|
|
| by Christopher
Spencer |
Former Senior
Advisor International Organizations, Canadian Department of
Foreign Affairs and International Trade |
| Updated: 13 SEP
08 | |
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 09 DEC 00:-”Such technological disruptions[as the
steam engine, electricity, internal combustion engine, transistor and PC]used to come each
generation or so. Now dozens of wholly new technologies challenge...established order
annually...Technology Quarterly will offer readers a foretaste of what new developments are
threatening - no, guaranteeing- to disrupt the way business is done in...years ahead...[W]ith
innovation now accounting for more than half of productivity growth, the more technological
disruption there is around the world the better it will be for everyone”(3). These supplements
hope to keep readers - especially business executives - up to date on new or imminent
technological developments that(may)have wide and/or deep economic significance. While not
selected as“global”or“issue-generating”, their very nature as“disruptive”ensures that in some
way they will be both - and therefore relevant to this bibliography. While most topics are
technical, they are presented in clearest possible way, since they are not aimed at specialists
but at all those likely to be influenced by subject-matter. Each Quarterly article is listed by full
title; then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. OPINION:“In Praise of Disruption” Technologies: such as
Bluetooth broadcasting, optical switching, code-morphing and proteomics are threatening old
industrial order. Rejoice(see above quote for rationale). MONITOR:“The Coming Backlash in
Privacy”: New privacy services will soon allow consumers to buy goods anonymously online -forcing web-based retailers to change way they do business. “Smells Fishy”: Dead fish are
recycled into biodegradable disposable diapers!“Just Add Water”: Getting/keeping clean huge
amounts of absolutely pure water needed to rinse silicon wafers is done through“membrane
distillation”which is so efficient it recycles its own product.“Soft Radios”: Broadly tunable
receiver converts analogue radio signals into digital data, which are then processed by software
run on a microprocessor.“Extreme Measures”: Movement called“extreme programming”(XP)is
designed to help ensure codes, however brilliant, can also be deciphered, by forcing
programmers to work in pairs and follow minimal rules.“The Next Small Thing”: Three new
applications of microsystems are described: (1)variable micro capacitors needed to make rapid
changes in frequency demanded by next generation of wireless-communications equipment;
(2)field of“microreactor chemistry”to ensure reactions by mixing small quantities of chemicals
at exactly right time and place; and(3)“lab-on-a-CD”approach since, for many applications, CDs
have several advantages over silicon wafers now used as platforms for chemical/biological
microdevices.“Playing Seriously”: Proposes replacing“ponderous management theory with
learning-by-playing”in which management teams work with actual models of companies and
confront stimulating problems.“Teraflops from Cyberspace”:”Distributed computing”harnesses
unused computing power of individuals’ personal computers on Internet to build virtual
supercomputer. Sum of PCs’ calculations produces a teraflop(trillion floating-point operations
per second)or more of power. REPORTS:“Is Bluetooth Worth the Wait?” Wireless
Communications: Bluetooth, 3G and other wireless technologies of information revolution are
on their way. But it will take more than marketing hype to realise their potential. They must be
so easy and cheap that using them becomes as common as mobile phone itself.“Two Stumbling
Steps to 3G”: Migration to so-called third-generation(3G)networks -which promise high-speed,
always-on links- will be hugely expensive(over $300b world-wide)and faced with uncertainty over
which standard to choose and how to deploy it.“Digital Ink Meets Electronic Paper”Flexible
Displays: Printed with digital ink, electronic paper promises era of reprogrammable newspapers,
books, billboards, garments and even wallpaper. They can be inter-active, animated and even
change by hour.“Last Chance For Micromachines” Machines On A Chip: Microsystems are
supposed to do for mechanical, optical and chemical devices what microelectronics has done
for semiconductors. While they have promised much but delivered little, that is changing. The
best way to make microsystems is to adapt microelectronic techniques for other purposes
(telecommunications, biotechnology, consumer products).“After the Genome”Proteomics:
Genome is name for full complement of genes in an organism. Proteome is its full complement
of proteins. Know it and you will be long way towards knowing how bodies really work since,
water aside, almost everything in human body is made either of proteins or by proteins.“Big
Blue’s Big Bet”Computing: IBM is building world’s most powerful computer(more than 2m times
power of PC)in attempt to solve one of biggest problems in biology -how proteins fold
themselves up into their distinctive shapes. In process, it will address some of thorniest
problems in computing.“Home is Where the Fold Is”: Project named Folding@Home
uses“distributed dynamics” (see “Teraflops...”above)to work on same biological problem,
although two efforts will be complementary. LAST WORD:“The Babbage of the Web”Ted Nelson:
In 1960, [he] conceived anarchic, world-wide electronic publishing system, capable of acting as
repository for all human knowledge, with links that allowed users to navigate between
documents(“hypertext”). Attempts to implement system came to nothing, but in 1990s, after rise
of Web, farsightedness of original vision became apparent.
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 24 MAR 01:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. OPINION: “Innovation at the Edge”: Technology has done U-turn,
dispersing control of large networks from hub to edge. Development of personal computer, and
introduction of client-server style of computing in 1980s, freed people to use their own initiative,
and built upon centrifugal opportunities presented by deregulation and privatization. Other areas
influenced by centrifugal force are those of energy and“remaking of the telephone system in the
image of Internet”. MONITOR:“The Power Industry’s Quest for High Nines”: Innovations are
improving quality of electrical power, so computer networks can run for not just 99.9% of time,
but for 99.9999% that e-commerce demands. “Talking Heads”: Since online retailers want
customer-personalized websites, much progress has been made in creating friendly, animated,
lifelike talking heads that are well-informed about regular customers, and even resemble
them.“Designer Enzymes”: Enzymes are special proteins which act as catalysts,
accelerating(10,000-1m times)important chemical reactions in living cells. In manufacturing new
drugs, it would save much time and money (and lives?)if exactly right new or modified enzyme
could be found with characteristics needed to speed up specific reaction. However, exact
combination of factors must be found among many candidates, say 20100. Researchers have used
computers(and brains)to make search manageable.“Through a Glass Brightly”:“Optical fibres
guide light over hundreds of kilometres by exploiting differences in the refractive index to bend
a light beam. Their core is made of glass that has a high refractive index, bending light strongly,
while outer cladding has lower refractive index and thus bends light less. Net effect is to make
light signals bounce along core as though they were in a pipe with mirror-like finish. New
approach is“crystal fibres”which have bundles of microscopic pipes along length of fibre.
Advantages: avoid needing two types of glass, use much narrower core, and get effect of using
two types of glass. Extremely narrow cores also enable more effective use of bandwidths or
more even light-spread.“Biochips Down on the Farm”: Quick/accurate tests whether
food(ingredient)contains genetically modified(GM)material(s) are important if it is prohibited by
buyer or must be labelled. Such test is under development in form of electronic biochip
called“eSensor”consisting of small circuit-board laced with up to 36 gold electrodes. Each of
these is linked to more than a billion identical single-stranded DNA molecules, and each DNA
strand is attached to kind of electrically conductive carbon compound. When matching DNA
molecules are found, signal is created.“Smart Tyres”: New tyre-wear/grip monitoring system
avoids bumpy lives by being divided into two. Sturdy parts located in tyres consist of crystals
that produce minute electrical current when deformed by pressure or road-grip. Radar-like
probe, safely in body of vehicle, detects and interprets these deformations and notifies either
driver or an automatic safety mechanism, say to avoid skidding. Other types of
sensors(radar/laser)are already being used to determine and maintain safe distance from car
ahead when on cruise-control. Under development are sensors designed to assist in
steering/braking if accident is imminent.“Virtual Hype, Real Products”: In most fields“virtual
reality”(interaction with artificial environment)has not met expectations of early 1990s, but has
remained in laboratories. Practical applications/funding are now being found. Systems exist to
scan large structures, or locate exact position of people, specialty tools, or robots’ arms. One
VR product manipulates microscopic objects, even molecules.“Son of Paperclip”: “Paperclip”is
over-enthusiastic spontaneous advice-giving tool built into Microsoft’s Office. “Son”in question
is Mobile Manager which evaluates incoming e-mails on a user’s PC and decides which are
important enough to forward to pager, mobile phone or other e-mail address, i.e. distinguish
junk mail from important messages. It learns with experience user’s relative priorities and is not
intrusive. “Making Materials Atom by Atom”: In searching for better materials scientists are
designing multitudes of new ‘‘virtual”materials atom by atom on computers; they determine each
variation’s properties until they find right structure. Variations are effectively infinite.“Magic
Bullet for Pain-Killers”: Most pain medicines are imprecise: large doses provide little relief, often
with side effects. Innovation concentrates directly and only on nerves causing pain; tiny
quantities give long-term relief and may be used for muscle spasms/nervous-system diseases.
TEAM SPIRIT:“Have Legs, Will Run”: Many breakthroughs now are products of research teams.
IBM Research Laboratory, Zurich has created ingenious memory device. “Millipede” - which
looks like a brush - uses 1,000 microscopic pointed levers that record information by making
minute marks on plastic. Product of experts in several different fields cooperating closely.
REPORTS: “The Shape of Phones to Come”Telecommunications: Starting as hobbyist
movement 5 years ago,“Voice over Internet Protocol”[VOIP] is remaking telephone systems
worldwide. It is one of biggest overhauls in decades, but not last by long way. Essay explains
current technological war between telephone companies and those, represented by VOIP,
enabling use of Internet for(free)long-distance calls. It has brought enormous improvements in
service by both systems, and increasing similarity in technology. It is certain that today’s Internet
will not be up to demands about to be made on it. A wholly new, far bigger, packet-switched
network, combining scalability of Internet with quality and global reach of telephone system, will
have to be built from scratch: network that connects everything to everything.“Power to the
Telephone Masses”“Session Initiation Protocol”(SIP): emerging as favoured standard for setting
up, modifying and terminating telephone calls over Internet. Advantages are simplicity and
independence; users can handle various communications very easily.“Upgrading the
Internet”Data Networks: Internet needs to be upgraded, but if done badly, its ability to support
innovative, as-yet-unimagined applications could be in jeopardy. Two immediate problems are
growing shortage of addresses and need to“scale up”network to cope with faster connections
in efficient manner. Both should be done without threatening net’s original”end-to-end”freedom
to send anything to anybody, which is vital to innovation. “The Fuel Cell’s Bumpy Ride”Energy:
Car companies are betting heavily on fuel cells as engines for tomorrow’s cleaner cars. But how
to make and store hydrogen fuel? Considerable detail about why direct hydrogen fuel-cell-only
engine is likely to beat hybrids or methanol-powered engines since it is best long-term solution
in terms of efficiency, quietness, running costs, low maintenance, power-source for other
purposes, constant torque, and of course total lack of emissions other than water. Problems of
safety, storage, and supply can be surmounted, particularly if governments give hydrogen strong
regulatory support.“The Cutting Edge of Virtual Reality”Medical Technology: Tomorrow’s
medicine is about robotics, augmented vision and creating VR images of the body. Descriptions
of computer-based tools for medical diagnosis, training, telemedicine, image-guided and
minimally invasive surgery. Robotics is set to push forward frontiers of what is humanly
possible, even under a microscope, while extremely precise surgery, even on beating hearts, is
within reach. Of particular value to Third World, isolated, and those involved in disasters, is
imminent provision of many forms of expert health care by(long-distance) electronic contact.
Trend is towards global access to medical data/expertise.“The Solid Future of Rapid
Prototyping”Manufacturing: RP for “printing”3D model engineering parts direct from designs
on computer screen depends on being able to turn out real components made of real materials
instead of plastic look-alikes. Instant one-step manufacturing is goal. Describes both(rapidly-moving)leading edge of technology in this field, and major breakthroughs that seem about to
create a world in which complex one-off products can be produced quickly and cheaply, and
assembly-line’s advantage is put in question. Since cost of making tools no longer figures in
equation, economics of mass production will give way to mass customisation. Parts will be
made in production runs not of 1m or even a few thousand, but of one.“Machines with Minds of
Their Own”Evolvable Hardware: Left to evolve on their own, certain machines can learn to be
smarter, surpassing even humans in some of most intellectually demanding tasks. Advances
in“evolvable hardware”(EHW): computer/device is given ability:(1)to reconfigure itself(or
elements of problem to be solved); and(2)to mimic natural selection(genetic algorithm)by
instantaneously testing millions of options(mutations)and selecting best(through one/many
cycles -i.e. generations), until it achieves optimum level of performance. Already possible to
contain entire genetic algorithm within single microchip, and run thousands of evolutionary
trials in fraction of a second. Main use of EHW so far been in designing analogue circuits, since
humans have not learned to think, talk, see, etc. digitally. LAST WORD: “Rethinking Machines”:
Danny Hillis, computing pioneer and inventor of 10,000-Year Clock, has distinctive perspective
on relationship between humanity and technology. Thinks about machines that change way
people think about machines. Particularly concerned that:”We are educating people today in the
same way we did when there was 1% as much knowledge”; and pitfalls of engineering are
becoming apparent:”Engineered systems are brittle, frail and liable to fail in unexpected ways”.
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 23 JUN 01:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. OPINION: “Invention is the Easy Bit”: Beware of new ideas. They
can be 25 years ahead of their time, and however good their concept, they may not catch on -
or find a profitable demand/use. Example given is peer-to-peer(P2P)Internet, which was
understood and theoretically available in 1970s but, without sufficiently powerful computers and
fast communication links, could not take off. Articles investigate whether P2P and Grid are now
going to do so. MONITOR: “Reality Check for Video-On-Demand”: Unlike television
broadcasting, streaming video over Internet gets more uneconomic the bigger the audience. It
is estimated that demand for streaming video will rise by 175% a year between now and 2005,
when it will account for 45% of all content on Internet, but economics still has to be worked out.
Vision of instant access, via Internet, to massive amounts of entertainment is uncertain.“The
Smaller the Better”: Practical definition of nanotechnology is anything precisely fabricated with
dimensions of less than 100 nanometres, which is millionth of millimetre. Investors have
suddenly started taking nanotechnology seriously; whether they have patience to hang around
for pay-off is uncertain.“Speed Reading”: New gene-sequencing technique could decode a
person’s genome in hours instead of years. Detector would work by running single strand of
DNA through tiny hole, and reading off sequence of four nucleotides as they pass through.
“Spotting the Potholes”: Video-taping road surfaces to identify subsidence/holes for repair is
slow since only single, bulky tape is produced for analysis. Van has been equipped with digital
cameras that not only collect more accurate data, but high-definition images are sent directly to
engineers’ computers and can be accessed by anyone on network. Automatic system also
detects and classifies cracks in road to assist preventive maintenance.“Put On a Coat”: One of
problems of transplanting“foreign”but healing cells to help cure a disease(e.g. diabetes)is that
body will normally reject them as alien. Second is that polymer coatings applied to cells to
enable them to avoid this immune response must be exactly right thickness(which protects but
does not interfere)for cells to be effective. Ingenious method of“shrink-wrapping”cells both
dodges immune system and produces an exactly-equal coating. “Powered Paper”: Firm has
invented battery no thicker than band-aid that can be printed onto paper or packages. It uses
well-known and conventional “silk-screen” process. Paper could then play audio clips from CD
in its package or display moving images on flexible screen. Linking battery-powered paper to
equally-thin temperature sensor could monitor exactly progressive temperatures of wrapped
products that could go bad.“The Sound of Shuffling”: Perhaps this is joke, but AT&T claims to
be able to reproduce exact sounds - and therefore atmosphere - of live concert or sports event
on recording that can be played in home equipped with five speakers. “Extreme Measures”:
Thanks to lithography using extreme ultraviolet light, i.e. changing printing process of chips
rather than material, chip manufacturers are using EUV lithography to print circuits as thin as
0.03 microns. That would allow building 10-gigahertz microprocessors by 2005 compared with
1.5 gigahertz devices today.“Marching On Its Stomach”: Fed with sugar cubes, gastrobots -
robots with stomachs(microbial fuel cells) - make their own energy on the go, allowing them to
wander freely. Being free of power socket or of having to carry heavy - and time-limited - power
supply, makes it first robot ever to be powered by food alone. Work has begun on robot
gathering soil data in orange groves; operates by extracting juice from fallen fruit. TEAM SPIRIT:
“Of High Priests and Pragmatists”: In series on managing innovation, essay looks at ways of
getting disparate groups to work together more effectively. One group developing environment-friendly solvents found that adding social scientist to team speeded up innovation. REPORTS:
“Computing Power on Tap”Computer Networks: Essay argues that after Internet comes Grid.
It looks at most ambitious attempt yet to combine millions of computers seamlessly around
world in order to make processing power available on demand anywhere, rather like electrical
power.“Profit From Peer-To-Peer” Computer Networks: Despite Napster’s continuing travails,
number of fledgling firms are out to sell idea of peer-to-peer computing to large enterprises.
Essay also looks at risks associated with P2P - not a single concept, but array of
technologies.“Batteries Not Included”Portable Power: Weekly has shown special interest in fuel
cells for vehicles. This reports that miniature fuel cells, refilled like cigarette lighters, could soon
be replacing batteries in mobile phones, laptops and other gizmos.“Beyond Cruise
Control”Transport: Automated driving aids, soon fitted to cars, will warn drivers of possible
accidents. May even help them actively to avoid crashes. Main problem is that all systems under
development are based on simple highway environment; none is yet suited for use on complex
urban roads.“Sleeping Policemen”: Intelligent speed adaptation(ISA) - technology for forcing
driver to observe speed limit - works by building into car a digital map marked with local speed
restrictions. Main justification is high cost of speeding; ISA could reduce accidents by 40% and
fatal ones by nearly 60%.“Look, No Hands”: Fully automated rail systems are feasible, and forms
already exist. Automated road vehicles would need their own lanes and some kind of
infrastructure for guidance. Current trials include stretches of highway with instruments
embedded in their surface to guide vehicles via sensors to on-board autopilots.“The New Organ-Grinders”Bio-Engineering: With genetic cures for killer diseases still years away, bio-engineers
are developing range of mechanical organs to replace worn-out parts of human body. Treating
people with heart disease, liver complaints or diabetes could soon become like repairing a car,
while avoiding political/scientific challenges posed by cloning. Companies are substituting
blood and tissue with metals, chemicals and plastics. Every part of body is being studied to see
how it can be replicated artificially or augmented in some way.“Patently Absurd?”Intellectual
Property: Patents that protect not only inventions but also ways of distributing and selling them
are causing an uproar. Essay probes whether more traditional patents - granted for novel, non-obvious and useful - are any better at promoting innovation, and concludes they do not in cases
of complex, patent-loaded industries. Recommends patent authorities find greater variety of
tools for protecting intellectual property than at present.LAST WORD:“Godfather of the Pill”Carl
Djerassi: 50 years since [he] invented contraceptive pill, and changed human behaviour for
good. Not stood still since, scientifically or socially. Latest work - a play:”Oxygen”- examines
nature of achievements and accolades, but his invention has pushed him to ponder social and
ethical aspects of technology.
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 22 SEP 01:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. OPINION:“The Crashing of Gears”:For two centuries, each new
surge of economic activity has come in three distinct phases. First phase was heady upswing
as successful participants enjoyed fat margins, set standards, killed off weaker rivals and
established themselves as leaders of pack. Then came second phase as market matured and
dominant firms hunkered down for slower growth. Final phase, short and sharp decline,
occurred when whole new set of technologies started jostling for attention of investors. World
economy has just come to end of first phase of present cycle, and is now starting slower second
phase. MONITOR:“Tapping the Ether”:Wireless networking may be fast, cheap and convenient,
but is wide open to anybody who wants to eavesdrop.“How to See Through Walls”: Transparent
concrete is encouraging architects to rethink how they design buildings. Article describes both
advantages and disadvantages.“Visionary Implant”: Although still early days, first attempts to
make an artificial retina - to restore sight to blind - look remarkably promising. Number of groups
trying to perfect an‘electric retina’.“Seeing is Believing”: By doubling resolution of existing
liquid-crystal displays(LCDs) IBM has created monitor which, when viewed from 18 inches away
or farther, shows images that human eye finds indistinguishable from real thing. Article
suggests that hospitals and engineers will benefit most since able to extract more accurate
data.“‘Instant-on’ Magnetically”: Race is on to build non-volatile high-speed memories that will
allow computers to be turned on and off like televisions. Magnetic RAM(MRAM)seems poised
to become non-volatile technology of choice.“More Than Skin Deep”: Absorbing drugs gently
through skin beats injecting, swallowing or sniffing them.“Transdermal” technology or“the
patch”offers several advantages described, and is growing rapidly in popularity(e.g. to limit
tobacco consumption).“Safe Keeping”: Digital archival repositories(DARS)as way of protecting
digital information from corruption or destruction would involve widely distributed network of
independent repositories, connected via Internet, that can make copies of each digital object
stored in one another’s archive and then spread them around Napster-style to ensure they are
preserved”.“No Hiding Place for Anyone”: Embedded in bank notes or designer labels, Hitachi’s
‘mu-chip’ can beep out owner’s location and details to marketers and thieves alike. Critics argue
it may constitute direct infringement of personal privacy. TEAM SPIRIT:“Agility Counts”:In series
on managing innovation, essay looks at agile programming: culmination of many faddish ideas
for producing software more efficiently. Most popular methodology uses techniques such as pair
programming, in which one person programs while partner checks result for bugs and makes
sure only essential code is produced. REPORTS: “A Lingua Franca for the
Internet”Programming: Far from producing universal programming language, Internet is
encouraging proliferation of new ones. Whichever language, Java or C#, wins battle for hearts
and minds of programmers, business of writing software is becoming steadily easier. On
horizon, programming languages face daunting challenge of helping to turn Internet into more
intelligent place with opportunity for languages designed with artificial intelligence specifically
in mind. “A Bigger Role for Small Satellites”Space Technology: Certain types of satellites have
started to shrink in size, cost and development time, making it possible for communities,
companies, schools, hospitals -and, perhaps one day, even individuals - to have own
satellite.“Skyscrapers in the Sky”: Communications satellites will continue to get bigger in order
to generate more electrical power on board to transmit an ever-increasing number of
communications and broadcasting channels and increase signal strength on ground. Geo-synchronous orbits are scarce and expensive, so geo-synchronous satellites are also going to
carry ever more components.“To Infinity and Beyond”: Because they cannot afford own rockets,
small satellites have to hitch ride on commercial launchers. Suitably packed together using
standardised racking system, bunches of small satellites might even begin to seem attractive
primary payloads. “Machines With a Human Touch”Artificial Intelligence: Instead of using ones
and zeros of digital electronics to simulate way brain functions, ‘neuromorphic’ engineering
relies on nature’s biological short-cuts to make robots that are smaller, smarter and vastly more
energy-efficient. Engineers look at brain structures such as retina and cortex, and then devise
chips that contain neurons and primitive rendition of brain chemistry. “Short-cuts”reflect fact
that over time evolution allowed nature to come up with some extremely efficient ways of
extracting information from environment. “List Makers Take Control” Software: Essay looks at
how/why electronic directories are essential for keeping and sharing information. Directories are
basis of Internet and of such popular online services as auctions, file swapping and instant
messaging. Now Microsoft is working on mother of all directories: its Passport online
authentication utility and Hailstorm services. These could become master list of identities of
most net users, as well as repository of all kinds of personal information. Privacy advocates
complain that Microsoft is trying to put itself in middle of all transactions on Internet. “Drugs Ex
Machina”Pharmaceuticals: Thanks to automation, miniaturisation and information technology,
drugs companies are at last preparing to reap rewards of genomics, result of sequencing human
genome(i.e. to work out protein blueprint for building human being). Unfortunately, deluge of
data has yet to spur any dramatic increase in number of new drugs discovered. Chemists still
need detailed information on how protein in question interacts with compound under study.
Gathering this information is goal that large pharmaceutical laboratories around world have now
set themselves. To reap rewards of genomics, pharmaceutical firms are having to computerise
and automate process of drug discovery. LAST WORD:“An Incurable Itch”: Carver Mead led to
invention of new electronic devices, novel approaches to circuit design/systems in mimic of
variety of biological functions. Pushed electronics industry towards miniaturisation. Some call
him one of founding fathers of information technology.
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 08 DEC 01:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. OPINION: “The Loss of Diversity”: The broad diversity of
technological design appears to be narrowing. Is innovation running out of big ideas to exploit?
Discuss. MONITOR: "No Laughing Matter" Are the new crop of game consoles more - or, indeed,
a good deal less - than they are made out to be? “Unzipping the Server”: A new standard called
Infifiband promises to clear the communication bottleneck among servers. Will it catch on fast
enough to save computer makers that are slugging it out at the lower end of the market? “Quiet
Revolution on the Track”: Designing F1 racing cars has little to offer makers of family saloons.
But it is helping to create a whole new approach to solving problems in engineering design.
“Machines That Answer Back”: Software for analysing e-mail inquiries from customers and
replying automatically is doing a surprisingly good job. “Sound Waves Beat the Knife”: Internal
bleeding is dangerous and difficult to treat. A new ultrasound technique promises not only to
solve such problems, but also to reduce the need for invasive surgery when treating tumours.
“Turn the Handle and Talk”: Wind-up chargers are not only for sub-Saharan villages.Mobile-phone users in California could find them useful too.DIALOGUE:“The Same - Only More So?”:
In the last issue, we asked readers what technologies they thought would propel the next big
surge in economic activity. The most popular view was that they will still be IT-based. REPORTS:
“Just Talk to Me”Speech Recognition: At long last, speech is becoming an important interface
between man and machine. In the process, it is helping to slash costs in business, create new
services on the Internet, and make cars a lot safer and easier to drive. "Without speech
recognition, people are going to have a hard time coping with the demands that the information
society is placing on them'. 'Over the next few years, it is in the motor car, not on the telephone,
that speech recognition may make its biggest impact'.“Learning the Meaning”: Ability to
generate realistic speech from text stored in a computer will be crucial.“Into Deeper Water”Oil
Exploitation: The world's apparently unquenchable thirst for oil is fuelling a boom in exotic kinds
of exploration technology for use in much deeper waters. 'On one recent day, the crew drilled
an elaborate multi-directional well that twisted and turned its way to a giant pocket of oil 28,000
feet away'. 'Thanks largely to technological advances, the average "finding and development"
cost of oil has fallen to a third of the $20 a barrel it was'. CASE HISTORY:“The Art of the
Quantum Leap”Magnetic Storage: The innovation of the 'giant magneto-resistive' head - the
breakthrough that boosted the capacity of hard-drives from a few gigabytes to 100 gigabytes and
more - came from chance observation, basic research and a vast, painstaking search for the
right materials. This case history points to the need for companies to build close ties between
their research laboratories and product development divisions. 'The GMR head required an
innovative application of innovative science to make a device that overcame the limits of an
existing technology'. REPORTS:“The Heart of the Matter”In Silico Biology: Better tools, and
more data, mean that creating virtual organs by computer is no longer a pipe-dream. How will
this help the drug industry? 'Computer modelling may be standard practice in designing an
aircraft or studying planetary motion, but it is only now taking off in physiology'. 'Though a
mammoth task, many of the mathematical tools, modelling tricks and instruments used for the
virtual heart can be used on other organs'. “Mightier Than the Pen?”Data Input: With 5,000 years
of continuous development and billions of satisfied customers to its credit, the pen may not
seem like a product in need of radical improvement. Yet plans are afoot to overhaul the humble
writing instrument completely. 'Many believe the pen is a reactionary holdout and needs to be
networked if it is to serve any useful purpose in today's interconnected world'. “Designer
Plastics” Catalysts: After years of development, a new breed of catalysts called metallocenes
is shaking up the plastics business, rapidly penetrating commodity markets and promising a
new age of cheap designed plastics. Are they the revolution proponents claim? 'Plastics
companies have begun licensing the technology en masse, with plans to begin producing
metallocene-based plastics on a larger scale'. 'Metallocene-based packaging can be tailored to
breathe at a rate to match the respiration of the food it is storing, with increased strength to
boot'. LAST WORD:“Grassroots Innovator”: Richard Jefferson wants to change the face of
agriculture, by putting innovation back into the hands of farmers. 'Apomixis technology could
save cassava and potato growers as much as $3.2 billion a year'.
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 16 MAR 02:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. OPINION:“A Lemon Law for Software”: If Microsoft made cars
instead of computer programs, product-liability suits might by now have driven it out of
business. Should software makers be made more accountable for damage caused by faulty
programs? MONITOR:“Sun Stroke”: Sun Microsystems - the largest maker of servers for
computer networks - is about to turn its mantra, 'The Network is the Computer', inside out. Will
the new vision relegate centralised servers to the scrap heap? "Power Play Over Fuel Cells":
Government and industry have joined forces in California to thrust stationary fuel cells into the
public eye and onto the grid. “Plug and Play at Home”: Having learned from their previous
mistakes, firms making computer networks that piggy-back on a building's electrical wiring are
due to re-enter the home networking business with a vengeance. “Soft as Silk, Strong as Steel”:
Spider silk is a far better engineering material than conventional silk, but harvesting it
commercially has been a problem until now.“Chips that See in Colour”: A new kind of optical
chip that detects colours directly is set to transform the digital camera business. “Flap Over Hot
Chips”: Piezoelectric fans could play an important role in cooling future generations of laptops,
mobile phones and other gizmos. DIALOGUE:“Cassandras Not Needed”: In the previous issue,
readers were asked whether technology was losing its flair for diversity of design. The majority
expressed no such qualms. REPORTS: "Heavenly Music" Digital Radio: A handful of satellite
start-ups are hoping to deliver global digital audio to the last analogue holdout: radio.
Meanwhile, conventional AM and FM broadcasters are responding with their own digital scheme.
'Two companies with a little imagination and a lot of cash snapped up chunks of the spectrum
in the newly available S-band'. 'Operators of traditional radio stations in US claim not to be
worried about the satellite invasion, saying there is plenty of advertising to go round'. 'To station
owners, the advantage of IBOC is that it does not require new transmitters or additional licences.
Stations can switch in three days". "AI By Another Name" Computing: After years in the
wilderness, the term 'artificial intelligence' seems poised to make a comeback. 'HAL
encapsulated the optimism of the 1960s that intelligent computers would be widespread by
2001'. CASE HISTORY: "Accuracy is Addictive" Global Positioning: The invention of GPS married
ideas from quantum mechanics and relativity with the need to track Russian satellites. Most
remarkable of all, the concept - now the basis of a $12 billion industry - was put yogether over
a single weekend. 'Remarkably, GPS calls into play Einstein's theories of special and general
relativity - among the most esoteric theories of physics'. REPORTS: "Tongues of the WEB"
Machine Translation: With its proliferating number of tongues, the Internet is giving MT - the use
of computers to translate languages - a much needed shot in the arm. 'The Internet changes the
game for machine translation: users want speed, rather than quality, and are more likely to
accept poor results'. 'Rather than seeing MT as a product they can simply buy off the shelf, large
firms are now realising that MT systems must be customised'. "The Engines of Lilliput"
Micromachines: Miniature engines and electricity generators are being carved out of silicon with
the help of chip-making tools. Far from being toys, these micromachines have real work to do
in industry and defence. 'There is no escaping the fact that, ultimately, micromachines will have
to have microengines to drive them'. LAST WORD: "Mach 1 at Microsoft": Times are not good
for industrial research centres, especially in computing and telecoms. Rick Rashid runs one of
the few corporate laboratories that is still expanding. But despite its money, talent and
experience, can Microsoft Research live up to expectations? 'In the early days, luring talented
researchers to Microsoft was unquestionably a challenge'.
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 22 JUN 02:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. OPINION: "Picking Winners": Your suggestions, please, for
recent innovations that are changing the world. On 18 Sep 02, The Economist will launch its own
Innovation Awards scheme with a ceremony... to announce the winners in each of five
categories: bioscience, communications, computing, energy and environment, and
nanotechnology. MONITOR: "Instant Messaging Joins the Firm": With the immediacy of the
telephone and the written record of e-mail, instant messaging is no longer just a handy way of
chatting online. It is fast becoming a secure and flexible tool for business. "Solar Cells Go
Organic": Although they are not particularly efficient, plastic cells that are flexible enough to be
sprayed on roofs or printed on clothes look like being remarkably cheap. "Nature's Way of
Plating": Some obscure thin-film chemistry from the 1960s is making a comeback as a way of
putting pure coats of practically anything on to anything. "Making the Connection": As the
voltage used in modern chips falls and the power they consume soars, getting large currents
on and off devices is becoming a headache. "Quantum Leap for Medicine": Quantum effects
used in devices called SQUIDS are providing a powerful new tool for diagnosing ailments from
the faint magnetic signatures they create. "More Power to the Thumb": There has to be a better
way of typing text mesages on cell phones. There is, but mobile operators are reluctant to
introduce it. "ARMs Around the World": One of the most ubiquitous microprocessor designs is
also one of the least well-known - but not for much longer. DIALOGUE: "Buggy Whipped": In
previous issue, readers were asked whether a 'lemon law' was needed for software. Most agreed
that commercial software was far too buggy, but that product-liability laws were not the answer.
REPORTS: "Watch This Airspace" Wireless Telecoms: Four disruptive technologies are
emerging that promise to render not only the next wave of so-called 3G wireless networks
irrelevant, but possibly even their 4G successors. 'Compared with 3G, Mark Goldburg of
ArrayComm, a smart-antenna maker in San Diego, California, reckons its i-Burst is about 40
times more efficient'. 'SkyPilot's rooftop units use smart antennas to beam data back and forth,
enabling frequencies to be reused more efficiently and increasing capacity'. 'Network operators
will still be needed to carry long-haul traffic, but their role could become less (rather than more)
important in the future'. "A Match For Flash?" Memory Chips: Four new storage technologies
promise cheaper and better alternatives to the pricey memory chips used in most gizmos today.
But old memories, especially embedded ones, tend to linger on. 'Where most forms of flash
memory can be read from or written to only 1m or so times, ovonics memory can be addressed
up to 10 trillion times'. CASE HISTORY: "Hooked On Lithium": Without the lithium-ion battery,
introduced a decade ago, portable gadgets - from mobile phones and video cameras to laptops
and palmtops - would have remained brick-like objects best left on the desk or at home. But the
innovation would have floundered had electro-chemists in US not teamed up with a Japanese
firm. REPORTS: "Relishing the Flavour" Food Technology: Researchers are finally solving the
mystery of how the brain perceives flavour. The insights are helping food companies predict -
and design - new products that people will find hard to resist. 'The liking for sweet and salty
substances reflects the wise choises that humanity's ancestors made in a hostile environment'.
"Inoculating the Network" Network Security: Keeping networks secure from intruders is
becoming one of the hottest bits of the computer business. As companies begin to realise how
vulnerable they are, intrusion-detection firms are honing a new set of security tools that mimic
the body's immune system. 'Far from being fortresses, most companies today are more like
airports, allowing a steady flow of information into and out of the network'. LAST WORD:
"Tinkerers' Champion": It is not just libertarians who are concerned about the restrictions
caused by US's latest copyright law. Edward Felten, a professor at Princeton University, argues
that the 'freedom to ttinker' - the right to understand, repair and modify one's own equipment -
is crucial to innovation, and as valuable to society as the freedom of speech. 'We construct the
world by interacting with it, not by letting things control us'.
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 21 SEP 02:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. OPINION: "Comeback Kid?": As the locus of innovation moves
on to other fields, can information technology ever regain its pre-eminence? MONITOR: "Clean
Coal's Uphill Haul": A flurry of activity is reviving clean coal technology. After two decades of
unfulfilled promises, will coal come clean this time? "Cutting the Ties That Bind": Better than
Bluetooth or WiFi, a robust new wireless scheme promises to deliver multimedia around the
office and home without cables or fuss. "Microchips in the Blood": Many of the promised
genomic drugs will be impossible to swallow as pills. Instead, they will have to be injected in
minute quantities at precise intervals for months at a time. Just syringe-on-a-chip. "Hanging
Bytes, Pregnant Bits": Electronic voting has been getting a lot of attention since the Florida
recount debacle. But doing away with a paper-based record may not be such a good idea.
"Telling Right From Left": Many man-made drugs, unlike natural ones, come in right-handed and
left-handed versions. Separating them has been a huge problem - but not for much longer. "Web
of Trust": If you like surfing the web, it is probably because you believe people are basically
good. "Music to Their Ears": With compact-disc sales plummeting, record companies are
rethinking how to distribute copyright music online. This time, the technology for managing
digital rights could actually be smart enough to do the job. DIALOGUE: "Thanksgiving For
Innovation": Governments worship at the altar of innovation for good reason: it now accounts
for more than half of economic growth. In recognition, The Economist has inaugurated a series
of Innovation Awards. Winners identified/described in: Bioscience; Computing; Energy and
Environment; Nanotechnology; Telecons; and Blue Lasers. REPORTS: "Goodbye to the Video
Store": Streaming Video: For too long, 'video-on-demand' has promised more than it could
deliver. But new ways are emerging for shrink-wrapping massive video files for delivery over the
Internet. 'The consumer-electronics makers cannot afford to lose the battle for the set-top box'.
'Others are counting on MPEG LA's licensing rules to steer content creators towards other
codecs'. 'When Napster went down, Morpheus, LimeWire and Audiogalaxy quickly filled its
shoes'. CASE HISTORY: "Spitting Image": Engineering insight, dogged determination and a dash
of serendipity have made the lowly inkjet imaging device the king of computer printers. 'The race
to develop the inkjet printer had a profound cultural impact on both companies'. REPORTS:
"Desperately Seeking Lightness" Composites: As they struggle for market leadership, Boeing
and Airbus are having to rethink how they make aircraft, and what materials they use. Airbus is
taking the bigger gamble, with its new super-jumbo, the 550-seat A380. 'The real pay-off is when
the design is rethought to take full advantage of the composite's properties - not just its
strength-to-weight superiority'. 'The question now is whether Airbus's technological
assertiveness will win it the lion's share of that $1.2 trillion feast'. "Computers That Run
Themselves" Computing: For decades, scientists have concentrated on making computers more
powerful. Now they want to build systems that are smart enough to look after themselves. 'The
complexity of today's computing will, in the not too distant future, outgrow the human ability to
manage it'. LAST WORD: "The Other Bill": For a quarter of a century, Bill Joy - 'Edison of the
Internet' - has envisaged a world in which countless devices are wired together. Now he is trying
to turn that vision into a reality, but not without warning of the risks to society. 'As technology
becomes ever more accessible to ever more people, they become ever more reliant upon it'.
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 14 DEC 02:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. OPINION: "Innovations's Golden Goose": The reforms that
unleashed US innovation in the 1980s, and were emulated widely around the world, are under
attack at home.[Relevant legislation unlocked all the inventions and discoveries that had been
made in US laboratories with the help of taxpayers' money.] MONITOR: "Brave New World of
Farmaceuticals": A flood of new medicines will hit the market if producing biopharmaceuticals
in animals rather than reaction vessels can be made to work better. "Through a Glass Deeply":
Cheap 3D displays will be coming to a computer near you next year. Unfortunately, little software
will be available to take full advantage of their stunning depth of field. "Symphony For Local
Radio": Listeners could be receiving AM and FM radio with CD-quality sound sooner than even
most broadcasters had expected. "Uncommon Protection": How to license Internet copying.
"Images From a Blurred World": Wavefront coding produces pin-sharp images of microscopic
objects, where slightest variation in focus creates only a blur. "Unretouched By Human Hand":
The need to protect photographic images from being tampered with is finally being
acknowledged. "Battle of the Blues": As if there were not enough recordable DVD standards, two
new ones, based on the blue laser, offer as big an increase in storage as the DVD did over the
CD. "A Quart into a Pint Pot": With its tiny screen, surfing the web with a mobile phone has been
maddening. A clever new web browser could change all that."Shaken Not Stirred": The merits
of passive exercise[-lying on a special motion platform.] "Dotty Idea For Telecoms?": Quantum-dot lasers could have a bright future in optical networks - once the global glut of unused fibre
is finally illuminated. DIALOGUE: "Gridlock On the Superhighway": By choosing the wrong
technology, the new local carriers that piled into the telecoms business after deregulation
skewered themselves, and set universal broadband access to the Internet back by years.
REPORTS: "The Race to Computerise Biology" Bioinformatics: In life-sciences establishments
around the world, the laboratory rat is giving way to the computer mouse - as computing joins
forces with biology to create a bioinformatics market that is expected to be worth nearly $40
billion within three years. 'In just a few years, gene chips have gone from experimental novelties
to tools of the trade'. 'A big risk of computer modelling and other tools is to rely too much on
them'. "Move Over, Silicon" Semiconductors: Chip makers are looking for ways to make
electronic devices out of cheap plastic instead of pricey silicon. Success could lead to a new
market for flexible displays and memories that can be printed on anything - ushering in an age
of disposable computing. 'If scaled up, a square centimetre of such material could store a
staggering 6.4 gigabits'. CASE HISTORY: "Trapeze Artists": Intelligent design and clever
marketing have made Adobe the king of online documents. But mistakes made along the way
were just as important. 'The key was to separate Acrobat Reader from the full version of Acrobat
- and to give it away'. REPORTS: "The Power of Voice" Telecoms: Despite telecoms' current
woes, innovation has not stopped. Ironically, it could be developments in telephone services -
dismissed by broadband newcomers as a loss-leader - that revitalises the struggling industry.
'This time, the voice applications are radically different from those dismissed a few years ago'.
"Bespoke Chips for the Common Man" Semiconductors: Using custom chips that do one or two
things spectacularly, rather than lots of things averagely, has been a luxury for those needing
performance at any price. Now chips that can be rewired in an instant promise to bring the
benefits of customisation to the mass market. 'Making a mistake in a custom chip's design may
mean missing a market opportunity'. LAST WORD: "A Drug of One's Own": For three decades,
Ronald Levy has been seeking ways to use the body's immune system to fight cancer - much
as it does the common cold. His goal has been to create 'personalised drugs', first in the form
of antibodies and now as vaccines, capable of destroying a patient's actual malignancy. 'Dr Lavy
proved that his antibodies worked, but the cost of making them was prohibitive'.
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 15 MAR 03:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. OPINION: "Launching Telecoms II": New wireless technologies
that render bandwidth irrelevant could kick-start a revolution in communications bigger than the
internet. MONITOR: "Unfixing Fixed Wireless": New wireless technologies for delivering
broadband to homes are about to challenge DSL and cable. "Turnaround for Wind Power": For
wind power to become a significant source of energy, it must be able to generate electricity at
a cost that is competitive. One way to do this is to make cheaper windmills with the fan placed
downwind from the support pole. "Flu Shots for Computers": How to make computers fight
worms and viruses as humans do - by relying on their immune systems. "Will Parallel Chips Pay
Off?": With more transistors on a chip than they know what to do with, some semiconductor
firms are adopting the parallel-processing approach of supercomputers. "A Bug's Life for
Robots": Creepie-crawlie robots are learning to venture where wheeled machines stumble and
humans fear to tread. "Waste Not, Want Not": It is economics, not technology, that is holding
back the recycling of electronic waste. The European Union has a plan to change that.
REPORTS: "The Quest for the Protein Chip" Biotechnology: Despite their complexity, can
protein biochips do for proteomics what DNA microarrays did for genetics? "Array designers are
now turning out chips that are capable of profiling thousands of proteins at a time'. 'The pay-off
will be huge. Protein microarrays should be 10 to 100 times more useful than gene chips'. "The
Revenge of Geography" The Internet: It was naive to imagine that the global reach of the internet
would make geography irrelevant. Wireline and wireless technologies have bound the virtual and
physical worlds closer than ever. 'While the notion of war-chalking has gained much attention,
hardly anybody actually does it'. 'A mobile device linking the real and virtual worlds could
change your perception of your surroundings'. CASE HISTORY: "Beyond the Nanohype":
Nanotechnology is still buoyed more by hype than actual pay-off. Two big issues need to be
addressed before nanotech - like biotech a couple of decades before - can really begin to earn
its keep. REPORTS: "Bugs as Catalysts" Chemical Engineering: Industry is having a hard time
finding new catalysts to supercharge many of today's complex reactions. So researchers are
scouring the world for bacteria and fungi that can do the job biologically. 'Although several
thousand enzymes are known, the number industry has to work with is not that large'. "Feeling
the Heat" Semiconductors: Thermal problems caused by the latest chipmaking processes could
seriously limit the pace of development of the semiconductor industry itself. 'The semiconductor
industry is too big - and too smart - to let such problems get in its way'. "Little Squirt": To stop
chips from frying themselves, inkjet heads - borrowed from printers and plotters - squirt cooling
fluid directly on to the chip's surface. LAST WORD: "The Wizard of Small Things": Richard
Smalley is on a (some say hopeless) mission to harness nanotechnology to solve the world's
energy problem.
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 21 JUN 03:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. OPINION: "Innovation By Numbers": Suggestions requested for
innovations that have propelled enterprises to the forefront of their fields over the past decade
(four categories: biotech, computing, energy/environment, and telecoms). MONITOR: "Coming
Soon to a Laptop Near You": After years of patient development, light-emitting diodes made from
plastics rather than semiconductors are poised to take on the venerable liquid-crystal display.
"Feeling the Danger": Coatings made from a new class of nanomaterials can detect when their
underlying structures are about to fail and cause an accident. "Storing e-Text for Centuries":
Digital preservation means a whole lot more than merely making lots of back-up copies. "Bite
Out of Breast Cancer": A probe based on technology developed for the Mars mission promises
to be the biggest boon yet in checking for breast cancer. "The Smoother, the Faster": By
tweaking the internet's software foundations, data-transmission speeds for demanding users
have been boosted threefold."Bulk Chemicals by the Drop": Bigger does not always mean better
in chemical plant. Doing chemistry on a microscale can be quicker, cheaper and safer. "Speed
Reading the Book of Life": An electronic prism for sorting segments of DNA does in seconds
what used to take days. "Getting Cars to Talk Back": Remote diagnostics allow service centre
to phone or e-mail to tell owner whether problem(s) serious enough to need immediate attention.
"More Hit, Less Miss for Biotech": Can biotech be made as predictable as physics? A unique
modelling tool is bringing some sorely needed discipline to the business. "Defining Nanotubes":
Searching for a standard way to characterise the electrical conductivity of carbon nanotubes -
microscopic, superstrong cylinders of carbon atoms which might one day replace the silicon in
semiconductors. REPORTS: "Building a Better Bug-Trap" Software: People who write it are
human first and programmers only second - in short, they make mistakes, lots of them. Can
software help them write better software? 'It takes a whole page of algebra to prove that a three-line program works properly'. 'Expecting programmers to change their behaviour overnight is
unrealistic'. "Spare Parts for the Brain" Bioengineering: Plugging microchips directly into the
brain is no longer science fiction. The technology promises treatments for numerous brain
disorders, including Parkinson's and Alzheimer's diseases as well as epilepsy. 'In the future,
robots with simulated brain circuits might help us to identify and simulate new forms of
treatment for damaged brains'. CASE HISTORY: "Spread Betting": How code-division multiple
access (CDMA) technology emerged as the world standard for mobile phones. 'What seems
impossibly complex today may well seem simple tomorrow - thanks to the relentless advance
of Moore's law'. "Player-Piano Pioneer": Hedy Lamarr, Hollywood actress, also played an unlikely
off-screen role as a technological pioneer, co-inventing in the 1940s an early incarnation of
spread-spectrum wireless technology. REPORTS: "Grokking the Infoviz" Software: Information
visualisation is about to go mainstream. While it may not be the killer application some expect
'infoviz' is going to help users to manipulate data in wholly new ways. 'Users often react
enthusiastically when they first see new visualisation tools, but then turn wary'. "The Sentient
Office Is Coming" Computing: Though still in their infancy, sentient computing systems are likely
to be everywhere within five years - listening and watching, and ready to anticipate their users'
every need. 'Like it or not, the future is Big Brother - so let's talk about it'. LAST WORD:
"Alchemist at Large": People poke fun at alchemists. 'They're underrated', says Marvin Cohen.
Easy for him to say so - he just might be the real McCoy. 'Because the idea sounded so
outrageous, no-one was interested in testing it'.
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 06 SEP 03:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. OPINION: "Expect the Unexpected": Innovators who keep their
eyes open for unexpected results - and quickly take advantage of them - reap the biggest
awards. MONITOR: "Supercharging the Grid": One of the bright spots on US's creaky old power
grid is an experimental section in upstate New York, where some superconducting cables are
about to be tested commercially. "Voltage Ahoy": Superconducting power systems are still
about five times too weak to generate the 25,000-50,000hp required to run a ship. An all-electric
ship would be built around the concept of 'power electronic building blocks' - effectively, a semi-conductor-based power controller that is programable. "Falling, Flailing, Virtual Doll": Unlike the
rag dolls thrown lifelessly from windows on film sets, virtual stuntmen flail and stagger just like
real people. "Solar Cells Come Down To Earth": Solar cells are still ten times too expensive for
use in housing. Recently developed nanorod composites could change that. "Ups and Downs
of Chip Design": Wiring chips on the diagonal would remove many of the up and down detours
that connections have to make today. "Nanomaterials Move Up a Notch": Novel materials, made
by coaxing nanoparticles to assemble themselves into three-dimensional patterns, offer
intruguing magnetic and optical properties. "Soul of a Newer Machine": The first of IBM's 'Blue
Gene' supercomputers is finally taking shape. "A Web Address for Every Car?": Will the car - that
mainstay of the industrial age - become a vehicle for the information age as well? "Fountain of
Truth?": An ambitious new text-analysis system mines the web for hidden trends. "Who Watches
the Watchers?": With more and more video cameras remotely watching public and private
spaces, clever automation is needed to keep an eye on things. "Uncrackable Beams of Light":
Quantum cryptography - hailed by theoreticians as the ultimate of uncrackable codes - is finally
going commercial. "More Light Than Heat": Need glass that lets in light but keeps out heat.
Developed is a sheet of plastic sandwiched between plates of glass and doped with
nanoparticles of lanthanum hexaboride. REPORTS: "Banking On the Technology Cycle"
Information Technology: Once the most aggressive users of IT, financial institutions have
learned to make do with less. But few can go on cost-cutting indefinitely. Computer- and
telecoms-makers could soon be feasting again. 'US financial services firms are no longer the
innovators they once were'. 'Few things in technology have promised so much and delivered so
little as CRM software'. "Battle for the Big Screen" Flat Panel Displays: Innovations in design and
manufacture of liquid-crystal displays have increased screen sizes and reduced costs
dramatically. Now the LCD is poised to challenge the king of the big screens, the plasma display.
'Since 1994, engineers have pushed the limit of LCD substrates to more than six feet'. CASE
HISTORY: "Out of the Ether": An unfinished doctoral thesis and a chance encounter with an
engineering intern gave Ethernet's inventor the inspiration for the popular computer network.
But a lot of lobbying, brainstorming and clever marketing were needed to turn it into a global
standard. 'The PC's explosive growth during the 1980s dragged Ethernet along with it'.
REPORTS: "We Are What We Eat" Nutrition: Studies linking how genes and diet interact are
helping food companies design products capable of protecting people prone to certain diseases.
'Some healthy people may increase their risk of heart disease with an extremely low fat/high
carbohydrate diet'. "Reinventing Europe" Innovation: With so much of its industrial base ageing
and resistant to change, how can Europe close the research and development gap with US?
'Companies need to separate their perception of the value of an idea from the way it is
presented'. 'Some universities are more interested in making it easy to get their own IP into the
marketplace'. LAST WORD: "Embryonic Man": Irving Weissman believes embryonic stem cells
will usher in a second biotech revolution, offering a whole new armoury of medicines - just as
equally controversial recombinant DNA did when it sparked the first biotech revolution a couple
of decades ago. 'Who do we care about more - a speck of cells or a grown human being suffering
from a life-threatening or debilitating illness?'
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 06 DEC 03:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. MONITOR: "Open Source's Local Heroes" Software: If the
commercial sort does not speak your language, open-source software may well do so instead.
"A Squirt in the Eye" Retinal Implants: Technology borrowed from inkjet printing could help
people blinded by retina-wasting diseases. "Computers that Read Your Mind" Computing:
Researchers have developed a promising new way to control computers by thought alone. "The
Internet, On Wheels" Networking: New initiatives are extending the range of the internet in an
unusual way - by road. "Thigh, Robot" Medical Devices: Today's mobility aid could soon be
replaced by smarter, more active ones. "How To Bake the Perfect Chip" Semiconductors: A new
rack for baking silicon chips keeps them clean and improves productivity. "Measuring the Data
Mountain": Almost all new information (92%) is stored on magnetic media, primarily hard disks.
Overall, the amount of information being produced is growing by 30% a year. "Not To Be Sniffed
At" Chemical Sensors: When it comes to detecting chemical weapons, chopping molecules up
with a laser may make them easier to find. "Windows With a Grand Vision" Telecommunications:
An Austrian firm has a wacky plan to install pan-European virtual reality. "A Kinder, Gentler
Frankenfood" Genetic Modification: Might a clever technological twist help to make GM foods
more widely acceptable? "Out of Sight" Materials: A transparent magnet could be used to make
new kinds of computer memories and displays. "And the Winners Were..." Innovation Awards:
Annual Economist prizes recognise innovators in technology categories. Year's winners:
Bioscience: Raymond Damadian - nuclear magnetic resonance. Computing: Tim Berners-Lee -
world wide web. Telecoms: Paul Baran - packet switching. Energy: Geoffrey Ballard - fuel cells.
No Boundaries: Ronald Coase - private property rights over spectrum. RATIONAL CONSUMER:
"Changing the Game" Consumer Electronics: Economist's new column on the business and
technology of consumer devices looks at the changing dynamics of the video-gaming industry.
REPORTS: "Prepare to be Scanned" Biometrics: High-tech security systems that rely on detailed
measurements of the human body, known as biometrics, are taking off. But should they be?
'Biometrics still do not work well enough for many applications in which they are being
deployed'. "Predicting the Micro-Weather" Weather Forecasting: High-resolution weather
forecasting is becoming increasingly sophisticated. 'Unlike the government weather services,
private firms can concentrate on particular areas - such as cities, ski resorts or oil fields - in finer
detail'. CASE HISTORY: "MRI's Inside Story" Medical Imaging: Magnetic-resonance imaging,
which provides detailed pictures of people's insides, has proved to be an invaluable medical
tool. But exactly who should take credit for its invention is deeply controversial. This case
history explains how scientific rivalry and engineering cunning drove the development of a life-saving technology that is now used to perform over 1m scans a week. 'Since the Nobel
committee rewards scientific achievement, not good manners, it would have been fairer to
include Dr Damadian in the prize'. REPORTS: "How the Radio Changed Its Spots" Smart Radios:
Radios capable of switching from one wireless standard to another, with nothing more than a
dose of new software, are at last emerging from the laboratory. 'Smart radios could promote
innovation by allowing new wireless standards to flourish, while concealing the underlying
complexity from users'. "Hard Disks Go Home" Consumer Electronics: Hard disks are starting
to appear in household devices, from televisions to stereos, adding novel features and making
possible new products. 'Unlike the tapes used in video-recorders, hard disks are "random-access" devices which allow instant jumps from one place to another'. LAST WORD: "The Father
of Fractals": Benoit Mandelbrot's unusual multidisciplinary approach led him to an extraordinary
discovery. He worries that modern science is now becoming too specialised. 'Science is like a
professional sport - an athlete is assessed solely within a narrowly defined event'.
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 13 MAR 04:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. MONITOR: "Robots, Start Your Engines" Innovation: Could a
robot race funded by a military-research organisation help to advance the development of
autonomous fighting vehicles? "Drivers Wanted" Motoring: It is already possible to build
driverless cars, trucks and buses. But practical problems and safety concerns mean they may
never be allowed on the roads. "Off With the Pith Helmets" Management: The use of
anthropologists in technology firms, once a novelty, has now become commonplace. What
changed? "Beyond the Digital Divide" Development: Amid much worthy talk of 'bridging the
digital divide', technology firms have realised that fostering the adoption of information
technology in the developing world would not just benefit locals, but is in vendors' best interests
as well. "Cows Go Wireless" Wireless Technology: The use of electronic tags to track cattle and
monitor their health is likely to accelerate following US's first case of mad-cow disease. "Return
of the Homebrew Coder" Software: Most modern software is written by huge teams of
programers. But there is still room for homebrew coders, at least in some unusual niches. "The
Car That Screens Your Calls" Motoring: In-car systems that monitor driver activity, and then
screen out unwelcome technological distractions such as phone calls, could improve road
safety. "Pressing Pause, Nature's Way" Biotechnology: A trick borrowed from an obscure
bacterium could provide a new way to preserve human tissue without refrigeration. "Heart of
Glass" Avionics: Computerised instrument panels, already widely used in military aircraft and
large passenger jets, are coming to small planes too. "Blogging Goes To Work" Software:
Blogging brings to mind self-absorbed teenagers posting their daily musings online. Might the
technology be useful in business? RATIONAL CONSUMER: "Digital Cameras Zoom In"
Consumer Electronics: Freed by digital technology from te constraints of film, the camera
business is being transformed. REPORTS: "Building the Energy Internet" Energy: More and
bigger blackouts lie ahead, unless today's dumb electricity grid can be transformed into a smart,
responsive and self-healing digital network - in short, an 'energy internet'. 'The technology exists
to enable a radical overhaul of the energy industry. Its effects could mirror the internet's impact
on communications'. "The Gentle Rise of the Machines" Robotics: The science-fiction dream
that robots would one day become a part of everyday life was absurd. Or was it? 'We may be
surrounded by more robots than we realise - just not of the type that Hollywood, or robot
researchers, led us to expect'. CASE HISTORY: "DNA's Detective Story": The analysis of genetic
material, to create DNA fingerprints and profiles, has revolutionised forensic science. But, as this
case history explains, having overcome initial doubts over its accuracy, the proponents of DNA
analysis now face new and more challenging ethical questions. 'It is more difficult to criticise
innovations that have legitimate uses in fighting crime. But such technologies deserve special
public scrutiny'. 'While critics succeeded in making it clear that DNA testing was not foolproof,
such scrutiny improved it by helping to define much-needed standards'. REPORTS: "Fixing the
Drugs Pipeline" Drug Design: The more pharmaceutical companies spend on research and
development, the less they have to show for it. What has gone wrong - and how can it be fixed?
'Rather than abandoning established practices for new-fangled techniques, these novel
approaches to drug discovery combine the best of both'. "Why Speed Isn't Everything"
Semiconductors: When it comes to designing chips, making them go faster is no longer the
most significant challenge. Is Moore's Law dead? LAST WORD: "Nanotechnology's Unhappy
Father": Eric Drexler invented nanotechnology. But what he thought he had invented is not what
has come to pass. 'Nanotechnology now refers to something much closer to traditional
chemistry than to the Drexleresque world of molecular manufacturing'.
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 12 JUN 04:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. MONITOR:“Shape of Phones To Come”Innovation: What is best
shape for mobile handset - and what will devices of future look like? “The End of Your
Tether?”Wireless Recharging: Even whizziest mobile phone or laptop needs one last, solitary
wire - to recharge its batteries. Or does it? “Background Illumination” Consumer Electronics:
Could everyday household furnishings be unobtrusive information-display devices of the
future?“Once Again, With Feeling”Sensory Feedback: Adding sense of touch to artificial limbs
could improve dexterity and make them feel more like part of the user’s body. “Press ‘Print’ For
Body Parts”Rapid Prototyping: Advances in three-dimensional printing are opening up number
of new medical applications for technology.“In Dust We Trust”Sensor Networks: They have
generated a lot of hype. But might sensor networks, also known as ‘smart dust’, actually be
useful?“Inside the Mind of the Consumer”Neuro-Marketing: Could brain-scanning technology
provide accurate way to assess appeal of new products and effectiveness of advertising?“A
Long Road Ahead of It”Transport It was supposed to revolutionise transport and change world.
How is Segway doing?“A Sandwich That Packs a Punch”Materials: Novel manufacturing
technique has produced metal with flexibility of rubber, which could have wide range of
uses.“From Genetic Code To Security Code”Security Technology: Tiny DNA fragments can
function as invisible embedded security tags. RATIONAL CONSUMER:“The Meaning of
iPod”Consumer Electronics: How Apple’s iPod music-player and its imitators are changing way
music is consumed. REPORTS:“An Open-Source Shot in the Arm”Medicine: The open-source
model is good way to produce software, as example of Linux shows. Could same collaborative
approach now revitalise medical research too? “We are so used to patents that we forgot ways
to discover drugs in public domain, and we need to rediscover them”. What does it mean to
apply term ‘open source’ in fields outside software development, which do not use ‘source code’
as term of art?“A Golden Vein”Computing: Analysis of customer information, better known as
‘data mining’, is finally delivering on its promises - and expanding into some promising new
areas. As cost of storage plummets and power of analytic tools improves, there is little likelihood
that enthusiasm for data mining will diminish. CASE HISTORY:“A Brief History of Wi-Fi”Wireless
Networking: Few people have kind word to say about telecoms regulators. But success of Wi-Fi
shows what can be achieved when regulators and technologists work together. Wi-Fi’s ultimate
significance may be that it provides glimpse of what will be possible with future wireless
technologies. REPORTS:“The Road Tolls For Thee”Transport: As road tolls become ever more
widespread, technology used to collect them is becoming increasingly complex - and could
ultimately shape future of motoring. Tolls force today’s users, not future generations, to pay for
infrastructure, and could be more equitable and efficient way to manage traffic. Electronic toll-collection schemes and their underlying technologies will probably become platform for all kinds
of attractive new services.“Going With the Flow”Materials: Smart-fluid technology is moving
from laboratory curiosity to commercial possibility, and is being put to use in cars, bridges and
even digital cameras. Using small fluid in place of mechanical parts enhanses control and
increases robustness by reducing number of bits that can break. BRAIN SCAN:“Unix’s Founding
Fathers”Dennis Ritchie invented C and was one of key members of team behind Unix - two
developments that underpin much modern software. It is that interplay between technical and
social that gives both C and Unix legendary status.
ECONOMIST TECHNOLOGY QUARTERLY 18 SEP 04:-Each Quarterly article is listed by full title;
then to ensure summaries reflect articles both as accurately and briefly as possible, key
introduction sentences and sometimes others are taken almost verbatim, but without surplus
words or detailed punctuation. MONITOR:“Deus ex Machinima?”Computer Graphics: Hollywood
movies increasingly resemble computer games. Now a growing band of enthusiasts is using
games to make films.“Science Fiction? Not Any More”Communications: Taking its cue from
“Star Trek”,an American company has devised a clever new form of voice-driven wireless
communicator.“Home Is Where the Future Is”Consumer Electronics: What ever happened to the
dream of the smart home - and might it finally have taken a step closer to reality?“Pictures As
Passwords”Computer Security: Passwords are a cheap, cheerful and ancient security measure.
But might it make more sense to use pictures instead?“Gadgets With a Sporting
Chance”Consumer Electronics: New sports equipment, from tennis rackets to running shoes,
uses processing power to enhance performance. Is that fair?“Data You Can Virtually
Touch”Computer Interfaces: Is haptic technology, which allows users to”feel”virtual objects,
finally ready to come out of the laboratory?“Last Gasp of the Fax Machine”Office Technology:
That most exasperating piece of equipment, the fax machine, is on its way out. But it will take
a very long time to die. “And the Winners Are...”Innovation Awards: Our annual prizes recognize
innovators in six technology categories. Here are this year’s winners. The six fields(and the
winning activities): bioscience(gene cloning); communications(Wi-Fi); computing(Linux);
energy(Prius hybrid car); social and economic innovation(Grameen micro-credit); and special“no
boundaries”category(scanning-tunnelling microscope). RATIONAL CONSUMER:“Televisions Go
Flat”Consumer Electronics: TVs based on bulky cathode-ray tubes are giving way to flat-panel
models. How will the Market evolve? REPORTS:“You’re Hired”Computing: By unloading work
on to their customers, firms can grant them more control - and save money in the
process.“Supercharging the Brain”Biotechnology: New drugs promise to improve memory and
sharpen mental response. Who should be allowed to take them? |