancies. One of the
products, cellulose sulphate, has the potential to bea contraceptive and shield against HIV...
Another microbicide, Carragard, coats vaginal cells and preventsthe virus from entering...Much
of funding for research comes from Gates Foundation and US government... Trying to dismiss
fears that microbicides would mainly be used in developing countries and therefore offer only
low profit margins, [WHO] cited their potential for use in contraception in wealthy countries".
Associated Press"Maritime Authorities OK Tracking Measure"New York Times 19 May
06:-"Maritime authorities have agreed upon new legislation that will allow for long-range tracking
of merchant ships - a key measure in tackling the threat of seaborne terrorist attacks, the UN
International Maritime Organization said [19 May]. A total of 166 countries have agreed to the
new rules for merchant vessels, which would also allow countries to conduct surveillance on
vessels suspected of carrying illicit cargo.Organization said signatory governments had
provisionally agreed to the changes in the Safety of Life at Sea convention... 'Ships will be
required to transmit their identity, location and date and time of theirposition to be tracked by
satellite', said UN shipping agency's external relations officer... New legislation will mean a
ship's position can be identified up to 1,000 nautical miles from shore. Current systems
arelimited to a range of a few hundred nautical miles... Merchant vessels trading in international
waters willneed to switch to new long-range system by Jan 08, offering maritime authorities a
system similar tothat used by air traffic controllers";
Associated Press "U.S. Says Missile - Defense System Limited" New York Times 22 Jun 06:- "US
said [22 Jun] missile-defense system under development has 'limited operational capability'to
protect against weapons such as the long-range missile North Korea is said to be near firing.
National Security AdviserStephen Hadley underscored US calls for North Korea to abandon any
plans for testing the missile believed capable of reaching US soil. 'We're watching it very
carefully and preparations are very far along', Hadley said... In Washington, a top Pentagon
official said that a missile launch would be 'aprovocation and a dangerous action'that would lead
US to impose 'some cost'on North Korea. [Tough UNSC resolution was later passed after a short
flight by Taepodong-2 missile.] Hadley, who briefed reporters while traveling with President
Bush in Europe[to G8 summit],.. spurned a suggestion by former Defense Secretary William
Perry that US launch a pre-emptive strike against the North Korean missile...US has spent
hundreds of millions of dollars on missile defense systems during the past few decades.'We
have a missile defense system... what we call a long-range missile defense system that is
basicallya research, development, training, |